Traders Advantage Results

May 2009 trading advice given

Profit for Month = £548

Trades Completed Summary
(For a detailed summary of each trade see the detailed results table below)

Date
Teams
Score
Profit
01/05/09
Bochum V Hannover
0 - 2
£0
02/05/09
Karlsruher V Energie Cottbus
0 - 0
-£22
02/05/09
Portsmouth V Arsenal
0 - 3
£32
02/05/09
Real Madrid V Barcelona
2 - 6
£24
03/05/09
Palermo V Cagliari
5 - 1
£28
03/05/09
FC Koln V W. Bremen
1 - 0
£5
03/05/09
Espanyol V Valencia
3 - 0
-£2
04/05/09
Aston Villa V Hull
1 - 0
£41
05/05/09
Arsenal V Manchester Utd
1 - 3
£12
06/05/09
Chelsea V Barcelona
1 - 1
£13
07/05/09
Hamburg V W Bremen
2 - 3
£11
08/05/09
Scunthorpe V MK Dons
1 - 1
£11
09/05/09
Stuttgart V Wolfsburg
4 - 1
£14
09/05/09
Hull V Stoke
1 - 2
£13
09/05/09
Ath Bilbao V Real Betis
1 - 0
£24
10/05/09
Cagliari V Roma
2 - 2
£10
10/05/09
W Bremen V Hamburg
2 - 0
£30
10/05/09
Arsenal V Chelsea
1 - 4
£23
11/05/09
Newcastle V Middlesbrough
3 - 1
£28
13/05/09
Cottbus V M. Gladbach
0 - 1
-£25
13/05/09
Schalke V Stuttgart
1 - 2
£12
15/05/09
Brest V Lens
3 - 1
£15
16/05/09
Middlesbrough V Aston Villa
1 - 1
£12
16/05/09
Bolton V Hull
1 - 1
£26
17/05/09
Bologna V Lecce
2 - 1
£10
17/05/09
Gijon V Malaga
2 - 1
£21
18/05/09
Portsmouth V Sunderland
3 - 1
£8
19/05/09
Zwolle V Cambuur
2 - 1
£22
20/05/09
Shakhtar V W.Bremen
1 - 1
£16
21/05/09
Lyn V Valerenga
4 - 4
£16
22/05/09
Inverness V Falkirk
0 - 1
-£25
23/05/09
MGladbach V Dortmund
1 - 1
-£6
23/05/09
Malaga V Real Betis
1 - 1
-£4
24/05/09
Sampdoria V Udinese
2 - 2
£7
24/05/09
West Ham V Middlesbrough
2 - 1
£34
24/05/09
Aston Villa V Newcastle
1 - 0
£22
25/05/09
Aalesund V Stabaek
1 - 0
-£7
26/05/09
Djurgarden V Hacken
1 - 0
£20
27/05/09
Barcelona V Manchester Utd
2 - 0
£21
28/05/09
Breda V Groningen
1 - 1
-£9
30/05/09
Leverkusen V W Bremen
0 - 1
£18
30/05/09
Mallorca V Villarreal
2 - 3
£18
31/05/09
Fiorentina V AC Milan
0 - 2
£21
31/05/09
Santander V Getafe
1 - 1
£11

 

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Trades Completed in Detail



Date: 01/05/09
Time: 19.30 GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Bochum V Hannover - SCORE: 0 - 2
Our Recommendation:
These bottom 3rd of the table Bundesliga clashes at this time of the season rarely fail to impress. Historically we see an increase in goals scored and with strong trends supporting both sides scoring it should be entertaining. H2H Bochum haven't failed to score past Hannover in the last 10 with a strong win record over them and with midfielder Stanislav Sestak on fire at the moment having scored 5 goals in his last 2 games we can't see Hannover keeping a clean sheet. Bochum look the more likely winner here and with Hannover's shocking away record this season (still yet to win, losing 86%) we should see them move a little further from the relegation zone. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we aren't as worried about the away side scoring 1st here (why we cancelled yesterday's trade) but its worth staggering your stake for a little safety. We will also be backing over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as a side trade, out at HT for no loss on under 2.5 as usual if its goalless. Backing further with a few quid as the odds drift for a little safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.6 with £65 before the goal, backed over 2.5 goals at 1.94 with £5 and had £5 on the 0-0 at 16.5. Bochum took the lead for us to trade out at 3.75 on the draw trade with £62 and 1.37 on the goals trade for a break even trade. Those who waited would have benefited from a decent odds movement after the 2nd. So overall no profit here.


Profit made on this trade = £0



Date: 02/05/09
Time: 14.30 GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Karlsruher V Energie Cottbus - SCORE: 0 - 0
Our Recommendation:
This one is one of the most important matches this weekend in the Bundesliga. Karlsruher sit at the foot of the table but come into this match after a moral boosting win over Leverkusen and will be eager to record another victory to leave the bottom of the table. Their opponents here shocked table toppers Wolfsburg last week by playing out of their skin so this should be a great game between two sides who desperately need points. H2H the away side hasn't won in the last 15 H2H encounters and looking just at Karlsruher at home they have a strong win record over Cottbus. Cottbus have a very poor defensive record on their travels so expect them to concede and considering the last 7 H2H matches have seen both sides on the score sheet we should see both sides registering again here. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (laying with the same stake, to move the loss onto over 2.5) We will then look to back further as the odds drift if concerned the game looks good for 3 goals after the break. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 if goalless on the draw as usual.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 12.5, 6.2 and 2.8 with £30 overall and backed over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half at average odds of 3.8. No goal before the break and only 1 shot on goal so we traded out with the loss on over 2.5 as usual. The 2nd half saw Karlsruher try hard for the winner but couldn't hit a barn door, so unfortunately no goal. As planned we got out at 1.8 (getting 1.86 as the odds jumped a little) with the loss on the draw as usual. We did back over 2.5 goals again for a little safety at 11.5 with £5 so a loss of £5 on the goals trade but we were had covered ourselves fairly well on the draw by the 0-0 bets so overall a £22 loss.


