October 2009 trading advice given
Profit for Month = £380
Trades Completed Summary
(For a detailed summary of each trade see the detailed results table below)
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03/10/09 |
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03/10/09 |
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03/10/09 |
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03/10/09 |
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03/10/09 |
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04/10/09 |
Santander V Valencia |
0 - 1 |
£12 |
04/10/09 |
Palermo V Juventus |
2 - 0 |
£35 |
04/10/09 |
Sevilla V Real Madrid |
2 - 1 |
£14 |
05/10/09 |
Aston Villa V Man City |
1 - 1 |
£17 |
06/10/09 |
Honefoss V Tromsdalen |
2 - 0 |
£15 |
08/10/09 |
Falkenbergs V Landskrona |
2 - 1 |
£15 |
09/10/09 |
Helmond Sport V De Graafschap |
0 - 2 |
£9 |
10/10/09 |
Ukraine V England |
1 - 0 |
£28 |
10/10/09 |
Denmark V Sweden |
1 - 0 |
-£22 |
10/10/09 |
Czech Republic V Poland |
2 - 0 |
£27 |
12/10/09 |
Tranmere V Stockport |
0 - 1 |
£33 |
13/10/09 |
Ghana V Hungary |
3 - 2 |
£17 |
14/10/09 |
Germany V Finland |
1 - 1 |
-£110 |
16/10/09 |
Cottbus v Kaiserslautern |
1 - 2 |
£17 |
17/10/09 |
Sunderland V Liverpool |
1 - 0 |
£5 |
17/10/09 |
Nottingham Forest V Newcastle |
1 - 0 |
£17 |
17/10/09 |
Hamburg V Leverkusen |
0 - 0 |
-£37 |
17/10/09 |
Genoa V Inter Milan |
0 - 5 |
£18 |
18/10/09 |
Blackburn V Burnley |
3 - 2 |
£28 |
18/10/09 |
Udinese V Atalanta |
1 - 3 |
£0 |
18/10/09 |
Wigan V Manchester City |
1 - 1 |
£8 |
19/10/09 |
Union Berlin V Greuther Fürth |
1 - 2 |
£2 |
20/10/09 |
Stuttgart V Sevilla |
1 - 3 |
£33 |
21/10/09 |
FC Zurich V Marseille |
0 - 1 |
£30 |
22/10/09 |
Celtic V Hamburg |
0 - 1 |
£10 |
24/10/09 |
Wolves V Aston Villa |
1 - 1 |
-£105 |
24/10/09 |
Hannover V Stuttgart |
1 - 0 |
£10 |
24/10/09 |
Hull V Portsmouth |
0 - 0 |
-£27 |
25/10/09 |
Bolton V Everton |
3 - 2 |
£16 |
25/10/09 |
AZ V Ajax |
2 - 4 |
£20 |
25/10/09 |
Liverpool V Manchester Utd |
2 - 0 |
£2 |
26/10/09 |
Paderborn V Arminia Bielefeld |
0 - 2 |
£33 |
28/10/09 |
Arsenal V Liverpool |
2 - 1 |
£37 |
29/10/09 |
Valladolid V Mallorca |
2 - 1 |
£14 |
31/10/09 |
Arsenal V Tottenham |
3 - 0 |
£67 |
31/10/09 |
Fulham V Liverpool |
3 - 1 |
£1 |
31/10/09 |
Everton V Aston Villa |
1 - 1 |
£28 |
go back to results page
Trades Completed in Detail
| Date: 01/10/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Anderlecht V Ajax |
| Teams: - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Anderlecht sit first in Group A with 3 points after one match, whilst Ajax have collected one point thus far with a 0-0 draw against FC Timisoara and will feel pressured to chase 3 points in this encounter. We originally felt this would be a battle in midfield but with Anderlecht missing their playmaker Lucas Biglia, Ajax look to have the advantage and they are the strongest side on paper. We really can't see Ajax registering two consecutive 0-0 results with the squad Jol has named and the fact they have scored at least twice in 9 of their last 10 we should definitely see them on the scoresheet, but we do expect Anderlecht to play defensively so we might not see a big scoreline. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, (you might want to stagger your stake for a shorter price just incase Anderlecht open the scoring) and also will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as we expect a 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play. If a goal comes after trading out and a draw looks likely laying the leading team should be considered if worried.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 15.5 and 5.8 with £16 overall and backed overs at average odds at 3.69 closing the trade at average odds of 3.9 after the break with £1 profit on unders and potential loss of £7 should the match finish over 2.5. The draw odds were on the way down to 1.8 in fact the goal came bang on this point with quite a few reporting a decent profit after Ajax took the lead. We had a bit of a brain fart for this one whilst getting ready to submit our trade out bet we accidentally clicked submit at 1.93 so had traded out before the goal with the loss on the draw. After the goal we were concerned Anderlecht would equalise so layed Ajax at 1.2 with £158 putting a £1 profit on the draw and a potential £31 loss should they go on to win. About 10 min's later we were rewarded by this decision when they equalise, they nearly won it which would have been a big profit but no luck so overall a £14 loss.
Overall still a profitable day with yet another winner from Terry's Lays!
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Profit made on this trade = - £14
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| Date: 03/10/09 |
| Time: 15.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Bolton V Tottenham- SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Bolton's record against sides with similar form to Spurs is pretty poor seeing them just pick up two wins from their last 10. Lately they have been pretty resilient having avoided defeat in the last 3 league matches and a extra time winner over the Hammers in the League Cup so Spurs should have a game on their hands. H2H has seen Bolton hold a strong record over Spurs at the Reebok but Spurs are definitely a better side than they have been in recent years so it might buck the trend. Its definitely an interesting match up with conflicting trends but from the way Bolton and Spurs have been playing the season we should see both sides on the scoresheet. No Defoe for Spurs after picking up a bizarre hand injury so we might not see 3 consecutive games with Spurs scoring 5 goals but it should breach 3 goals. So for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as we expect a 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play. If a goal comes after trading out and a draw looks likely laying the leading team should be considered if worried.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.75, had nothing on overs and had £6 on the 0-0 at 16. Bolton took an early lead for us to trade out at 4.1 with £91 for an overall profit of £2. We as many others also layed Bolton after they took the lead trading out after the equaliser for a nice overall profit but its not in the preview so not reportable.
