Traders Advantage Results

March 2009 trading advice given

Profit for Month = £520

Trades Completed Summary
(For a detailed summary of each trade see the detailed results table below)

Date
Teams
Score
Profit
01/03/09
Bolton V Newcastle
1 - 0
£35
01/03/09
W Bremen V B Munich
0 - 0
-£30
02/03/09
Oldham V Leeds
1 - 1
-£127
03/03/09
Portsmouth V Chelsea
0 - 1
-£16
03/03/09
Lazio V Juventus
2 - 1
£28
03/03/09
WBA V Arsenal
1 - 3
£45
04/03/09
Manchester City V Aston Villa
2 - 0
£29
04/03/09
Mallorca V Barcelona
1 - 1
£21
06/03/09
Schalke V FC Koln
1 - 0
£52
07/03/09
Hoffenheim V Werder Bremen
0 - 0
-£10
07/03/09
Roma V Udinese
1 - 1
£4
07/03/09
Real Madrid V Atletico Madrid
1 - 1
£26
08/03/09
Fiorentina V Palermo
0 - 2
-£65
08/03/09
Numancia V Valencia
2 - 1
£40
08/03/09
Sevilla V Almeria
2 - 1
£38
08/03/09
Getafe V Malaga
1 - 2
£32
09/03/09
Angers V Lens
2 - 2
£26
10/03/09
Liverpool V Real Madrid
4 - 0
£44
10/03/09
Juventus V Chelsea
2 - 2
£23
11/03/09
Manchester Utd V Inter Milan
2 - 0
£35
13/03/09
Wolfsburg V Schalke
4 - 3
£10
14/03/09
Frankfurt V Hoffenheim
1 - 1
£14
14/03/09
Everton V Stoke
3 - 1
£40
15/03/09
Chelsea V Manchester City
1 - 0
£25
15/03/09
Werder Bremen V Stuttgart
4 - 0
£46
16/03/09
West Ham V West Brom
0 - 0
£3
17/03/09
Arsenal V Hull
2 - 1
£3
18/03/09
Ajax V Marseille
2 - 1
£53
19/03/09
Sporting Braga V PSG
0 - 1
-£22
20/03/09
Mönchengladbach V Bochum
0 - 1
£15
21/03/09
Portsmouth V Everton
2 - 1
£18
21/03/09
Stuttgart V Hertha Berlin
2 - 0
£8
21/03/09
Roma V Juventus
1 - 4
£49
22/03/09
Man City V Sunderland
1 - 0
£12
22/03/09
Schalke V Hamburg
1 - 2
£2
22/03/09
Mallorca V Atletico Madrid
1 - 0
£8
24/03/09
Histon V Stevenage
0 - 0
-£29
25/03/09
Kapfenberg V SCR Altach
1 - 1
£6
27/03/09
Galaway V Sligo
0 - 0
-£27
28/03/09
Romania V Serbia
2 - 3
£18
28/03/09
Rep Ireland V Bulgaria
1 - 1
£38
29/03/09
Alaves V Hercules
1 - 3
£17
30/03/09
Woking V Cambridge United
0 - 1
-£17

 

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Trades Completed in Detail


Date: 01/03/09
Time: 13.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Bolton V Newcastle - SCORE: 1- 0
Our Recommendation:

Both sides will be looking for a win here to help them move further away from the relegation zone. Bolton's home form hasn't been the best in general with only 5 wins in 13 games at the Reebok. But if you dig a little deeper you fill find they are unbeaten against sides outside the top 8 under Megson winning the majority of games. This fits nicely with Newcastle's poor away record against similar sides. Bolton look good for scoring and conceding here so we expect a few goals, but with Owen and Nolan missing from the Newcastle line up we see the Trotters securing their 3rd consecutive home win. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we will also be having a side trade on under 2.5 goals, backing for the 1st 10 min's or so getting out sooner if concerned. Usual recovery if we get caught out. We will also be backing the 0-0 correct score with £7, backing further if concerned inplay.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25, back under 2.5 at 1.93 and backed 0-0 at 11 and 5.2 with £15 overall. No early goal so we were able to trade out of the goals trade at 1.73 with £50. The opener came just after the break for us to trade out at 5.2 on the draw with £58 for £35 profit.



Profit made on this trade = £35



Date: 01/03/09
Time: 16.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: W Bremen V B Munich - SCORE: 1- 0
Our Recommendation:

Werder started the season strong but have continued to slip from their early 3rd position and now find themselves in 11th. Bayern haven't been at their best losing 3 of their last 4 but were superb in their recent Champions League match against Lisbon, putting 5 past them, so they are a little difficult to make out. One area that looks a little more reliable are trends supporting goals which has seen 88% of Werder's home games against strong offensive sides finish over 2.5 goals and over 70% of Bayerns away matches against similar ranked sides finish with 3 or more goals over the last few seasons. The last 4 times these two met also saw this result. Werder are missing their 1st choice keeper so might start cautiously but they should slip into their normal pattern of attacking football. This might also spur on Bayern to see how he reacts to the pressure. There has got to be goals here from both sides and more than likely a Bayern win. The draw odds are pretty good so we prefer to lay the draw here and trade out after a goal. We will also be backing over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. If its goalless at the break we will follow our usual plan getting out at HT for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 goals. If the 1st half was end to end it makes sence to back over again with a small stake as the odds drift. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35, backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.4 and backed the 0-0 at 18 and 6.2 with £15 overall. Werder lost Naldo 15 mins in for lots of members to trade out around 3.8 for a profit. We hung in their as we felt this would tip the match in Bayerns favour. Unfortunately it didn't so we ended up backing over 2.5 again with £5 at 8 and £2 at 29. The draw odds reached our usual trade out point of 1.8. We managed to get 1.84 trading out with the loss on the draw. As it finished goalless we ended -£30.



Profit made on this trade = -£30




Date: 02/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Coca Cola League One
Teams: Oldham V Leeds - SCORE: 1- 1
Our Recommendation:
Only a few points separate these two and with both sides pushing for promotion it should be a hard fought contest. Leeds this season have lost 5 of their last 6 against the leagues better sides on the road, so they will need to be on top form for this match. Oldham have been pretty resilient against sides with Leeds away form so should avoid defeat here. One thing that stands out in their results this season is the early goal which looks very likely with 83% of the goals these two have seen in their respective home away games coming before the break. Leeds haven't kept a clean sheet against a top half side this season on the road so we shouldn't have any worries if we lay the draw. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. If its goalless at the break we will follow our usual plan getting out at HT for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 goals. If the 1st half is end to end it makes sense to back over again with a small stake as the odds drift for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay, out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.35, backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.25 with £25, not really justified getting in as their was hardly a shot on goal in the 1st half. We also backed the 0-0 at 11.5 and 5.5 with £12 overall. We traded out of the goals trade at average odds of 5.5 for no loss should the game finish under around HT. The 2nd half started with more tempo so we planned to back over again but got caught out by the 1st goal before doing this when Oldham scored just after the break. We attempted to trade out after the goal getting £25 matched at 4.6 but the game went suspended again with an equaliser from Leeds. It made sense at this point to them close both trades after this point so we cut our losses on both at 1.8 on the goals and little later 1.81 on the draw trade. In hindsight laying Oldham would have been a better call and it was discussed inplay as they rarely threatened from this point with most the action coming from Leeds, but not in the preview.