Profit made on this trade =
£22


Date: 02/05/09
Time: 15.00 GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Portsmouth V Arsenal - SCORE: 0 - 3

Our Recommendation:
Both sides need at least one more victory in the league, Pompey to secure Premiership survival and Arsenal to secure their place in the Champions League play offs. Whilst Wenger is likely to rest key players here in anticipation of Tuesday's match against Utd they won't want to go into this vital match on the back of another loss. Arsenal Wenger knows better than most that the best preparation for any game is having won your previous one, and to entertain United at the Emirates next week on the back of two straight defeats would do their morale no good at all. We expect Arsenal's youngsters to secure at least a draw here. Arsenal have scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 on their travels which is what we again expect to see here. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (laying with the same stake, to move the loss onto over 2.5) We will then look to back further as the odds drift if concerned the game looks good for 3 goals after the break. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 if goalless on the draw as usual.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35 backed the 0-0 with £7 at 11.5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £10 at 2.54 before the goal. Arsenal opened the scoring for us to trade out at 4.8 on the draw with £65 and 1.63 with £14 on the goals trade for £32 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £32



Date: 02/05/09
Time: 19.00 GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Real Madrid V Barcelona - SCORE: 2 - 6
Our Recommendation:
Its the 158th edition of El Clasico! Talk about timing for Barca, bang in the middle of tough Champions League Semi Final with Chelsea. Real are only 4 points behind Barcelona and this could be cut to just 1 with a win here. Barca will be desperate to hang onto their lead and definitely won't want to suffer as they did last year at the same time with a 4-1 defeat. Something has to give here as the Barca side are battered and bruised, from the the Chelsea game so if they fight hard here it might play to Chelsea's advantage. Personally we feel both sides will be happy with a draw but neither side is likely to play for this. Real nearly always start the stronger when these two meet at Bernabeu and will be desperate for the points to close the gap so we won't be surprised if they open the scoring fairly early on but it should be a formality that Barca also register. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (laying with the same stake, to move the loss onto over 2.5) We will then look to back further as the odds drift if concerned the game looks good for 3 goals after the break. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 if goalless on the draw as usual.

Our Trading Result:
What a game! We layed the draw at 3.5 backed over 2.5 goals at 2.0 with £10 just before the goal and backed the 0-0 at 17.5 with £5. Real opened the scoring as expected for us to trade out at 4.5 with £75 and 1.35 on the goals with £10 for £24 overall. Lots of members reported getting back in after the equaliser which would have paid off, we just kept it simple.



Profit made on this trade = £24



Date: 03/05/09
Time: 14.00 GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Palermo V Cagliari - SCORE: 5 - 1
Our Recommendation:
European Qualification is on the line here so expect a hard fought encounter from two sides on the same points. Palermo have gone on record that this the the game of the season for us a must win so we have commitment from them they will be focus here. Cagliari will be missing Lopez in defense so considering he hold their defense together we are pretty confident Palermo will score. You can't write Cagliari off as they have been very impressive this season improving every week having moved from the foot of the table 5 games in and now find themselves in 7th. This is a game we expect both sides to score in and a 1st half goal which is supported well statistically against similar sides. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (laying with the same stake, to move the loss onto over 2.5) We will then look to back further as the odds drift if concerned the game looks good for 3 goals after the break. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 if goalless on the draw as usual.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4, backed over 2.56 goals with £8 at 2.2 and backed the 0-0 at 14.5 with £7. Palermo opened the scoring for us to trade out at 4.9 on the draw with £66 and 1.62 on the goals trade with £10 for £28 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £28



Date: 03/05/09
Time: 16.00 GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: FC Koln V W.Bremen - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Werder Bremen are sitting 10th in the Bundesliga table and nothing left to play for domestically. They will almost certainly rest several key players for the UEFA Cup semi-final second leg against Hamburg, plus they also have the DFB Pokal final to focus on and qualify for Europe next season. Koln just aren't there yet and could do with a few more points to secure Bundesliga football next season so we expect them to take advantage of Bremen's weakened side and secure a home win or at least a point. H2H Bremen have won the last 5 meetings convincingly, it should be a little closer this time out. Both sides will probably score and over 2.5 goals looks on the cards. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (laying with the same stake, to move the loss onto over 2.5) We will then look to back further as the odds drift if concerned the game looks good for 3 goals after the break. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 if goalless on the draw as usual.


Our Trading Result:
As expected FC Koln won! We layed the draw at average odds of 3.35 backed the 0-0 at 18.5 and 7.6 with £15 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.35. No goal before the break so we traded out at average odds of 4.8 backing further at 8.2 after the break with £10. Koln opened the scoring for us to minimise the potential loss on overs getting out at 3.05 and enabling us to trade out of the draw trade at 4.1 with £80 for £5 overall. We did dutch Koln and the draw for an extra £30 after they took the lead but obviously not in the preview so not a reportable profit.


Profit made on this trade = £5



Date: 03/05/09
Time: 18.00 GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Espanyol V Valencia - SCORE: 3 - 0
Our Recommendation:
There has been something magical going on at Espanyol in recent weeks. Los Pericos were sitting at the foot of the table and odds on for the drop. Now on a run of 5 games unbeaten they look to be avoiding 2nd division football in their new stadium next season. Valencia have also been much improved in recent weeks and find themselves only 1 point behind Sevilla and that very desirable Champions League spot, so expect them to be highly focused here. Considering both sides recent form they will probably share the spoils here but both sides scoring looks on the cards with a strong start from Espanyol. Same plan as the previous two trades, but as the draw odds are a little high so please feel free to chase a shorter price inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 14.5, 6.4 and 4.9 with £20 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.45. No goal before the break so we got out at average odds of 5.6 for no loss on under as usual. We backed over again further at 8.4 and 11.5 with £10 getting out at 3 after Espanyol scored minimising our potential loss should the game finish over 2.5. We also were able to trade out of the draw trade at 4.1 with £76. A last minute goal from Espanyol meant we saw 3 goals after the break so a loss on the goals trade, 1st one in ages so overall a loss of £2.



Profit made on this trade = £2



Date: 04/05/09
Time: 20.00 GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Aston Villa V Hull - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:
The two most out of form sides in the Premiership meet both needing a win, Villa to continue their chase of European football and Hull to secure a 2nd season in the upper echelons of English football. Villa haven't won in 13 games and Hull have only picked up 1 win this year so both sides should be focused on playing for the win. There has been signs from Villa they are turning a corner with 3 back to back draws coming into this match and with Luke Young, Gabby and Reo-Coker likely to feature we should see a strong Villa side take the field. Another positive point worth noting is Villa can boast five different scorers in their last three matches so plenty of players wearing their scoring boots for this encounter. Hull have continued to freefall this year and despite a few decent individual performances they haven't looked like improving. Its hard to be objective as Villa fans but they should be able to dispose of this Hull side so we will be backing Villa and trading out after they take the lead or draw level. If you want to see how play develops it makes sense to get some on before kick off and the rest on inplay. If Villa go behind early we will consider backing them again for higher average odds (don't do this if they don't look like pulling it back). If they go behind later in the match we will look to lay Hull at short odds, again only if Villa look like pulling it back. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 for safety £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay and will be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as over 2.5 goals looks likely with a 1st half goal. Usual recovery if its goalless at the break.

Our Trading Result:
We backed Villa at average odds of 1.63, backed the 0-0 at 13.5 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £35 at average odds of 2.62. Villa opened the scoring as expected for us to trade out at 1.23 with £110 and 1.81 on the goals trade with £47 for an overall profit of £41.


