Trades Completed Summary
(For a detailed summary of each trade see the detailed results table below)
Date |
Teams |
Score |
Profit |
01/11/09 |
Livorno V Inter Milan |
0 - 2 |
£16 |
01/11/09 |
Freiburg V Hoffenheim |
0 - 1 |
£25 |
01/11/09 |
Brann V Rosenborg |
1 - 1 |
£7 |
02/11/09 |
Sheffield Utd V Newcastle |
0 - 1 |
£3 |
03/11/09 |
Atl Madrid V Chelsea |
2 - 2 |
-£36 |
04/11/09 |
West Ham V Aston Villa |
2 - 1 |
£17 |
05/11/09 |
Everton V Benfica |
0 - 2 |
£8 |
06/11/09 |
Bristol Rovers V Southampton |
2 - 3 |
£3 |
07/11/09 |
Hoffenheim V Wolfsburg |
1 - 2 |
£25 |
07/11/09 |
Man City V Burnley |
3 - 3 |
£18 |
07/11/09 |
Alt Madrid V Real Madrid |
2 - 3 |
£22 |
08/11/09 |
Hannover V Hamburg |
2 - 2 |
|
08/11/09 |
West Ham V Everton |
1 - 2 |
|
08/11/09 |
Chelsea V Manchester Utd |
1 - 0 |
|
10/11/09 |
Malaga v Zaragoza |
0 - 0 |
-£27 |
11/11/09 |
Southampton V Charlton |
2 - 1 |
£38 |
12/11/09 |
Almeria V Hercules |
0 - 1 |
-£29 |
14/11/09 |
Slovakia V USA |
1 - 0 |
£21 |
14/11/09 |
Brazil V England |
1 - 0 |
£40 |
14/11/09 |
Spain V Argentina |
2 - 1 |
£37 |
15/11/09 |
Avai v Corinthians |
3 - 1 |
£27 |
15/11/09 |
Barueri v Botafogo RJ |
3 - 0 |
£21 |
18/11/09 |
Slovenia V Russia |
1 - 0 |
£10 |
20/11/09 |
Legia Warsaw v Polonia Warsaw |
1 - 1 |
£7 |
21/11/09 |
Liverpool V Man City |
2 - 2 |
£18 |
21/11/09 |
FC Koln V Hoffenheim |
0 - 4 |
£27 |
21/11/09 |
Burnley V Aston Villa |
1 - 1 |
£9 |
22/11/09 |
Napoli V Lazio |
0 - 0 |
-£25 |
22/11/09 |
Stoke V Portsmouth |
1 - 0 |
-£34 |
22/11/09 |
Mallorca V Almeria |
3 - 1 |
£19 |
23/11/09 |
Preston V Newcastle |
0 - 1 |
£20 |
24/11/09 |
Rangers V Stuttgart |
0 - 2 |
£19 |
24/11/09 |
Fulham V Blackburn |
3 - 0 |
£37 |
25/11/09 |
Metz V Clermont |
2 - 1 |
£20 |
27/11/09 |
Bochum V FC Koln |
0 - 0 |
-£23 |
28/11/09 |
W Bremen v Wolfsburg |
2 - 2 |
£25 |
28/11/09 |
Mgladbach v Schalke |
1 - 0 |
£0 |
28/11/09 |
Aston Villa V Spurs |
1 - 1 |
£13 |
29/11/09 |
Atalanta V Roma |
1 - 2 |
£8 |
29/11/09 |
Arsenal V Chelsea |
0 - 3 |
£28 |
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Trades Completed in Detail
| Date: 01/11/09 |
| Teams: Livorno V Inter Milan - SCORE: 0 - 2 |
Preview:
Livorno's decision to change their manager at this early stage of the season looks to have been a superb decision. Cosmi's 1st two matches in charge has seen Livorno jump up from the bottom of the table with two consecutive 1-0 wins. They will come into this match with some confidence and with nothing to lose, so we won't be surprised if they go for the win, but realistically Cosmi will be happy with a point from this match. Livorno will be missing their Captain and a key player from all parts of the pitch including keeper Francesco Bardi so we don't expect much from them in this game. There is a glimmer of hope for the home side in that Inter need to win their mid-week Champions League encounter against Dynamo as they have only managed to pick up 3 draws so far so we might see Mourinho rest some of his key players but whether he will want to risk the 4 point buffer over Juventus we will have to see. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 11.4 and 4.2 with £20 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.95 before the break. Not really concerned that Livorno could win this but they were defending pretty well. At the break we got out at 6.4 on the goals trade with £5 of profit on under 2.5. The opener came shortly after the break for us to trade out of the draw trade at 5.2 with £62. We waited a while for the odds to drift out again on the goals trade, closing for safety at 9.6 minimising the potential loss on over 2.5. We weren't expecting a 2nd but Inter finished them off with 5 min's to go so overall we finished £16 up.