Profit made on this trade = -£127



Date: 03/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Portsmouth V Chelsea - SCORE: 0 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Both sides are benefiting from New Manager Syndrome and remain undefeated over this short period. Chelsea against sides outside the top 6 have been very resilient, keeping a clean sheet in just under 80% of these matches and winning 83% of them. Pompey this season against top half sides have lost 4 of their last 5 so we will be surprised if they win here. Chelsea will have to turn out some players with height here, to combat the man mountain Peter Crouch, just incase Pompey decided to take it to them. H2H Chelsea are undefeated in the last 10 winning 9 of these games which is the most likely result here. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, ideally from Chelsea. If Pompey score 1st and Chelsea aren't playing poorly we will trade out of the draw with double the lay stake moving the loss onto the win and the weight of money on the draw as the most likely result is Chelsea pulling it back, then we will potentially trade out with a profit. We will be having a side trade on under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's, trading out sooner if concerned. Usual recovery if a goal comes. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay and out at 1.8 if its goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.55, backed under 2.5 at 1.78 and backed the 0-0 with £25 overall at 11 and 5.8 and 3.2. No early goal so we were able to trade out of the goals trade at 1.59 with £50. The draw odds reach our usual trade out point so we got out at 1.8 with the loss on the draw as usual. Chelsea scored as expected for us to end £16 down.


Profit made on this trade = -£16



Date: 03/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Coppa Italia Semi-Final
Teams: Lazio V Juventus - SCORE: 2 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Lazio haven't beaten Juventus in the last 8 attempts but they have have been particularly impressive in the Coppa Italia, taking this competition very seriously winning their last 4 matches. With their domestic season showing inconsistent form this is a real opportunity to grab some silverware and secure a European place. Juventus have bigger challenges ahead and are likely to rest some key players here which will make for an entertaining reverse fixture. Both sides scoring looks likely here and is what we have seen in the last 5 H2H meetings. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay. We also feel Lazio will score in the 1st half so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay, out around HT for no loss should the match finish under 2.5. Usual recovery if things go wrong. If its goalless after the break back over again as a safety measure as the odds drift if concerned. Out at 1.8 if its goalless as usual.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.15, backed the 0-0 at £10 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.1. Juventus opened the scoring for us to trade out at 3.7 with £84 on the draw and 2.04 on the goals trade with £76. So overall £30 profit.



Profit made on this trade = £28



Date: 03/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: WBA V Arsenal - SCORE: 1 - 3
Our Recommendation:
Not everyone can manage 3 trades at the same time so if you can we would consider this match too. Both sides haven't seen a domestic win since January the 17th so will be desperate for a win here. Arsenal might have seen 4 consecutive 0-0 results but WBA at home have seen 10 of their last 13 finish over 2.5 goals and in general they have conceded 2 goals against the leagues better sides, so Arsenal should get on the score sheet here. West Brom have also lost the 10 games they have played against the leagues better sides so they will need a miracle to win here. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. If West Brom score 1st and Arsenal aren't playing poorly we will trade out of the draw with double the lay stake moving the loss onto the win and the weight of money on the draw as the most likely result is Arsenal pulling it back, then we will potentially trade out with a profit. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half out around HT for no loss should the match finish under 2.5. Usual recovery if things go wrong. If its goalless after the break back over again as a safety measure as the odds drift if concerned. Out at 1.8 if its goalless as usual. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.75 with £50 before the opener from Arsenal, got £5 on the 0-0 at 11.5 and £5 on over 2.5 goals at 2.16. The equaliser caught us out so with the odds returning to a similar level it made sense to get the rest of our stake on at 3.65. As we only had £5 on the the goals market we let it run hoping it would cover the 0-0 bet. We played the waiting game for another goal from Arsenal which look very likely advising all that asked to do so. It followed as expected later in the 1st half for us to trade out at 6.4 with £52 for £45 profit overall.


Profit made on this trade = £45



Date: 04/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Manchester City V Aston Villa - SCORE: 2 - 0
Our Recommendation:

City at home this season have been a tough encounter. They have managed to win 8 of their 13 matches. Villa come into this match with the best away record in the Premiership having won their last 7 consecutive matches so something will probably give here. Originally we felt a draw was on the cards here but with Bellamy and Robinho looking to be sidelined for this encounter, Villa look to have the edge even without Heskey, especially when you consider 4 of their 5 losses this season at Eastlands were against top 6 sides. We are expecting a 1st half goal here so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, usual recovery at HT and will back again for safety in the 2nd half as the odds drift if concerned. We will be laying the draw as the main trade getting out after a goal from either side. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned in play and will get out at 1.8 if its goalless at this point.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35 backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.05 and backed the 0-0 with £7 at 10.0. City opened the scoring for us to trade out at 4.2 on the draw with £79 and 1.8 with £42on the goals trade for an overall profit of £29


Profit made on this trade = £29



Date: 04/03/09
Time: 21.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Copa Del Rey
Teams: Mallorca V Barcelona - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:

Barcelona carry a 2 goal lead into this match so will be looking to seal their place in the final. Mallorca played a team which was 2nd tier in the reverse fixture so they could focus on their relegation battle which helped them grab some much needed points. We expect more of the same here. Obviously we all have seen a few shock results recently from Barca but this is one they are very unlikely to let slip away from them. They have been letting a few goals in lately with both sides scoring in their last 5 so we won't be surprised if Mallorca score but we are expecting Barca to win. As the draw odds will give us a little protection we prefer to lay the draw here and trade out after a goal. If Mallorca score 1st and Barca aren't playing poorly we will trade out of the draw with double the lay stake moving the loss onto the win and the weight of money on the draw as the most likely result is Barca pulling it back, then we will potentially trade out with a profit. We will also be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, usual recovery at HT and will back again for safety in the 2nd half as the odds drift if concerned. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned in play and will get out at 1.8 if its goalless at this point.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5, backed the 0-0 at 14 and 5.3 with £15 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.56. The opener came from Mallorca just before HT for us to trade out of the goals trade at 2.18 with just over £29. We had confidence that Barca would pull this one back despite taking it easy in the 1st half so advised all that contacted us to follow the preview and trade out with double the lay stake or if concerned use 1.5 the stake. So we backed the draw at 3.85 with £200. Barca went down to 10 men shortly after the break so we were a little concerned but advised members to hang in there to see how they responded as we have seen them in this situation many times before and pull it back. Luckily Mallorca lost Josemi shortly after to restore the balance. The draw odds shortened after this point so we took this opportunity to trade out at 3.6, basically because we were still looking to get ourselves back in profit for the month and didn't want to risk falling further behind. Those who stuck with it, practically everyone but us would have had the biggest winner we have had in three years. We ended with just £21 profit which would have been 10 times this if we had waited for Messi to score.