Profit made on this trade = £41



Date: 05/05/09
Time: 19.45 GMT
Fixture: Champions League
Teams: Arsenal V Manchester Utd - SCORE: 1 - 3
Our Recommendation:

Utd carry only a 1 goal lead into this 2nd leg leaving it all to play for here. The bookies seem to have under estimated Arsenal's chances here, well that's what we feel. They are unbeaten in 24 Champions League matches at home and have only lost once in United's last ten visits overall. Furthermore, they're yet to even concede a goal at home during this campaign. Whilst this might not be the best Arsenal side we have seen in recent year's they are overdue a Champions League title and rarely fail to rise to the occasion on home turf. Whilst it is pretty obvious who we want to see progress Utd are very likely to fight for an early lead and if this happens the game is all over. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. Whilst statistically a low scoring game looks likely we are expecting the deadlock to be broken before the break so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift with a few quid if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £10 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 backed the 0-0 with £10 at 11 and backed over 2.5 goals at 2.3 with £5 before Utd took the lead. A mistake from Arsenal gave Utd the lead nice and early into the game for us to trade out at 4.6 on the draw with £79 and 1.5 on the goals with £7. About 2 min's later Utd were 2 up for the draw odds to drift way out for those who were confident Utd would build on their lead.


Profit made on this trade = £12



Date: 06/05/09
Time: 19.45 GMT
Fixture: Champions League
Teams: Chelsea V Barcelona - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
A place in the final awaits the winners here. This is the 4th time in five seasons that these two have met in this competition, each having swept each other aside in the knock-out stages on one occasion. The 1st leg match saw Chelsea shut out Barca, something no other side had managed to achieve this season at Camp Nou, but Barca were clearly the more dangerous side. Shutting them out again looks the more likely strategy from Chelsea again here to prevent the away goal and Barca aren't a side you can play attacking football without consequences. A more measured game from Chelsea is likely with Barca likely to bide their time looking to opened them up. Statistically Chelsea have a good chance of progressing and Barca are far from unbeatable on their travels against sides of Chelsea's ranking but simply anything could happen here. We will be following the same plan as yesterday as the odds are very similar and we will be able to profit whoever scores 1st (as long as a goal comes before our usual trade out point). We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. Whilst statistically a low scoring game looks likely we are expecting the deadlock to be broken before the break so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift with a few quid if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.6 backed the 0-0 with £8 at 11.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at 2.28 with £5 before Chelsea took the lead. After the goal we traded out at 4.5 on the draw with £80 and 1.52 on the goals with £7 for overall profit of £13


Profit made on this trade = £13



Date: 07/05/09
Time: 19.45 GMT
Fixture: Uefa Cup
Teams: Hamburg V W Bremen - SCORE: 2 - 3
Our Recommendation:
Here we go again.. Hamburg carry a 1 goal lead from the 1st leg into this 2nd leg meeting at the Nordbank Arena. Whilst Hamburg still have a small chance at the Bundesliga title they will have all their focus on this Uefa Cup encounter. Werder have no choice here with regards to tactics as Hamburg's away goal has forced their hand. Expect Werder to come out all guns blazing which is likely to see Hamburg on the back foot but considering both sides respective home and away records Hamburg should progress into the final. Hamburg haven't failed to score at home this season so we should see this continue here and Werder have only won 1 of their away matches this season against German sides and haven't kept a clean sheet against a similar opponent to Hamburg so goals look likely. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We are expecting the deadlock to be broken before the break so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift with a few quid if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 backed the 0-0 with £7 at 16.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at 2.14 with £7 before Hamburg took the lead. After the goal we traded out at 4.3 on the draw with £84 and 1.44 on the goals trade with £10 for an overall profit of £11. Lots of members reported getting back in after the equaliser as another goal looked highly likely which we also did to boost our profits, but this isn't in the preview so not reportable profit.


Profit made on this trade = £11



Date: 08/05/09
Time: 19.45 GMT
Fixture: League One Play Off
Teams: Scunthorpe V MK Dons - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:

Personally we are surprised to see Scunthorpe in the play offs but respect to them for securing a place. MK Dons are a side we did expect to be here and from their recent form we find it hard to see them not gaining promotion. When these two met a few weeks ago it was MK Dons who secured 3 points which is what we expect to see again here, but we all know anything can happen in these play off games, but at worst the Dons should secure at least a draw which is the strongest supported trend in these play off matches. Under 2.5 goals looks pretty likely mainly because of MK Don's defensive away record on their travels (last 9 finished with less than 2 goals). Saying this we will support a 1st half goal.

We will be laying the draw as the main trade getting out after a goal from either side and as we are expecting the deadlock to be broken before the break so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35 backed the 0-0 with £8 at 11 and had £5 on over 2.5 goals at 2.34 before the opener. Scunthorpe opened the scoring for us to trade out at 4.2 with £79 and 1.62 on the goals trade with £7 for £11 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £11



Date: 09/05/09
Time: 14.30 GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Stuttgart V Wolfsburg - SCORE: 4 - 1
Our Recommendation:
With 4 games to go Wolfsburg top the table so expect Magath's side to be focused on securing the win here. A repeat performance of a similar standard to the 4-0 whipping they gave Hoffenheim last week should see them grab another 3 points and move closer to securing the Bundesliga title. Stuttgart won't make it easy for them and 3 point for them would put them back in the title race so expect a hard fought match from both sides. With the 3 top scorers in the Bundesliga all meeting in this match it shouldn't be goalless. We should be able to profit whoever scores here so we will be laying the draw as the main trade getting out after a goal from either side and as we are expecting the deadlock to be broken before the break will be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
Gomez was on fire here bashing 4 past Wolfsburg, the 1st coming a matter of seconds into the match. We had £80 on the lay bet at 3.7, £5 on the 0-0 at 19.5 and nothing on overs before the goal. After the opener we were able to trade out at 4.8 on the draw with £60 for £14 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £14



Date: 09/05/09
Time: 15.00 GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Hull V Stoke - SCORE: 1 - 2
Our Recommendation:
This is the most important game of Hull's Premiership season and a must win for them. Stoke could also do with another few points to ensure a 2nd season in the Premiership so don't expect them to lay down for this struggling Hull side. Hull come into this match having only won 2 of their last 25 and having lost their last 4. Against Villa on Monday they were highly committed just lacking some quality finishing but against Stoke who have conceded 20 goals in their last 10 away games they have no better opportunity to secure a good result. The last 4 times these two have met it has finished 1-1 and this would be a fair result for both sides but we feel Hull will just edge the win. Both sides scoring looks the most likely outcome so laying the draw is our preferred trade. We will be be laying the draw trading out after a goal from either side and as we are expecting the deadlock to be broken before the break by a Hull we will be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35 backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 4.2 with £37 and backed the 0-0 at 10 with £8 and 4.8 with £10. The opener didn't come from Hull but we saw a 1st half goal as expected for us to trade out at 3.6 on the draw with £93 and 2.46 on the goals with £63 for £13 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £13