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Profit made on this trade = £2
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| Date: 03/10/09 |
| Time: 17.15hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Tippeligaen |
| Teams: Odd Grenland v Molde - SCORE: 2 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Both sides are on a downtrend with Odd now having lost 4 in a row and Molde have lost their last 3 on the road so their form is a little suspect but one thing they have been reliable for is goals. Odd haven't failed to score at home in their last 10 and Molde just can't keep a clean sheet but also look strong offensively. Neither has a chance of catching Rosenburg but 2nd place is still up for grabs so they should be motivated. Everything points to both sides scoring here and a +2.5 scoreline. This is set up perfectly for trading with 0-0 odds of 23 and fairly even win odds for the two sides so whoever scores we should be able to profit. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on under 2.5 goals as we don't expect the opener until around 30 min's in, following the usual plan if a goal comes whilst we are still in. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £7 and you shouldn't need any more cover but back further if concened. If a goal comes after trading out and a draw looks likely laying the leading team should be considered if worried.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 backed the 0-0 at 21 with £7 and didn't trade unders due to only around 10k on the market before kick off. It would have been profitable though as the opener came 5 min's after we would have traded out. After the goal we closed the draw trade at 4.3 with £84 for £7 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £7
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| Date: 03/10/09 |
| Time: 17.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams:MGladbach V Dortmund - SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Gladbach started the season well but then slipped back into the same pattern they showed last year. Against struggling Dortmund they have an opportunity to bounce back. Both sides are missing their Captains for this match so hopefully it won't be a match where they lack direction. Gladbach at home usually means one thing, both sides scoring! This is also supported by Dortmund's record against similar ranked sides. H2H is fairly evenly split but in recent years Gladbach have only lost 1 of their last 6 at home so should avoid defeat here. for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as we expect a fairly early 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play. If a goal comes after trading out and a draw looks likely laying the leading team should be considered if worried.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35 backed overs at average odds of 2.64 with £25 and backed the 0-0 at 14 with £6. Dortmunds goal enabled us to trade out 4.3 on the draw trade with £75 and 2.0 on the goals with £33 for £25 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £25
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| Date: 03/10/09 |
| Time: 18.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Eredivisie |
| Teams:AZ Alkmaar v Breda - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Last seasons champions AZ simply can't afford to lose any more ground on the leading pack. When put under this kind of pressure they have a superb record of grabbing points. Against sides of a similar ranking to Breda they have won their last 5 consecutive games with the majority of these seeing them ahead at the break. Benda's record against the big 4 supports this and has seen them behind at the break in just over 80% of these meetings then going on to lose the majority.For this match we will be backing AZ and trading out after they take the lead or draw level. Initially we will back AZ with £50 to see how they start then look to get the rest on inplay. If they are playing poorly it makes sense to stagger the rest on slowly or wait until your confident they are going to score. If they concede we will follow the usual plan of backing them again for higher average odds (obviously don't do it until you feel they can pull it back) so we can potentially trade out when they draw level. We will be also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals as we expect a 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break. We will also grab £5 of cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We backed AZ at average odds of 1.51 with £80 of the £100 we were going to get on. Backed the 0-0 with £5 at 18 and backed overs at average odds of 1.95 with £17 before the opener. AZ's goal enabled us to trade out at 1.17 with £92 and 1.61 on the goals with £19 for £20 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £20
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| Date: 03/10/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams:Inter v Udinese - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Inter are undefeated at home in over 20 games and have won 7 of their last 9 such games without the other side scoring. Udinese have lost seven of their last nine on the road to the big boys but offensively they have looked pretty sharp winning 3 of their last 5 and will likely score here but we do expect Inter to continue their undefeated record and emerge winners. Same plan as above.
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Our Trading Result:
We backed Inter at 1.47 with £100 backed the 0-0 at 16.5 with £5 and backed overs at 2.2 with £10 before Inter's opener. The goal enabled us to trade out at 1.17 on the back bet with £115 and 1.56 on the goals with £13 for £23 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £23
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| Date: 04/10/09 |
| Time: 18.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Primera |
| Teams: Santander V Valencia SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
This is going to be interesting as both are in decent scoring form but are shocking defensively. In fact Racing have scored more goals 5 games in than they have in the last 10 seasons but they also had the worst defensive record we can remember. If they can hold onto the ball (terrible level of possession so far this season) they have a good chance of grabbing a point here as Valencia are relying on Villa, Silva, Mata, and Hernandez to essentially out-gun the opposition which has back fired in 4 of the last 5. Both sides scoring looks on the cards and because of the way Valencia have been starting they should be on the scoresheet before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.6 backed the 0-0 at 19 and 5.8 with £16 and backed overs at average odds of 2.8 before the break getting out for no loss on under with a £5 profit on unders which we closed after the break at 5.5 minimising the liability on overs to just £6. Valencia opened the scoring after the break for us to trade out at 5.0 on the draw with £70 for £12 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £12
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| Date: 04/10/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: Palermo V Juventus SCORE: 2 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Palermo haven't had the best start this season and haven't improved much in their last few games but they continue to be one of the hardest teams to beat on home soil in the Serie A and are now 9 games undefeated. Against the leagues top 6 they practically always concede but have a habit of pulling it back and rising to the occasion so we expect both sides on the scoresheet. H2H its pretty one sided with Palermo only winning 14% of games but Juventus had a tough midweek match against Bayern so this could be another opportunity for Palermo to extend their unbeaten run. We can't see them winning though as this Juve side are simply superb. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 13.5 with £7 and backed overs at average odds of 2.64 with £23 before the opener from Palermo who to be honest deserved the win. The odds shortened after the goal to around 3.2 we were looking to close the trade over 3.5 to report a profit. We managed to get out of the goals trade at 1.9 with £32 which covered the 0-0 bet and lucky saw Palmero score again to trade out for the draw trade at 5.3 with £64 for £35 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £35
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| Date: 04/10/09 |
| Time: 20.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Primera |
| Teams: Sevilla V Real Madrid SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Sevilla will be highly motivated for this game to show everyone they are capable of challenging the megastars from the Spanish capital. We do expect them to concede here as the only time they have been challenged defensively this season was against Valencia who caused them no end of problems and Real will obviously be more of a challenge. Since that loss to Valencia they have dramatically improved winning 6 in a row and will surely be a tough challenge for Real. Real's pre-season defensive issues have all but disapeared and now have seen them go 5 games without conceding. They will be without Ronaldo for this match which will be a bit of a blow and Kaka and Benzema aren't quite at their best at the moment with Sevilla's Luis Fabiano and Frederic Kanoute looking the stronger pairing at the moment. This is a match that could go either way but we have our fingers crossed for a Sevilla win as they will likely be the more efficient side in front of goal. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 22 with £6 and backed overs at average odds of 2.32 with £18 before
Navas opened the scoring for Sevilla. Terry also had a lay on Real for his section. After the goal we traded out at 3.9 on the draw trade with £87 and 1.58 on the goals trade with £25 for £14 overall (not including Terry's lay profit).