Profit made on this trade = £21



Date: 06/03/09
Time: 19.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Schalke V FC Koln - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:

Schalke this season have been superb at home and are unbeaten against sides outside the top 6. This has been mainly due to the ability to keep a clean sheet which has been the result in 6 of their 8 wins. Koln are no easy opponent and have avoided defeat in their last 6, they have also rarely failed to score on their travels this season, but they aren't likely to keep a clean sheet against Schalke as they have conceded in 9 of their last 10 away from home. We are expecting a bit of a scrap here with Schalke just edging it. Goals look likely in the 1st half so we will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goal inplay during the 1st half, out at HT for no loss should the match finish under 2.5. We will back again as the odds drift with a small stake if it looks good for goals after the break. Usual recovery if two come after the break. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal as a main trade but will give it some time for the odds to shorten inplay, staggering our stake, getting in sooner if Schalke are dominant. We will also grab some cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.95, backed the 0-0 at 14.5 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.79 with £25. Not really a difficult decision to get in here as the ball was practically stuck in Koln's half for the 15 min's before the goal. After Jones scored to put Schalke ahead we traded out at 1.74 with £40 on the goals trade and 6.8 on the goals with £55 for £52 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £52



Date: 07/03/09
Time: 14.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Hoffenheim V Werder Bremen - SCORE: 0 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Hoffenheim's have been stuttering of late just like our beloved Villa only picking up 1 win in the last 6 slipping from 1st place to 3rd. They weren't particularly poor in their last few games just one foot off the pace, looking a little tired. Werder have been poor on their travels this season only picking up 1 win from the last 10 so even a stuttering Hoffenheim should manage to score here. But their recent matches against Milan and Wolfsburg show they are returning to form and are fully capable of grabbing points here. The reverse fixture was one of the best games we have seen this season with a whopping 9 goals scored, whilst this match should be entertaining a rerun of this is unlikely but both sides on the scoresheet looks highly probable. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we will grab some cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay and will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, out at HT for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 as usual. As the odds drift if concerned we will back again with a small stake for some safety. Usual recovery if two come and a 3rd look likely. Out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless as usual.

 

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5, backed the 0-0 at 19.5 with £7 and a further £8 at 5.6 and £10 at 2.1 for £25 of cover overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds odds 2.2. Basically these two cancelled each other out with Werder holding more posession so we weren't suprised that we went into the break goalless. As planned we traded out for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 goals. After the break we did put £10 back on overs at 7.0 as we felt a goal was coming but unfortunately nothing came so we didn't get a chance to trade this out. The draw odds reached our usual trade out point for us to get out at 1.82 with the loss on the draw as usual. So not the best start to the day but with the high 0-0 odds at the start we were pretty safe here. Overall loss of £10.


Profit made on this trade = -£10



Date: 07/03/09
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Roma V Udinese - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Roma at home to mid-table sides has seen them win 95% of these matches over the last few seasons. Udinese have lost 78% of their encounters against similar sides over the same period. Roma have a very strong record of scoring 1st at home so we expect this to happen here against a side that has fallen being in 8 of their last 10 against top half sides on their travels. We really can't find anything to oppose the home win here and are surprised at the price on offer, but with the draw odds so reasonable we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal instead as its a little safer. We will have a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as Roma have a strong trend for scoring around the 30 min mark. Same plan as above if its goalless at the break. We will also grab some cover on the 0-0 £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Usual plan if its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 12 and 5.8 with £15 overall and back over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.05 with £25. Roma had the better of chances in the 1st half but unfortunately we went into the break goalless. We weren't too concerned that this match would finish goalless but grabbed the cover just incase. We traded out at 5.2 for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 goals as usual. After the break Roma hit the crossbar so shortly after we backed over again at 6 with £10, just incase they scored. Well a goal came but from Udinese. This enabled us to close the goals trade with £10 at 2.88 minimising our potential loss to just £21 should the game finish over 2.5 leaving no loss on under as before. The draw odds didn't drift too far after the goal as Roma looked good for equalizing and considering their record against similar sides this made sense. Everyone who asked about trading out after the goal we advised to use the same plan as the Madrid game as we were pretty confident they would pull it back. We weren't quite sure whether us doing this was too far from the pre-match preview so simply closed the trade at 3.45 with £100. So could have been a decent winner but just £4 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £4



Date: 07/03/09
Time: 19.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Real Madrid V Atletico Madrid - SCORE: 1 - 1

Our Recommendation:
Atletico haven't got the better of Real since 1999, and with Real on an amazing run of 10 consecutive wins, scoring 24 goals and conceding only 2 we don't fancy their chances of winning here. Atletico have had trouble against top 6 sides recently on their travels losing the majority, only winning 20% of these encounters so Real should maintain their undefeated record against Atletico this Millennium. Having watched Atletico's recent match against Barca we are a little concerned they could score here but defensively they still look to have problems so we should see Real win or at least draw here. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. If Atletico take the lead we will opt to use 1.5 our lay stake on the back side to get ourselves green on the draw and hopefully trade out after they draw level. A 1st half goal looks likely as the opening goal in both these sides respective home and away games has come before the break 91% of the time. So we will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. Same plan as above for the goals trade if things go wrong.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.75, backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.4 and backed the 0-0 with £5 at 18.5. Real started the better with Atletico soaking up the pressure early on. Atletico took the lead 38 min's in for us to trade out of the goals trade at 1.72 with £35. We then backed the draw as planned, at £150 at 3.65. Real grabbed the equaliser in the early stages of the 2nd half to trade out for average odds of 3.3 overall with £165. So overall £26.


Profit made on this trade = £26



Date: 08/03/09
Time: 14.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Fiorentina V Palermo - SCORE: 0 - 2

Our Recommendation:
Fiorentina have been impressive of late, picking up 14 points from their last 6 games, moving up to 4th place. Palermo have been moving in the opposite direction with only 1 win in the last 6 and 1 win in the last 10 on the road. Considering Fiorentina’s record against mid-table sides (won 94% of home games over the last 3 seasons) and their current form we should see them move closer to securing a Champions League spot with 3 points. This is supported by the fact Palermo have lost 80% of their away matches against top 6 sides over the same period. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal as the main trade, If Palermo score 1st we will back the draw with 1.5 times our stake as the most likely result is Fiorentina pulling it back then trade out again hopefully for a decent profit. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned in play. We will also have a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, out at HT for no loss should the game finish under 2.5 as usual. Backing further if concerned after the break as the odds drift. Usual recovery if 3 look likely. Out at 1.8 on the draw if it’s goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5, backed the 0-0 at 12 and 5.0 with £15 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.82 with £25. No goal before the break despite a few chances from both sides so we traded out at average odds of 5.4 for no loss on under as planned. The opener came just after the break for us to trade out of the draw trade. In hindsight it would have been better to close the trade on the draw and dutch the goals market but as we highlighted a specific method we backed the draw at 3.25 with £150. We also got back in on the goals trade at 2.68 with £10 after the goal as we expected an equaliser. The next goal came from Palermo so we traded out of the goals trade at 1.42 with £10 minimising our potential loss on the goals trade as planned. So overall a £65 loss.


Profit made on this trade = -£65



Date: 08/03/09
Time: 16.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Numancia V Valencia - SCORE: 2 - 1

Our Recommendation:
Numancia are sitting at the foot of the table primed for relegation. Against top third sides they have lost over 80% of their games this season. Valencia stopped their losing run on the road on their last outing so hopefully they should at least manage a point here. We are expecting a defensive set up from Numancia which fits with the fact that 87% of Valencia’s visits to bottom 3 sides over the last 3 seasons have finished under 2.5 goals. Saying this we are expecting the deadlock to be broken as Numancia are shocking defensively and haven’t kept a clean sheet against the leagues better sides. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side as the main trade. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned and will be having a side trade laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min’s or so, getting out sooner if concerned. Usual recover if a goal comes. Out at 1.8 on the draw if it’s goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4, backed the 0-0 at 12.5 with £5 and layed over 2.5 goals at 2.04 with £50. The match didn't turn inplay unfortuantely as Betfair decided to remove the match from the inplay market. This caused quite a few members to get stressed for obvious reasons but it all worked out in the end as it didn't end in a draw so we lost £50 from the goals trade and £5 from the 0-0 but won £95 from the draw trade so overall we ended £40 up which was much better than the last time this happened where we lost £150.


