Traders Advantage Results

January 2009 trading advice given

Profit for Month = £465

Trades Completed Summary
(For a detailed summary of each trade see the detailed results table below)

Date
Teams
Score
Profit
02/01/09
Tottenham V Wigan
3 - 1
£33
03/01/09
Hull V Newcastle
0 - 0
-£28
03/01/09
Sunderland V Bolton
2 - 1
£21
03/01/09
Rio Ave V Vitoria Guimaraes
2 - 4
£9
04/01/09
Real Madrid V Villarreal
1 - 0
£48
04/01/09
Nacional V Porto
2 - 4
£5
05/01/09
Sparta Braga V Belenenses
2 - 0
£34
06/01/09
Alt Madrid V Barcelona
1 - 3
£29
07/01/09
V. Guimarães V Benfica
0 - 2
£28
08/01/09
Osasuna V Ath Bilbao
1 - 1
-£151
09/01/09
Reading V Watford
4 - 0
£47
10/01/09
Aston Villa V West Brom
2 - 1
£35
10/01/09
Deportivo V Sevilla
1 - 3
£33
10/01/09
Valencia V Villarreal
3 - 3
£11
11/01/09
Wigan V Tottenham
1 - 0
-£10
11/01/09
Napoli V Catania
1 - 0
£43
11/01/09
Bordeaux V PSG
4 - 0
£28
12/01/09
MK Dons V Colchester
1 - 1
£12
13/01/09
Birmingham V Wolves
0 - 2
£2
14/01/09
Newcastle V Hull
0 - 1
-£15
16/01/09
Torquay V Wrexham
1 - 1
£10
17/01/09
Sunderland V Aston Villa
1 - 2
£10
17/01/09
Bristol City V Wolves
2 - 2
£18
17/01/09
Nantes V Bordeaux
1 - 2
£33
18/01/09
West Ham V Fulham
3 - 1
£23
18/01/09
Atalanta V Inter Milan
3 - 1
£4
18/01/09
Lazio V Juventus
1 - 1
£30
19/01/09
Yeovil V Leicester
0 - 2
£32
20/01/09
Valencia V Sevilla
3 - 2
£16
22/01/09
Mallorca V Betis
1 - 0
£15
24/01/09
Hartlepool V West Ham
0 - 2
£40
24/01/09
Sunderland V Blackburn
0 - 0

-£33

25/01/09
Liverpool V Everton
1 - 1
-£5
25/01/09
Mallorca V Valencia
3 - 1
£13
26/01/09
Ancona V Treviso
2 - 1
£52
27/01/09
Portsmouth V Aston Villa
0 - 1
£30
28/01/09
West Ham V Hull
2 - 0
£54
29/01/09
Sevilla V Valencia
2 - 1
£9
30/01/09
Hamburger SV V Bayern München
1 - 0
£9
31/01/09
FC Koln V Wolfsburg
1 - 1
£15
31/01/09
Middlesbrough V Blackburn
0 - 0
-£39
31/01/09
Rennes V Toulouse
0 - 0
-£85

 

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Trades Completed in Detail


Date: 02/01/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: FA Cup
Teams: Tottenham V Wigan - SCORE: 3 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Can Harry win it again this year? Well historically Spurs have a proud history in the FA Cup and haven't lost in the 3rd round since the early 90's when playing at home. When they have met a
Premiership side over the same period at this stage it has finished in a draw and considering Wigan's recent improvement in form (5 wins in the last 6) this would be a good results for Spurs. The last time these two met we nearly fell a sleep as it ended goalless, but Spurs have improved since then and in general we usually see both sides on the score sheet when they meet. Wigan haven't got the better of Spurs in a H2H meeting on the last 7 attempts and without Heskey and Zaki for this encounter we don't see them tipping this trend, but being a Cup match anything can happen. Historically these 3rd round Premiership meetings see lots of goals with over 75% seeing 3 goals or more so we should see a few. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, ideally from Spurs. We will be laying over 2.5 goals as a side trade for the 1st 10 min's or so trading out sooner if concerned. If a goal comes we will follow our usual plan. We will also be putting £10 on the 0-0, backing further if concerned its going to finish goalless inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.5, layed over 2.5 goals at 2.18 with £50 and backed the 0-0 with £10 at 10.5. The odds didn't move much on the goals market regrettably but we were able to trade out at 2.34 with £48. There were early signs we were going to see goals here but we went into the break goalless. A few min's into the 2nd half we were able to trade out when Pavlyuchenko converted a penalty. We got at 5.5 with £60 for an overall profit of £33.



