November 2008
trading advice given
Profit for Month = £841
Trades Completed Summary
(For a detailed summary of each trade see the detailed
results table below)
Date |
Teams |
Score |
Profit |
|
|
|
£2 |
01/11/08 |
Portsmouth V Wigan |
1 - 2 |
£14 |
02/11/08 |
|
2 - 2 |
£38 |
02/11/08 |
|
3 - 2 |
£17 |
02/11/08 |
|
2 - 0 |
£35 |
03/11/08 |
|
2 - 0 |
£18 |
04/11/08 |
Roma V Chelsea |
3 - 1 |
-£6 |
04/11/08 |
Barcelona V FC Basel |
1 - 1 |
£13 |
05/11/08 |
|
1 - 1 |
£23 |
06/11/08 |
Slavia Prague V Aston Villa |
0 - 1 |
£32 |
07/11/08 |
FC Koln V Hannover 96 |
2 - 1 |
£25 |
08/11/08 |
Bielefeld V Mgladbach |
0 - 2 |
£10 |
08/11/08 |
Hull V Bolton |
0 - 1 |
£15 |
08/11/08 |
West Ham V Everton |
1 - 3 |
-£28 |
08/11/08 |
Southampton V Bristol City |
0 - 1 |
£29 |
09/11/08 |
Napoli V Sampdoria |
2 - 0 |
£47 |
09/11/08 |
Fulham V Newcastle |
2 - 1 |
£22 |
11/11/08 |
Arsenal V Wigan |
3 - 0 |
£38 |
12/11/08 |
Tottenham V Liverpool |
4 - 2 |
£25 |
13/11/08 |
Juventus V Genoa |
4 - 1 |
£3 |
14/11/08 |
Hannover V Bochum |
1 - 1 |
£8 |
15/11/08 |
Hoffenheim V Wolfsburg |
3 - 2 |
£6 |
15/11/08 |
Fulham V Tottenham |
2 - 1 |
£20 |
15/11/08 |
Lille V St Etienne |
3 - 0 |
£56 |
16/11/08 |
Atalanta V Napoli |
3 - 1 |
£34 |
16/11/08 |
Hull V Man City |
2 - 2 |
£12 |
17/11/08 |
Northampton V Leeds |
2 - 5 |
£22 |
19/11/08 |
Germany V England |
1 - 2 |
£16 |
19/11/08 |
Netherlands V Sweden |
3 - 1 |
£39 |
20/11/08 |
Crawley V Ebbsfleet |
1 - 2 |
£32 |
21/11/08 |
|
0 - 1 |
£22 |
22/11/08 |
|
1 - 3 |
£36 |
22/11/08 |
Manchester City V Arsenal |
3 - 0 |
£27 |
22/11/08 |
Nottingham Forest V Norwich |
1 - 2 |
-£6 |
23/11/08 |
Lecce V Roma |
0 - 3 |
£30 |
23/11/08 |
Sunderland V West Ham |
0 - 1 |
£23 |
24/11/08 |
Wigan V Everton |
1 - 0 |
£24 |
25/11/08 |
Villarreal V Manchester Utd |
0 - 0 |
-£31 |
26/11/08 |
Bordeaux V Chelsea |
1 - 1 |
£34 |
26/11/08 |
CFR Cluj V Roma |
1 - 3 |
£27 |
27/11/08 |
Portsmouth V AC Milan |
2 - 2 |
£9 |
29/11/08 |
Bayer Leverkusen V Bayern Munich |
0 - 2 |
£15 |
29/11/08 |
Stoke V Hull |
1 - 1 |
£15 |
29/11/08 |
Catania V Lecce |
1 - 1 |
£41 |
30/11/08 |
Roma V Fiorentina |
1 - 0 |
£29 |
30/11/08 |
|
0 - 0 |
-£83 |
30/11/08 |
|
3 - 1 |
£11 |
go
back to results page
Trades Completed in Detail
| Date: 01/11/08 |
| Time: 12.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Everton V Fulham - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Everton are still hunting for there 1st home win of the season and Fulham are sill yet to win on their travels, so both sides can't afford to not play for the win. When these two have met previously the last 15 matches have all ended in a home win which doesn't look good for Fulham. Both sides form is fairly similar unlike the usual difference which might see this trend end today as the last time Everton were playing as poorly as they are now they had trouble breaking down bottom half teams. Fulham will probably play their usual defensive 1st half so we should be safe to have a trade on under 2.5 goals here for the 1st 10-15 min's but we expect the deadlock to be broken later on in the match. We will also be looking to lay the draw here and trade out after a goal, but at shorter odds, you will probably need under 3.4 to be safe if Fulham score 1st which is likely with Everton's recent defensive record. Usual plan here if we see a goal before you have traded out of the goals trade and if we don't see one before the draw odds reach 1.8 out as usual. If you want to put the potential profit from the goals trade on 0-0 please feel free.
|
Our Trading Result:
We backed under 2.5 goals at 1.83. We traded out at 1.64 with £110. We then put £10 of the profit on the 0-0 at 9.4. We also layed the draw at average odds of 3.2. Quite a few near misses before our usual trade out point but no goals so we traded out at 1.81 with the loss on the draw advising everyone who asked to do the same. This could have gone either way in the later stages but it was Everton who look the lead for us to end with £2 overall from the under's bet.
|
Profit made on this trade = £2
|
| Date: 01/11/08 |
| Time: 15.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Portsmouth V Wigan - SCORE: 1 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Over half of Pompey's 1st half's over the last few season haven't seen a 1st half goal. Wigan will obviously keep it tight on the back of 4 losses so don't expect a goal frenzy early on. 73% of Wigan's away matches have also seen no goals in the 1st half over the last few seasons which supports this. Both sides have strong trends towards a final result finishing under 2.5 goals, which is supported by their H2H history at Fratton Park. Pompey have the better H2H history winning the last 4 to nil, without Harry we aren't sure how they will perform going forward so we are put off backing Pompey at the moment and will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal (chase a better price if you want) We will also be have a trade on under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15 min's. Basically the same as the Everton match. Same trade out plan as usual, consider the 0-0 with some of your under's profit if your concerned.
|
Our Trading Result:
We backed under 2.5 goals at 1.82 and traded out at 1.58 with £114. We also put £10 on the 0-0 at 9.0. We also layed the draw at 3.2. The opener came from Wigan regrettably so not much of an odds movement shortly before HT for us to trade out at 3.6 with £88 for £14 overall.
|
Profit made on this trade = £14
|
| Date: 02/11/08 |
| Time: 14.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Undefeated at home and league leaders Udinese take on Genoa who are yet to win on their travels so far this season. We aren't writing Genoa off though as they seem to be getting better every week and we can't remember the last time Udinese beat them. You would certainly have to go back to the 1980's to find a Udinese league win. One think that has been obvious since the start of the season is Udinese like to take the lead early having done so in 4 of the last 5 at home. Genoa tend to be the opposite. Its going to be a tough one but we are likely to see both side on the score sheet and more than likely Udinese scoring 1st. We will be laying the draw here (currently at 3.25) and trading out after a goal. If we don't see a goal before the draw odds reach 1.8 we will trade out with the loss on the draw (no draws between them in recent history). The over 2.5 goals market would have given us a result in all their games back to 1990 so a small side bet on this inplay during the 1st half makes sense, stagger your stake from 10-15 min's in. Usual trading plan if we don't see a goal before HT.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25. The opening goal game before we got in on the goals bet but this enabled us to trade out at 5.1 with £60 for £38 profit. Good start to the days trading.
|
Profit made on this trade = £38
|
| Date: 02/11/08 |
| Time: 16.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Primera |
| Teams: - SCORE: 3 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
When Valladolid meet the leagues better teams they keep it tight at the back not taking too many chances. This is supported by over 80% of these meeting finishing under 2.5 goals. When Sevilla meet bottom half sides a simular result is seen with 80% of these matches finishing under 2.5 goals. In these matches it tends to take a whilst for goals to be scored with a large majority remaining goalless at the break. We feel Sevilla will win here but it shouldn't be a goal frenzy early on so we will be backing under 2.5 goals and trading out 10-15 mins in (depending on the liquidity in the market we might keep the stakes to a side bet). We will also be laying the draw here trading out after a goal from either side. You should have some time to chase a shorter price inplay. If you want some cover consider putting your potential profit from the goals trade on the 0-0. Usual plan should a goal be scored before we have traded out on the goals trade.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 and backed under 2.5 goals at 1.76 with only £50 instead of £100 as their wasn't much money on the market. We traded out of the under 2.5 goals bet at 1.56 with the £50 then put the £9.50 profit on under 2.5 goals at 8.6. From what we were seeing this probably wasn't the best decision as both teams looked like scoring. The opener came about 5 min's later for us to trade out of the draw bet at 4.6 with £72. As the final score finished over 2.5 we didn't make any profit from the under's bet but a reasonable £17 overall.