Profit made on this trade = £40



Date: 08/03/09
Time: 18.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Sevilla V Almeria - SCORE: 2 - 1

Our Recommendation:
Sevilla’s will be looking to make up for their Cup exit and focus on securing their Champions League spot in this encounter. Against bottom half sides they have only lost 1 of their last 10 winning 8 of these games. Almeria’s away record against top 8 sides has seen the them lose 8 and win only 1 of the last 10 so we expect them so soak up the pressure and focus on not conceding in this match. Whether this is possible we will have to see but considering they have conceded in the last 10 consecutive away games (24 goals) it isn’t likely. Sevilla haven’t scored more than 1 goal in any of their last 10 at home but if they are going to do it there will be no better time than against a leaky Almeria side. We feel Sevilla have this one so will be backing Sevilla and trading out after they take the lead or draw level as the main trade. We will potentially back them again if they go behind for higher average odds or if it’s in the 2nd half we will consider laying Almeria if Sevilla look like pulling it back. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned and will be backing 0-1 for a little safety, trading out if it happens. We will also have a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, out at HT for no loss should the game finish under 2.5 as usual. Backing further if concerned after the break as the odds drift. Usual recovery if 3 look likely.

Our Trading Result:
We phone Betfair to ensure this was going inplay as we had already put our back bet on earlier today at 1.8 and £5 on the 0-0 at 13.5 and £5 on 0-1. Well for the 1st 10 min's or so the game stayed suspended to cause us and our members more frustration, but luckily it became inplay so we were able to trade out after Sevilla took the lead at 1.24 with £120. Regrettably we didn't manage to get in on the goals market before the goal but still a positive trade for £38 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £38



Date: 08/03/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Getafe V Malaga - SCORE: 1 - 2

Our Recommendation:
As Betfair are playing games with us today removing the inplay market, starting it 10 min's in etc. We will wait for this one to start. Basically we are expecting both sides to score here which has happened in Getafe's last 6 and Malaga's last 5 on the road. Getafe will be desperate for the win to cheer up their fans so we won't be surprised if they take 3 points but it won't be easy for them as they just can't keep a clean sheet. Malaga are also undefeated this season against similar opponents so it should be a tough match. A 1st half goal looks likely so we will be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. Following the above plan if its goalless at the break. Our main trade will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
For this one we waited for it to go inplay just incase. We layed the draw at 3.6 backed the 0-0 at 13 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.07. Malaga opened the scoring in the 1st half as expected for us to trade out at 4.4 with £80 on the draw trade and 1.85 on the goals with £38 for £32 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £32



Date: 09/03/09
Time: 19.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Ligue 2
Teams: Angers V Lens - SCORE: 2 - 1

Our Recommendation:
3rd place Angers take on 1st place Lens in this encounter. Lens really shouldn't be in this league and look good for bouncing back to the Ligue. Angers look good for joining them. At home Angers have only lost 1 of their last 10 but they have been looking a little off the pace recently, only picking up 1 win in their last 6. Lens have been solid over the last few weeks undefeated and winning 4 of their last 6. On form and ability Lens should walk away with 3 points here and considering the reverse fixture which saw Lens easily dispose of Angers, the worst result we should see for Lens is a draw. Both sides look good for scoring and conceding so we expect to see a few goals here. Neither of these two know how to play for the draw so we won't be surprised if the deadlock is broken before the break. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal as the main trade, taking £10 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay and having a small side trade laying under 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half out at HT. Usual recovery, out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3, backed the 0-0 with £10 at 8.4 and layed under 2.5 goals at average odds of 1.5. Angers opened the scoring 25 min's in for us to trade out at 4.1 with £72 on the draw and 1.97 with £35 on the goals for an overall profit of £26. The game had a superb finish with 3 goals in 4 min's and Lens recover from 2 - 0 down.


Profit made on this trade = £26



Date: 10/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Champions League
Teams: Liverpool V Real Madrid - SCORE: 4 - 0

Our Recommendation:
Real have quite a poor record on the road against the competition better sides only avoiding defeat on 8% of occasions. Liverpool are undefeated in over 10 games in this competition scoring in all these matches so look the stronger prospect coming into this match. Whilst they should score again here we are expecting a cautious start from Liverpool as they only have a 1 goal buffer also this approach worked very well in the last match causing Real much frustration. With Real failing to breakdown Liverpool at the Bernabeu we can't see them doing it at Anfield. Liverpool are the draw specialist in the knockout stages which is what most punters expect, we also expect them to avoid defeat. We will probably see things all level going into the break so we should have some time to chase a shorter price on the draw odds. We don't feel this will be goalless but it should be low scoring. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will grab £10 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay and will be also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. Out at HT if its goalless as usual for no loss should the match finish under 2.5. Backing further if concerned as the odds drift.

Our Trading Result:
What a start from Liverpool, completely the opposite to what most of us expected so we jumped in a little earlier than planned, which was they feedback we got from everyone who contacted us. We layed the draw at 3.35 backed the 0-0 at 8.6 with £10 but traded out £5 out at 8.4 due to their superb start. We also got in with £25 of the goals trade at 2.6, and were going to back further just before the goal but got caught out. Liverpool opened the scoring as expected by everyone watching the match so we traded out at 5.0 on the draw trade with £63 and 1.65 on the goals trade with £39 for £44 overall. Lots of members reported not trading out for a big profit due to Liverpool's amazing performance, so well done to you!


Profit made on this trade = £44



Date: 10/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Champions League
Teams: Juventus V Chelsea - SCORE: 2 - 2

Our Recommendation:
Juventus must score here if they are to progress in this competition. In recent years Italian clubs have had great trouble do this so we shouldn't see many goals from the home side here. When the ranking difference has more than 5 places between them the lower ranked side has only won 18% of the time so it doesn't look like Juventus will take 3 points. We are a little concerned with Chelsea's away record which hasn't seen them win away from home this time out, but they have looked a much better side in recent weeks under Hiddink so should continue their unbeaten run under new management. There are strong under 2.5 goals trends here but we feel Juventus will take the lead in the 1st half as they chase the equaliser, so will be having a small side trade, laying under 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. We will be laying the draw as the main trade and trading out after a goal. We will grab £10 of cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay. Usual recovery here if things go wrong and out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless as usual.

Our Trading Result:
This match played out exactly as expected just with a few more goals. We layed the draw at 3.25, backed the 0-0 at 8.6 and layed under 2.5 goals at 1.54. Juventus opened the scoring 19 min's in for us to trade out at 4.2 on the draw trade, opting to equalise the profit as we expected Chelsea to pull it back, and 2.16 on the goals with £35 for £23 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £23



Date: 11/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Champions League
Teams: Manchester Utd V Inter Milan - SCORE: 2 - 0

Our Recommendation:
Utd won all their group stages at Old Trafford and most of these were against teams with a similar or better ranking to Inter on the road. Inter have not won away in 9 Champions League knockout games so it doesn't look good for the Nerazzurri. They have also had trouble scoring failing to do so in 6 of these games. They definitely look good for conceding here as defensively they are hampered by quite a few injuries, god knows who they will have at centre half. Inter only need a score draw to go through here which bizarrely was all Porto needed under Mourinho a few years ago which sent Utd packing. This Utd side is much better and Inter just don't look like they can stop Utd this time out. Utd were available at 1.75 when we 1st looked but have shortened to 1.68 which is a little annoying but we will still look to back Utd and trade out after they take the lead or draw level, if you want to chase a better price its worth seeing how the game develops. If they go behind they should pull it back so will consider backing them again for higher average odds, trading out after they equalise (only if they look like equalising). We will be grabbing some cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay. We will have a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following our usual plan if its goalless at the break.