Date: 09/05/09
Time: 19.00 GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Ath Bilbao V Real Betis - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:
The Copa del Rey finalists meet relegation threatened Real Betis in this La Liga clash. This match has come at the perfect time for Betis as Bilbao will send out a completely unrecognizable side in preparation of the Copa del Rey final on Wednesday and as they have already secured another season in the La Liga they don't need to win here. Betis need these 3 points so we expect them to be the more motivate and the more likely winners of this encounter. What looks most likely is both sides scoring as Betis having kept a clean sheet in the last 10 on the road and Bilboa practically always score and concede at home. We should be able to profit whoever scores here so will follow the same plan as the previous few trades. We will be be laying the draw trading out after a goal from either side we will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3 backed the 0-0 at 13 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals with £25 at 2.7 before the opener. Again not the side we wanted to see score 1st but again right about a 1st half goal. After Bilboa opened the scoring we traded out at 4 on the draw with £81 and 1.72 on the goals with £39 for £24 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £24



Date: 10/05/09
Time: 14.00 GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Cagliari V Roma - SCORE: 2 - 2
Our Recommendation:
Excusing Cagliari's start to the season and their rather embarrassing loss last week, they have been a very impressive side, especially at home. Their main strength comes from their defensive ability (2nd only to Inter) which has seen them steadily rise up the table to now occupy 8th place, just 4 points behind Roma who are sitting in the last European spot. This is obviously going to be a hard fought match as both sides will want to qualify for Europe, we might even have a punt on a red card. Cagliari seem to have found their scoring boots in the last few weeks which has seen them score in the last 6 consecutive matches so expect them on the score sheet. This is supported by Roma's shocking defensive record on their travels which has seen them concede 21 goals in the last 10. Roma scoring also looks likely but we have more confidence that Cagliari will emerge winners here, or worst case avoid defeat which is exactly what they have done in the last 7 H2H meetings at home. We will be be laying the draw trading out after a goal from either side we will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45, backed the 0-0 at 15.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.36 with £21 before the goal. Matri opened the scoring for Cagliari for us to trade out at 3.75 with £92 and 1.68 on the goals trade with £29 for £10 profit.



Profit made on this trade = £10



Date: 10/05/09
Time: 16.00 GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: W Bremen V Hamburg - SCORE: 2 - 0
Our Recommendation:
These two meet yet again! This is the 4th time in the last 3 weeks we have traded on these two. So far its Werder who have come out on top ending Hamburg's dream of winning the DFB Pokal and eliminated them in the UEFA Cup. In the Bundesliga Hamburg are currently trailing Wolfsburg by 5 points and they can’t afford to lose any more, and they definitely won't want to lose to Werder again so expect a highly focused Hamburg side for this match. Werder domestically have nothing left to play for and should be resting most of their key players in preparation of the two cup finals so Hamburg should secure 3 points here. As usual goals are expect so we will be following the standard plan of laying the draw trading out after a goal from either side and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.6, backed the 0-0 with £7 at 18 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.72 with £38 before the opener. Hamburg have confirmed this Werder side are their Bogey side with yet another loss. After Werder's opener we traded out at 4.2 on the draw with £86 and 1.8 on the goals trade with £50 for £30 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £30



Date: 10/05/09
Time: 16.00 GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Arsenal V Chelsea - SCORE: 1 - 4
Our Recommendation:
Both sides come into this match after disappointing exits from the Champions League, Chelsea obviously the more upset. With pride and bragging rights being the only thing up for grabs here we are not sure how motivated these two will be but we will support both sides scoring which happens in around 85% of big 4 clashes. Chelsea have seen 5 of their last 6 go into the break goalless but against big 4 sides they have been behind at the break in 8 of the last 10. This puts us in two minds about the goals market so we will make a judgment call on the side trade inplay during the 1st half (obviously if its end to end and goals look likely its worth trade) but the main trade will be laying the draw, trading out after a goal with £8 of cover on the 0-0 initially, backing further if concerned.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 with £8 at 11 and backed over 2.5 goals at 3.1 with £18 before the opener from the dominant Chelsea side. We traded out at 4.2 on the draw with £80 and 1.75 on the goals trade with £32 for an overall profit of £23.


Profit made on this trade = £23



Date: 11/05/09
Time: 19.45 GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Newcastle V Middlesbrough - SCORE: 3 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Both these two are sitting at the foot of the table level on points with bottom placed West Brom. This is a must win game for both sided and with this being probably the easiest fixture of the 3 remaining for Newcastle a loss here is likely to see them playing Championship football next season. The same goes for Middlesbrough. Historically this Tyne-Tees derby is one of the most difficult in the Premier League to secure 3 points and has seen the last 4 end in a draw. Whilst the draw is well supported historically there is no way either side will be playing for it this time out and considering both have shocking defensive records (especially Boro on the road) and likes of Owen, Martins and Downing all fired up like this is a Cup Final we should see the deadlock broken fairly early. We will opposes the 0-0 HT trend these two have and support a 1st half goal. So will be following a plan you have all seen quite a lot lately and laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side (you might want to chase a shorter average price incase Boro open the scoring so you have enough profit to cover you 0-0 bet) and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We were expecting an early goal here but the draw odds didn't shorten to a desirable price until after the equaliser. So all we had on when Boro opened the scoring was £5 on over 2.5 goals at 2.2 (getting out at 1.4 with £7) and £8 on the 0-0. As it was only 9 min's in after the 2nd and end to end we opted to lay the draw as originally planned at 3.45 which was what most members reported doing and what we advised those who asked. The next goal followed from Newcastle in the 2nd half before our usual trade out point for us to get out at 5.3 with £65 for £28 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £28



Date: 13/05/09
Time: 19.00 GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Cottbus V M. Gladbach - SCORE: 0 - 1
Our Recommendation:
This is a must win game for both sides or the 2nd tier of Bundesliga football is on the cards. In general when these two meet with Energie Cottbus at home its end to end with both sides scoring. We have no reason to expect anything less here. Gladbach come into this match after a surprised win against Schalke which shows they are fighting for survival so we won't be surprised if they emerge winners here. Whilst these two usually see a 0-0 scoreline at the break when they meet similar sides, there is enough to challenge this when you consider how sides who need a win perform, so we will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half and laying the draw as a main trade, getting out after a goal from either side or at 1.8 if it remains goalless as usual. We will be backing the 0-0 with £7 initially, backing further if concerned inplay and will be following the usual plan on the goals trade if its goalless at the break.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3 backed the 0-0 at 13, and 5.5 with £20 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.1. Both sides obviously were fighting hard here but lacked finishing. We went into the break goalless so managed to get out of the goals trade at 5.4 for no loss on under 2.5 as usual. No real reason to back overs again after the break but we did at 12 with £5 for some safety which gave us a £5 loss on overs. The draw odds got to our usual trade out point for us to get out at 1.87 with the loss on the draw as usual. Gladbach's last minute winner gave us a loss on the 0-0 bet no loss on the main trade so overall a £25 loss.