|
Profit made on this trade = £17
|
| Date: 02/11/08 |
| Time: 16.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: - SCORE: 2 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Bolton are propping up the table and take on a Man City side that has no issue scoring (averaging 2 goals a game) so they will need to play defensively to prevent another loss here. One thing Bolton can do well is hold tight for the 1st half having not been behind at the break since Megson took over with the large majority of goals coming in the 2nd half. H2H strongly supports under 2.5 goals with 7 of the last 8 finishing with this result (last two with Bolton at home finishing 0-0). City will probably win here but expect Bolton to fight all the way. We feel it will take a whilst for City to score so will be backing under 2.5 goals and trading out 10-15 min's in with the profit on under 2.5. We will also be laying the draw, trading out after a goal. If we see a goal before we have traded out of the goals trade we will follow the usual plan backing again, if two come before were out we will move the loss onto under. We won't trade out at 1.8 if its goalless opting to put the potential under's profit on the 0-0.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 and backed under 2.5 goals at 1.91. The game was exactly what we expected to see in the 1st half. We traded out of the under 2.5 goals bet at 1.7 with £100. We then put the £15 profit on the 0-0 at 8.6 (we had already put £5 before kick off to give ourselves higher odds). The open came from Bolton late in the 2nd half for us to trade out at 5.1 with £63 for £35 overall.
|
Profit made on this trade = £35
|
| Date: 03/11/08 |
| Time: 20.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: - SCORE: 2 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Villa historically haven't done too well at St James' Park with only 2 wins in the last 15 meetings. We might be in for a 3rd win tonight though as we have never seen such a discrepancy in form between these two. Newcastle managed to grab their 1st win since August against West Brom recently but in this match they looked unsteady and were far from convincing, so quite obviously there is still a long way to go for Kinnear. Villa are searching for their 3rd consecutive win here and expect O'Neil to push his boys for the win as November hosts some tough matches for the Villains and they will need 3 points here to stay in touch with the big boys. The most dominant tends here are goals! Newcastle have seen both sides score in their last 8 matches with the final result finishing over 2.5 goals. Villa have a similar picture with 8 of their last 10 on their travels finishing with 3 or more goals. Neither teams obviously has issues scoring and neither side are strong defensively so expect to see goals here. We also expect Villa to edge this as they have a strong win record over bottom half sides and have gone for the win fairly early in these matches taking the lead before the break in the majority. The braver members might want to back Villa here but we are concerned about what's been happening in the last few weeks with bottom teams fighting hard gaining some shock results so will avoid this and lay the draw instead. We will trade out after a goal as usual. We expect to see a 1st half goal here but feel Newcastle can hold out for the 1st 15 min's so will be laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15min's and hopefully trading out by backing over 2.5 before a goal, if we see a goal lay again, see 2 before were out move loss on to under. Whilst we can't see this finishing goalless you might want some cover on the 0-0. If you fancy a side bet on over 2.5 goals fter we have traded out of the goals bet please feel free.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 and layed over 2.5 goals at 1.94. We could have got 1.82 earlier today but expected the odds to go the other way before kick off so didn't get in at this point, a missed an opportunity here. No early goal so we were able to trade out at 2.32 with £84 on the goals trade. We couldn't see this finishing 0-0 as highlighted in the preview so didn't put all the goals bet profit on the 0-0, choosing to put £10 on and follow the usual 1.8 exit. The opener came from Newcastle before this point so no big odds movement but we were able to trade out of the draw trade at 3.9 with £86 for £18 overall. Those who waited it out would have seen them score again to see the odds shoot of the scale for a big profit.
|
Profit made on this trade = £18
|
| Date: 04/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams: Roma V Chelsea - SCORE: 3 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
If you consider Chelsea won the reverse fixture 1-0 a few weeks ago and look at both teams domestic positions you would support another Chelsea win here. Surprisingly Chelsea don't have a good record against similar ranked teams on their travels only winning 2 of the last 10, conceding in the majority. Chelsea are obviously in the best form we have seen them in for a few seasons now but if you watched the previous H2H meeting you will know Roma held their own. We are expecting a similar match this time out and won't be surprised if Roma rise to the occasion and grab a point here but with Totti back in the squad. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we will also be backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15 min's trading out ideally before a goal, if we see one we will back again trading out after the odds are equalised, if two come before out we will move the loss onto under (If this trade is successful we will leave all the profit from this on under 2.5). You might want to grab some cover before kick off on the 0-0 as the price is short. If you want to stay in if its goalless after the draw odds reach 1.8 make sure you have enough cover on the 0-0 to keep your liability fairly low. We aren't expecting a high scoring game so this would be our plan before kick off.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25 and backed under 2.5 goals at 1.71 also put £10 on the 0-0 at 9.6. No early goals so we were able to trade out of the goals bet at 1.59 with £102 which covered our £10 0-0 should the match finished under 2.5 goals. Lots of members waited longer as the odds weren't moving very quickly for a larger profit. Roma opened the scoring about 35 min's in for us to trade out at 3.35 with £97, not much of an odds movement so overall a small loss because the match finished over meaning we didn't cover the 0-0 bet with the under's bet, so a £6 loss.
|
Profit made on this trade = -£6
|
| Date: 04/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams:Barcelona V FC Basel - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
This probably won't need much explaining. The reverse fixture was all Barca, and should have been 10-0 not 5-0. Playing at home this time out we can't see anything but a home win as they are practically unbeatable at home, especially by teams of a similar ranking to Basel. A win here for Barcelona will practically guarantee passage into the next stage so we don't feel we will see a load of fringe players here. We expect Barca to take the lead early as they have strong trends for early goals against lower ranked teams but Basel will be playing deep for obvious reasons so we might not see another 5-0 result here. The odds to back Barca are very short but where we expect them to be but there is value in their draw odds so we will be laying the draw here and trading out after Barca take the lead. Lots of you won't be comfortable will laying at odds of around 10 so if not we would advise to lay the draw with £25 which keeps your liability to something reasonable. Sorry forgot to mention the 0-0 is their for your consideration at 44.0.
|
Our Trading Result:
We waited a little whilst to see how the game would start and how Basel would defend getting in at 10.0 before this we put £5 on the 0-0 at 44 with the view to trading this out for a profit later in the match. Basel did a great job of holding off Barca early on so we waited until Messi came on to traded out of the 0-0 at 5.0 with £40 advising the few members who asked us about it to do so also. A couple of min's later Messi actually scored for us to trade out at 22 with £44. Amazingly Basel grabbed an equaliser around the 80th min to draw level so a smaller profit here than expected. Overall we finished £55 up but as most members only used a smaller lay stake of £25 as advised if they were concerned we will report just a quarter of the profit so £13. Congratulations to Russ Pill who joined yesterday, left the 0-0 alone put £25 on the lay bet at 10.0 and traded out with £25 at 23 for a whopping £308 profit.
|
Profit made on this trade = £13
|
| Date: 05/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams: - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
The reverse fixture was convincingly won by Bayern 3-0. This time out Fiorentina are at home which is where they tend to excel and carry an undefeated record in this competition. Historically German sides don't travel too well and carry quite a poor win record of only 17% against Italian sides so we shouldn't be in for a repeat of the last match. Bayern should score though as they haven't failed to do so in the last ten on their travels. Fiorentina need to win this to have any chance of continuing in this competition so we expect to see a closer result than the last outing. Neither team has early goal trends currently so we should be able to make a profit from the goals market. We will be laying over 2.5 goals and trading out 10-15 min's in, ideally before a goal. If we see one we will lay again trading out after the odds equalise, if two come before were out we will move the loss onto under. We will also be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side as the odds should move in the right direction whoever scores 1st. The 0-0 is there for your consideration at 12 we will look to cover this cost of this with the goals trade. If you want to stay in past our usual trade out point make sure you have enough cover to keep your liability low.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25, put £10 on the 0-0 at 12 (with the view to getting some more on should the game look tight once we had traded out of the under's trade) and layed over 2.5 goals at 2.1. Lots of members got out of the goals bet before the opener which came 11 min's in for a profit, but unfortunately we didn't so layed under again for average odds of 1.78 and played the waiting game for the odds to move back in profit. We were able to trade out of the draw bet at this point at 4.3 with £75 after the goal and average odds of 1.90 with £188 about 15 min's later on the goals trade to recover the 0-0 bet. So overall £23.
|
Profit made on this trade = £23
|
| Date: 06/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams: Slavia Prague V Aston Villa - SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Slavia come into this match sitting top of their domestic league and unbeaten in 16 matches. Scoring definitely hasn't been a problem for them so expect Villa to concede here. Villa have a few injury problems that concern us and with Young and Laursen looking like they need a rest we should see a few players being rotated. We definitely aren't writing Villa off as they have the pace and ability up front to cause Slavia lots of problems in defence and they should be motivated to push for the win here as 3 points will secure their passage into the next stage. Historically Slavia Prague struggle against Premiership sides but with an under strength Villa side we feel a draw is potentially on the cards when you consider the superb form Salvia are currently showing. Both sides have trends towards high scoring matches so we do feel we should see some goals here.