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Profit made on this trade = £16
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| Date: 01/11/09 |
| Teams: Freiburg V Hoffenheim - SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Preview:
Freiburg may be in sitting in a respectable 12th place, but the Bundesliga newcomers have plenty to worry about. They only have a two point cushion between them and the drop zone. Their main issues look to be defensive and with Hoffenheim changing gears and showing a superb offensive ability in recent weeks Freiburg will need to tighten their defense could easily suffer a big loss here. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.33 backed the 0-0 at 17.5 with £6 and backed overs at average odds of 2.86 with £38 before the opener. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.6 on the draw with £72 and £43 on the goals for £25 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £25
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| Date: 01/11/09 |
| Teams: Brann V Rosenborg - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Preview:
Sorry with Terry sick running a little behind. No time for preview. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 backed the 0-0 at 20 with £6 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.49 with £35 before the opener. There was a trigger happy member of staff at Betfair who sent the game suspended about 6 times before their was actually a goal. The 1st goal came from Brann unfortunately so the odds didn't move much for us to trade out at 3.85 on the draw with £94 and 1.9 on the goals with £45 for £7 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £7
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| Date: 02/11/09 |
| Teams: Sheffield Utd V Newcastle - SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Preview:
Sheffield United have been on somewhat of a downtrend in recent weeks. They have only picked up 2 points from their last 6 games and defensively have looked shocking. Their issues are all to do with what can only be called an injury crisis. Whilst it has improved a little in recent weeks they still have quite a few key players out which will have an impact on their performance in this match. Newcastle have been stuttering themselves of late but come into this match on the back of a convincing win and welcome back their key defensive trio. Their defensive record will likely see them through this match unscathed and end in a positive result but Sheffield won't want to make it 4 consecutive losses. The last time these two met at Bramall Lane it finished 1-2 to Newcastle, a similar result is expected this time out. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 12.5 and 4.0 with £20 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.62 with £25 before the break. Nothing between these two to be honest and was obviously going the be decided by only 1 or 2 goals despite lots of shots on goal. No goal before the break so we traded out at 5.7 with £30 with the loss on overs and a £5 profit on under 2.5 goals. We closed this at av. odds of 8.6 after the break to minimise the potential loss should the match finish over 2.5 goals. The opener came from Newcastle as we expected prematch for us to trade out at 4.3 on the draw with £75 which left us £3 up. Lots of members left more of a profit on the Newcastle win but Sheffield actually looked the better side so we didn't want to take this risk.
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Profit made on this trade = £3
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| Date: 03/11/09 |
| Teams: Atletico Madrid V Chelsea - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Preview:
It's a case of top of the Premier League and Group D versus a relegation threatened Madrid outfit who also have only picked up 1 point from their 3 rounds so far. Chelsea have been very consistent of late and in superb scoring form (17 in the last 4 games) even without Drogba, who returns for this important match. Whilst Atletico were played off the park at Stamford Bridge they won't want to suffer that kind of embarrecment at home and have practically a fully strength side for this fixture, so we definitely don't expect a similar scoreline to last time out. Clearly Chelsea are in superior form and on paper look like a clear winners but if Atletico have any ambitions in this competition they have to win their next two games so they should be highly motivate and really have no other choice but to play for the win. Both sides scoring is what we feel we can rely on here. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.35 backed the 0-0 at 12.5 and 4.4 with £20 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.38 with £25 before the break. Chelsea didn't change out of 2nd gear for the 1st half and there were only 2 decent shots on goal before HT. As there was no goal we traded out as planned for no loss on under with a £5 profit on under 2.5. We closed this after the break at average odds of 8.8 to minimise the potential loss should it finish over 2.5 goals. No goal before the break so we traded out at 5.7 with £30 with the loss on overs and a £5 profit on under 2.5 goals. We closed this at av. odds of 8.6 after the break to minimise the potential loss should the match finish over 2.5 goals. The opener came at the perfect time to trade out but regrettable it came from Atheltico so not the expected odds movement for us to trade out at 4.0 with £84. Chelsea decided to start playing and grabbed the expected equaliser with about 10 min's to go. We decided to put another £5 on overs just incase another one came getting in at 3.2. We should have split the potential loss on overs but with 10 min's left we felt we should be ok. Regrettably 2 more came so we finished £36 down.
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Profit made on this trade = £36
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| Date: 04/11/09 |
| Teams: West Ham V Aston Villa - SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Preview:
The Hammers have had their worst start to the Premiership season we can ever remember. In this match they take on an opponent they haven't beaten in the last 3 seasons so it doesn't look good for West Ham on the surface. Any Villa fans who have seen the Hammers play recently will actually be concerned but recent signs they are about to turn things around. They battling back from 2 goals down against Arsenal to win a point no easy task for any side, and grabbed a point off high flying Sunderland at the Stadium of Light again no easy task (although they still showed defensive weakness). With Villa missing their Captain and a few other key players and the Hammers looking to field a strong side and the added motivation of getting out of the bottom 3 with a win here its a very tough call. Calton Cole on the score sheet before the break with Villa pulling it back in the 2nd half is our guess at what we are going to see. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We were right to be concerned as Villa fans for this one. Cole didn't get the opener but the Hammers did score before the break and as expected Villa pulled it back in the 2nd half. We layed the draw at average odds of 3.3 backed the 0-0 at 11.5 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.44 before the opener from West Ham. After the goal we traded out at 4.0 on the draw with £82 and 2.5 on the goals with £34 for £17 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £17
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| Date: 05/11/09 |
| Teams: Everton V Benfica - SCORE: 0 - 2 |
Preview:
The Toffee's will be out to avenge their 5-0 battering in the reverse fixture. It was pretty obvious they were going to struggle last time out with all their selection issue and key players lining up in positions they haven't played in before. They again have some selection issues but welcome back some players that will likely make this a much more competitive match. Benfica are in good domestic form and at home they are a tough nut to crack but they have been beatable on the road in Europe struggling at intimidating venues. Lets hope the Everton Fans can make Goodison one of these. Everton on the scoresheet before the break looks likely here but we also expect Benfica to register especially if Javier Saviola starts. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 11.5 and 4.1 with £20 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.58 before the break. Benfica should have taken the lead just before the break and to be honest out classed Everton in this one. Everton were shocking defensively so were luck yo escape with just a 2-0 loss. We got out at the break on the goals trade at 5.4 with a £5 profit on under's, backing further after the beak at average odds of 8.8 to minimise the potential loss on overs. The opener came from Benfica at the perfect time for us to trade out at 4.7 on the draw with just under £71. We also layed Everton at 19.0 after this point as didn't see a way back for them (not in the preview so won't report the addition profit). So overall £8.