Profit made on this trade = £33



Date: 03/01/09
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: FA Cup
Teams: Hull V Newcastle - SCORE: 0 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Hull really need a win here as their domestic season is going down the toilet with only 1 win since November. They haven't made it through the 3rd round in quite a while but the good news for Hull fans is they have a practically injury free squad to choose from. Newcastle on the other hand have nothing short of an injury crisis and with the need to grab points off West Ham next week we might see a much needed win for Hull here. Even with half their 1st team players out Newcastle should score as Hull have been leaking goals and they haven't had issues scoring of late. The last time these two met it ended 2-1 to Hull, a similar result here sounds about right. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will grab £5 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay. We will also be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, out at HT for no loss on under, back in if a 3rd looks likely in the 2nd half.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.2, backed the 0-0 at 11.5 and backed over 2.5 goals inplay for average odds of 2.88. Quite a few decent shots in the 1st half unfortunately we went into the break goalless so we traded out for average odds of 4.6 for no loss should the match finish under 2.5. The 2nd half produced some good chances but no goals. Out of caution we grabbed more cover on the 0-0 at 4.2, and 3.2. The draw odds reach our usual trade out point of 1.8 so we got out as usual with the loss on the draw. A bit of a difficult decision as a goal looked likely, but it had all through the match so rather than grab more cover felt a £30 loss either way was acceptable.



Profit made on this trade = -£28



Date: 03/01/09
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: FA Cup
Teams: Sunderland V Bolton - SCORE: 2 - 1
Our Recommendation:
The last time these two met was back in November where Bolton battered Sunderland 4-1. Since then neither side have able to string together decent results, so this could literally go either way. There should be a few goals here, as Bolton's last 5 matches have produced 15 goals, and Sunderland's last five have seen 13. The Bolton clean sheet looks particularly unlikely with Sunderland's new managers style of play. Neither side has a particular good record in the 3rd round of this competition although Bolton have a more resilient record so all things considered a score draw looks fairly likely despite the fact Bolton haven't drawn away this season. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also have £5 on the 0-0 backing further if concerned later in the match. Over 2.5 goals looks likely so we will be having a small side trade on this inplay during the 1st half, out at HT with the loss on over, back in if a 3rd looks likely.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.6 and backed the 0-0 at 12 and over 2.5 goals inplay for average odds of 3. Simular to the Hull match some decent chances in the 1st half but no goals before the break. When it came to trading out of the goals trade we got £5 out at 5.2 but we had a little trouble trading the rest out and weren't happy with how far the odds jumped. A few members contacted us about this so we advised we expected the deadlock to be broken in the 2nd half so to trade the rest out after a goal. The opener came just over 10min's into the 2nd half for us to trade out of the draw trade at 5.1 with £68. We did grab a little more cover at 4.0 on the 0-0 before this point. We took this oportuntiy to trade the rest of the goals trade out for average odds of 5. Sunderland scored again not too long after getting out so we then got back in on the goals trade as highlighted in the preview at 2.0 moving the potential loss onto under, advising those who asked to do so as there was still about 25 mins left. So overall we ended £21 up.



Profit made on this trade = £21



Date: 03/01/09
Time: 18.15hrs GMT
Fixture: Liga
Teams:Rio Ave V Vitoria Guimaraes - SCORE: 2 - 4
Our Recommendation:
Practically everything here points to a low scoring draw so we will stay away for laying the draw here. Unfortunately the under 2.5 goals market is very short and lacks liquidity so we feel the best option is to back the draw with a smaller stake than normal to ensure you can trade out. The ideal time to get out will either be at HT or if a team takes the lead when the other side equalise. If we get to the last 15 min's and a team is leading it makes sense to minimise the potential loss unless you strongly feel you will see an equalizer.