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Profit made on this trade = £14
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| Date: 05/10/09 |
| Time: 20.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Aston Villa V Man City SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Both sides have top 4 aspirations this season and play a similar type of football so it should be a competitive end to end match. The added twist of Dunne and Barry facing off against their old teams should also add some tension to this match. Villa won this fixture last season 4-2 with Gabby grabbing a hattrick, as Villa fans we are hoping for more of the same. There is no question that this City side is much improved over last season's and Hughes looks to have fixed City's poor away form but we feel Villa have a good chance of avoiding defeat here. We are realistic in the fact Villa haven't won against similar form sides in over 10 games at Villa Park but they have been pretty resilient. City will score here as they have done so in 9 of the last 10 against Villa but we should also see Gabby on the scoresheet for Villa. We have our fingers crossed for Adebayor tripping over his shoe laces in the tunnel spraining his ankle and for a 1-1 draw. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.6 backed the 0-0 at 15 with £6 and backed overs at average odds of 2.06 with £10 before Dunne's superb header. We also had a personal side bet on 1-1 so well chuffed this came in (not official, but from our comments above you can see we were looking for this result). After the goal we traded out at 4.2 on the draw with £88 weighting the profit slightly towards the draw, we also traded out of the goals trade with £14 at 1.48 for £17 from the official trades. As member know we also layed city in our laying section so a double whammy here.
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Profit made on this trade = £17
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| Date: 06/10/09 |
| Time: 18.35hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Norway Div 1 |
| Teams: Honefoss V Tromsdalen SCORE: 2 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Honefoss are sitting in 2nd place 1 point and two games in hand behind leaders Kongsvinger. A win here against a side that hasn't beaten them in over 10 years will see Honefoss sitting pretty at the top of the table. We obviously expect Tromsdalen to set themselves up defensively for this match as part of a damage limitation strategy. This has worked well for the previous 3 bottom half sides that have met Honefoss on home soil but it shouldn't be a goalless match and Honefoss should avoid defeat as they have a 85% win record against similar opponents. From a goals point of view Honefoss have been averaging over 2.3 goals a game at home with a superb defensive record if Tromsdalen are to grab anything from this match they will have to break their goal drought which has seen them only score 4 goals in the last 10 and they will need to sure up a defense that has concede at least twice in all of their last 6 on the road. For this match we will be backing Honefoss and trading out after they take the lead or draw level. Initially we will back Honefoss with £70 to see how they start then look to get the rest on inplay. If they are playing poorly it makes sense to stagger the rest on slowly or wait until your confident they are going to score. If they concede we will follow the usual plan of backing them again for higher average odds (obviously don't do it until you feel they can pull it back) so we can potentially trade out when they draw level. We will be also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals as we expect a 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break. We will also grab £5 of cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We backed Honefoss at average odds of 1.37 backed the 0-0 with £3 not £5 as originally planned as the 0-0 odds had drifted out to 30 (we will take £2 off the profit as we said £5 in the preview) and backed overs at average odds of 1.66 with £12 before Honefoss opened the scoring. The game went exactly as expected with Tromsdalen never really threatening but they did do a good job at keeping the score down. After the goal we traded out at 1.14 on the back bet with £110 and 1.31 on the overs trade with £12 but as it finished under 2.5 we didn't secure any profit from the goals trade so £15 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £15
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| Date: 09/10/09 |
| Time: 18.15hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Superettan |
| Teams: Falkenbergs V Landskrona SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
These two are performing exactly as we expected this season. Historically when they meet its a decent end to end game with both sides scoring (6 of the last 7) we also can't remember a goalless match between them so we shouldn't need to worry to much about this match going against us. They both have had some disappointing results in recent weeks so will be looking for 3 points here although it does look like they will be sharing the points in this meeting. A 1st half goal does look likely, more so from Landskrona so we will be following our standard trading plan for this match. So to confirm we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 backed the 0-0 with £7 at 16 and backed over 2.5 goals with £18 before the opener at average odds of 2.44. After the goal we traded out at 4.1 on the draw with £83 and 1.77 on the goals trade with £27 for £15 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £15
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| Date: 09/10/09 |
| Time: 18.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Jupiler |
| Teams: Helmond Sport V De Graafschap SCORE: 0 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Both these two are flying this season with only 1 loss in the last 10. Currently sitting joint 3rd this will surely be a tough match for both sides. Helmond's away form has been better than their home this season but they do look good for scoring here against a De Graafschap side that is historically a tough defensive side. We also expect them to concede as they have a few issues in defense which De Graafschap will have no issue exploiting. De Graafschap haven't had the best away form so far this season but considering Helmond's defensive issues we expect them to pick up their 1st win of the season on the road in this match. 6 of the last 7 times these two have met both sides have scored we expect to see this again in this encounter. This match will probably take a while for a goal to be scored but ideally it will come before the break from the slight favorites De Graafschap. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.7 with £75 of the £100 we were going to get on backed the 0-0 with £6 at 18.5 and regrettable didn't manage to get anything matched on the goals trade before the goal from De Graafschap. The goal enabled us to close the trade at 4.6 with £59 for £9 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £9
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| Date: 10/10/09 |
| Time:17.15 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: WCQ |
| Teams: Ukraine V England SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Ukraine go into this match with everything to play for. They need 6 points from their last two games to secure 2nd spot and a place in the play-offs. With their following match being against Andorra which should be an easy win it puts all the pressure on winning this match. England have already secured qualification with 8 wins in as many games but Capello isn't they type of manager that will let the boys slack off and is chasing a perfect winning record though the group stages. Its definitely going to be an interesting match especially with Ukraine needing a win result and around 100 thousand of their fans in and around the stadium providing a 12 man. Were going to sit on the fence with regards to picking a winner but are pretty confident we will see both sides on the scoresheet with the +2.5 scoreline looking on the cards (11 of England's last 12 have seen this result). For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break by Ukraine, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 11.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.82 with £18 before Ukraine took the lead. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.8 on the draw trade with £68 and 2.12 with £23 for £28.