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Profit made on this trade = £8
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| Date: 06/11/09 |
| Teams: Bristol Rovers V Southampton - SCORE: 2 - 3 |
Preview:
Southampton are the inform side between the two, undefeated in their last 6 with 5 wins. Offensively they have been superb hitting the back of the net at least twice in these games. Defensively they have been far from perfect without a clean sheet in their last 6 relying on out gunning their opponents. Bristol haven't had the best form coming into this game losing 5 of their last 6 with some very poor defensive play. On a positive note in the two most recent H2H's they managed to defeat Southampton, both were close fought games. We are not writing off Bristol here like most, with home advantage and a win over the visitors only a month ago it could go either way. But one thing that looks certain is Southampton scoring and conceding. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 14.5 and 4.3 with £20 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.62 before the break. Not many shots on goal before the break with both sides pretty evenly matched. At HT we traded out of the goals trade with £5 profit on under 2.5 which we closed at average odds of 8.8 after the break. The game really kicked off about the 60 minute mark with 4 goals coming in just over 10 min's. We managed to grab another 10 on overs which left us a £13 liability on over 2.5. During all this action we were able to close the draw trade at 5.4 with £62 which because of the scoreline left us only £3 up. Lots of members reported getting much higher odds getting out after the 2nd or 3rd goal from Southampton for a decent profit.
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Profit made on this trade = £3
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| Date: 07/11/09 |
| Teams: Hoffenheim V Wolfsburg - SCORE: 1 - 2 |
Preview:
Wolfsburg are undefeated in their last 6 picking up 3 draws, and 3 wins. They also have only lost 1 of their last 5 on the road. What has been noticeable though is their match fitness following a mid-week Champions League encounter. Basically in their previous two games following a mid-week CL match they have only managed to grab a point and these games were against sides in the bottom 3rd of the table and certainly not playing as well as the Hoff. With Hoffenheim still unbeaten at home this will be a true test for the Wolves and will likely see them leave with nothing. Our only real concern is how Hoffenheim will play without Ibertsberger which is the reason we aren't backing them in this match. Goals look very likely from both sides so ideally we will see the deadlock broken before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.7 backed the 0-0 at 19 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 1.88 with £18 before the opener. Hoff's goal enabled us to trade out at 5.0 on the draw with £72 and 1.43 on the goals trade with £23 for £25 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £25
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| Date: 07/11/09 |
| Teams: Man City V Burnley - SCORE: 3 - 3 |
Preview:
City come into this one on the back of 4 straight draws and are without a win since September. They welcome back Adebayor, Toure and maybe Robinho for this one so they have no excuses with practically a full strength squad to choose from. They have managed to win 12 of their last 14 at home and take on a Burnley side who have struggles on the road. We really can't see past a home win here so for this match we will be laying Burnley with £25 and trading out with a few quid after City take the lead. If its goalless at 60 min's in we will close the trade for a small profit. If Burnley are competitive early on and we are concerned they might score we will also grab £5 of cover on 0-1 which covers us if they grab a early lead and then put up a 10 man defense to hold the lead. We will also have a side trade on over 2.5 goals, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed Burnley at 10.5 with £25 backed over 2.5 goals at 1.98 with £15 before Burnley and had £5 of cover on 0-1 at 38. After Burnley converted their penalty we traded out of the goals trade at 1.38 with £15. Burnley went two up just after the half hour mark which motivated City to actually start playing. We then layed Burnley again at 1.62 with £75 for average odds of 3.84 as we expected them to pull it back trading out at 12 after they pulled level after the break with £30. As we didn't mention laying Burnley further if they took the lead we will adjust our profit to a leave if we had followed the preview. So £18 overall here.
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Profit made on this trade = £18
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| Date: 07/11/09 |
| Teams: Alt Madrid V Real Madrid - SCORE: 2 - 3 |
Preview:
Practically all football fans are aware of Atletico's woeful start to the season but there will be no better time to turn their season around in the El Derbi Madrileno. Historically its been 10 years since Atletico have secured bragging rights over Real but having seen them mid-week against Chelsea we don't feel Real will have a walk in the park as most are expecting. Real have also had a bit of a slump by their standards in recent weeks but seem to have shaken this off in their last few matches. With positive signs from both sides and this being a important Derby match, its a very tough call. Without seeing how they start we will support both sides on the scoresheet and a share of the spoils. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 backed the 0-0 at 21 and unfortunately didn't manage to get anythin on overs when the Real scored. After the goal we traded out at 5.1 on the draw with £70 for £22 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £22
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| Date: 08/11/09 |
| Teams: Hannover V Hamburg - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Preview:
Hannover have been on a fine run of form in recent week and continue to be a tough challenge on home soil avoiding defeat in 16 of the last 18. They take on a Hamburg side who have been stuttering of late mainly due to a host of injuries to key players, drawing 2 of their last 3 and dropping 3 points last week against Gladbach. Hannover also have a strong record over Hamburg avoiding defeat in 11 of the last 13. Hamburg will have tired legs after their midweek encounter against Celtic so we can't find much to support Hamburg winning here so we feel Hannover have a good chance of avoiding defeat. One thing that does stand out is the probability of a 1st half goal so hopefully this should be a pretty standard trade. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 15 with £6 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.26 with £10 before Hamburg opened the scoring. The goal enabled us to trade out at 5 on the draw and 1.56 on the goals with £15 for £26 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £26
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| Date: 08/11/09 |
| Teams: West Ham V Everton - SCORE: 1 - 2 |
Preview:
Despite their recent upturn in form, The Hammers can't afford to sit back as they need to grab more breathing space from the bottom of the table. They have been in decent scoring form hitting the back of the net twice in 4 of their last 5 but have also shown their weakness at the back conceding in all of these matches so we shouldn't have any issues trading this match if this form continues. Everton have been in all sorts of trouble of late, having not won a match in all competitions since beating FC BATE 2-1 in the Europa League on the 1st of October and continue to have a host of player out injured. On a positive note they welcome new recruits John Heitinga and Lucas Neill for this match so should add a little more strength to the side. Both sides scoring looks the most likely outcome here. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 11 with £8 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.76 with £19 before Saha took the lead for Everton. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.1 on the draw with £83 and 1.88 on the goals with £28 for £16 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £16
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| Date: 08/11/09 |
| Teams: Chelsea V Manchester Utd - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Preview:
Of the two its Chelsea who look the more dangerous. Chelsea are undefeated at home, and have picked the ball out of their own net just once this season, but if any side can add to this total it will be Utd. Statistically United have struggled away to their Big Four rivals in recent years only picking up 2 wins in their last 12 but they should be able to score. This is another match we expect both sides to score so will be following the same plan as above.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 11 and 4.0 with £20 overall and backed overs at average odds of 3.68 before the break getting out at 6.0 at the break with £5 profit on under 2.5. After HT we closed the goals trade again at average odds of 11.8 for safety. Regrettable the odds got to our trade out point on the draw so we traded out with the loss on the draw getting out at 1.83. Out of caution we did lay Chelsea again in the last 10 min's at 1.16 with £95 as it got quite heated so overall a loss of £35
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Profit made on this trade = -£35
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| Date: 10/11/09 |
| Teams: Malaga v Zaragoza - SCORE: 0 - 0 |
Preview:
Both sides are struggling to make headway in La Liga so will be relieved to have a chance of progressing to the next round of the Copa Del Rey and still have a chance at grabbing a European place which is unlikely to happen in league. Malaga were very lucky to have salvaged a first leg draw away from home, when they converted a penalty 15 minutes from time to ensure they carry the advantage of an away goal into this match. Neither side looks strong enough to win this match although we have a strong feeling Malaga will be moving through to the next round. The most likely thing we will see here is both sides scoring and conceding which has happened in all of the last 6 for Zaragoza and 5 of the last 6 for Malaga. Whilst there aren't very strong 1st half goal trends Malaga have gone on record that they really want to win this so we will also support them on the scoresheet before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 12.5 and 4.3 with £25 overall and backed overs at average odds of 3.58 before the break getting out at average odds of 5.8 at the break with £5 profit on under 2.5. After HT we closed the goals trade again at average odds of 12 for safety although this wasn't really needed as it definately didn't look good for 3 after the break. Regrettable the odds got to our trade out point on the draw so we traded out with the loss on the draw getting out at 1.79. Because the deadlock wasn't broken we finished £27 down.
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Profit made on this trade = -£27
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| Date: 11/11/09 |
| Teams: Southampton V Charlton - SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Preview:
Saint's are on a certain up trend at the moment (winning 6 of their last 7) and definitely aren't playing like a side that is sitting in 22 place (without their administration issues they would be sitting around 8th place). Charlton might be sitting in 2nd place in League One but they have only managed two wins in their last 7 and come into this match on the back of a very embarrassing FA Cup loss to Northwich which was live on TV. With Saints boss Pardew knowing the Charlton players very well (his previous club) and the various restrictions in place for teams playing in this competition we will support Saints avoiding defeat here and potentially moving through to the next stage. Southampton's strength comes from their offensive ability especially at home so expect them to score. They also seriously struggle to keep a clean sheet although they have improved recently they are far from solid at the back so Charlton on the score sheet also looks very likely. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.6 backed the 0-0 at 13 with £7 and backed overs at average odds of 2.57 with £20 before the opener from Southampton. After the goal we traded out at 5.3 with £63 on the draw trade and 1.75 on the goals with £27 for £38 overall. This was one of those games we didn't really want to trade out of as you were confident it wouldn't be a draw.
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Profit made on this trade = £38
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| Date: 12/11/09 |
| Teams: Almeria V Hercules - SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Preview:
Hercules pulled off one of the surprises results in the first leg with a 2-1 home victory over Almeria. They might of won the 1st leg but a few of their key players are carrying injuries so they are unlikely to risk playing them and fielded a weakened side as they currently sit 3rd in the Segunda Division and are looking good for promotion. This should play into Almeria's favor. Hugo Sanchez's Almeria will feel confident of turning the fixture around after a 2-0 win over Osasuna at the weekend and with the Copa Del Rey being their only real chance at grabbing a spot in Europe they should be motivate to win. We are not expecting an early goal or a big scoreline but it should be broken before the break ideally by Almeria. As the odds are likely to move against you if Hercules score 1st it makes sense to stagger your lay stake inplay but obviously if Almeria are dominant you might want to take the risk. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.47 backed the 0-0 at 14 and 5.2 with £20 and backed overs at average odds of 3.34 with £25 before the break. Surprisingly despite Almeria looking good for scoring later in the half, hitting post twice they didn't manage to take the lead. At HT we traded out of overs at 4.4 with £30 which left a £5 profit on unders. It got worse for Almeria a missed penalty came before we closed the goals trade at 8.0 minimising the potential loss on overs. Another game where the opener came after we traded out at 1.82 with the loss on the draw. Hercules goal did come against the run of play but after taking the lead Almeria resigned to the fact they were out of the competition and Hercules looked like holding out. We did get a little concerned with about 5 min's to go so did lay Hercules at 1.27 with £75 but then got back out of this at 1.15. So overall a loss of £29.