Our Trading Result:
Another great result for English sides. We backed Utd at 1.67 backed 0-0 with £5 and unfortunately didn't have anything on the goals market before the opener. Utd scored a few min's in for us to trade out at 1.22 with £110 for £35 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £35



Date: 13/03/09
Time: 19.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Wolfsburg V Schalke - SCORE: 4 - 3

Our Recommendation:
Wolfsburg might have had a few poor showings in the UEFA Cup and DFB Pokal recently but they are one of only a few sides in Europe who remain undefeated at home this season, picking up 9 wins from their last 10, scoring 26 and only conceding 7 goals. Last year they changed gear after the winter break, and they have done it again this year and now look to better their 5 place last season as they currently sit in joint 2nd and have a practically fully fit squad to choose from. Manager less Schalke responded as expected beating Koln on their last outing but never looked like improving on their 1 goal lead. Against gung ho Wolfsburg they are going to have to fight hard to avoid defeat. We have a feeling this will be relatively low scoring as Schalke's defense on the road is pretty solid but Wolfsburg's scoring duo of Grafite ande Dzeko should score. Most of the openers these two have seen have been before the break so we will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals here and trading out after a goal. Usual recovery here if its goalless at the break, out at HT for no loss on under 2.5 goals, by laying with their same stake. Backing further as the odds drift to reduce liability trading out hopefully after a goal. Obviously you won't need to do this if your not concerned about 3 goals after the break. The main trade will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. Out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless at this point as usual and grabbing some cover on the 0-0 £5 initially backing further if worried about it.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35, backed the 0-0 with £5 at 14 and backed over 2.5 goals at 2.28 with only £6 before the goal. Schalke opened the scoring so only a small profit. We traded out of the draw trade at 3.8 with £87 and 1.49 on the goals trade with £9 for an overall profit of £10. Feedback from the majority of members they preferred to trade out with the weight of money on the draw to trade out when Wolfsburg equalised for a larger profit.


Profit made on this trade = £10



Date: 14/03/09
Time: 14.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Frankfurt V Hoffenheim - SCORE: 1 - 1

Our Recommendation:
We lost last week betting on Hoffenheim this time out we feel they will do us justice. Against bottom half sides on their travels they are undefeated and haven't failed to score. This ties in well with Frankfurt's record when hosting top 6 sides. Hoffenheim need to win this to get their title challenge back on track so we expect them to stop hitting the post or crossbar and score a few this time out and secure the win. A 1st half goal looks on the cards so we will be having a small side trade inplay, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (check yesterdays preview if not sure). We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal as the main trade and backing the 0-0 with £5, grabbing more cover if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 if its goalless as usual.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5, backed the 0-0 with £5 at 15 and unfortunately didn't manage to get in on the goals market before the goal as we were just discussing it when they scored. Hoffenheim's opener enabled us to trade out at 4.7 with £73. so overall £14 profit as we had it slightly weighted towards the win.



Profit made on this trade = £14



Date: 14/03/09
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Everton V Stoke - SCORE: 3 - 1

Our Recommendation:
We were in two minds whether to do the Arsenal game here, but are more concerned by what Blackburn can do then Stoke so opted for this match. Everton seem to be improving every week at home and are now unbeaten in 6, winning 4 of these and only conceding 1 goal. Their record against poor away teams over the last few seasons has seen them win 82% of these encounters so we will be surprised if the worst away side in the Premiership will take anything from this. Everton have been starting strongly of late so we expect them to score before the break which is complemented by Stoke's record of going behind early on on their travels. Over 2.5 goals is well supported but will probably need Stoke to score so we will stick to a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, out at HT following the usual plan. If your concerned goals are coming after the break backing overs again as the odds drift makes sense, trading out after a goal to minimise the liability. Our main trade will be backing Everton and trading out after they take the lead or draw level. We will look to back Everton further if they fall behind early or lay Stoke if its later on after the break. Obviously don't do this unless your confident Everton have a good chance of pulling it back. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £5 initially.

Our Trading Result:
We backed Everton at average odds of 1.56, backed the 0-0 at 11 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £20 of the £50 we were going to use for this match. Everton opened the scoring as expected for us to trade out at 1.21 with £105 and 1.64 on the goals trade with £26 for an overall profit of £40


Profit made on this trade = £40



Date: 15/03/09
Time: 13.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Chelsea V Manchester City - SCORE: 1 - 0

Our Recommendation:
With Utd losing yesterday we expect Chelsea to be all fired up here focused on closing the gap. The last 6 times these two have met City in the league Chelsea have taken 3 points, they are also undefeated in over 10 H2H meetings at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea continue their excellent run of form and Drogba is back to his best so we find hard to consider anything more than a Chelsea win. We will be backing Chelsea and trading out after they take the lead or draw level. If they go behind they should pull it back so will consider backing them again for higher average odds, trading out after they equalise (only if they look like equalising) if this is after the break we will look to lay City at short odds. We will be grabbing some cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay. We will have a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the W/W result looks likely, following our usual plan if its goalless at the break.

Our Trading Result:
We backed Chelsea at 1.41, backed the 0-0 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals inplay at average odds of 2.06 with only £16 before the Chelsea took the lead. This goal enabled us to trade out at 1.14 with £105 and 1.53 on the goals trade with £21 for £25 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £25



Date: 15/03/09
Time: 16.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Werder Bremen V Stuttgart - SCORE: 4 - 0

Our Recommendation:
We should see both sides scoring here as 14 of the last 15 H2H meetings at Weser Stadion have seen both sides scoring. Werder have had quite a few games recently and have looked much improved securing some great results, lets hope their legs won't be too tired from Thursday's win over St-Etienne and enable them to secure their 1st league win in 2009. Stuttgart convincingly won the reverse fixture 4-1 back in October, this time out Werder will be out for revenge and look equipped to secure the points. Its a tough call and they might end up sharing points but we should see the deadlock broken so will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following our usual plan if its goalless at the break. If concerned we are going to see 3 in the 2nd half we will back over 2.5 again as the odds drift after the break, trading out after a goal to minimise the liability. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.85, backed the 0-0 at 21 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £50 at average odds of 2.08. As expected the deadlock was broken before the break for us to trade out at 5.6 on the draw with £67 and 1.53 on the goals trade with £60 for an overall profit of £46.


Profit made on this trade = £46



Date: 16/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: West Ham V West Brom - SCORE: 0 - 0

Our Recommendation:
The reverse fixture saw the Baggies win 3-2, since then the Hammers are much improved winning 4 of their last 5 at home (lost came against Man Utd) and look good for avoiding the double result in this encounter as West Brom are in appalling form. They are also undefeated against bottom 8 sides at home the last few seasons which ties in well with West Brom's record of losing all away games against top half sides. Even with the few enforced changes the Hammers should have enough to secure their 3rd consecutive win. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal as it looks slightly safer than backing the Hammers outright. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. Usual recovery if its goalless at the break. We will grab £7 of cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay and out at 1.8 if its goalless as usual.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds odds 3.35, backed the 0-0 at 11.5, 7.2 and 4.8 with £25 overall. The match was so poor we couldn't bring ourselves to backing over 2.5 with a decent stake but as we mentioned it in the preview we put £10 on at 3.35. No goal before the break and very obvious they both lacked the ability to take the lead so we traded out of the goals trade at 5.2 for no loss on under as usual. The draw odds reached our usual trade out point of 1.8 for us to trade out. As expected the game finished goalless for us to end with a £3 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £3




Date: 17/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: FA Cup
Teams: Arsenal V Hull - SCORE: 2 - 1

Our Recommendation:
This match will decide who will meet Chelsea in the semi-final. The last time these two met at the Emirates was back in September and we all remember that result. A few weeks later Hull took a nose dive in form and have now only picking up 2 wins in the last 20. They are undefeated in their last two games and Deovanni is likely to cause the Gunners a few issues but unfortunately for them Arsenal seem to have found their scoring boots in the last few games and carry an undefeated record in the FA Cup at home since 98 into this match so we find it hard to see Hull getting a positive result here. We will be backing Arsenal and trading out after they take the lead or draw level. If they go behind early on we will look to back them again if they are playing well and look good for pulling it back. If this happens later in the 2nd half we will consider laying Hull. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, staggering our stake as usual. If its goalless at the break we will follow our usual plan and get out by laying over 2.5 with the same stake, moving the loss onto over. We will definitely consider backing over again after the break as the odds drift as 3 goals looks likely in this match so its worth minimisng the liability. We will also back the 0-0 correct score, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. If your concerned Hull are going to take the lead, backing 0-1 will give you a little safety.