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Profit made on this trade = £28
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| Date: 10/10/09 |
| Time:19.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: WCQ |
| Teams:Denmark V Sweden SCORE: 0 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Denmark have been flying in these qualifiers, leading group 1 with 18 points from their 8 games which gives them a 3 point lead over 2nd places Sweden. This is likely to be one of today's more competitive games as there is a fierce rivalry between these two and its a crucial match where both need 3 points especially Sweden who have Portugal chasing them for 2nd place. We are expecting a cautious start but their history and Sweden's need for 3 points will more than likely motive both to push for the win with the deadlock broken before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should hopefully be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.25 backed the 0-0 with £22 overall at 10 and 4.7 and backed overs at average odds of 4.45 before the break. No goal before HT so we traded out for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 as usual with a £5 profit on under 2.5. We than closed this by backing overs again at 15.5 which minimised our potential loss should the match finish over. Regrettably the match didn't deliver a goal until after we had traded out at 1.85. So overall a £22 loss from the 0-0 bet.
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Profit made on this trade = -£22
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| Date: 10/10/09 |
| Time:19.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: WCQ |
| Teams:
Czech Republic V Poland SCORE: 2 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Surprisingly looking at the table the Czech's are sitting in 4th place. Despite only losing twice they have registered 3 draws which has hit their points tally. Their opponents here are having major managerial problems and to qualify will need to win their next two games (one against group leaders Slovakia) and have other results go in their favour which doesn't look likely. We expect the Czech's who come into this match after a morale boosting 7-0 battering of San Marino to take advantage of Poland's issues and secure a home win and give themselves a fighting chance in their next match to secure qualification. For this match we will be backing Czech Republic and trading out after they take the lead or draw level. Initially we will back them with £70 to see how they start then look to get the rest on inplay. If they are playing poorly it makes sense to stagger the rest on slowly or wait until your confident they are going to score. If they concede we will follow the usual plan of backing them again for higher average odds (obviously don't do it until you feel they can pull it back) so we can potentially trade out when they draw level. We will be also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals as we expect a 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break. We will also grab £5 of cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We backed the Czech Republic at average odds of 1.6 backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.89 and backed the 0-0 at 15 with £5. No goal before the break so we traded out of the goals trade at 4.9 for no loss on under and a £5 profit on under's. The opener came shortly after the break for us to trade out at 1.23 with £115. We then closed the overs trade again at 5.8 about 10 min's later to minimise the potential loss on overs. The final result was 2-0 so overall a profit of £27
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Profit made on this trade = £27
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| Date: 10/10/09 |
| Time:19.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: League One |
| Teams: Tranmere V Stockport : 0 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Managerless Tranmere saw the back of John Barnes after a 5-0 battering at the hands of Millwall. Defensively they looked lost without Broomes in the centre. He will be back for this game after serving a 1 match ban which will give Care Taker Manager Les Parry a little confidence they have a decent player in the centre of defense. Even with him they still have been pretty poor defensively this season conceding 24 goals in the last 10 with just one clean sheet which was against bottom placed Wycombe, but they should avoid a similar result to the Millwall match. Parry will also have them fired up to defend a H2H history which has seen Tranmere win or avoid defeat at home against Stockport in over 10 years. Stockport look to be in a better position defensively but will definitely be lacking fire power for this encounter so it could go either way although they are carrying better form into this match. From a trend point of view we probably won't see a goal until after 25 min's but we do expect both sides urgency for 3 points to break the deadlock before the break. For this game will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 12.5 and 5.2 with £16 and backed overs at average odds of 3.12 before the break getting out at HT with the loss on overs as planned at 6.2 with a £6 profit on unders which we closed at 10.0 after the break to minimise the liability on overs. The one and only goal came at the perfect time via a penalty at the expense of Daniels getting sent off. The odds drifted way out after the goal for us to trade out at 6.8 on the draw with £46 which left us £3 . Because of the 10 man scenario it then made sense to minimise the liability on overs to just £5 which we did so overall £33.
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Profit made on this trade = £33
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| Date: 14/10/09 |
| Time:19.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: U20 World Cup - Semi Final |
| Teams: Ghana V Hungary : 3 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Ghana will be bidding to reach their 3rd FIFA Under-20 World Cup final when they take on Hungary at the Cairo International Stadium. The African champions go into the match as favorites which has a lot to do with excellent performances so far and their superb striker Dominic Adiyiah, who heads the top goal-scoring list in this tournament. Hungary aren't to be under estimated though as they were superb in their defeat of the highly ranked Italian side in the last round and with Ghana missing their best defender due to suspension they look weak at the back. On a positive side for Ghana, Hungary will also be without some key players including their team motivator and Captain Vladimir Koman which will have a big impact on their performance. With Ghana's weakened defense we do expect Hungary to score but Ghana's firepower will more than likely see them into the final on the 16th against either Brazil or Costa Rica. For this game will be laying the draw trading out after a goal (if your concerned Hungary will score 1st it makes sense to stagger your lay stake on inplay so the odds don't move against you), and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as we expect a 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.7 with only £60 of the £100 we were looking to get on, backed the 0-0 at 13 with £6 and unfortunately didn't manage to get anything matched on overs before Adiyiah opened the scoring 10 min's in. His goal did enable us to trade out at 5.7 on the draw with £37 which left us £17 profit.