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Profit made on this trade = -£29
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| Date: 14/11/09 |
| Teams: Slovakia V USA - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Preview:
A full strength USA side would have a good chance here but one that is hampered with injuries and has selection issues due the MLS playoff race with key players not being released, Bob Bradley will be struggling to field a competent side. Bradley will likely use this match to test out some fringe players so we could see an interesting scoreline. Slovakia's attacking style will trouble this makeshift US side and will likely see them on the scoresheet more than once. Slovakia only seem to have one weak point and regrettably its the man between the posts. We do expect him to make a few mistakes so USA on the scoresheet also looks likely. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 11 with £7 and backed overs at average odds of 2.62 with £16 before the opener Slovakia. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.4 on the draw £77 and 1.89 with £22 on overs for £21 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £21
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| Date: 14/11/09 |
| Teams: Brazil V England - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Preview:
England are missing 7 or 8 of their usual starting 11 for this game which isn't ideal for us fans. England's performance in the qualifiers was superb with just 1 hiccup against Ukraine but their performances in the most recent friendlies have been a little inconsistent. Against the better sides in the world they have come up short with their last 4 defeats coming against Spain (twice), Germany and France, so with so many key players missing we don't have high expectations against the No1 ranked side in the world. Brazil will be fielding practically a full strength side and always play to win (won 10 of their last 11 friendlies) with neither of the side likely to see this as 'just a friendly' it should be highly entertaining with at least a few goals. Fingers crossed for an England win but realistically the best we can hope for is a draw. For this match we will be laying England with £50 and trading out after Brazil take the lead or draw level. If its goalless 60 min's in we will close the trade for a profit. We will also have a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, follow the usual plan if its goalless at the break. Its worth seeing how it starts before jumping in on the lay bet.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed England at 3.95 backed overs at average odds of 2.62 before the break getting out at HT as it was still goalless at average odds of 5.5 with £5 profit on unders. The opener came just after the break from Brazil as expected for us to trade out at 23 with £8. We waited for the odds to drift out again on overs closing the trade again at 8.8 with £5 minimising the potential loss on over 2.5 which left us £40 up overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £40
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| Date: 14/11/09 |
| Teams: Spain V Argentina - SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Preview:
Spain have been in superb form of late. They were superb in the WCQ qualifiers and ended their campaign with a superb 5-2 win in Bosnia which is no easy task. Spain take their friendlies seriously having won 12 of their last 13 and haven't lost on home soil in over 3 years. They will be missing a few key players including Torres but we have confidence that they squad they have selected is very strong and should see them emerge winners here. Argentina lost 3 of their last 4 before their lucky win over Uruguay recently which they didn't deserve and don't look in the same league as Spain currently. Maradona never seems to get the best out of Messi or his side and defensively hasn't been able to set the side up properly which must be frustrating for their fans as the players in the squad are superb. We can't see Argentina keeping a clean sheet here but we all know Messi can perform miracles so we can't right them off scoring either. The best option is to lay the draw and trade out after a goal from either side. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 backed the 0-0 with £7 and backed overs with just £8 before Spain took the lead. Their opener enabled us to trade out at 6.0 on the draw with £57 and 1.62 on the goals trade with £11 for £37 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £37
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| Date: 15/11/09 |
| Teams: Avai v Corinthians - SCORE: 3 - 1 |
Preview:
These two are sitting 7th and 8th with only a point between them so expect it to be pretty close. Of the two Avai look in slightly better shape. They haven't failed to score in the last 10, hitting the back of the net at least twice in the majority. Corinthians haven't travelled well this season, rarely keeping a clean sheet and only picking up 3 win's from their 17 games played so on paper Avai look good for the win. When they met back in August if finished goalless we don't expect the same result this time out with Avai's home scoring record and Corinthians poor defensive record on the road. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 14.5 and backed over 2.5 goals with just £6 before William converted the penalty to put Avai ahead. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.8 on the draw with £70. The following goal came about 2 min's later so not everyone managed to get out. We advised to wait for another goal as it was only 15 mins in but if concerned to take some cover by laying over 2.5 at around 1.1. Because we managed to get out before the 2nd goal we closed our over 2.5 goals trade at 1.1 with £6 which left us £27 up overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £27
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| Date: 15/11/09 |
| Teams: Barueri v Botafogo RJ - SCORE: 3 - 0 |
Preview:
Neither of these two have been very easy to work out this season but Botafogo have been motivated recently to put some distance between them and the bottom of the table which has seen them win their last 3 league games without conceding. Barueri are safe with 4 games to go so we are not too sure about their motivation but they are one of the leagues best home sides ( only lost 2 of 17 games played) so we would expect them to avoid defeat. A win for Botafogo would just about secure top tear football next season so their motivation might see them make it 4 wins in a row. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 14 with £6 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.44 with £19 before the opener. Val Baiano put the home side ahead 30 min's in for us to trade out of the draw trade at 4.3 with £77 and 1.77 on the goals trade with £26 which left us £21 up.
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Profit made on this trade = £21
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| Date: 18/11/09 |
| Teams: Slovenia V Russia - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Preview:
Russia were clearly the better side in the 1st leg dominating until the last 5 min's when they conceded giving Slovenia a precious away goal and a fighting chance of progressing to the WC Finals by winning this 2nd leg on home soil. Russia will progress if they can avoid defeat, but they can't afford to sit back with only a 1 goal buffer and so much on the cards. If they score 1st it will leave Slovenia needing 3 which looks beyond them and will likely see Russia add to this total. Slovenia's Coach Matjaz Kek will be walking a tightrope between trying to attack and ensuring that his side doesn't concede a dreaded away goal in this tie. Something simply has to give in this crucial match, and considering both sides H2H history (both sides scored in their last 5 meetings) and their recent records against similar opponents we will support Russia breaking the deadlock before the break and again both sides scoring. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half (it will drift quite a bit during the 1st half because of the starting odds so slowly stagger your stake on) following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 8.8 with £8 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.82 with £25 before the opener. Slovenia opened the scoring a few minutes before the break for us to trade out at 3.65 on the draw trade with £91 and 2.46 on the goals with £36. Unfortunately only £10 profit as we weighted the goals and the draw profit to the wrong result.
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Profit made on this trade = £10
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| Date: 20/11/09 |
| Teams: Legia Warsaw v Polonia Warsaw - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Preview:
There is a clear difference in form between these two this season. Legia are undefeated at home with 6W-1D scoring 16 goals in these games and conceding just twice. Polonia are winless in 6 on their travels and have been shocking so in all areas, especially offensively. Legia in fact have only lost 2 of their last 25 on home soil so an out of sought's Polonia who are sitting 1 place off the bottom don't have much of a chance on paper. H2H is very one sided if you go back as far as the mid 90's Polonia have only won 4% of their meetings and nothing since the Millennium. There are a few injury concerns for both sides but they seem to cancel each other out so all things considered this looks like another win for Legia or worst case scenario at draw. For this match we will be laying Polonia with £20 and trading out when Legia take the lead or draw level. We will also have a small side trade on overs in the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break. If Polonia do manage to score, Legia have only failed to score in 5% of games against similar ranked opponents over the last 3 seasons, so expect an equaliser, if they go behind consider laying Polonia further if Legia look like equalising (we would probably only do this if they went two up, not likely but could happen). If its goalless 60 min's in we will close the trade for a profit.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed Polonia at 10.5 with £20 and backed overs at average odds of 3.4.12 with £25 before the break. Polonia were better than expected but Legia looked the more dangerous and held the majority of the posession but regrettably no goals and not many chances before HT so we traded out at average odds of 6.6 with £5 profit on unders. The opener came after the break as expected from Legia for us to trade out at 80 with just over £2 for safety. We didn't managed to close the over trade again completely before the goal staggering another £15 on through the rest of the half for safety and average odds of 4.02 on overs which left us a profit of £7.