Although we see a few goals on the cards we are expecting a cautious start from Slavia so we shouldn't see a goal in the 1st 15 min's so we will be laying over 2.5 goals and trading out 10-15 min's in by backing over 2.5 ideally before a goal. Same recovery tactic as the last few trades should it go against us. If you want to put the profit on the 0-0 please feel free or grab a little cover before kick off if you prefer. We aren't sure which way to weight the goals profit so it makes sense to split it across both options. We will also be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. Those who want to chase a few extra quid please consider backing 0-2 and 2-0, trading out of the market that's still available for a profit after a goal. Unsual trade out point if we don't see a goal, unless you have taken enough cover to keep your liability low.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed over 2.5 at 2.06, layed the draw at 3.25, backed 0-0 at 11 with £10 and backed 0-2 at 18 and 2-0 at 16. No early goal so we were able to trade out of the goals bet at 2.24 with £92. The opener came 26 mins in for us to trade out of the other bets getting out at 4.1 on the draw bet with £78 and 7.0 on the 0-2 bet with just over £64 so overall £32. Obviously it would have been a lot more if we had left the 0-0 alone and weighted the profit towards under 2.5 but still a profit.
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Profit made on this trade = £32
|
| Date: 07/11/08 |
| Time: 19.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: FC Koln V Hannover 96 - SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
After two successive defeats FC Koln managed to win a tough away match against Stuttgart earning themselves 4 wins from the last 6. Hannover also recorded a decent 3-0 result over Hamburg ending a five-game winless run so both teams should feel positive coming into this match. We are expecting both sides to play for the win here so expect an open match (no draws between them in their recent history). H2H Hannover have the better record and haven't failed to score, but they are usually much further up the table and have half their defence out injured for this match so we feel a home win or draw is on the cards here. The majority of goals when these two play come after 20min's in so we should be safe to lay over 2.5 goals and trade out 10-15 min's in. If a goal comes before were out we will lay again, if 2 come before were out we will move the loss onto under. We will also be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. The 0-0 is there for your consideration as usual before or after you have traded out of the goals trade although we can't see it finishing goalless from what we have see from these two recently.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 and layed over 2.5 goals at 1.96. No goal before we traded out at 2.2 with £90. The opener came about 2 min's after we had traded out of the goals bet for us to trade out at 4.0 with £85 on the draw trade for an overall profit of £25.
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Profit made on this trade = £25
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| Date: 08/11/08 |
| Time: 14.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams:Bielefeld V Mgladbach - SCORE: 0 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Both sides are sitting in the bottom 3 so they should be motivated to fight for 3 points here. At home Bielefeld have a decent scoring record, hitting the back of the net in the last 10 straight matches. It does take a while usually for them to score though with most their goals coming in the later stages. Mgladbach haven't looked too confident on their travels this season and are yet to win away they have also conceded in the last 10 away from home, but against bottom half teams they have remained competitive. Basically we are expecting a few goals here but not too early so will be laying over 2.5 goals and trading out 10-15mins in. Usual recovery tactic if we see a goal before were out. (You might have to keep this to a side trade if the liquidity is low). We will also be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, if you want to chase a shorter price please feel free early on. Its worth some cover on the 0-0, here as both teams are fairly evenly matched at the moment and they might be overly cautious because of their league position.
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Our Trading Result: 10.45
We layed the draw at 3.55 and layed over 2.5 goals at 1.99. We also had £10 on the 0-0 at 13. The opening goal came before we had got out of the goals trade so layed over 2.5 goals again at 1.43 for average odds of 1.71. This enabled us to trade out at 3.95 on the goals bet with £89. As we were potential in a negative position if the match ended in a draw we looked to cover the 0-0 with the goals trade, trading out at 1.9 with £90 so overall £10.
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Profit made on this trade = £10
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| Date: 08/11/08 |
| Time: 15.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams:Hull V Bolton - SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
High flying Hull take on 3rd from bottom Bolton in this encounter. Against poor away teams Hull have a strong home win record of just under 75% over the last few seasons. Bolton tend to concede 1st on their travels and when they do they rarely pull it back. Expect Bolton to fight hard here and prevent Hull scoring early but with the chance of returning to 3rd in the table with a win here Hull will be ready to bounce back from their two consecutive losses. We will be laying over 2.5 goals and trading out 10-15 min's in ideally before a goal. Usual recovery tactic if we see a goal before were out. We will also be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We shouldn't see a 0-0 here as Bolton struggle to keep a clean sheet on the road but we will be taking some cover here just incase.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 and layed over 2.5 goals at 2.2. We also put £10 on the 0-0 at 10.5. No goals before we had traded out of the goals trade at 2.42 with £89. The one and only goal came just after the break for us to trade out at 4.0 with £85 for £15 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £15
|
| Date: 08/11/08 |
| Time: 15.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams:West Ham V Everton - SCORE: 1 - 3 |
Our Recommendation:
West Ham come into this match on the back of the worst run of recent form of any Premiership side (4 losses and a draw). Normally their a banker for scoring and conceding but they failed to score against 3 off the inform sides prior to the 1-1 draw with Middlesbrough. We expect to see them back on the score sheet here as Everton concede about 90% of the time on their travels. Both side tend to do well in the 1st half but we expect to see a goal here so will be backing over 2.5 goals inplay as a side trade and laying the draw trading out after either side score. If we don't see a goal in the 1st half we will trade out with the loss on under 2.5, back in if two come and a 3rd looks likely with more than 15min's left. If your getting that goalless feeling consider some cover on the 0-0.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.35. No goal before HT so we traded out for no loss on under 2.5 by laying over 2.5 with the same stake. The opener came from West Ham 63 min's in for us to trade out at 4.4 with £78, we actually expected Everton to equalise so weighted the profit fairly evenly across all options. The equaliser came 82 min's as expected, with only 8 min's left we didn't get back in on the goals trade. Amazingly Everton scored twice more in this time for us to have a loser on the goals trade so overall a loss of £28.
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Profit made on this trade = -£28
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| Date: 08/11/08 |
| Time: 17.20hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Championship |
| Teams:Southampton V Bristol City - SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
The majority of Southampton's home matches have finished under 2.5 goals which is supported by the majority of City's away matches against similar ranked teams (over 80%). Most of the goals that have been scored when these two play this season have come later in the match so we should be able to lay over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15mins and trade out without seeing a goal (114k before kick off so main trade). There isn't much money on the market currently so we might have to look at this as a side trade so will also be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We will grab a little cover on the 0-0 here just incase, you can always cover the cost of this with the goals trade. Usual trade out plan if things go wrong.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35, backed under 2.5 goals at 2.16 (as a main trade as the liquidity was there) and backed the 0-0 at 11.5. The game went exactly as expected. We were able to trade out at 2.54 on the goals trade with £79 and at 4.1 with £80 after City took the lead for an overall profit of £29.
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Profit made on this trade = £29
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| Date: 09/11/08 |
| Time: 14.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: Napoli V Sampdoria - SCORE: 2 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Napoli at home have been superb this season, winning all their matches and 8 of the last 9. Sampdoria are still looking for their 1st away win which doesn't look likely here as they have lost 80% of their meetings against top half teams home teams over the last few seasons. Napoli also look like they will score 1st as they have done so in the majority of encounters and Sampdoria have conceded 1st in 75% of meetings against top half homes sides over the last few years. Historically these two usually have a tight match with the last 9 finishing under 2.5 goals. Despite Napoli being in the best form we have seen them in years, we still feel this will be low scoring as usual. We will be laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15mins trading out ideally before a goal (liquidity hasn't moved much so it looks like this will be a £50 side trade) and laying the draw (currently available at 3.3), trading out after a goal. We can't see this one finishing 0-0 but if your getting that feeling inplay please consider some cover.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed over 2.5 goals at 2.12 and layed the draw at 3.3. We traded out of the goals trade at average odds of 2.41 with £42 and got out at 5.2 after the opening goal from Napoli at 5.2 with £58 for an overall profit of £47.