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Profit made on this trade = £17
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| Date: 14/10/09 |
| Time:17.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: WCQ |
| Teams: Germany V Finland: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
The last time these two met it was a question of will they won't they as Finland led 3 times but ended up settling for a 3-3 draw. It was also against an out of sorts Germany side, very different from the focused side we have seen win their last 5. It's amazing what a difference a year can make! Germany's Manager Loew may have pledged to play experimentally, but he is a cautions chap who isn't likely to make too many changes unless they are comfortably ahead early on. No Ballack, Tasci or Sami Khedira but we still expect a strong side for this encounter. Finland will make a game of it despite having nothing but pride to play for. Whilst they managed to match Germany in poor form we don't feel they will manage it again in this encounter. Defensively they are missing Pasanen and Tihinen which leaves a defensive hole Klose and the rest of the German side will exploit to their advantage. Offensively they will potentially struggle against a German back 4 that hasn't conceded in their last 4 games. Its definitely going to be an entertaining affair which should see Germany emerge victorious. We also support a 1st half goal from Germany ideally from Trochowski in front of his home crowd. So for this match we will be backing Germany and trading out after they take the lead or draw level. Initially we will back Germany with £70 to see how they start then look to get the rest on inplay. If they are playing poorly it makes sense to stagger the rest on slowly or wait until your confident they are going to score. If they concede we will follow the usual plan of backing them again for higher average odds (obviously don't do it until you feel they can pull it back) so we can potentially trade out when they draw level. We will be also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals as we expect a 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break. We will also grab £5 of cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay. If its goalless around 60 min's we would look to close the trade and the 0-0 bet for a small overall profit.
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Our Trading Result:
We backed Germany at 1.32 with £70 backed the 0-0 with £5 and had nothing on overs when Finland took the lead. Germany conceded after about 10 min's and didn't really look like grabbing it back. We did back them again with another £50 at 2.6 but it wasn't very justified in hindsight. We should have cut our losses at 60 min's in but decided to buy a little more time by backing them again at 10 with £30. This was obviously the wrong decision as the equaliser didn't come until the 90th min. We then split the loss across all options at 13 with £45 for an overall loss of £110. Unfortunately one of the 5% of short priced games this method didn't work for.
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Profit made on this trade = -£110
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| Date: 16/10/09 |
| Time:19.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundeliga 2 |
| Teams: Cottbus v Kaiserslautern : 1 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
8 games in Kaiserslautern are still undefeated and sit joint top with Bielefeld who managed to hold onto most of their best players when they dropped from the top tier. In this encounter they take on another side who dropped from Bundesliga 1 but Cottbus aren't having the best time of it and have continued their inconsistent form from last season. Their main problems look to be defensive as their strike force is pretty good, in fact at home they have no issue scoring, hitting the back of the net 9 times in their opening 4 games. This might play into their favour as Kaiserslautern are a strong defensive side (haven't conceded more than 1 goal in any game this season) but are pretty average offensively. H2H they haven't met domestically since 2003 but Kaiserslautern have managed to win the last 5. On paper this does look like an away win but we have a strong feeling Cottbus's offensive ability will help them avoid defeat despite Kaiserslautern being the more rounded side. Both sides scoring looks the most likely outcome here. We will also support a 1st half goal from Cottbus. So for this game will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 14 and backed overs at 2.88 with £18 before the opener from
Kweuke. After the goal we traded out at 3.55 on the draw with £90 and 1.68 on the goals with £30 for £17 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £17
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| Date: 17/10/09 |
| Time: 15.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams:Sunderland V Liverpool : 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
No Gerrard or Torres makes this a very interesting match, especially with Bent in superb form. Sunderland finally look like a Premiership club this season and currently occupy 8th spot and thoroughly deserve to be there. Liverpool have been showing worrying signs they might not make the top 4 this season but have a very strong record over the Black Cats, winning the last 6. The last time Sunderland beat Liverpool was back in 2002, whilst we don't expect to see it again here we feel they have a good chance of avoiding defeat considering their current form. They still look weak defensively and with Yossi getting a run out they will have to be switched on at the back. The most likely outcome in our opinion is both sides scoring. So will stick to the standard trade of laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35 backed the 0-0 with £7 at 12 and had nothing on overs before Sunderland took the lead. After the goal we traded out at 3.8 with £87 for £5 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £5
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| Date: 17/10/09 |
| Time: 17.20hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Championship |
| Teams:Nottingham Forest V Newcastle: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Both sides are in decent form so it should be a competitive match although historically Forest have struggled against previous Premiership sides so we don't feel they will win here but they have a very good chance of grabbing a point. H2H they don't have much recent history but Newcastle won or avoided defeat in the last 8 which is what we expect to see today. The main reason we like this game is because Newcastle have managed to score in 9 of their last 10 before the break against simular opponents which is what we feel we will see in this match. For this match laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 11.5 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.31. After Forests goal we traded out at 4.1 on the draw with £82 and 2.46 on the goals with £33 for £17 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £17
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| Date: 17/10/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams:Hamburg V Leverkusen : 0 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
The top two who remain undefeated battle it out in what will more than likely be be played like a chess match than a game of football. On paper Hamburg's side is superior but with both Guerrero and Petric out they have no one of substance up front so will have to rely on their superb midfield and great defensive play. If we had to pick a winner it would be Leverkusen as they have been consistently impressive and are able to field a more well rounded side for this encounter. The last time they met at the Nordbank arena it was a superb match which finished 3-2 to the hosts, we expect goals again in this game but feel they will end up sharing the points. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 13, 4.2 and 2.2 with £26 overall and backed overs at average odds of 3.33 getting out at 5.0 at the break with £5 profit on under 2.5 which we closed for safety with £5 at 7.2 after the break minimising the liability on over 2.5. Unfortunately it was goalless at our usual trade out point for us to get out at 1.8 with the loss on the draw as planned. So overall a loss of £37
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Profit made on this trade = £37
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| Date: 17/10/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: Genoa V Inter Milan : 0 - 5 |
Our Recommendation:
For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3 backed the 0-0 with £6 at 14 and again didn't manage to get anything on over 2.5 goals when the opener came. Inter were on a mission here, one of those games you ish you didn't trade out of but we goal out after the 1st at 4.5 with 3.3 out at average odds of 4.31 with £74 for ££18 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £18
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| Date: 18/10/09 |
| Time: 13.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Blackburn V Burnley: 3 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
These two haven't met domestically since 2001 season where Blackburn put 7 past Burnley across the two fixture with none in reply. We don't expect it to be so one sided this time with it very likely to be a tense affair as they both chase east lancs bragging rights. Burnley are flying higher than Blackburn domestically at this stage of the season but they have been shocking on their travels with no clean sheets and haven't scored in reply. Blackburn have been a strong home side under big sam that has only lost once in their last 10 which was against the newly reinvigorated Man City. We usually see Blackburn chase an early lead at home against similar ranked teams so expect them on the scoresheet before the break (8 of the last 10). We also expect them to at least avoid defeat but more than likely grab 3 points. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.7 with £70 of the £100 we were looking to get on didn't manage to get anything on over 2.5 before the opener and backed the 0-0 at 13 with £6. Burnley took an lead 5 min's in and unfortunately the odds didn't move to the 3.85 we were looking for to cover our 0-0 bet, shortly after an equaliser came from Blackburn so because we were able to lay over 2.5 at 1.1 for safety with £120 (same as a 0-0 bet) we layed the draw again at 3.7 with the £30 we didn't get on earlier. Blackburn took the lead about 10 min's later for us to trade out at 6.0 with £60 for £28 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £28
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| Date: 18/10/09 |
| Time: 14.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: Udinese V Atalanta : 1 - 3 |
Our Recommendation:
Udinese have got off to a decent start and despite missing Flores and a couple of other key players they have been impressive. At home they have been solid with only 1 loss in the last 10 winning 7 of their last 8. Atalanta are in desperate need of 3 points as they are winless 7 games in. On a positive note they have draw their last 3 but lacked finishing. We don't feel Atalanta will grab their 1st win of the season here as Udinese just look to solid but we can see them on the scoresheet. Same plan as above for this one.