Profit made on this trade = -£25



Date: 13/05/09
Time: 19.00 GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Schalke V Stuttgart - SCORE: 1 - 2
Our Recommendation:
Schalke have dropped to 7th in the table following their last two matches (pretty poor showing on their part) and don't have much to play for here. Stuttgart on the other hand impressed with a 4-1 win against table toppers Wolfsburg and currently sit in 4th with it all to play for. Motivation is again likely to play a big part here along with the amazing form of Stuttgart's Mario Gomez, who scored four goals on Saturday. Historically Schalke have a superb home record over Stuttgart winning 9 of the last 10 and remaining undefeated but we have a good feeling this trend will end here. We will be be laying the draw trading out after a goal from either side we will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.55 backed the 0-0 with £5 at 17.5 and backed overs with £5 at 1.9 before the goal. As expected Stuttgart took the lead for us to trade out at average odds of 4.1 with £85 and 1.35 on the goals with £5 for £12 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £12




Date: 15/05/09
Time: 19.30 GMT
Fixture: Ligue 2
Teams: Brest V Lens - SCORE: 3 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Lens are sitting pretty at the top of the table 6 points clear of 2nd place Strasbourg with 3 games to go, so they aren't quite there but a win here would confirm the title. Whilst they have a few 2nd choice players playing in this game they aren't likely to roll over for Brest. Brest need 3 points here more so than Lens as relegation is still possible as only 2 points are separating them from the foot of the table. When these two met back in December it was a easy win for Lens at their home ground, this time out Brest should be more focused and make things a little tougher for the league leaders. This match looks good for both sides scoring with a 1st half goal and more than likely another win for Lens. We will be be laying the draw trading out after a goal from either side we will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £10 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
Another example of a side threatened by relegation being motivated to achieve a great result with a 1st half goal. We layed the draw at 3.05, backed the 0-0 at 9.4 with £10 and backed over 2.5 goals with £8 at average odds of 2.54. Brest opened the scoring for us to trade out at average odds of 3.9 on the draw with £77 and 1.74 on the goals with £11. So overall £15.


Profit made on this trade = £15



Date: 16/05/09
Time: 15.00 GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Middlesbrough V Aston Villa - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
If Boro don't win here they will be playing football in the Championship next season so we should see them playing this match as if their life depended on it. Considering their home form hasn't been that bad and Villa are in shocking form themselves they have a reasonable chance here. H2H Villa do have a much better record winning the last 3 at the Riverside convincingly, but Boro will draw confidence in the fact they have already beaten Villa on the road this season. Villa should also be focused on the win as Everton are sitting just 1 point behind and they won't want to lose their European place so personally we feel they are likely to share the points whiuch suites neither side. This match shouldn't be goalless and more than likely we will see both sides on the score sheet. As their odds are fairly similar we should be able to profit whoever scores 1st so we will laying the draw trading out after a goal from either side, we will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.8 backed the 0-0 with £7 at 13 and regrettably were waiting for a side trade on overs to be accepted when Middlesbrough opened the scoring. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.8 on the draw with £79 for £12 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £12



Date: 16/05/09
Time: 15.00 GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Bolton V Hull - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Bolton's record against bottom 6 sides has seen them only lose 1 of the last 20 so on the face of it Hull shouldn't have a chance. What needs to be considered here is Bolton's motivation. They are safe and took their foot off the gas weeks ago, winning just once in their last 9 games (Middlesbrough). Hull need a win here or they are very likely to be returning to the Championship so are likely to be the more motivated side. They have also put in some decent displays despite not winning of late. With Bolton low on form, goal scoring and motivation, Hull have a good chance here so we have our fingers crossed for them to secure their 2nd win in 20 games. We will be laying the draw trading out after a goal from either side, we will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as we feel Hull could grab an early goal, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.5, backed the 0-0 at 11 with £8 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.8 with £22. Bolton opened the scoring for us to trade out of the draw trade at 4.7 with £74 and 1.82 on the goals with £34 for £26 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £26



Date: 17/05/09
Time: 14.00 GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Bologna V Lecce - SCORE: 2 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Another bottom of the table clash from two teams that are desperate for the points and are good for scoring and conceding. Bologna look the more capable of securing the win here and have hit the back of the net in 9 of their last 10 at home and haven't lost to Lecce in the last 8 matches at their home ground. Lecce found their scoring boots back in April which has given them a fighting chance but defensively they remain very poor and are unlikely to secure a win here. We will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, we will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as an early goal is on the cards, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3 backed the 0-0 at 13 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.96 with £25 before the opener. Lecce opened the scoring just after the half hour mark for us to trade out at 3.45 on the draw with £95 and 1.82 on the goals trade with £40 for a overall profit of £10.



Profit made on this trade = £10



Date: 17/05/09
Time: 15.00 GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Gijon V Malaga - SCORE: 2 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Gijon are desperate for points here and one of the sides we don't want to see go down. This season they have only drawn 1 match which is due to the fact they only focus on attacking and don't give a crap about defending. Unfortunately their opponents here are a side that is motivated by a place in Europe next season. Its going to be close but considering Gijon haven't beaten Malaga on the last 7 attempts and their defensive frailties we are likely to see them lose here. Gijon will come out guns blazing so an early goal looks likely from either side so we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.65, backed the 0-0 with £7 at 16.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.2 with £29 of the £50 we were going to use for this match. Gijon took the lead about 25 min's in for us to trade out at 4.9 on the draw trade and 1.52 on the goal with £40 for an overall profit of £21. Great result for Gijon!


Profit made on this trade = £21



Date: 18/05/09
Time: 20.00 GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Portsmouth V Sunderland - SCORE: 3 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Pompey are safe from relegation thanks to misfiring Newcastle so despite not scoring in the last 4 games and losing 3 of these they will be playing Premiership football next season. Sunderland need a win here to ensure their survival so are likely to be the more motivated side in this encounter. H2H Sunderland haven't beaten Pompey at Fratton Park in 12 years but their motivation here might see this end today and also end their 6 away game goal drought. Despite these two finding it hard to score recently 5 of their last 6 meetings at Fratton Park have seen both sides on the score sheet which is what we expect to see here. will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £10 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 2.98 backed the 0-0 at 9.2 and 5.3 with £18 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.84. We went into the break goalless but pretty confident Pompey would score. As usual if its goalless at the break we got out with the loss on over 2.5 with £25 at average odds of 5.58. After the break we backed over again with £5 at 9.2 for some safety as Pompey had 5 corners in a matter of minutes. This hasn't been needed the last 20 times we traded this market but finally it was worth us backing further for once. Sunderland opened the scoring just before the 60 min mark for us to trade out of the draw trade at 4.1 with £72 (as the equaliser came about 2 min's later feedback from members was lots got out after Pompey took the lead 9 min's later for a bigger profit). After the 2nd we moved the potential loss on overs by backing over 2.5 again at 1.9 to get us green on over 2.5 for no loss on the goals market (this is what we also advised everyone who contacted us). So overall it looks a little complicated but with the dynamic of the match changing in the 2nd half and about 30 min's left after the 2nd it was the same plan we have followed hundreds of times when in this position. So overall only £8 but a great match to watch.