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Profit made on this trade = £7
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| Date: 21/11/09 |
| Teams: Liverpool V Man City - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Preview:
Liverpool's have only won 1 of their last 9 games and have already registered 5 losses this season, definitely not what any of us were expected from them this season. On a positive note their home record against non big 4 sides has seen them only lose once in their last 35 games so despite poor form they have remained resilient on home soil. Man City despite all their investment have only managed to pick up 5 and a win from their last 6 but have also been very resilient only losing once this season. Taking into consideration the H2H history between these two it looks like it will be pretty close. Liverpool have managed to win the majority but have never been in this kind of form when they have met but its usually been decided by 1 goal. We feel they will end up sharing the spoils for this one but pretty confident the deadlock will be broken. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.65 backed the 0-0 at 13.5 and 5.2 with £16 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.58 before the break getting out at average odds of 4.9 with £5 profit on under. Not many chances from either side with both looking a little nervous but obviously was going to open up after the break. Liverpool took the lead shortly after the break for us to trade out of the draw trade at 6.0 with £63. We backed overs again at 4.2 for safety with £10 after the goal and again with another £10 at 1.9 when City drew level which left us a £13 loss on the goals trade if the match finish over 2.5. So overall £18.
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Profit made on this trade = £18
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| Date: 21/11/09 |
| Teams: FC Koln V Hoffenheim - SCORE: 0 - 4 |
Preview:
We are still surprised that Koln's summer signings are yet to start scoring as the last thing we were expecting from them was to be goal shy. Podolski was superb for Germany midweek scoring some quality goals so he should be full of confidence he can build on his embarrassing domestic goals total in this match. Hoffenheim aren't quite as good as they were last season at times and we are not sure how Ibisevic and Salihovic will respond to Bosnia's World Cup exit. We expect this match to be pretty close but Hoff's record against bottom half sides has seen them avoid defeat in their last 10 so expect this to continue in this match. We do expect them to concede though as defensively without Ibertsberger they always struggle. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65, backed the 0-0 at 14.5 and regrettably didn't manage to get anything on over 2.5 goals before the opener. The Hoff were obviosuly on a mission here playing Koln off the park. We traded out after the 1st goals as usual at 5.4 on the draw with £65 for £27 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £27
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| Date: 21/11/09 |
| Teams: Burnley V Aston Villa - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Preview:
Burnley have managed to win 5 of their opening 6 home games this season so it isn't likely to all go Villa's way. Villa have looked very strong offensively in recent weeks and put 5 past Bolton in their last outing. Against a Burnley side that is very weak defensively it will very likely play into Villa's hands. Saying this we expect a competitive game with both sides scoring but with Villa at practically full strength they look to have the edge. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed overs with £6 before the opener and backed the 0-0 at 13.5 before the opener. Burnley took an early lead for us to trade out at 3.9 with £87 and 1.41 on the goals with £9 for £9 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £9
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| Date: 22/11/09 |
| Teams: Napoli V Lazio - SCORE: 0 - 0 |
Preview:
We have been very impressed with Napoli in recent weeks. They come into this match on the back of a 5 game unbeaten run which highlights the impact of new manager Walter Mazzarri. Lazio are now winless in 10 games which highlights the issues they are having. We are sure they have been working hard on some of their weak points during the international break and will take confidence in their strong record against Napoli. We want to back Napoli here but irrespective of form Lazio in recent years have always performed well at San Paolo, so we will lay the draw instead which looks a little safer. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as Napoli on the scoresheet before the break looks likely, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 13, 4.6 and 2.24 with £26 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.52 getting out at the break at average odds of 5.6 with £5 profit on unders which we closed at 10.5 for safety. No real signs in this match that we were going to see more than 1 goal, if we were lucky. No goal before our usual trade out point so we traded out at 1.81 with the loss on the draw we also traded the draw market again to minimise the potential loss after this point but its not in the preview so not reportable. So overall a loss of £25.
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Profit made on this trade = -£25
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| Date: 22/11/09 |
| Teams: Stoke V Portsmouth - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Preview:
Of the two we have much more faith in what Stoke can achieve in this match than Pompey. Portsmouth have shown the odd glimpse of form this season but on the road they have been terrible winning just 1 of their last 19 . Stoke have been very resilient against sides outside the big 4 (undefeated in over 10 games) so should add to Pompeys misery here. They also have a strong 1st half scoring record on home soil against simular opponents. Our only concern about Stoke is their ability to hold a lead or put a game back which if we lay the draw won't be a concern. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as Stoke on the scoresheet before the break looks likely, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 10 and 3.7 with £24 and backed overs at average odds of 4.42 before the break, getting out at HT with a £5 profit on under 2.5 at 7 which we closed at 12.5 after the break. Stoke were poor before the break and both sides looked nervous the weather didn't help either. Another match where we ended up trading out at our usual point getting out at 1.81 again. Stoke took the lead after this point and did a good job at holding on. We didn't get a little nervous near the end so layed Stoke at 1.13 with £75 for safety so overall a £34 loss.