Our Trading Result:
We backed Arsenal at 1.31 backed the 0-0 at 16.5 with £5. We didn't manage to get in on the 0-1 or over 2.5 goals bets before Hull opened the scoring. Arsenal didn't really get going until around 30 min's in for us to back them again at 2.24 with £25. We then backed them again in the 2nd half at 4.2 with another £25. Typical for Arsenal they grabbed two late goals we got out after Van Persie's equaliser at 2.34 opting to get ourselves green on the Arsenal win and cover the 0-0 by getting out with £100. So overall £3 profit. Those who waited for the winner would have made a nice profit.


Profit made on this trade = £3



Date: 18/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Uefa Cup
Teams: Ajax V Marseille - SCORE: 2 - 1

Our Recommendation:
Marseille bring a 2-1 lead into this match so expect Ajax to be focused on the win here. Marseille were in control from the start last time out and were unlucky not to have been 3 or 4 goals up at the final whistle. Ajax are injury depleted and hampered by suspensions with their biggest headache being in defense, but they are lucky to have the pick of two world class keepers. Their defensive problems are likely to let them down so expect Marseille to score but at home Ajax seem to always be able to grind out good results even when their back is against the wall so we expected them to avoid defeat here. A point to consider from the last meeting was Marseille looked very troubled when attacked by Ajax's forwards so we again expect them to break Marseille's defense. So basically both sides on the score sheet looks likely, but picking a winner is a little more difficult so we will sit on the fence and lay the draw, trading out after a goal from either side. Ajax scoring in the 1st half looks likely as they chase the goal to bring them level so we will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals if it end to end as expected. Usual recovery if its goalless at the break. Out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless at this point and we will be putting £7 on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay that its going to finish goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.3, backed the 0-0 at 13.5 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.82 with £50. Ajax opened the scoring as expected for us to get £20 matched at 4.2 on the draw before the equaliser which came a shortly after. After this goal we traded out of our goals trade at 1.21 with £100 and £80 at 2.8 on the draw trade with £106 overall. Feedback from members highlighted most waited for another goal as it looked likely which came before our usual trade out point of 1.8 for a much bigger profit.


Profit made on this trade = £53



Date: 19/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Uefa Cup
Teams: Sporting Braga V PSG - SCORE: 0 - 1

Our Recommendation:
In the previous meeting they finish all square with a goalless draw despite being played off the park by PSG. Both sides have it all to play for here so it should be an entertaining affair. Barga have 3 key players missing for this encounter so we are a little concerned about what we will see from them but they do have a superb home record in this competition scoring 13 goals in their last 5 so they should score, and they rested most of their 1st choice team in their last match, which shows they are prioritizing the Uefa Cup so our concerns might not be warranted. PSG will be bringing a strong side to the AXA arena so expect them to put up a fight. We expect them to also score here despite Braga's strong record of clean sheets as Braga have conceded at home to the other sides with a similar ranking. Braga scoring in the 1st half looks likely so we will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half if its open. Usual recovery if its goalless at the break (out by laying over 2.5 with the same stake) if goals look likely after the break its worth backing again as the odds drift to minimise your liability, trading out after a goal. We will be laying the draw as the main trade, and trading out after a goal. If its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8 we will get out as usual. We will grab £10 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.25, backed the 0-0 at 9.8 and 4.1 with £17 overall and backed over 2.5 goals with average odds of 4.9. No goal before the break so we got out at average odds of 6.8 for no loss on under. Barga continued to pile on the pressure but lacked finishing. We grabbed £5 more at 16 on over 2.5 to protect us from late goals. The draw odds reached 1.8 for us to get out at 1.82 with all the loss on the draw as usual. Braga deserved the win but it was PSG who took the lead with about 10 min's to go for us to end £22 down overall.


Profit made on this trade = -£22



Date: 20/03/09
Time: 19.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Mönchengladbach V Bochum - SCORE: 0 - 1

Our Recommendation:
Gladbach are much improved from their early season form and have only lost 1 of their last 6 and come into this relegation battle on the back of two wins. Bochum will put up a fight here but are yet to pick up an away win this season and against an improved Gladbach side we can't see them picking up more than a draw. Both sides have a very leaky defense with Gladbach conceding in all of their last 10 and Bochum conceding in their last 10 consecutive away games. Gladbach give us more confidence that the deadlock will be broken as they rarely fail to score at home. As highlighted both sides scoring looks very likely and we should be able to profit whoever scores 1st so we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals as the W/W result looks on the cards for Gladbach. Usual recovery if its goalless at the break (same as yesterday) out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.35, backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.48 with £25. Bochum opened the scoring for us to trade out of the goals trade at 1.67 with £36 and 3.55 with £95 on the draw trade for an overall profit of £15


Profit made on this trade = £15



Date: 21/03/09
Time: 12.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Portsmouth V Everton - SCORE: 2 - 1

Our Recommendation:
Pompey have only picked up 1 win in their last 13 and have lost all of their meetings against current top 8 sides so far this season and Everton are undefeated against bottom half sides this season so on the face of it we should see Everton move closer to securing a Champions League spot. The last time these two met Pompey were in much better shape and romped home with a 3-0 win at Goodison Park. Whilst this match breached 3 goals we aren't expecting a goal frenzy here as 9 of Everton's last 10 games have seen no team score more than 1 goal and Pompey usually follow up two consecutive under 2.5 games with a 3rd (happened the last 10 times). Saying this Pompey continue to let them in so we expect Everton on the score sheet and with Pompey focused on Premiership survival we won't be surprised if both sides score, but we expect to see a more eventful 2nd half. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we will also be backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so as a side trade and trading out ideally before a goal. If a goal comes we will back again as usual, ideally trading out before another as the odds shorten. If its end to end consider getting out sooner. We will also be grabbing £8 on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3 backed the 0-0 with £8 at 9.6 and backed under 2.5 goals at 1.63 with £50. Pompey took the lead early on for us to trade out of the draw trade at 4.4 with £73. We backed under again at 2.66 and traded out at 2.12 to get ourselves level on the goals trade for an overall profit of £18.