Profit made on this trade = £8



Date: 19/05/09
Time: 19.45 GMT
Fixture: Jupiler
Teams: Zwolle V Cambuur - SCORE: 2 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Zwolle are still in the running for promotion but need a win here to keep their chances alive. Cambuur can still gain promotion but need some very unlikely results to achieve this so probably have resigned to the fact it isn't going to happen this time out. H2H Zwolle haven't lost to Cambuur on the last 8 encounters, winning the last 4 at home. Personally we feel Cambuur have a better side which is much better offensively but at the back they seem to always be one foot off the pace so we expect a highly motivated Zwolle side to continue their undefeated record over Cambuur. Both sides scoring looks pretty likely here (happened in the last 4 meetings) so a side trade on over 2.5 goals makes sense and with the win odds being fairly close we should be able to profit whoever scores 1st. We will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 16 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.06 with £12 before the opener. Zwolle took the lead as expected here for us to trade out at 4.6 on the draw with £76 and 1.45 on the goals with £17 for £22 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £22



Date: 20/05/09
Time: 19.45 GMT
Fixture: UEFA Cup
Teams: Shakhtar V W.Bremen - SCORE: 2 - 1 AET
Our Recommendation:
Well nobody expected Shakhtar to be here but here they are. They come into this match in superb form winning their last 6 consecutive games. Their side has already disposed of Spurs, CSKA, Marseille and Dynamo to get here so they haven't had an easy route and with their attacking style of play have made for a very entertaining side to watch. Werder have been pretty poor domestically this season but have played their best football in the various Cups and now find themselves in two Cup Finals. On paper a full strength Werder should beat this Ukrainian side but missing top scorer Diego and striker Hugo we just don't feel they can win here. Its obviously going to be a great game with Shakhtar's Brazilian players putting on a Samba show and we might just see the 1st Ukrainian side win the UEFA Cup. With both sides having even odds we should be able to profit whoever scores 1st, as long as it comes before our usual trade out point so we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £10 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 12.5 with £10 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.9 with £20 before the opener. As expected a bit of Brazilian magic from Shakhtar saw them take the lead for us to trade out on the draw trade at 4.2 with £81 and 1.75 on the goals trade with £32 for £26 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £16



Date: 21/05/09
Time: 19.00 GMT
Fixture: Tippeligaen
Teams: Lyn V Valerenga - SCORE: 4 - 4
Our Recommendation:
Normally Lyn are a banker for avoiding defeat when these two meet, especially when playing at home. But considering their start to the season, only 1 win from their 9 games and the worst scoring record in the league so far, we would be a little cautious backing them. With their lack of confidence they have been playing very defensively recently so we don't feel a goal frenzy is on the cards but their opponents here have had little problem scoring so expect the deadlock to be broken but defensively Valerenga haven't been difficult to score past so we might even see Lyn register here. Valerenga tend to start the better of these two and have a decent enough record to support a 1st half goal so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals and with the odds being pretty similar we should be able to profit whoever scores 1st by laying the draw.

So to confirm we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
Wow what a match! We layed the draw at average odds of 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 14 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.74 with £18 before the opener. As expected Valerenga started the better and took the lead before the break for us to trade out of the goals trade at 1.91 with £27 and 4.2 on the draw with £82 for £16 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £16



Date: 23/05/09
Time: 12.30 GMT
Fixture: Clydesdale Premier
Teams: Inverness V Falkirk - SCORE: 0 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Two months ago Falkirk we down and out but under Butcher they have definitely improved and now have a final opportunity to secure another season in the Clydesdale Premier with a win here. Inverness are in a similar boat and have improved in recent weeks under the treat of relegation scoring in the last 6 consecutive games. These two have met 5 times this season with Falkirk winning 3 of these matches losing just once. The last H2H encounter was won convincingly by Falkirk 4-0. Its obviously going to be a tough game with both sides needing to win here so another 4-0 doesn't look likely. We feel a scoreline which see's both sides scoring looks on the cards which has happened in Invernesses last 5 games and a 1st half goal. So we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.36 backed the 0-0 at 11.5, and 4.2 with £25 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at avergae odds of 4.6. Inverness lost Tokely about 40 mins in to go down to 10 men so we felt Falkirk would definately take advanage of this. No goal before the break so we got of of the overs trade for no loss at 6.8 as planned. Unfortunately no go before our usual trade out point so we got out at avarage odds of 1.78 for no loss on the win. As expected Falkirk took the lead a little later in the match for us to end £25 down from the loss on the 0-0 trade.



Profit made on this trade = -£25



Date: 23/05/09
Time: 14.30 GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: MGladbach V Dortmund - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Gladbach need 1 more point to ensure Bundesliga football next season and Dortmund will qualify for Europe if they win here so both sides should be motivated. Dortmund are currently in superb form and have won 8 of their last 10 games, losing just once and they have an 85% win record against poor home sides similar to Gladbach this season, so we will be surprised if the home side win here. This is also supported by a Gladbach losing 90% of their meetings against sides with a run of form similar to Dortmund. What makes us a little nervous about backing Dortmund outright is they have a problem with going behind against these sides so we prefer to lay the draw here. As the odds could go against us if Gladbach open the scoring, staggering our lay stake makes sense here for lower average odds or if you are concerned about the early goal getting in on over 2.5 goals earlier than normal will offset any potential loss if Gladbach take the lead early on. So to confirm we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, staggering our lay stake for lower average odds and if we feel an early goal is coming we will look to cover over 2.5 earlier than normal (still staggering our stake as usual, just a little earlier if concerned). We will also grab some cover on the 0-0 £5 initially and will get out at 1.8 if its goalless on the draw as usual.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at averge odds of 3.49 backed the 0-0 at 18.5 and 6.5 with £15 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.78 with £25. We went into the break goalless so we traded out of the goals trade for no loss on under as planned getting out at avergae odds of 3.75. As we felt this match could have 3 in the 2nd half we backed over 2.5 again at 6.2 with £10 after the break. Gladbach opened the scoring 57 min's in (typical Dormund, conceding 1st as expected) so we traded out at average odds of 3.65 with £96 on the draw. After Dortmund equalised we traded out of the goals trade at 2.0 with £40. We did have a few more bets on this market as some of you know to secure a small overall profit but not reportable so overall £5 loss.