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Profit made on this trade = £47
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| Date: 09/11/08 |
| Time: 16.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Fulham V Newcastle - SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Fulham have a strong record of holding off non-big 4 teams until HT. Newcastle might be reinvigorated under Kinnear but they still carry poor away form having only won a single match on their travels this year and rarely taking an early lead. Goal trends here are conflicting with Newcastle seeing the majority of their away matches finishing over 2.5 (mainly due to their record of conceding) but we can't see Fulham scoring too many here as Kinnear has tightened Newcastle up at the back. Basically we are pretty confident the deadlock will be broken but it should take a while so we will be laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15 min's trading out ideally before a goal. Usual recovery if we see one before were out. We will also be laying the draw here, trading out after a goal. We have a strange feeling we aren't going to see a goal until quite late here so grab enough cover on the 0-0 to keep your liability fairly low, it might be worth getting some before kick off and the rest once you have traded out of the goals trade.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5, layed over 2.5 at 2.14 and backed 0-0 with £10 at 13. We traded out at average odds of 2.6 on the goals trade with £79 putting another £10 on 0-0 at 9.8. The opener came sooner than expected but the draw odds moved out to a decent point enabling us to get out at 5.0 with £68. As the match finished over 2.5 our profit was reduced by £8 for us to end £22 up.
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Profit made on this trade = £22
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| Date: 11/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Carling Cup |
| Teams:Arsenal V Wigan - SCORE: 3 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Arsenal's youngsters get another run out in this 4th round Carling Cup match. Last time out they were absolutely superb battering Sheffield Utd 6-0. We should see more of the same here despite a few injury concerns. Wigan are likely to fight hard here and field a strong team (without Heskey, hamstring injury) so it might take a whilst for them to be broken down. H2H Arsenal have never lost to Wigan when playing at home and we can't see it happening here. We will be laying Wigan and trading out after Arsenal take the lead or if they go behind we will wait for an equaliser. If its goalless at 70 min's we will look to get out for a small profit just incase Wigan score 1st leaving not much time for an equaliser. The odds are currently at 5.9 so if you want to keep an acceptable liability of around £100 laying with £20-25 instead of the usual £100 makes sense.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed Wigan at 5.1, lots of brave members reporting they used a full stake so we used something in the middle (£50). No early goal although there were some great early saves. The odds shortened quite a bit on Wigan, some members reported odds as low as 4.2 here which seemed great value. The opener came from Arsenal's Simpson about 5 min's before the break for us to trade out with £10 at 24 for £38 on the win.
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Profit made on this trade = £38
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| Date: 12/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Carling Cup |
| Teams:Tottenham V Liverpool - SCORE: 4 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
A few weeks ago we were laughing about Spurs winning something this year, we might have been a bit premature! Under Redknapp Spurs are unbeaten, having won 4 of their 5 matches including a home win over Liverpool (their only loss this season). Spurs are much more likely to be taking this competition more seriously than Liverpool and we're sure Harry will welcome another crack of the whip after Pompey were dumped out in the last round by Chelsea. This match is likely to be decided by team selection so if we see a strong Liverpool side including the now fit Torres we will know the Reds are out for revenge. We can't see this ending goalless as both sides have strong scoring trends but we have no idea who will win which seems to be the same opinion to the bookies. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also be laying over 2.5 goals and trading out 10-15 min's in ideally before a goal as a side trade. If we see one we will back again and trade out when the odds equalise, if we see two before were out move the loss onto under 2.5. Don't stay in for too long especially if someone looks like scoring. Whilst we can't see it finishing 0-0 here a little cover on the 0-0 correct score makes sense, just incase.
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Our Trading Result:
Wow what a match! We layed over 2.5 goals at 2.02 and traded out at average odds of 2.44 splitting the profit across both options. We also put £8 on the 0-0 at 14 and layed the draw at 3.45. Spurs opened the scoring 38 min's in for us to trade out at 4.5 with £74. 7 min's later they were 3 up, so were kicking ourselves as the odds went off the scale at this point. We ended with £25 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £25
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| Date: 13/11/08 |
| Time: 19.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: Juventus V Genoa - SCORE: 4 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Since losing to Napoli a few weeks ago Juventus have now won 6 in a row, hitting the back of the net 11 times and only conceding twice showing they are in great form. Their opponents here Genoa are also having a good season sitting only 1 point below Juventus having avoided defeat in their last 6. Genoa's league position is mainly supported by their home form where they have won all their matches so far, but on their travels they are yet to grab 3 points. H2H Genoa haven't beaten Juventus in as long as we can remember but when they are showing this kind of form they have managed to grab a point on quite a few occasions. We are expecting to see a very attacking game from Juve and some magic from Del Piero whilst Genoa focus on playing defensively hitting them on the break. We probably won't see an early goal here as we wait for the momentum to build but we are very likely to see Juventus on the score sheet (scored in the last 10 consecutive home games). There is a good chance this match will finished under 2.5 goals as Genoa have only scored twice in their last 7 and Juve have kept clean sheets in the majority of their home matches. We feel the best option here is to lay over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15 min's and trade out ideally before a goal (Juve do have a habit of scoring around the 15 min mark so don't stay in too long). If we see a goal before were out we will back again, if two come before were out we will move the loss on to under 2.5. (Please check there is enough money on the market before making this a main trade). If we can get odds under 3.4 on the draw before a goal we will also look to lay the draw and trade out after a goal. Whilst we don't think Genoa will score 1st we don't want to be left with odds that shorten after a goal. We can't really see a 0-0 here but if you want some cover please consider a few quid on the 0-0.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.06, the odds drifted quite a bit before kick off so could have traded out before the match started for a decent profit but decided to stay in for 10 min's or so. We didn't get in on the lay the draw bet in time regrettably so missed out on a great opportunity. Juve opened the scoring about 6 min's in for us to lay over 2.5 goals again at 1.5 to get lower average odds as per the preview. We were in the process of trading out of the goals bet managing to get £48 matched before the next goal at 1.7. So moved the loss onto under 2.5 as planned by laying under 2.5 at average odds of 4.8 with £130. So as the game finished over 2.5 as expected with the two early goals we ended with £3 profit.
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Profit made on this trade = £3
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| Date: 14/11/08 |
| Time: 19.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: Hannover V Bochum - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Both these sides are sitting at the wrong end of the table, but Hannover's home record is likely to stop them slipping any further down. They have only lost one of their last 10 (against league leaders Hoffenheim) and against bottom half side they haven't lost at home since 2006, scoring in all these matches. We don't fancy Bochum's chances here mainly because they can't keep a clean sheet on their travels and scoring hasn't been a problem for Hannover. H2H is strongly in Hannover's favour when playing at home with only one loss to Bochum since the early 90's. We don't think it will be easy for Hannover here as bottom teams fight harder but we should see them avoid defeat. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal (chase a shorter price if you want, just incase Bochum open the scoring). We aren't quite sure about how many goals we will see here as they have completely opposite trends but the key feature of the goals in their matches is 78% of them have come in the 1st half. So we will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, staggering our stake for value from 10-15min's in. Usual plan if we don't see any goals before HT and the draw odds reach 1.8. If you want some cover on the 0-0 is available at 17 although we don't feel you'll need it here.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.2 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.37. No goals in the 1st half despite Bochum forcing a silly amount of corners, so we traded out for no loss on under laying over 2.5 at 4.8 with £25. The opener came from Hannover 62 min's in for us to trade out at 5.0 with £63 on the draw. As Bochum looked like equalising we split the profit fairly evenly across all options. Bochum scored a few minutes later which put us in a position where the over 2.5 goals bet could go against us so we used the profit from the draw trade and got back in laying under 2.5 at 2.46 with £15 to end £8 up overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £8
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| Date: 15/11/08 |
| Time: 14.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: Hoffenheim V Wolfsburg - SCORE: 3 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Hoffenheim took a knock last week where they lost 1-0 to Hertha. We should see them bounce back this week as their home record has been superb and Wolfsburg just can't keep a clean sheet conceding at least 2 goals in their last 9 on the road and yet to win this season. Over 2.5 goals is strongly supported here from both sides with the majority of opening goals coming in the 1st half. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. We prefer odds of 3.5 or lower here so will give it some time for them to shorten. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals getting in 10-15 min's in, staggering our stake for value from this point. If its goalless at HT we will trade out for no loss on under 2.5 back in if two come and more than 15 min's are left.