Profit made on this trade = £18



Date: 21/03/09
Time: 14.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Stuttgart V Hertha Berlin - SCORE: 2 - 0

Our Recommendation:
Surprisingly Bundesliga leaders Hertha haven't done to well against top 6 sides on their travels the last few seasons losing 80% of these matches. Despite this they have recorded some decent results against Stuttgart the last few seasons, winning the last 3. Stuttgart have the best record in the league against top 6 sides this season so we can't see Hertha doing the double over them but they should concede as they have rarely kept a clean sheet against these sides with the majority finishing over 2.5 goals. This match should be end to end with a 1st half goal so we will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals. Usual recovery if its goalless at the break, laying over 2.5 with the same stake. Backing further if concerned 3 are coming in the 2nd half. We will be laying the draw as the main trade, trading out after a goal. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 16 and 7.2 with £15 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.2 with £25. No goal before the break so we traded out for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 at 4.3. The opener came shortly after the break for us to get out of the draw trade at 5.1 with £65. We grabbed some more on over 2.5 goals with £10 at 2.26 for some safety and to ensure we finished in the green with £8 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £8



Date: 21/03/09
Time: 19.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Roma V Juventus - SCORE: 1 - 4

Our Recommendation:
Neither side can afford to lose points here and sharing them won't help Roma's Champions league aspirations or Juve close down Inter in chase of the title, so we expect an exciting match. Roma are the best 1 half side in the Serie A followed by Juve so we should see the deadlock broken before the break. Roma are seriously hampered by injuries so we might see Juve turn Roma over for the 1st time since 2005 at Stadio Olimpico. We expect both sides to score here and it could go either way so we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will have a side trade on laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so (usual recovery) as neither side will want to concede early here but we should see a few goals with over 2.5 goals very likely by the final whistle so if you fancy a trade on over 2.5 goals please feel free. Out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless. We will be grabbing £7 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
An under strength Roma played off the park. We layed the draw average odds of 3.2 backed the 0 - 0 at 12.5 with £7 and layed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.2 with £25. We traded out of the goals bet at 2.54 with £25. As expected the game opened up so we backed over 2.5 goals at 3.0 with £25. Juve opened the scoring about 5 min's later for us to trade out of the over 2.5 goals trade at 2.02. We also got out of the draw trade at 4.2 with £74 for an overall profit of £49.


Profit made on this trade = £49



Date: 22/03/09
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Man City V Sunderland - SCORE: 1 - 0

Our Recommendation:
Man City come into this match with the best 5 game home form in the Premiership. Their record against bottom half sides has seen them avoid defeat in 13 of their last 15 so the Black Cats will have to be at their best to turn this inform City side over. City have a very prominent trend of scoring around the 15-20 min mark against bottom half sides so Sunderland will need to keep solid at the back, especially early on if they don’t want to go behind early. We are a little concerned that we will see a few tired legs out on the pitch after City’s Uefa Cup match on Thursday but they will be confident that they have won their last 7 H2H meetings against Sunderland. The Black Cats have only won, 1 of their last 7 league games so will be desperate for a win here to minimise their chances of falling into the drop zone so we expect to see a fight but we are expecting City to just clinch the win. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, please feel free to stagger your stake as usual, getting in sooner if it starts end to end. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half (usual recovery if it’s goalless at the break, backing further if concerned in the 2nd half). We will also grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.7 with £70 of the £100 we were going to get on, backed the 0-0 with £7 at 12.5 and over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.3. Sunderland went down to 10 men 15 min's in for the draw odds to drift out to 5 for obvious reasons. We took advantage of this drift and traded out with £50 on the draw. Surprisingly most members reported waiting for a goal as per the preview, which is what we should have done as the odds drifted way out after City took the lead. Surprisingly City went into the break goalless despite numerous chances so we traded out at average odds of 5.3 with the loss on over 2.5 as usual. After the break we backed over 2.5 again with £10 at 7.6 to give us some safety and were able to trade out after the goal at 3.25 minimising our potential loss on overs to £7. So overall a bit of a missed opportunity with not getting a full stake on and trading out early before the goal but still a small profit of £12.


Profit made on this trade = £12



Date: 22/03/09
Time: 16.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Schalke V Hamburg - SCORE: 1 - 0

Our Recommendation:
Over the last 3 season Schalke have avoided defeat at home when they have won their previous home game on 100% of occasions. Against a Hamburg side that has title aspirations we might see this trend tested. Schalke’s record against the big 3 sides is the best in the Bundesliga, having only lost 1 of the last 10 encounters. With Hamburg coming into this game on the back of a tough mid-week clash we feel they might just have the edge. Schalke should definitely score here as Hamburg practically always concede on the road (have done so in the last 10 consecutive games, 22 goals) but with Schalke’s usually solid defense falling apart against Wolfsburg last week it shows they have a few issues so we expect Hamburg to also hit the back of the net. The goals market is conflicting but a 1st half goal looks likely so we will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, trading out after a goal or at HT for no loss on under 2.5 goals as usual if its goalless, backing further if concerned after the break. The main trade will be laying the draw, trading out after a goal from either side. We will get out at 1.8 if it’s goalless on the draw and will be taking £7 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.45, backed the 0-0 at 12.5 and 5.3 with £20 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.2 with £25. We went into the break goalless so got out of the goals trade at average odds of 5.7 with the loss on over 2.5. As the odds drifted after the break we backed over 2.5 goals again at 11 with £10 for some safety. The opener came at a point most of us were considering trading out at 1.8. We actually got caught out by the goal so didn't make a profit from the goals trade as we had already got out about 20 seconds before the goal at 1.81 with £100 leaving the loss on the draw as usual. On a positive note the 2nd goal came pretty quickly after the 1st which enabled us to trade out at 2.06 on the goals trade which put us in a profitable state overall.


Profit made on this trade = £2



Date: 22/03/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Mallorca V Atletico Madrid - SCORE: 2 - 0

Our Recommendation:
Mallorca have been in great form of late, moving out of the drop zone and now unbeaten in 6. Atletico are much improved under their new manager and their most recent match against Villarreal showed they have made major improvements and if they play like they did against Villarreal the Island side will be very lucky to get a point. Both sides on the score sheet looks very likely here and with Atletico's record of scoring before the break (2nd best in the Primera) we should hopefully see an early goal. The last 6 times these two have met it has finished under 2.5 goals but with both sides additional motivation we should see this trend end here. We will be laying the draw here as a main trade, trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, inplay during the 1st half. Out at HT if its goalless, backing further after the break as the odds drift if concerned. We will get out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless and will take £5 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay its going to finish goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.7, backed the 0-0 with £5 at 16.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.56 with £15 of the £25 we were looking to get on. The opener came from Mallorca for us to trade out at 4.0 with £93 on the draw and 1.61 on the goals trade with £23 for £8 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £8



Date: 24/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: League 2
Teams: Histon V Stevenage - SCORE: 0 - 0

Our Recommendation:
Histon are on a storming run at home and haven't lost in 13 games. This season they have only lost once at home and have scored in all their games except the one they lost again Forest Green. They have already beaten Stevenage convincingly in the reverse fixture (3-1) so will feel confident they can repeat this at their home ground. Stevenage are on a clear uptrend and far from the team Histon met in November. They haven't lost since December so Histon should approach this cautiously. Both these two have been scoring for fun so we should see the deadlock broken and it should finish over 2.5 goals just like the last 3 H2H meetings. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side and will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, inplay during the 1st half, staggering our stake as usual. If its goalless at the break we will trade out of the goals trade by laying over 2.5 with the same stake we backed with. We will look to back over 2.5 goals again with a small stake after the break for some safety as the odds drift, ideally trading out after the deadlock is broken. We will grab £7 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned the match is going to finish goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4, backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.86 with £25 and backed the 0-0 at 13.5 and 4.7 and 2.2 with £30 overall. Some good chances before the break but we went into HT goalless for us to trade out of the goals trade at average odds of 4.5. After the break we backed over 2.5 goals again at 10.5 with £5 for some safety. The draw odds reached our usual trade out point for us to get out at 1.81 with the loss on the draw as usual. As the match finished goalless and we didn't get a chance to trade out of the additional overs trade we ended with a £29 loss.