Profit made on this trade = -£6



Date: 23/05/09
Time: 20.00 GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Malaga V Real Betis - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Malaga still have an outside chance of qualifying for the Europa League and Betis are desperate for 3 points to avoid relegation so we should see an entertaining match. Miracles have been performed with this Malaga side on a shoe string budget and they come into this match with a 75% win record against similar sides. Betis have been shocking this season and considering the 20 million they had to spend on new talent to simply move down the table and face relegation, its been a very poor return on investment. They carry a 70% losing record into this game against simlar ranked sides. The reverse fixture finished 2-1 to Malaga, a similar result looks likely here. The odds are set up perfectly for a lay the draw trade here so we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £7 initially, backing further if concerned inplay and will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half following the usual plan if its goalless at the break. We will get out at 1.8 on the draw as usual with the loss on the draw if its goalless at this point.

Our Trading Result:
To top off a crap day of trading Betfair though it would be funny to remove the inplay market from this match! We layed the draw with £40 before the market was suspended at 3.6, backed the 0-0 with £7 and didn't have anything on the goals market. Betis took the lead 42 min's in. Thankfully Betfair reinstated the inplay market through the break for us to trade out of the draw at 3.9 with £37. So overall a loss of £4.



Profit made on this trade = -£4



Date: 24/05/09
Time: 14.00 GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Sampdoria V Udinese - SCORE: 2 - 2
Our Recommendation:
Sampdoria have nothing left to play for in their remaining two matches so we don't expect much from them in this meeting. Udinese have been inconsistent this season but recently have been on a excellent run of form and come in to this game on the back of 6 consecutive wins. This has now put them in a great position with a chance of securing the 6th European place. Udinese are missing some key players but they have still been able to score hit the back of the net at least twice in their last 5 games, so they should have enough to secure a win over a side that has nothing left to play for. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £5 initially, backing further if concerned inplay and will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half following the usual plan if its goalless at the break. We will get out at 1.8 on the draw as usual with the loss on the draw if its goalless at this point although these two haven't had a goalless encounter in over 20 meetings so it doesn't look likely.

Our Trading Result:
A more motivated Sampdoria side than expected here but still a winning trade. We layed the draw at 3.6 with £65 of the £100 we were planing to get on before the opener and backed the 0-0 at 16.5 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals at 1.8 with £5. Udinese took an early lead for us to trade out at 1.38 on the goals trade with £5 and 4.6 with £50 on the draw trade for £7 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £7



Date: 24/05/09
Time: 16.00 GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: West Ham V Middlesbrough - SCORE: 2 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Middlesbrough are under some serious pressure here and even 3 points might not save them as they need a few other match results to go their way. It doesn't look good on paper for Boro as the Hammers haven't lost in over 10 meetings against bottom 6 sides. Boro will also have to overcome a record that has seen them only win 1 of their last 10 against similar opponents and fail to score on the road in 8 of their last 10. The Hammer have little left to play for here but will want to finish above Spurs for bragging rights whether this is enough of a motivator for the home side we will have to see. We will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 13 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals with £34 before the opener at avergage odds of 2.76. As expected the Hammers took the lead for us to trade out at 4.7 on the draw trade with £73 and 1.96 on the goals trade with £45 for £34 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £34



Date: 24/05/09
Time: 16.00 GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams:Aston Villa V Newcastle - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Are Villa going to roll over her for a desperate Newcastle side? No is the answer, whilst most Villa fans were dreaming of the Champions League midway through the season we are now in a position where Everton could secure the the last Europa League spot so nothing but a win will do for Villa here. When Villa have met simular sides this season all of these encounters have finshed over 2.5 goals with £70 of these seeing a 1st half goal, which is what we expect to see here. This is supported by the fact Newcastle have concede in the 1st half on 75% of occassions this season. Last season Villa batter Newcastle 4-1, whilst this isn't that likely here as they fight for survival, we should see an open and entertaining match from these two. Same plan here as the other games. We will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 15 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.36 with £36 before the opener. Villa opened the scoring for us to trade out at average odds of 1.93 on the goals trade with £42 and 4.5 on the draw trade with £75 for £22 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £22



Date: 25/05/09
Time: 18.00 GMT
Fixture: Tippeligaen
Teams: Aalesund V Stabaek - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Not the start to the season we were expecting from Stabaek but they still have plenty of time to turn things around. Aalesund were publicly humiliated by Kjetil Rekdal’s last time out so will either rise to the occasion or what we expect, suffer another ear bashing from Rekdal when the final whistle blows as they suffer back to back losses. Saying this we should still see a competitive match with chances from both sides. H2H the last 6 meetings between these two have seen both sides scoring with Aalesund failing to win any of these encounters. Neither side plays defensively so we have no reason to oppose this happening in this encounter. Stabaek have a bad habit of going behind before the break but we feel they should for once take the lead early. We will be laying the draw trading out after a goal here, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half (not much liquidity so you might want to keep stakes low), following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.45, backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.92 with £23 before the break and backed the 0-0 at 18 and 5.8 with £15 overall. Nearly a goal or two before the break but regrettably we went into half time goalless so traded out with the loss on overs, backing further after the break at 6.4 getting out again after the goal to minimise the potential loss should the match see 3 goals. After Aalesund took the lead we traded out at average odds of 3.8 on the draw (most members reported waiting for decent odds and ending in a profit but we felt it best to close the trade considering Stabaek's record over the home side). So overall a small loss of £7.


Profit made on this trade = -£7



Date: 26/05/09
Time: 18.00 GMT
Fixture: Allsvenskan
Teams: Djurgarden V Hacken - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:

Two sides here that haven't had the best start to the season. Hacken historically have a decent record against bottom half sides over the last few seasons, winning around 75% of their fixtures but so far this season they have lost 4 of their 5 away games, but things are looking up. Their last away outing saw them beat bottom placed Orgryte which they followed up with a very impressive 3-0 win over 3rd placed Helsingborg so will be full of confidence coming into this match. Djurgarden have been shipping goals recently conceding 15 in the last 7 matches so a Hacken side full of confidence shouldn't have any issues breaking the deadlock, but defensively they also look suspect. The last 3 times these two have met at Djurgarden's home ground we have seen a 2-1 result, both sides scoring looks again likely here. We will be laying the draw trading out after a goal here, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half (not much liquidity so you might want to keep stakes low, also they will drift quickly for this match so don't get all your stake on before 35 min's in), following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.39 backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.4 with £25 and backed the 0-0 at 11 and 6.8 with £14 overall. Djurgarden were the better side and deserved their lead which came at the perfect time for us to trade out at 2.52 on the goals trade with £34 and 4.6 on the draw trade with £72 for £20 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £20



Date: 27/05/09
Time: 19.45 GMT
Fixture: Champions League
Teams: Barcelona V Manchester Utd - SCORE: 2 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Two world class sides here in the most important game in the football calendar. There isn't much between them and it could go either way. Personally we feel both sides will get on the scoresheet with a busier 2nd half. It would be nice to see a full time winner here but penalties might be needed to separate them. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be grabbing £10 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay and backing under 2.5 goals, trading ideally before a goal around 10 min's in (obviously sooner if concerned a goal is coming). If one comes we will back again for higher average odds and hopefully trading out when the odds equalise.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 backed under 2.5 goals at 1.8 with £50 and backed the 0-0 at 10 with £10. Good start from Utd but it was Barca who took the lead 10 min's in. This enabled us to trade out of the draw trade at 4.7 with £72. As the goal came right on the time we were looking to get out we got caught out (as did lots of members) so backed under 2.5 goals again at 3.05 as highlighted in the preview. No goal before the odds equalised so we were able to trade out again at avergae odds of 2.3 with £105 for us to end up £21 in profit.