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Our Trading Result:
It took quite a while for the odds to start to shorten on the draw. Unfortunately they didn't quite reach the 3.5 we were looking for so didn't get in on the draw trade (lots of members who were watching the match did manage to get in, so would have made a decent profit). We did manage to get £15 on over 2.5 goals at average odds of 1.86. The opening goal game just over 25 mins in for us to trade out at 1.39 with £16 for £6 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £6
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| Date: 15/11/08 |
| Time: 15.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Fulham V Tottenham - SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Whilst Spurs and Harry have been blessed by the gods for the last few weeks they still carry poor 1st half form on their travels, leading in just over 10% of matches. Against a Fulham side that consistently has a strong 1st half performance we shouldn't see early goals, although we will be cautious for obvious reasons. H2H Fulham have had the better of Spurs but from what we all have seen of Spurs in their last few games we feel they came grab at least a point here. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we will also be laying over 2.5 goals as a side trade for the 1st 10-15 min's trading out ideally before a goal. If a goal comes we will lay again and if two come before were out we will move the loss onto under.
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Our Trading Result:
Fulham managed to control Spurs here and confirm again they are a reliable side to trade on in the 1st half. We layed the draw at 3.4 and layed over 2.5 goals at 1.92. No goal before we traded out on the goals trade at 2.24 with £43. Fulham took the lead though a fumbled bit of keeping about 15 min's later for us to trade out at 3.9 with £86 for £20 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £20
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| Date: 15/11/08 |
| Time: 20.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Ligue 1 |
| Teams: Lille V St Etienne - SCORE: 3 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Lille are consistently one of the strongest 1st half teams and St Etienne are the worst having found themselves behind going into the break in the majority of their away games over the last few seasons and 5 of the last 6 this time out. Lille should score here as they rarely have trouble hitting the back of the net against bottom teams and St Etienne have conceded in 9 of the last 10. Lille have also scored in all H2H encounters when playing at home since the early 90's. We expect St Etienne to start cautiously as they usually do but expect Lille to take the lead later on in the 1st half. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. We should also be able to have a small side trade on the goals market. Either should pay off here as we expect a 1st half goal but not too early so laying under 2.5 is our preferred option as the liability is low and you can stagger your stake for shorter odds. Usual plan if its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8. If your getting that 0-0 feeling consider some cover on the 0-0 inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.2 and layed under 2.5 goals at average odds of 1.45. As expected a first half goal but not too early so we were able to trade out on the goals bet by backing under 2.5 goals at 2.06 with £35. After Lille opened the scoring we traded out at 5.4 on the draw trade with £55 for £56 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £56
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| Date: 16/11/08 |
| Time: 14.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: Atalanta V Napoli - SCORE: 3 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Atalanta seem to be on a down trend having failed to win in their last 5. They have definitely lacked their usual drive and passion since they lost to Milan a few weeks ago. Napoli are at the other end of the scale performing their socks off this season, winning 4 of the last 5. Historically when these two meet its a tight affair, low scoring (11 of the last 12 finished under 2.5) and ends in a home win or draw. If Atalanta turned up as they have the last few games this trend won't continue. There are a few conflicting goals trends when you consider this seasons matches, as an example 80% of Napoli's matches against bottom half sides have finished over 2.5 so we are a little cautious about the goals market and will stick to basically laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. Usual plan if we don't see any goal before the draw odds reach 1.8. Also if your getting that 0-0 feeling inplay consider some cover on the 0-0 although we don't feel your need it here.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 2.9. Typical slow start here with the match not kicking off until the 2nd half. Atalanta opened the scoring 62 mins in for us to trade out at 4.3 with £64. 3 more goals followed, great 2nd half.
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Profit made on this trade = £34
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| Date: 16/11/08 |
| Time: 16.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams:Hull V Man City - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Both sides come into this match on the back of a 3 game losing streak, so they should be focused on playing for the win. Man City have suprisingly not beaten Hull at home in 99 years so maybe with their new found wealth they should simply pay Hull for the 3 points. Both sides have a tendency to go into the break level but one thing that stands out here are the strong goal trends with 13 of City's last 15 against teams outside the big 4 finishing over 2.5 and the majority of Hull's seeing the same result. We aren't too confident of picking a winner here so will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. As City have a good record of scoring fairly early in these type of encounters we will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals getting in after 10-15 min's staggering our stake for value. Usual plan on both these trades should they go against us.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.6 and backed over 2.5 goals with only £10 before the opener from Hull at 2.22. This enabled us to trade out at 3.9 with £92 on the draw trade and 1.48 with £12 on the goals for an overall profit of £12
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Profit made on this trade = £12
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| Date: 17/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: FA Cup |
| Teams: Northampton V Leeds - SCORE: 2 - 5 |
Our Recommendation:
These two meet again for the 3rd time this year. The last two finished 1-1, and to be honest it looks like another draw is on the cards here. Leeds were the dominant attacking force last time out but Northampton were solid in defence comfortably dealing with Leeds attacking force. Northampton will welcome back Giles Coke after his sending off in the reverse fixture, but it looks like they have a few injuries to key players including Captain Chris Doig. Leeds have no key players out so should field a strong side which on paper should be able to win here but Leeds FA Cup record doesn't inspire confidence. Both sides tend to take a whilst to break down their opponents so we aren't expecting an early goal as most of the goals against similar opponents have been delivered after the half hour mark. Probably the best way of trading this match is to lay the draw here and trading out after a goal but as we don't expect an early goal we will also be laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15 min's trading out ideally before a goal, if one comes before were out we will back again, two come we will move the loss onto under as a 3rd is likely. As its a Cup match a little cover on the 0-0 makes sense as we all know anything can happen in cup matches. Please feel free to put some of the profit from the goals trade on this or grab some before kick off if you prefer.
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Our Trading Result:
Wow! What a game not the expected cautious start here... We layed the draw at 3.55, layed over 2.5 goals at 2.08 and backed 0-0 at 15 with £5. The odds drifted quickly on the goals market for us to trade out at 2.38 with just under £44 to cover our 0-0 bet. The opener came a few min's later from the very dominant Leeds side who were on a mission to win here. This enabled us to trade out on draw trade at 4.5 with £77 for £22 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £22
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| Date: 19/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: International |
| Teams:Germany V England - SCORE: 1 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
The majority of England's 1st choice players are out which now includes Walcott (shoulder injury) so there will be quite a few nervous England fans tonight. Personally we are looking forward to the likes of Gabby, Darren Bent and Ashley Young getting their chance to impress and have confidence England can avoid defeat here even without the usual line up. England still carry the better H2H history and have remained unbeaten in Berlin on the last 7 attempts, also if you look at the German line up they have a weakened side with Ballack, Lahm, Metzelder, Jansen all missing. With fringe players on both sides looking to impress, and the Premier league's joint top scorers (Gabby and Bent) likely to get a run out we expect to see a few goals.
Not sure who will win or even if we will see a winner here, so we will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. We will also be laying over 2.5 goals and trading out 10-15min's in ideally before a goal. laying again if we see a goal before were out and if a 2nd comes before were out we will move the potential loss onto under 2.5 as the match is highly likely to finish over 2.5 goals. Personally we will be grabbing a little cover on the 0-0 £5 initially, increasing if we are getting that 0-0 feeling which can be covered by the under 2.5 trade if it all goes to plan. Usual trade out plan if it remains goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3, layed over 2.5 goals at 2.2, and backed the 0-0 at £11.5 with £5. No goal before we traded out of the goals trade at 2.6 with £44. After Upson opened the scoring we traded out at 3.7 with £88 for an overall profit of £16.
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Profit made on this trade = £16
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| Date: 19/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: International |
| Teams:Netherlands V Sweden - SCORE: 3 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
The Netherlands have made a perfect start to their World Cup campaign and look to continue their winning ways here. They have a few key players out but their replacements are hardly fringe players. Dirk Kuyt has been particularly impressive of late for Liverpool. Sweden have been harder hit with Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Olof Mellberg missing this match, definitely two players they wouldn't want missing from their line up although the youngster Masrcus Berg will likely cause a few problems for the Dutch. We feel the Dutch midfield will be the decisive factor here and is likely to be too much for the Swede's defence. We don't expect it it to be an easy win for the Netherlands, but we should see them score but it is likely to take a whilst for a goal to be scored so we will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, ideally the Netherlands (chase a shorter price if you want by staggering your lay stake). We will also be laying over 2.5 goals and trading out 10-15 min's in. Same plan as the England match if a goal comes before were out. We will also be taking a little cover on the 0-0 just incase, £5 initially increasing if we are getting the 0-0 feeling.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.95 inplay, backed the 0-0 at 12 with £5 and layed over 2.5 goals at 2.22. No goal before we traded out of the goals trade at average odds of 2.5 with £45 which basically covered our 0-0 bet. The opener came from Holland as expected for us to trade out at 6.2 with £60 for an overall profit of £39.