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Our Trading Result:
Excactly the same thing happened again in this match with the non-favourite scoring 1st and early. We layed the draw at 3.5 backed the 0-0 with £6 at 13 and this time actually decided to put £10 on early at 2.0 as we are fed up missing early goals. Atalanta's goal enabled us to trade out at 3.6 on the draw with £97 and 1.41 on the goals with £14 to break even.
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Profit made on this trade = £0
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| Date: 18/10/09 |
| Time: 14.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Wigan V Manchester City: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
We can't quite make Wigan out yet this season, losing to Hull and Wolves but beating Chelsea. Martinez is a competent manager hopefully he can get some more consistent results going forward. He has a full strength side for this match so has no excuses not to make a game of it. City have quite a few injury concerns with defensive selections looking limited but will also welcome back Adebayor and a few others. We expect both sides to score here but City to take the lead before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 12 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals with £25 at average odds of 3.28 before the opener from Wigan. The goal enabled us to close the goals trade at 2.26 with £36. But as every man and his dog expected City to equalise the odds shortened on the draw to 3.25 so as we also expected an equaliser we backed the draw with £150 moving the profit to the draw which is the standard plan in this situation. After City's equaliser we closed the trade again for average lay odds of 3.14 with £155 overall which gave us only £8 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £8
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| Date: 19/10/09 |
| Time: 19.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga 2 |
| Teams: Union Berlin V Greuther Fürth : 1 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Union come into this match on the back of a loss to Duisburg (ignoring their recent friendly) which was a little surprising as they looked the better side, but just made a few stupid defensive errors. Prior to this they were undefeated in 7 which is a true reflection of their current form. They take on a weakened Greuther side here who are missing their key central defender and another few key players. Against a strong offensive Union side who welcome back Mosquera (should be playing top tier football) we can't see past a home win here. Union haven't failed to score in their last 10 and will score here against a weakened Greuther defense but they themselves will more than likely concede here which is what we have seen in their last 6 games. We know Terry has layed Greuther on his own account but we do prefer the safety of laying the draw so will follow or standard plan here. So for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as we expect a 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play. If a goal comes after trading out and a draw looks likely laying the leading team should be considered if worried.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.58 backed the 0-0 with £6 and backed over 2.5 goals with £6 at 1.8 before the opener from Greuther. Terry was just saying I'm not happy with this one when the goal came from Greuther. After the goal we traded out at 3.8 with £94 and 1.31 on the goals with £7 for a small profit of £2. Quite a few members gave it some time for the odds to drift as Greuther looked on top, this would have paid off for around £40 profit.
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Profit made on this trade = £2
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| Date: 20/10/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams: Stuttgart V Sevilla - Score: 1 - 3 |
Our Recommendation:
Sevilla will be keen to secure the win here, which would virtually guarantee their place in the next round. Stuttgart will welcome a break from their early Bundesliga relegation battle but have work to be done especially after dropping points at home to Rangers which has left a level of urgency for a positive result in this match. Historically they have a poor record against Sevilla (lost the last meeting 2-0) and haven't beaten a Spanish opponent in over 20 years. Considering their recent form it doesn't look good for Stuttgart. Although the hosts will huff and puff we can't see them blowing Sevilla's house down in this match, but we will support both sides scoring and Sevilla avoiding defeat. So for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as we expect a 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play. If a goal comes after trading out and a draw looks likely laying the leading team should be considered if worried.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.35 backed the 0-0 with £7 at 12.5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £16 at 2.5 before the opener from Sevilla. They were clearly the better side here. After Sevilla's 1st we got out at 4.8 on the draw with £66 and 1.66 on the goals with £24 which left us £33 up.
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Profit made on this trade = £33
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| Date: 21/10/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams: FC Zurich V Marseille - Score: 0 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Zurich surprised us all with their 1-0 win over AC Milan, can they take another Champions League scalp? Well if their domestic form is anything to go by it doesn't look very likely 12 games in they have only picked up 4 wins and are now 16 points off the pace. Their win over Milan was more from Milan's appalling performance than the ability of Zurich. Their opponents here look in better shape and were superb against Nancy at the weekend (winning 3-0) but Marseille's away form in Europe is almost laughable so they will need to buck a losing trent to get a desirable result here. With their urgency to win we are pretty sure they will score which is supported in their history against similar ranked sides but Marseille's defense is far from secure so expect both sides on the score sheet with a score line finishing over 2.5 goals.