Our Trading Result:
How wrong can we get it! Well it didn't end in a draw or low scoring which makes a mockery of the stats, but hey that's football! The good news was there was plenty of opportunity to trade out here during the 1st half. Feedback is lots of you waiting to half time for decent odds we were a little more cautious getting out a few min's after the 1st equaliser at 2.76 with £85 which gave us a £9 profit.



Profit made on this trade = £9



Date: 04/01/09
Time: 16.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams:Real Madrid V Villarreal - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:
New coach, new players and a new year for Real Madrid. We don't think you will see a new level of performance from them here though, even with new signings Klaas-Jan Huntelaar and Lassana Diarrà looking to make an instant impact, as Villarreal are a very difficult side to breakdown especially in their current vain of form. H2H Villarreal have quite a poor record against Real especially at Bernabéu where they have failed to register a win but when they are performing at their current standard a draw has been pretty common. Historically Real are well known for high scoring affairs at home but we are a little concerned about how all the changes will effect things and Ramos will keep it tight leading to a low scoring match. We will be backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so. If things start end to end we will look to get out sooner. Usual recovery if we see a goal. We will be laying the draw as the main trade here and trading out after a goal ideally from Real. Please feel free to stagger your stake as usual. We hopefully should see them on the score sheet 1st as Villarreal have conceded 1st in all of their last 6 away meetings against top 6 sides. The 0-0 is available at 17 so we will be putting £5 on this which gives a good amount of cover, backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds 3.6, backed the 0-0 with £5 at 17 and backed under 2.5 goals at 2.46. The game went exactly as expected. No goal before we got out on the goals trade at 2.0 with £57. The one and only goal came just after the half hour mark for us to trade out at 5.5 with £60 so overall £48


Profit made on this trade = £48



Date: 04/01/09
Time: 18.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Liga
Teams:Nacional V Porto - SCORE: 2 - 4
Our Recommendation:
Nacional's record against the big boys when playing at home isn't to good, only picking up 1 win in the last 8. They tend to hold tight for the 1st half though so we won't be surprised if its goalless at the break. Porto usually up their game when playing against top six sides so we should see a good performance from them and won't be surprised if they walk away with 3 points as they have done so on the last 4 occasions away against these opponents. H2H is in Porto's favour but they did slip up in the last meeting so it could happen again here although Porto have looked the better side in recent weeks. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. Were expecting a cautious start from Nacional so we will be surprised if either side is on the score sheet inside the 1st 15mins so will we having a side trade, laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so getting out sooner if concerned. If we get caught out we will follow the usual plan. Some cover on the 0-0 makes sense if your concerned its going to finish goalless although it doesn't look likely at the moment.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 and layed over 2.5 goals at 2.32. The odds drifted quite a bit on the goals trade before in the 30 min's before kick off with quite a few members getting out before the match started. We got out at average odds of 2.58 with £45. The opener came from Nacional regrettably so we only managed to get out at 3.45 with £99 after they scored. Some members played the waiting game for Porto to take the lead, we weren't that confident of this. Great 2nd half though with 5 goals!