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Profit made on this trade = £39
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| Date: 20/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Blue Square Premier |
| Teams: Crawley V Ebbsfleet - SCORE: 1 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Crawley at home this season have been highly impressive. Since losing their opener to York they have won 6 and drawn 2. Scoring definitely hasn't been a problem hitting the back of the net 21 times in these 8 games. Ebbsfleet have been less impressive losing 5 of their last 6 but on a positive note they fought hard in their last match to take 3 points off mid-tabled Barrow. H2H puts a spanner in the works here as we were feeling good about backing Crawley before digging a little deeper. Basically Crawley have failed to beat Ebbsfleet on the last 8 occasions so this makes us a little more cautious. When they have met previously with similar form the draw has been the most likely result. The last 4 with Crawley at home has seen both sides scoring which is what we expect to see here but feel Crawley might just have enough to buck this winless trend, but don't be suprised if it goes the other way. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we prefer draw odds of 3.5 as there is a good chance Ebbsfleet could score 1st so we don't want to get caught out. If you want some cover on the 0-0 its available at 13.5 but you shouldn't need it. Usual plan if its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.47. The opener came a short time after for us to trade out at 5.3 with £66 for £32 profit. Nice and easy. Those who emailed us with 'there is no chance Crawley will lose here' and took our bet, cheques in the post please!
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Profit made on this trade = £32
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| Date: 21/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: - SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
We have got use to seeing one thing when Karlsruher play, their opponents scoring! They are now winless in 7 matches conceding in the last 10, and against top half teams conceding in 100% of matches on their travels. The pressure is seriously on Becker and Karlsruher as they now sit in the bottom 3. On form and against a Dortmund side that has avoided defeat against bottom half sides so far these season it is a bit of a tough ask for Karlsruher to win here but considering the away side has only won 1 of the last 12 in their H2H history irrespective of form, we won't be surprised if Karlsruher grab a point here. When we have watched these sides this season, both tend to not get going until after the break against similar opponents so we should be able to grab a profit in the 1st 10-15 min's from the goals market and as Karlsruher are as leaky an old bucket we should be safe here to lay the draw and trade out after a goal. So to confirm we will be backing under 2.5 goals as a side trade and trading out ideally before we see a goal 10-15 min's in. If we see a goal before were out we will back again, if 2 come before were out we will move the potential loss onto under 2.5. We will also be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. Whilst we really can't see it ending goalless the 0-0 is available at 16 so £5 on this will give you a little cover.
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Our Trading Result:
We backed under 2.5 goals at 2.1, layed the draw at 3.5 and backed the 0-0 at 16 with £5. No goal before we traded out on the goals bet at 1.88 with £56. The one and only goal came mid way through the 1st half for us to trade out at 4.4 with £77 for £22 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £22
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| Date: 22/11/08 |
| Time: 14.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: - SCORE: 1 - 3 |
Our Recommendation:
This should be interesting as Koln tend to do well in the 1st half, rarely going into the break behind and Hoffenheim take time to build momentum and finish strong. We see no reason not to expect a similar match here. We are likely to see a few goals though as Hoffenheim have conceded an average of two goals a game over the last 10 games but their strong offensive ability (17 goals scored in the last 6 away matches) should also see them score. Last time these two met Koln walked away as winners but this time out Hoffenheim should at least avoid defeat. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side we will also be having a side trade, backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so (neither side has seen a goal in this time in their respective home and away games) and trading out ideally before a goal. Usual plan if we see a goal. There isn't much money on the market so you might want to keep the stake to a side trade. The 0-0 is available at 19 so if you want to put your potential profit from the goals trade on this please feel free.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.7 and backed under 2.5 goals at 2.48. The odds had steamed in quite a bit before kick off so a few members reported trading out before kick off to secure an early profit. We traded out at average odds of 2.16 with £61 as planned. Hoffenheim opened the scoring about 20 min's after trading out of the goals trade for us to close the draw trade at 4.9 with £72. Overall £36 profit.
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Profit made on this trade = £36
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| Date: 22/11/08 |
| Time: 15.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams:- SCORE: 3 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Man City have only beaten Arsenal once in the last 20 attempts. They come into this match with average home form having already lost to two of the big 4 this season. Once thing they have been able to do is score, hitting the back of the net 16 times in their 6 home games so far. Neither side can afford to drop points here so it should be a a hard fought match, more than likely with both sides scoring. Over 2.5 goals is strongly supported here with 9 of the last 10 at Eastlands seeing this result and 3 of the last 4 against big 4 sides. We feel Arsenal will win here but won't be surprised if City take the lead so to keep it simple we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also be having a side trade, backing over 2.5 goals inplay 10-15 min's in staggering our stake for value trading out after a goal. If its goalless at HT we will wait this one out as we feel a few goals will still come in the 2nd half.
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Our Trading Result:
We got in at 3.55 on the draw trade and backed over 2.5 goals in stages for average odds of 2.95. The opener came at the perfect time just before the break for us to trade out of both trades getting out a 3.9 on the draw trade with £91 and 2.3 on the goals trade with £60 for £27 overall. Great morale boosting result for City!
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Profit made on this trade = £27
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| Date: 22/11/08 |
| Time: 17.20hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Championship |
| Teams:- SCORE: 1 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Forest are now undefeated in 6 after the worst possible start to the season. They will feel confident coming into this match as they have avoided defeat in the last 7 H2H encounters. Defensively they have still looked a little suspect, conceding in the last 10 matches but against a Norwich side that has only won, 1 of their last 10 on the road and failed to score in 4 of the last 5 Forest should continue their movement out of the bottom 3. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we will also be laying over 2.5 goals as a side, trading out 10-15 min's in ideally before a goal, leaving the profit on under 2.5. Usual plan if we see a goal before we have traded out. We have a niggle that it could end 0-0 so will be taking some cover, its available at 13.5.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.55, layed over 2.5 at 2.16 and backed the 0-0 with £10 at 13. No goal before we traded out of the goals trade at 2.58 with £39 to cover the 0-0 trade. Norwich went a man down 20 min's in when Doherty was sent off. We started rubbing our hands together thinking Forest would walk it 3-0 now. Well we were wrong as 2 min's later Norwich scored, typical! As the likely result was that Forest would equalise and probably go on to win we got out of the draw just incase at 3.6 with just under £99. Surprisingly 10 men Norwich went on to win 2-1 so great result for them. So overall we ended up £6 down.
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Profit made on this trade = -£6
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| Date: 22/11/08 |
| Time: 14.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams:Lecce V Roma - SCORE: 0 - 3 |
Our Recommendation:
Newly promoted Lecce at home are a tough nut to crack. Despite only winning 2 matches this season they have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 at home. This is mainly because they haven't failed to score and lock things up when they do so. Roma have failed to win any of their last 6 on the road, losing 5 so won't have an easy time here. H2H Lecce have failed to win at home in 8 attempts against Roma but none of these matches were played with Roma in such poor form although Roma showed signs last weekend they are about to turn the corner with their win over Lazio. We expect a tight start here so will be laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15 min's trading out ideally before a goal. Statistically a low scoring match is supported so out of caution we will be taking some cover on the 0-0, £10 before kick off trading further if its tight late on in the match. But as both teams are likely to score we will also be laying the draw (currently available at 3.35) and trading out after a goal. Usual plan if things don't go our way on these trades.
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Our Trading Result:
Well Roma have definatley turned the corner! We layed the draw at 3.4 as the odds had drifted a little from when we uploaded the trade. We also layed over 2.5 goals at 2.18 as a side trade and backed the 0-0 at 11.0. The opener came as we were waiting for our bet to be accepted on the unders trade 11 min's in with mixed feedback from members, some getting out some not. This enabled us to trade out at 5.5 on the draw trade with £58. We then layed over 2.5 again with £75 for lower average odds as usual getting overall average odds of 1.8. No goal before we traded out so we ended with no profit or loss on the goals trade, £40 on the draw trade and a £10 loss on the 0-0 market so £30 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £30
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| Date: 22/11/08 |
| Time: 16.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams:Sunderland V West Ham - SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Neither of these two are having the best season so far but Sunderland will be the more confident as their record against bottom half sides when playing at home is solid and they come into this match on the back of a win. Under Keane they have won over 75% of these encounters. The Hammers have only picked up 1 win on their travels in the last 10 with an obvious lack of defensive ability conceding in all of these matches. Saying this they haven't had many matches against similar opponents to Sunderland this season (Fulham being the only comparable side) and they managed to secure 3 points so we could be in for another premiership suprise this weekend. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side, we will also be looking to have a small side trade on the goals market here because of the strong goals trends, backing over 2.5 goals 10-15 min's in staggering our stake from this point. If its goalless at HT we will trade out with the loss on under 2.5, back in if 2 come and a 3rd looks likely with more than 15 min's left. If you want some cover on the 0-0 its there for your consideration inplay. Usual plan if things go against us.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.7 with only £20. Not the high scoring match most we were hoping for but a positive result on both trades. We got out at 1.68 with £32 on the goals trade and 3.95 on the draw trade with £87 for an overall profit of £23.