Profit made on this trade = -£29



Date: 25/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: T-Mobile Bundesliga
Teams: Kapfenberg V SCR Altach - SCORE: 1 - 1

Our Recommendation:
Neither of these two are having a great season but on the face of it Kapfenberg are in better form with 4 wins from their last 5 at home and a decent scoring record. They are pretty poor defensively which is the reason they have conceded in all of their last 10 games and against Altach they shouldn't have any issues getting on the scoresheet but are highly likely to concede. Altach shouldn't even get on the bus as their away form has been terrible this season, conceding 36 goals in their last 10 games. On a positive note they have managed to score in 9 of the last 10 but they have lost 11 of their 12 away matches this season. One thing that is highly supported here is over 2.5 goals. Kapfenberg have seen their last 10 finish with 3 or more goals and Altach have seen their last 10 on the road finish over 2.5 so basically both sides scoring with a similar score line to their last meeting (3-2) is expected. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side and will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, inplay during the 1st half, staggering our stake as usual. If its goalless at the break we will trade out of the goals trade by laying over 2.5 with the same stake we backed with. We will look to back over 2.5 goals again for safety with a small stake after the break as the odds drift, ideally trading out after the deadlock is broken. We will grab £5 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned the match is going to finish goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4, backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.76 with £25 and backed the 0-0 at 17 and 5.7 with £15 overall before the opener. No goal before the break so we traded out for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 on the goals trade at 4.6. The opener came before for we had got back in on the goals trade so we weren't able to grab large odds settling for average odds of 3.2 after the goal with £25. We were able to trade out at 4.5 on the draw with £75. Altach equalised shortly after for us to trade out of the goals trade again minimising our liability at 1.85. So an overall profit of £6


Profit made on this trade = £6



Date: 27/03/09
Time: 19.35hrs GMT
Fixture: Irish Premier League
Teams: Galaway V Sligo - SCORE: 0 - 0

Our Recommendation:
Unfortunately we deleated the preview when updating the website by accident but basically we felt both sides would score with Galaway taking the points. We recommended to lay the draw, back over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half and grab some cover on the 0-0, £10 initially backing further if concerned it was going to finish goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3, backed the 0-0 at 9, 5 and 2.5 with £30 overall and backed over 2.5 goals with only £10 at 4.7 due to poor liquidity on the goals market. The game was goalless going into the break so we traded out at 8 on the goals trade for no loss should the game finish under 2.5 as usual. After the break we put £5 back on the goals market after a couple of good chances at 17 to minimise our risk. No goal before our usual trade out point on the draw so we got out at 1.8 as usual with the loss on the draw. The game finished 0-0 so we ended with a


Profit made on this trade =
27


Date: 28/03/09
Time: 18.45hrs GMT
Fixture: WCQ
Teams: Romania V Serbia - SCORE: 2 - 3

Our Recommendation:
Apart from the obvious matches with poor value odds this match is the most likely to have a few goals on paper. Both sides are pretty even so it should be competitive but their style of play negates goals. Against similar ranked sides to Serbia, Romania rarely fail to score at home so we expect tem on the score sheet, they are also liekly to avoided defeat as they have done so in 80% of these encounters. Serbia look good for scoring and conceding here as they haven't kept a clean sheet on their travels in over 10 games but have a decent scoring record against sides of Romania's ranking. We feel Romania will just grab this one but prefer the safety of laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also be having a small side on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half and trading out after a goal or at the break for no loss on under 2.5 goals. It might be worth backing again after the break here for a little safety with a small stake to minimise your loss if 3 goals come. We will get out at 1.8 as usual on the draw if its goalless and back the 0-0 for some cover with £8, backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4, backed the 0-0 at 10 with £8 and backed over 2.5 goals at 2.72 with £22 of the £50 we were going to get on this match. The opener came from Serbia for us to trade out at 3.85 with £85 on the draw and 1.72 on the goals trade with £35 for an overall profit of £18


Profit made on this trade = £18



Date: 28/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: WCQ
Teams: Rep Ireland V Bulgaria - SCORE: 1 - 1

Our Recommendation:
The last time that the Rep of Ireland qualified as group winners for a major competition, it was a vital home win over Bulgaria that helped seal their passage, lets hope lightning strikes twice for this Irish side. Ireland are a tough side to beat on their home ground so we can't see Bulgaria securing all the points here, but scoring looks on the cards. Usually when Ireland meet a side with a similar ranking to themselves they share the spoils which is what we expect here. Bulgaria's record against similar sides support this result. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. We will also be backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so and trading out ideally before a goal. If one comes we will look to back again, trading out ideally when the odds equalise. We will also be grabbing £8 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay out at 1.8 on the draw as usual.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3, backed the 0-0 at 8.8 with £8 and backed under 2.5 goals at 1.6. Ireland scored in a matter of seconds of the match starting for us to trade out of the draw trade at 5.5 with £60 and back under 2.5 goals again as planned at average odds of 2.68. Plenty of time to trade out of the goals trade before the equalizer for us to get out at average odds of 2.08 so overall we ended £38 up.


Profit made on this trade = £38



Date: 29/03/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Segunda Division
Teams: Alaves V Hercules - SCORE: 1 - 3

Our Recommendation:
Usually when these two meet its pretty even with both sides scoring. This season Hercules are clearly a better side hence the 16 league position that separate them and the 3-0 win they have already secured in the reverse fixture. They aren't likely to keep a clean sheet despite their form as they frequently leave themselves open at the back on the travels, conceding in 9 of the last 10. Both sides will clearly be motivated in this match for completely the opposite reasons, Alves are dangerously sitting just above the drop zone and Hercules will go 2nd if they pick up 3 points here. The odds on the win are very even on both sides so we will be able to profit as long as a side scores before our usual trade out point. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further after the break if concerned its going to finish over 2.5 goals. We will also grab £7 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay and will get out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3, backed the 0-0 at 11.5 with £7 and unfortunately didn't have anything on the goals market when Alaves opened the scoring. The goal enabled us to trade out of the draw trade at 4.3 with £75 for £17 overall. Feedback from members, most traded out with the profit on the draw so they could secure a larger profit when Hercules equalised.


Profit made on this trade = £17



Date: 30/03/09
Time: 20.15hrs GMT
Fixture: Blue Square Premier
Teams: Woking V Cambridge United - SCORE: 0 - 1

Our Recommendation:
This is a similar situation to yesterday with the away side already winning the reverse fixture convincingly and both sides motivated by their league position. Woking are sitting 3rd from bottom, admittedly there is quite a few points discrepancy between themselves and the two sides below, but they can't afford to take it easy and Cambridge are in prime position for promotion but have two other sides hot on their heals. Woking have shut out Cambridge on the last 3 occasions at home so it could take a while for Cambridge to break them down but were pretty confident they will score as they are clearly in superb scoring form, scoring 20 in the last 10 games. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we will also be backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so, trading out ideally before a goal. Backing again if a goal comes as usual. We will also be grabbing some cover on the 0-0 £7 initially, backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 as usual if its goalless on the draw.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.55, backed the 0-0 at 11.5, 5.4 and 2.7 with £25 overall an backed under 2.5 goals at 1.78. No goal before we traded out of the goals trade at average odds of 1.6 with £51. The match was pretty poor with only a few chances before the draw odds reached our usual trade out point on the draw for us to get out at 1.82 with the loss on the draw as usual. As Cambridge managed to break the deadlock as expected just a little late for us we ended £17 down.


Profit made on this trade = -£17


 

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