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Profit made on this trade = -£34
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| Date: 22/11/09 |
| Teams: Mallorca V Almeria - SCORE: 3 - 1 |
Preview:
Mallorca have won all of their home games this season conceding just once. They have also only lost 1 of their last 15 on home soil, so will be a tough opponent for visitors. Almeria are a very leaky side especially on their travels (only 1 clean sheet in over 30 games) so we don't feel they will be grabbing much from this game with Mallorca scoring freely and maintaining a strong defence. If Almeria do manage to take the lead Mallorca should pull one back. We are not completely convinced Almeria have no chance of winning here so will lay the draw rather than lay Almeria as originally discussed with some members. So for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. Feel free to stagger your stake for lover average odds. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as Mallorca on the scoresheet before the break looks likely, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.78 backed the 0-0 at 14 and backed overs at 3.66 before the break. No much question here that the deadlock would be broken but it didn't happen until the 2nd half so we had traded out at 5.6 on the overs trade with £5 profit on unders. The opening goal from Mallorca enabled us to trade out at 6.0 on the draw with £60. After the opener Mallorca looked like scoring again so we backed overs again at 4.8 with £10. It was Almeria who scored next which made us pretty confident Mallorca would score again so we backed overs again at 3.0 with another £10. So overall we finished £19 up.
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Profit made on this trade = £19
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| Date: 23/11/09 |
| Teams: Preston V Newcastle - SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Preview:
Preston have hardly been at their best in recent weeks and are now winless in 7. But one thing they have been good at is challenging the leagues better sides when at home, only losing 1 of their last 10 meetings against such side. Newcastle might be sitting at the top of the table but they also haven't been very impressive lately despite winning their last few games. On their travels they have lost 4 of their last 6. Its definitely an interesting match up which isn't likely to go all Newcastle's way but the return of a few key players including Gutierrez should tip this match in their favour and see them avoid defeat. So for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as Newcastle on the scoresheet before the break looks likely, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 12 and 5.0 with £20 and backed overs at 3.69 before the break. The 1st half was competitive with both teams obviously motivated, unfortunately no goals before the break so we traded out at average odds of 5.7 with £5 profit on under 2.5. After the break we closed the goals trade at 10.5 for safety. Preston were on the backfoot after the break but the opener didn't come until we had traded out at 1.82 on the draw trade with the loss on the draw. So overall a £20 loss.
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Profit made on this trade = -£20
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| Date: 24/11/09 |
| Teams: Rangers V Stuttgart - SCORE: 0 - 2 |
Preview:
Winning is everything for both sides so it should be a heated affair. Of the two its Rangers who are showing form (undefeated in 5) and look more likely winners here. There is an obviously difference in the standard of teams these are use to playing against, but Rangers matched Stuttgart in the reverse fixture with a 1-1 draw so with home advantage should deliver a decent result. Rangers are leaking goals at the moment (scored and conceded in 5 of the last 6) which makes a little nervous and is the reason we are not laying Stuttgart but Stuttgart offensively have been firing blanks this season (only scored twice in their last 5) so Gers should just edge this. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half as the urgency to win should see both sides looking for an early lead, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 11 and backed overs at average odds 2.56 with £10 before the opener from Stuttgart. The goal enabled us to trade out at 1.63 on the goals with £15 and 4.4 with £78 for £19 overall
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Profit made on this trade = £19
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| Date: 25/11/09 |
| Teams: Fulham V Blackburn - SCORE: 3 - 0 |
Preview:
Blackburn did the double over Fulham last season and they come into this match after an inspired win over Bolton which would have pleased Big Sam from his hospital bed side. Whether they can do it again we aren't so confident as their away record has been shocking up to their win over Bolton and Fulham have had great resilience against sides showing similar form. Fulham also welcome back a host of players for this encounter including Danny Murphy and Andy Johnson which can only have a postitive impact on their performance. Whilst it would be great for Blackburn to grab 3 points to keep Big Sam's spirts up we feel a full strength Fulham will at least avoid defeat. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half , following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 11 with £7 and backed overs at average odds 3.88 with £25 before the opener from Fulham. The goal enabled us to trade out at 2.48 on the goals trade with £39 and 4.6 with £68 on the draw trade for £37 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £37
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| Date: 26/11/09 |
| Teams: Metz V Clermont - SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Preview:
Metz have won 4 of their last 6 at home and are undefeated in over 10 games. Having watched them home and away this season we can honestly say they look like two completely different sides. If they were on the road in this match we would leave this match alone. Their opponents here are very leaky on the road, without a cleansheet in over 10 games but will feel confident they can get a result here as they won the last H2H back in April. Metz have been solid at the back at home with 7 cleansheets from their last 10 but Clermont's will more than likely register here as they haven't failed to do so against Metz this Millenium. 9 of Metz last 10 have finished under 2.5 goals which explains the low 0-0 and under 2.5 goals odds but we feel this match will go the other way. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half (stagger your stake slowly fro high average odds as the odds will be around 7 at HT), following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £10 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We were right about the scoreline! We layed the draw at average odds of 3.6 backed the 0-0 at 9 and 3.5 with £22 and backed overs at average odds 4.16 before the break. As planned we traded out at 6.8 with the loss on over and a £5 profit on unders which we closed at average odds of 11.5 by backing overs after the break for safety. Metz scored at the perfect time for us to trade out at 6.8 with £50. Clermont grabbed the goal we expected from them a few mins later so we were forced to back overs again at 2.58 with another £5 splitting the loss. A little frustrating that the deadlock wasn't broken before the break but it all ended well with decent drift of the odds after the 1st so overall £20.