For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as we expect a 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play. If a goal comes after trading out and a draw looks likely laying the leading team should be considered if worried.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.7 backed the 0-0 with £17 overall at 15 and 5.0 at 12.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.28 before the break. No goals before HT so we traded out of the goals trade with a £5 profit on unders closing it at 6.8 for safety. Marseille opened the scoring at the perfect time for us to trade out of the draw trade at 6.8 with £50 for £30 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £30
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| Date: 22/10/09 |
| Time: 20.05 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Europa League |
| Teams: Celtic V Hamburg - Score: 0 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Celtic might be playing down this fixture but its simply a must win game if they are going to continue in this competition. With Hamburg missing around 8 1st team players with a heavily depleted defense they have a good chance if Mowbray can get them thinking positive after a few poor results. Without their injury problems we would hands down give this to Hamburg but this is likely to be more competitive than expected with both sides scoring. Hamburg's midfield worked their socks off in their match against table toppers Leverkusen at the weekend and avoided defeat. Despite all their injury problems we again expect them to continue their unbeaten run in this match. So for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as we expect a 1st half goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play. If a goal comes after trading out and a draw looks likely laying the leading team should be considered if worried.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 backed the 0-0 with £20 overall at 12.5 and 4.3 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.8 before the break. No goals before HT so we traded out of the goals trade for no loss at 6.2 with a £5 profit on unders closing it at 8.8 for safety. Hamburg took the lead at the perfect time for us to trade out at 4.9 with £68 for £10 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £10
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| Date: 24/10/09 |
| Time: 13.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Wolves V Aston Villa- Score: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Villa might be looking like they have a good chance of challenging for a top 4 place and come into this on the back of beating Chelsea but Molineux is never an easy trip for Villa. O'Neil has no new injury concerns and welcomes back Luke Young for this game. Defensively Villa have looked superb this season with the additions of Dunne and Collins and now are sporting the best defensive record in the Premiership so Wolves grabbing more than 1 goal looks unlikely. Because of the tension between these two is will surely be an entertaining match, where we will support both sides scoring but expect Villa to secure 3 points and be up at the break. So for this game will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 12, 5.4 and 4.8 with £20 overall for £130 of cover. We also backed over 2.5 goals at average odds odds of 3.45 closing it at HT as planned at 5.4 with a £5 profit on under which we closed at 7.2 for safety. Wolves were definately the better side and we were suprised they didn't take the lead. No goal before our trade out point so we got out at average odds of 1.82 with the loss on the draw. Villa took the lead after this point but as Villa were hardly on top we followed the preview layed Villa at 1.18, regrettable we were a little slow doing this only managing to get £73 of the £125 we were planning to get on before the equaliser, so unfortunately a loss of £105.
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Profit made on this trade = -£105
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| Date: 24/10/09 |
| Time: 14.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: Hannover V Stuttgart - Score: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
With Hannover missing Forssell and Schlaundraff their two 1st choice strikers we felt they were doomed as defensively they are hardly the best but some who they have managed to still score of late. The managed to put 5 past Freiburg a couple of weeks ago despite this situation. Stuttgart are having a terrible time of it so far this season, they are having good levels of possession but have been having issues scoring. H2H Hannover haven't manage to win any of their last 7 meetings against Stuttgart on their home soil with 4 of the last 5 finishing in a draw. Considering both sides situations we will probably see them share points again but expect Stuttgart's urgency to turn things around to get them on the score sheet before the break. So for this game will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 16.5 with £6 and backed over 2.5 goals with £20 at average odds of 2.4 before the opener from Hannover. The goal enabled us to trade out at 3.85 on the draw with £90 and 1.7 on the goals with £28 for £10 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £10
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| Date: 24/10/09 |
| Time: 15.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: Hannover V Stuttgart - Score: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Both sides will be desperate to secure 3 points here. Hull have only managed to win two matches and Pompey just one. Neither side gives us much confidence but Hull's defence is the more shocking of the two and we can't see them being able to deal with the pace of O'Hara and Boateng. Pompey also welcome back Hreidarsson which will help sure up their defence. The ESS members have Hull on the list to lay today but we will take the safey of laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35 backed the 0-0 at 11 and 4.6 with £25 of cover on the 0-0. We also backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 5.1 getting out at the break at 6.2 with £5 profit on under 2.5. We then backed overs again with £5 at 9.6 for safety. Unfortunately no goals in this one so we traded out at 1.8 with the loss on the draw for a £27 loss overall.
To end the day on a positive, David had two winner for his members and Terry had 3 winner on the lays.
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Profit made on this trade = £27
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| Date: 25/10/09 |
| Time: 13.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Bolton V Everton - Score: 3 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Bolton haven't kept a clean sheet this season and have scored and conceded in their last 5. Everton come into this match on the back of an embarrassing 5-0 whipping from Benfica and have 11 1st team players unavailable for this game. Everton possess an excellent recent record against the Trotters with Bolton only picking up two wins from their last 10 H2H meetings, they have also been pretty resilient in these with Bolton failing to score in the last 3. But with practically a whole side unavailable for this match were pretty confident Bolton will have a good chance of avoiding defeat here. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 11 and backed over 2.5 goals at 2.2 with £7 before the opener form Bolton. After the goal we traded out at 4.3 on the draw with £78 and 1.52 on the goals with £10 for £16 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £16
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| Date: 25/10/09 |
| Time: 13.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Eredivisie |
| Teams: AZ V Ajax - Score: 2 - 4 |
Our Recommendation:
Last years Champions AZ Alkmaar haven't had the best start to the season, but looked like pretty solid against Arsenal in the Champions League on Tuesday so hopefully things are about to improve. AZ's home form is very impressive and has seen them win 17 of their last 20 home matches. They have also managed to win their last 4 H2H games against the leagues top 6 sides. Ajax have lost their last few H2H against similar opponents this season but come into this match with much better form so it could go either way. Probably the most likely outcome is both sides scoring. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 18 and backed over 2.5 goals with £28 at average odds of 2.2 before AZ took the lead. Their opener enabled me to trade out at 4.1 on the draw with £85 and 1.56 with £35 for £20 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £20
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| Date: 25/10/09 |
| Time: 13.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Liverpool V Man Utd - Score: 2 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
It's make or break time for Benitez who can make up for a dire few weeks which has seen them lose 4 in a row with a win over their bitter rivals. An improved performance is certainly required but Benitez should have no problems motivating his players for the visit of United. No Gerrard but Torres and Johnson are back which should boost their chances. Utd obviously are having a much better time of it and have now gone 11 games without a defeat and will be keen to avenge last season's defeats both home and away as well as inflicting more misery on the Anfield outs. The strongest trends for this match point towards both sides scoring so we will support this, Liverpool on the scoresheet before the break will make this a very entertaining game. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3 backed the 0-0 at 11 and 4.8 with £20 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.14 before the break. It was pretty obvious Liverpool were going to score here it just didn't come before the break so we got out with £5 profit on under 2.5 which we closed for safety with £5 at 9.2. The opener couldn't have come at a better time for us to trade out at 4.2 on the draw with £77 which left us £2 up.