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Profit made on this trade = £23
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| Date: 23/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Wigan V Everton - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Wigan have managed just 1 home League win so far this season hitting the back of the net in only 2 of the last 8 league matches. At the JJB 12 of the last 14 games have finishing under 2.5 goals mainly due to their poor scoring record although Wigan's results have not entirely reflected their performance, so we feel they have the ability to grab something from this match. If they are going to score against any team Everton are a good candidate for this as they have conceded in 9 of the last 10 on the road but whether they can beat an Everton side who have won 4 of their 6 away matches this season only losing to Arsenal we will have to see. H2H supports an Everton win with Wigan failing to been Everton at the JJB as long as we can remember, but with all this weekends bizarre results we prefer to sit on the fence and keep things simple by laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We also feel laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15 min's will payoff so will be having a side trade on this inplay getting out ideally before a goal. If one comes before were out follow the usual plan. If you want some cover on the 0-0 please feel free its available at 11. We will be putting £5 on before kick off, trading further if we are getting goalless signs (just a little concerned we aren't going to see a goal until late in the match).
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4, layed over 2.5 goals at 2.28 and put £5 on the 0-0 at 11. No goal before we traded out of the goals trade at 2.62 with £40. The opener came in the early stages of the 2nd half for us to trade out at 4.2 with £79. So overall £24. Great result for Wigan, well deserved.
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Profit made on this trade = £24
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| Date: 25/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams: Villarreal V Manchester Utd - SCORE: 0 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Against English sides Villarreal have seen their last 4 meetings finish 0-0. Utd have a fairly poor record against Spanish sides and have seen the last 3 against Villarreal finish goalless. With both sides needing only a draw from this match we could understand you feeling another 0-0 is on the cards. We don't ! If you have been keeping an eye on Villarreal of late you will know they are all over the place defensively but have bucked their traditional low score record to see 8 of their last 9 matches finish over 2.5 goals so they are likely to score and concede. Man Utd might not be firing on all cylinders but they will likely exploit Villarreals defensive issues. With the chance to avoid other group winners by taking 3 points from this match and benefit from playing the second leg of the knock-out round at home neither side will simply sit back and play out the draw (we hope).
We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also be laying over 2.5 goals as a side trade getting out 10-15 min's in ideally before a goal, if one comes we will back again, two come before were out we will move the potential loss onto under 2.5 goals. We will be taking £10 of cover on the 0-0 just incase, you can always trade out of this if the match is open or back further if your concerned.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 2.9, layed over 2.5 goals at 2.72 and put £10 on the 0-0 at 7.2. No goal before we traded out of the goals trade at 3.3 with £38. Utd provided some excellent approach play and a few near misses but Villarreal we happy to soak it up and play defensively, so we backed the 0-0 again at 3.05 with another £10 as we were starting to get that 0-0 feeling. The draw odds reach our usual trade out point of 1.8 so we traded out with £100 moving the loss on the draw as usual. We did feel that Utd would take the lead in the final 10-15 min's so we didn't chase anymore cover, unfortunately it finished goalless so we ended with a loss of £31 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = -£31
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| Date: 26/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams: Bordeaux V Chelsea - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Bordeaux at home are a decent side only losing 1 of their last 23 but they rearely encounter a team of Chelsea's ranking. When they against teams of Chelsea's ranking they tend to play cautiously. We rarely see an early goal for or against in these matches with the majority coming after the break. This is understandable as Chelsea are unbeaten against teams of a similar or worse ranking than Bordeaux, winning 80% of matches and they were convincingly outclassed in their last meeting back in September. The low scoring match is also supported by Chelsea who have rarely concede against similar ranked teams on the road. We can't see Scolari messing around with the team tactics here as he did in the recent Roma match so they should secure the win despite their recent stuttering form and move into the last 16.
We will be laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15 min's and trading out ideally before a goal, if one comes we will lay again, 2 come before were out move the loss onto under. We will also be laying the draw, trading out after a goal, ideally from Chelsea. If you want to chase a shorter price feel free just incase Bordeaux score 1st. Some cover on the 0-0 makes sense but we will keep it to £5 initially as we do feel Chelsea have this, increasing in the later stages if its still goalless.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.2, layed over 2.5 goals at 2.38 and backed the 0-0 with £5 at 10.5. No goal before we traded out at average odds of 2.94 with £37 on the goals trade. Chelsea didn't even have a shot in the 1st half worth talking about so we decided to grab a little more cover on the 0-0 at 4.0 with £10. In the 2nd half Chelsea had their 1st shot and scored but weren't really playing as expected but this enabled us to trade out at 6.4 on the draw trade with £48 weighting the profit slightly towards the win. Not the profit we were hoping for but still a win of £34
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Profit made on this trade = £34
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| Date: 26/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams:CFR Cluj V Roma - SCORE: 1 - 3 |
Our Recommendation:
We mentioned a few days ago that we felt Roma were turning the corner in their recent match preview against Lecce, which they went on to convincingly win 3-0 showing us they have found the best form in recent weeks. Last time these two met Roma were far from convincing and were dealt a shock result in Rome losing 2-1. We are pretty confident it won't happen again, especially with the marked improved we have seen in Roma recently. Historically teams with a similar ranking to CFR have never beaten a team of Roma's ranking when playing at their home ground in this competition, they also have a record of being low scoring affairs with 90% finishing under 2.5 and the home side failing to score in around 90% of these. Both sides need 3 points here so expect an attack match with Totti on the scoresheet and more than likely a Roma win to avenge their opening match defeat.
We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, ideally from Roma. We will also be laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15 min's (getting out sooner if the game starts end to end) as usual feel free to use this to cover your 0-0 bet. We really can't see this one finishing goalless but will put £5 on the 0-0 for some piece of mind, backing further in the later stages if were concerned.
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Our Trading Result:
Hi tempo start here! We layed the draw at 3.45, layed over 2.5 at 2.12 and backed the 0-0 a 11 with £5. Kone nearly put Cluj ahead early on which created the urgency for us to get out early but unfortunately we were a little too greedy with the price we asked for so only managed to get £12 matched at 2.4 before the opener from Roma 11 min's in. After the goal we traded out at 5.1 on the draw trade with £66 and layed over again at 1.55 to get lower average odds as usual. No real chance to trade out as another goal came from Totti to put Roma 2 up. This then meant we had to move the loss onto under due to the high probability of a 3rd coming so we moved the loss onto under as usual by backing over 2.5 goals at 1.17. Which seemed to be what most members did from the feedback. So overall £27 and a comfortable win for Roma as expected.
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Profit made on this trade = £27
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| Date: 27/11/08 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture:Uefa Cup |
| Teams: Portsmouth V AC Milan - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
AC Milan travel to Fratton Park for this Uefa Cup clash. This is one of Pompey's biggest every games, hopefully they won't be like a rabbit in the headlights. Milan this season are in fine form currently sitting 2nd in Serie A, haven't lost in 11 matches and have won their previous two cup games so don't need anything from this match. We expect them to rest some key players but we should see Kaka on the pitch. Pompey are missing some key players here which is a cause for concern as Defoe, Diarra, and Campbell all look to sit this one out. With this match meaning a lot more to Pompey than Milan we could see an upset but we are more than certain you will see Milan on the scoresheet. We aren't expecting a goal frenzy here and should be safe to lay over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so. If a goal comes before were out, lay again, if 2 come before were out move the loss onto under (Those who don't like the liability associated with this method we would advise if you get caught out get out for a loss after the 1st goal without laying again). We will also be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side and will grab £10 of cover here on the 0-0.