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Profit made on this trade = £20
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| Date: 27/11/09 |
| Teams: Bochum V FC Koln - SCORE: 0 - 0 |
Preview:
Bochum come into this match after a surprise win over title challengers Hamburg so will be full of confidence that they can build on this against fellow relegation strugglers FC Koln. They have been starting well in their matches this season, losing it in the later stages but an early goal from them might be on the cards. Their opponents here have nothing up front but have managed to avoid defeat in 5 of their last 6 on the road due to a solid defense. They have been playing with more confidence on their travels compaired to some very poor home performances so this should be a competitive match. Koln have only managed to score 7 goals so far this season but historically when these two meet it tends to break the +2.5 goals scoreline and in general Koln have come out on top in the majority. Bochum are favorites here but we won't be surprised if it goes the other way. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
Sometimes you just feel why the hell did I select this match and this was one of those. We layed the draw at average odds of 3.35 backed the 0-0 at 12 and 4.2 with £23 and backed overs at average odds of 3.77 before the break. At HT we traded out of the goals trade as planned at average odds of 7 with £5 profit on under 2.5. No real reason to back overs again after the break as 3 defiantely didn't look likely. We did minimise our liability at 19 with £5 but as mentioned didn't look likely. We then got to our usual trade out point closing the draw trade with the loss on the draw at 1.82 with £100. So overall all a loss of £23. We did manage to minimise this to £4 by trading the the draw market further but as its not in the preview we will report the basic loss.
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Profit made on this trade = -£23
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| Date: 28/11/09 |
| Teams: W Bremen V Wolfsburg - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Preview:
Bremen's are looking superb at the moment and come into this match after a 6-0 demolition of Freiburg. Their record against sides outside the top 3 is pretty impressive so we will be suprised if this goes the other way. They have managed to win 80% of these matches over the last 2 seasons, with the majority seeing the deadlock broken before the break. Wolfsburg were very poor defensively against CSKA midweek and were stopped by Nurnberg last weekend. There is little question that both sides look good for scoring and we all expect a slugfest but Bremen's solid defense is likely to be the deciding factor here. For this match we will be laying Wolfsburg with £50 and trading out with a few pounds once they go behind or draw level. If they score 1st we can't see them not conceding but will wait for them to go 2 up before considering laying them again at short odds, potentially trading out when Bremen pull one back. If its goalless at 60 min's we will close the trade for a small profit backing Wolfsburg. We will also have a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed Wolfsburg at average odds of 5.2 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.36 with £22 before the opener. In typical Wolfsburg fashion they took the lead before the break for us to trade out of the goals trade at 1.61 with £30. Bremen pulled it back as expected for us to trade out at 7.4 with £35 for £25 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £25
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| Date: 28/11/09 |
| Teams: M Gladbach V Schalke - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Preview:
Schalke have the best away record in the Bundesliga with 4 wins and 2 draws so will be a tough challenge for Gladbach. They might not be the most exciting side to watch but Felix Magath has managed to turn an under perfoming side into a potential title challenger without a mass influx of new players. The season does seemed to have turned around for Gladbach in recent weeks after going nearly two months without a point. They are now 4 games undefeated picking up impressive wins over Hamburg and Mainz so we don't feel that confident Schalke will win here. The most likely thing we will see here is a scoreline that finishes over 2.5 goals and we also like the probability of Gladbach conceding before the break. So for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half , following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed the 0-0 with £7 and regrettably didn't have anything on over 2.5 goals before goal from Gladbach. Not much of an odds movement after the goal for us to trade out at 3.8 with £92 which gave us just under £1 profit.
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Profit made on this trade = £0
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| Date: 28/11/09 |
| Teams: Aston Villa V Spurs - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Preview:
Its 4th V's 5th so it will surely be a heated affair as they chase that desirable Champions League spot. Both sides have witnessed impressive wins of late but Spurs 9-1 battering of Wigan is something we won't forget. If Villa are dealt that same level of relentless attack we can't see them holding out for long with Collins and Davies sidelined. Villa's record against sides on an up trend in the top half of the table (ignoring top 4 sides) isn't that impressive. Whilst they haven't lost any of the last 10 they have only managed to win once. Villa will probably play this one cautiously to start with and will be happy sharing a point which as a Villa fan would be a good result against this reinvigorated Spurs side although we have our fingers crossed for a win. Both side scoring looks the most reliable outcome here so we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half , following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 backed the 0-0 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals with £5 before the opener from Villa at 2.0. Villa's goal enabled us to trade out at 4.3 with £80 and 1.38 with £7 for £13 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £13
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| Date: 29/11/09 |
| Teams: Atalanta V Roma - SCORE: 1 -2 |
Preview:
Atalanta have been shocking so far this season and currently sit just outside the relegation places on goal difference. Antonio Conte was given the task of guiding them towards survival, after Angelo Gregucci was sacked, but the former Juventus midfielder doesn't look up to the task. His side come into this match after crashing out of the Coppa Italia with a 1-0 loss to the very average Lumezzane. Roma definately look the better side coming in to this match. After a disappointing start to the season they look reinvigorated and undefeated in 4. Totti returned last week to put 3 past Bari so Atalanta will need to be on their toes here or we will see their misery continue. Roma scoring looks very likely, they have managed to score in all but 1 of their last 20 and 10 of their last 11 against Atalanta. Defensively Roma are still lacking so we also expect the home side on the score sheet. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with at least the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw, if a goal come after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned in play.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 14 with £6 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.02 with £5 before the goal. Atalanta's goal enabled us to trade out at 3.9 on the draw with £87 and 1.53 on the goals with £6 for £8 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £8
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| Date: 28/11/09 |
| Teams: Arsenal V Chelsea - SCORE: 0 - 3 |
Preview:
The Gunners go into this match with a 100% home record but find themselves 8 points behind with a game in hand so simply need to win this so avoid losing more ground on the top 3. Arsenal's record against Chelsea isn't very impressive with only 2 wins from their last 14 encounters so we aren't expecting the Gunners to take more than a draw from this match but if anyone can turn over Chelsea it will be Arsenal. One thing that has been noticeable when these two meet is Arsenal taking the lead and generally before the break. Arsenal have also scored first in 8 of their last 9 home matches. The match looks ideal for laying the draw and trading out after a goal so we will be following the same plan as above.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.3 backed the 0-0 at 11 with £6 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.61 with £25 before the opener from Chelsea. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.1 on the draw with £79 and 2.38 on the goals with £36 for £28 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £28
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