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Profit made on this trade = £2
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| Date: 26/10/09 |
| Time: 19.15 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga 2 |
| Teams: Paderborn V Arminia Bielefeld - Score: 0 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Unbeaten at home Paderborn take on a Bielefeld side that has won 6 in a row (5 without conceding), scored in all of their last 10 and currently sit top of the table. Paderborn did an excellent job of holding off 2nd placed Kaiserslautern back in August but Bielefeld look just that little bit better so we don't expect Paderborn to keep a clean sheet here, which is supported by Bielefeld's scoring record against similar ranked sides. If Paderborn shut up shop in front of goal we could be in for quite a boring match but considering the fact they are averaging a goal either scoring or conceding around the 20 min mark we shouldn't need to worry either way. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 13.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.7 with £30 before the goal. The opener came from Bielefeld a little later than expected but still in the 1st half for us to trade out at 4.6 on the draw with £76 and 1.88 on the goals with £42 for £33 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £33
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| Date: 28/10/09 |
| Time: 19.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Carling Cup |
| Teams: Arsenal V Liverpool - Score: 2 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
It is difficult to guess either manager's team selection for this match, and the outcome will obviously be determined by the strength of the sides selected. Arsenal have won their last 10 at home and have won all their home matches this season, and won't want to give up this season 100% record. Liverpool have lost their last 3 on the road and surprisingly failed to score in these matches but they come into this match brimming with confidence after beating Manchester United, while Arsenal will be determined to prove that they have learned from conceding late goals in their last two matches. 9 of the last 10 times these two have met both sides have scored which is exactly what we expect to see here. Picking a winner is a little more difficult so we will sit on the fence but one thing we are sure about is it's going to be a very entertaining match. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.77 backed the 0-0 at 15 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.04 with £18 before the goal. The opener came from Arsenal for us to trade out at 5.9 on the draw with £62 and 1.43 on the goals with £23 for £37 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £37
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| Date: 29/10/09 |
| Time: 20.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Copa Del Rey |
| Teams: Valladolid V Mallorca - Score: 2 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Mallorca are enjoying one of their best starts to a top flight season in recent years and they will fancy their chances of a top 6 finish in the league. Valladolid have had a terrible start to the season but were very determined in their last match and managed to secure a morale-boosting 4-0 win over Deportivo. Realistically the Copa Del Rey, is probably the best route for both sides to secure european football next season so expect both to be focused on the win here. These two met a few weeks ago where Mallorca convincingly won 3-0 (they have also won 8 of the last 10 H2H meetings) but expect this to be a closer contest with both sides scoring. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.3 backed the 0-0 at 14 and unfortuantely didn't manage to get anything on over 2.5 goals before the opener from Valladolid. After the goal we traded out at 4.1 on the draw with £79 for £14 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £14
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| Date: 31/10/09 |
| Time: 12.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Arsenal V Spurs - Score: 3 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Local pride is at stake, and it will surely be a fiercely contested heated affair, with both sides playing attacking football so expect them both on the scoresheet. Arsenal are the leading scorers in the league and offensively look too strong for Spurs. Whilst Arsenal haven't lost in over 15 domestic home matches against Spurs they also haven't been sitting so close in the table so this match should be pretty even but home advantage, Arsenal's superior offensive ability and Spurs missing Defoe should see them avoid defeat here.
For this match we will be laying Tottenham keeping it to a small side trade (£25) initially to see how the start. If Arsenal fall behind and your confident they will score lay Tottenham again so you can trade out after they draw level. If Arsenal take the lead close the trade by backing Arsenal with a few quid for safety. If its goalless 60 min's in close the trade. Over 2.5 goals also looks very likely so if its open as expected we will have our usual side trade on overs, following the usual plan.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed Spurs with £25 initially and were planning to lay them further around HT but regrettably didn't managed to get our bet accepted before the 1st goal. We also backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.46 with £42 before the opener from Van Persie. It was impossible to trade out before the next goal from Fabregas which was seconds later, so were presented with excellent trade out odds of 110 for the back bet and 1.2 on the overs. We got out with just over £1 on the back bet and £70 on the goals bet for £67 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £67
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| Date: 31/10/09 |
| Time: 12.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Fulham V Liverpool - Score: 3 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Liverpool will be looking to bounce back into title contention with a win here. They might of lost with a 2nd string side against Arsenal mid week but they should be able to field a practically full strength side this time out (no Gerrard). Fulham are no pushovers, undefeated in 5 so won't make it easy for the Reds but their record against the big 4 is pretty poor so we do expect Liverpool to grab a positive result especially after what we saw from them in their win over Utd. Both sides scoring looks likely and we will also support a 1st half goal. So for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.6 backed the 0-0 with £7 at 12 and backed over 2.5 goals with £15 at average odds of 2.54 before the opener from Fulham. The goal enabled us to trade out at 3.6 on the draw and 1.66 with £22 on the goals which basically left up £1 up. A few of our members were in a slightly worse position with less cover on the 0-0 or slightly higher lay odds so we advised that we felt Liverpool would grab an equaliser so it made sense to trade out of the draw with double their lay stake, which is the usual plan in this situation if the odds shorten and the other side looks good for scoring. Those who did this would have had a nice profit from this as the odds were under 3 after the goal but as we were in profit it made sense to simply close the trade and move on to the next match.
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Profit made on this trade = £1
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| Date: 31/10/09 |
| Time: 12.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Everton V Aston Villa - Score: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Everton have more injured 1st choice players than any other Premiership side and now haven't won domestically since September. They take on Villa in this match who they haven't kept a clean sheet against in their last 10 meetings and have failed to win any of the last 6. With it being a weakened Toffee's side we do expect Villa to walk away with at least a point but if Saha starts he will likely cause the Villa defense quite a few issues. Both sides scoring looks the most likely outcome. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 12 with £7 and backed overs at average odds of 3.16 with £25 before the opener from Everton. The goal enabled us to trade out at 5.0 on the draw with £69 and 2.44 on the goals with £31 for £28 overall. Lots of members also reported laying Everton either before or after the goal as we mentioned it would be a suitable alternative game to the Peterborough match Terry was laying at the same time. We won't bother reporting the additional profit as it was only given as an alternative to one of Terry's lays.
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Profit made on this trade = £28
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