Profit made on this trade = £21



Date: 28/05/09
Time: 19.00 GMT
Fixture: Eredivisie
Teams: Breda V Groningen - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
This is the 1st of a 3 games series which will decide which team gets to play in Europe next season. Breda have been on a shocking run which has seen them loose 6 of their last 7 but they come into this match after a superb 4-0 defeat of Feyenoord so they should come in to this match refocused. Groningen have improved in recent weeks as they saw an opportunity of playing in Europe and are now undefeated in 5 winning their last 3 on the road. These two don't like playing each other but it has been Groningen who have the better recent H2H history only losing 1 of the last 7 despite Breda usually looking the better team on the field. Goals look likely here and as the draw odds a pretty even we should be able to profit whoever scores 1st if we lay the draw. So to confirm we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, we will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay and if the over 2.5 goals market forms to a reasonable level (over 15k) we will have a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break. We will get out at 1.8 if its goalless as usual.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.6 backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.77 with £25 and backed the 0-0 at 16.5 and 7.0 with £15 overall. Competative match so we were suprised to go into the break goalless, and should of left backing the 0-0 futher until in the 2nd half in hindsight. As usual we got out at HT on the goals trade at avergae odds of 4.3. Groningen opened the scoring about 10 min's into the 2nd half for us to trade out of the draw trade at average odds of 4.2 with £85. We backed over 2.5 again at 6 after the break with £5 for a little safety but didn't get much of a chance to trade out as the next goal came in injury time. We did do a few other things to end in a small profit here but not reportable as they weren't in the prematch preview so a £9 loss here.



Profit made on this trade = £9



Date: 30/05/09
Time: 19.00 GMT
Fixture: German Cup
Teams: Leverkusen V W Bremen - SCORE: 0 - 1
Our Recommendation:
With both these two having a disappointing domestic season, winning here is their only hope of playing in Europe next year. Bremen have already lost in one final, so Thomas Schaaf’s men won't want to be on the losing side this time out in a competition they have a proud history in, only bettered by Bayern. Considering how these two play and their H2H history we should see both sides scoring ideally with a goal feast. The deadlock being broken before the break looks likely so a side trade on over 2.5 goals should pay off. The main trade will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side or at 1.8 if its goalless at this point. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned although it doesn't look likely and will get out at HT on the goals trade if its goalless as usual, backing after for some safety if concerned.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.55 backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.64 and backed the 0-0 at 17.5 with £7. No goal before the break but we were pretty confident the deadlock would be broken. Despite this we followed the pre match preview and traded out at average odds of 4.2. After the break we backed over 2.5 again with £10 for safety at 6.6. Shortly after Bremen took the lead for us to trade out of the draw trade at 4.7 with £73 and again on the goals trade at 2.84 minimising our potential loss should a few more goals come. So overall £18 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £18



Date: 30/05/09
Time: 20.00 GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Mallorca V Villarreal - SCORE: 2 - 3
Our Recommendation:
Villarreal have everything to play for here and need to win if they want a chance of Champions League football next season (they also need a little help from Almeria who face Atletico, the other side chasing that CL spot). Their opponents here have been fantastic this season and if it wasn't for their poor start they would have been sitting up their with the big boys. Mallorca don't have anything to play for in this encounter despite their good form and their league position won't change whatever the scoreline so they aren't likely to be too bothered by the scoreline, but if they want to finish their season with a home win we will more than likely see Villarreal playing in the Europa league as their record against top half sides on the road has seen them only win 1 of their last 10. Personally we feel Villarreal's desire will overcome Mallorca but both sides scoring looks very likely. We will be laying the draw trading out after a goal here, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.38 backed the 0-0 at 16.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.48 with £19 before the goal. Villarreal opened the scoring as expected for us to trade out at 3.95 on the draw with £85 and 1.6 on the goals trade with £27 for £18 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £18



Date: 31/05/09
Time: 14.00 GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Fiorentina V AC Milan - SCORE: 0 - 2
Our Recommendation:
These two are guaranteed a top 4 place and Champions League football next season but neither will want to finish 4th as they will have to cut their summer break short are return to training for the 4th placed preliminary, so expect both sides focused on the win. Fiorentina who currently sit in 4th need to win this by 2 goals to jump into 3rd place so we definitely expect them on the scoresheet here and considering their recent form they should secure the win. It shouldn't matter too much if it goes the other way as we should still be able to profit here by laying the draw and trading out after a goal. Fiorentina on the scoresheet in the 1st half looks probable so we will we having a side trade on over 2.5 goals and grabbing some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Usual recovery here on the draw trade if its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8 and out at HT on the goals trade backing further if concerned after the break.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at avergae odds of 3.25, backed over 2.5 goals at avergae odds of 2.9 and backed the 0-0 at 16.5. Great game with plenty of chances. We went into the break suprisingly goalless so we traded out as planned on the goals trade for no loss on under 2.5, getting out at average odds of 4.8. After the break we backed over 2.5 again with £10 at 6.2 for safety as it continued to look good for goals. Milan opened the scoring shortly after for us to trade out of the draw trade at 4.4 with £70 and also got back out of the goals trade minimising our potential loss should the match finish over 2.5. So overall £21 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £21



Date: 31/05/09
Time: 18.00 GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Santander V Getafe - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
There will be some tension here and more than likely a red card. Racing secured Primera football last week and now face a Getafe side that need to win to avoid 2nd tier soccer next season. Whilst you would expect Racing to not be bothered about this fixture they are seriously out for revenge from their Semi Final Cup exit at the hand of a Getafe side that carried on playing after a man was injured to secure the win. Racing have a decent record of scoring in the 1st half against similar opponents so we won't be surprised if they are ahead going into the break but they also have the poor defensive record so it could easily go the other way. We will be laying the draw trading out after a goal here, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.3, backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.74 with £26 of the £50 we were going to use here and backed the 0-0 at 13.5. Racing opened the scoring as we expected prematch for us to trade out at 3.75 with £88 and 2.06 on the goals trade with £35 for £11 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £11



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