Usual plan if the match remains goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35, layed over 2.5 goals at 2.44 and backed 0-0 with £10 at 9.6. No goal before we traded out with £43 on the goals trade at average odds of 2.78 (got half out before the free kick for obvious reasons, the rest a min's later). No early goal but pretty obvious one was on its way. Pompey took the lead around the hr mark for us to trade out at 4.0 on the draw with just under £84 so overall £9.
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Profit made on this trade = £9
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| Date: 29/11/08 |
| Time: 14.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: Bayer Leverkusen V Bayern Munich - SCORE: 0 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
This should be entertaining and ideally will give us a good gage to who will be sitting top at the end of the season. Both these two sit joint 2nd in the Bundesliga, 3 points behind Hoffenheim. Historically Bayern have the better H2H, winning the last 7 meetings. If you can remember what happened last season when these two met in similar league positions (Leverkusen were played off the park), this is what we feel will be on the cards again here. Despite Bayern's poor start to the season they now haven't lost since September and have won 6 of the last 8 scoring an average over 2 goals in these matches. Leverkusen obviously won't be a pushover so should take a while to break down and probably will score but we give this one to Bayern. With both side likely to score we should also see this finish over 2.5 as they rarely draw, which was the result of 6 of the last 7 H2H meetings at the Bay-Arena.
We are a little concerned with under's here as the majority of H2H's have seen a goal inside 20 min's so we will leave this alone but will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also put £5 on the 0-0, currently available at 18.
If its end to end in the 1st 15 min's we will look at the over 2.5 goals market with a small side bet, following the usual plan for trading out.
Usual Trade out plan if things go wrong.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 backed the 0-0 with £5 at 17.5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £25 as a side trade at average odds of 2.68. No goal in the 1st half so we traded out with no loss on under on the goals trade as usual. The opener came from Bayern for us to trade out at 4.5 about 60 mins in with £79 for an overall profit of £15
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Profit made on this trade = £15
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| Date: 29/11/08 |
| Time: 15.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Stoke V Hull - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Another interesting match. Stoke didn't start the season too well but have now won their last 3 at home. Hull seemed to have got over there blip a few weeks ago which saw them lose 3 on the bounce following it up with two hard fought draws. On their travels they have been particularly impressive only losing 1 of their last 7 to Man Utd (despite scoring 3 past them). This is a tough call which is more than likely going to end in a draw but we should see some goals. Both these sides lean towards 2nd half goals so expect the 2nd half to be more eventful. We will be laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15 min's trading out ideally before a goal. We will also be laying the draw trading out after a goal and putting £5 on the 0-0. We shouldn't need anymore cover but if you are getting that goalless feeling in the 2nd half grab some more. Usual trade out plan if things go wrong.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45, layed over 2.5 goals at 2.10 and put £5 on the 0-0 at 12. No suprises for us here as the match went as expected. No goal came before we traded out of the goals bet at 2.42 with £42. The opener came just before the break from Hull for us to trade out at 4.0 with just over £86, deciding on equalising the profit as we expected this to end in a draw. So overall £15.
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Profit made on this trade = £15
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| Date: 29/11/08 |
| Time: 15.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: Catania V Lecce - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Catania at home this season have been solid wining 6 of their last 7. Lecce are still searching for their 1st away win this season but they will need to improve to win here. Head to head they don't have much history and nothing recent worth mentioning. We aren't expecting many goals here as neither team has high scoring trends but we should see Catania on the scoresheet as they rarely fail to score at home. When Catania play bottom half teams a low scoring match is prominent as well as a lack of 1st half goals. To support this when Lecce have played similar teams with Catania's form over the last few season 80% of these matches have finished under 2.5 goals. We will be laying over 2.5 goals here, trading out 10-15min's in ideally before a goal. We will also be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be taking £10 of cover on the 0-0 here which hopefully we can cover with the goals trade. Usual plan if things go against us.
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Our Trading Result:
We managed to lay the draw at 2.92 as the odds fluctuated shortly after the match turned inplay. We also layed over 2.5 goals at 2.34 and put £10 on the 0-0 at 9.6. Another match which went as expected although Catania did deserved the win. No goal before we traded out on the goals trade at 2.76 with £39. The opener came 61min's in for the odds to drift nicely on the draw to 5.7 for us to trade out with £50 for an overall profit of £41
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Profit made on this trade = £41
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| Date: 30/11/08 |
| Time: 14.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: Roma V Fiorentina - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Yes its another Roma match! If you have followed them in recent weeks you will understand why. They have been particularly impressive off late winning 4 of their last 5 and will look to continue their superb home record which has seen only 1 defeat in the last 20, winning 17 of them. Fiorentina have a poor record in Rome and they have looked pretty average of late failing to put together back to back wins for around 6 weeks now. They do have a good bounce back record and after being eliminated from the Champions League in mid-week they should come out guns blazing. Personally we see both sides scoring here but a Roma win. H2H is in Roma's favour but in recent years the draw is prominent which would be our 2nd choice. Of the 60 goals these two have seen in their matches this season only 1 has come inside 10 min's so we should be safe to lay over 2.5 goals for 10 min's and trade out before a goal, usual recovery if it goes against us. We will also be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, with £5 of cover on the 0-0. Its not very likely but if your getting that goalless feeling, grab some more cover inplay on the 0-0.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45, layed over 2.5 at 1.96 and backed the 0-0 at 13 with £5. No goal before we traded out at 2.12 with £44 on the goals trade. Roma were the dominant side as expected, they took the lead midway through the 2nd half for us to trade out at 4.7 with £70 for an overall profit of £29
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Profit made on this trade = £29
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| Date: 30/11/08 |
| Time: 16.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: - SCORE: 0 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Wolfsburg on the road usually means one thing, goals! They practically always concede and score (22 goals scored and 20 conceded in their last 10). This obviously lead's to high scoring results with around 80% of their away games finishing over 2.5 goals. In their most recent 2 H2H meetings their was a clear difference in offensive ability with Wolfsburg scoring 8 goals compared to the two goals scored by Dortmund. We aren't expecting such a difference in the scoreline this time out as both sides have hit some decent form in recent weeks, a 2-2 draw would be a more likely result. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's trading out ideally before a goal as a side trade and putting £5 on the 0-0 at the 19 that is currently available, (looking to cover this with the goals bet). We will then look at the over 2.5 goals market inplay as a small side trade as we expect to definitely see goals here, staggering our stake for value. This is another match where 2nd half goals are more prominent so if its goalless at HT we won't trade out at HT as usual on the goals trade preferring to wait for a goal or two in the 2nd half.
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Our Trading Result:
We backed under 2.5 goals here 2.56, backed 0-0 at 19.5 with £5 and layed the draw at average odds of 3.4. No goal before traded out on the under 2.5 goals trade at 2.28 with £50 which gave us cover for the 0-0 bet as planned. Not the game we were expecting but we followed the preview having a £25 bet on over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.88. Whilst it was obvious to most we didn't mention grab some more cover on the 0-0 or cutting your potential loss on over 2.5 so we won't report the additional cover or minimised loss. We traded out with the loss on the draw here following our normal plan if its still goalless getting 1.80 matched, unfortunately one of the few Bundesliga matches to let us down this season so overall a loss of £83
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Profit made on this trade = -£83
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| Date: 30/11/08 |
| Time: 19.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: - SCORE: 3 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Palermo usually rise to the occasion against top 6 teams but this season they have failed to hold the two top 6 sides they have met so far and continue to slip in their chase for a European place. Milan are now unbeaten in 11 matches so Palermo will have to be pretty motivated here as they can't continue to drop points. They managed to pull off a 2-1 win in their last H2H meeting so we won't be surprised if it happened again. Milan are without a host of players including Kaka whilst Palermo will be able to field their best team with practically no selection issues. We are not sure what we will see here but we should see Milan on the score sheet. So far this season only 1 of the 50+ goals they have seen between them has been scored in the 1st 10 min's in their matches so we should be able to lay over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so and trade out ideally before a goal. If we see a goal we will follow the usual plan. The main trade here will be lay the draw and trade out after a goal as we will be able to profit whoever scores 1st. If you want to use the potential profit on the goals trade to cover the 0-0 please feel free. Obviously if you are getting that goalless feeling later in the match grab yourself some additional cover.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed over 2.5 goals at 2.24, backed the 0-0 with £5 at 10 and layed the draw inplay at 3.25. No goals as expected early on so we were able to trade out of the goals bet at average odds of 2.52 with just over £44. Palermo were on a mission here so we weren't suprised when they took the lead. The odds didn't move much but we managed to get out at 3.7 with £88 for £11 overall. Lots of members felt they would score again so waited a while and were rewarded shortly after with another goal for odds of around 10.
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Profit made on this trade = £11
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