Profit made on this trade = £5



Date: 05/01/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Liga
Teams: Sparta Braga V Belenenses - SCORE: 2 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Braga are having a good season so far and are now 9 games undefeated, winning the last 4 consecutive home matches. The most impressive fact is they have only conceded 1 goal in the last 8 games. They take on 2nd from bottom Belenenses here who desperately need 3 points and are without a domestic win on their travels this season but come into this match on the back of a moral boosting League Cup win followed by a home win against bottom side CD Trofense on their last outing. Belenenses are likely to start cautiously as Braga have a strong record against them and if they concede they are very unlikely to win here as Braga's defence is like a fortress. Historically Braga have scored two goals against Belenenses when they are carrying similar form and only failed to score in one of the last 15 H2H meetings when at home. There are pretty strong under 2.5 goals trends here with 9 of Braga's last 10 matches finishing under 2.5 goals and 8 of the last 10 for Belenenses finishing under but this match has signs it will go the other way. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, please feel free to stagger your stake for value. We will also be having a small side trade on the goals market, laying under 2.5 goals inplay, and trading out after a goal. We won't trade out at HT if its goalless on the goals trade. We will get out at 1.8 on the draw here if we still haven't seen a goal as usual. We can't see it finishing goalless but will be taking some cover on the 0-0 as Braga have had a few goalless matches this season, backing further if concerned inplay.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds 3.6 backed the 0-0 at 10 and again at 6.8 with £10 overall and layed under 2.5 goals at average odds of 1.5. No early goal which we thought might happen but as expected Braga scored twice. We got out of both trades on the goals at 1.5 for no profit and 6.2 with £53 on the draw trade for £34 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £34



Date: 06/01/09
Time: 19.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Copa Del Rey
Teams: Alt Madrid V Barcelona - SCORE: 1 - 3
Our Recommendation:

Barca's record in this competition isn't too good in recent years but we still expect a good show from them despite quite a few key players not making the trip to Madrid. The last time these two met it was a whitewash with Barca knocking 6 past Madrid. We probably won't see a similar result again here but we should at least see Barca on the score sheet as Madrid defense has continued to look suspect over the last few months and Barca have rarely failed to score on their travels recently. We won't be surprised if Madrid score though as they have looked pretty dangerous when attacking and haven't had any issues scoring of late. Basically we expect both sides to score here but a Barca win so will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. 0-0 doesn't look very likely but £5 of cover makes sense before kick off backing further if concerned inplay. We will be having a small side trade inplay during the 1st half on the over 2.5 goals market, out at HT for no loss on under but ready to get back in if two come in the 2nd half and a 3rd looks likely.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5, backed the 0-0 with £5 at 14 and had £5 on over 2.5 goals at 2.02. Messi opened the scoring 12 min's in for us to get out at 4.9 on the draw bet with £67 and 1.41 on the goals bet with £5 for £29


Profit made on this trade = £29



Date: 07/01/09
Time: 12.45hrs GMT
Fixture: League Cup
Teams:V. Guimarães V Benfica - SCORE: 0 - 2
Our Recommendation:
This will be the 3rd time these two have met this season. The previous two encounters ended 2-1 to Benfica. Over the last few weeks Benfica have slipped to 2nd place in the league, are without a win in the last 4 games and surprising haven't scored. Lets hope they find some form in this Cup match. Over the same period Guimarães have won 3 of their last 4, so should come in to this match full of confidence, we might even see an upset here. We don't feel Benfica's blip will continue here though and see them on the scoresheet but with Guimarães improvement in recent weeks they should continue there record of scoring against Benfica, especially if they are as sharp in front of goals as in their match against Rio Ave. The last 3 H2H meetings have all seen both sides scoring which is what we expect to see again here, picking a winner is a little more difficult as it could go either way so we will stick to laying the draw and trading out after a goal. The 0-0 is pretty short at 9 so we will grab £10 of cover here before kick off, but probably no more later in the match as we don't feel it will be goalless. Usual trade out plan on the draw trade here, getting out at 1.8 if it remains goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 and backed the 0-0 with £10 at 9. Benfica opened the scoring to end their goal drought as expected for us to trade out at 5.4 with £60 for £28 overall. Nice and easy.


Profit made on this trade = £28



Date: 08/01/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Copa Del Rey
Teams:Osasuna V Ath Bilbao - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
This is going to be interesting as both sides have improved in form in recent weeks with Bilbao avoiding defeat in 7 of their last 8 and Osasuna despite sitting bottom of the league have only lost 2 of their last 6 which doesn't sound too impressive, but compared to the way they started the season (11 games without a win) this is considered decent form. They have had quite a few players out injured but the good news is most of them are back now, hence the 11 goals they have scored in their last 3 home games. Osasuna earlier in the season shut up shop when playing at home but in recent weeks they have been playing a more open game which has seen both sides scoring in 5 of the last 6 matches which is likely to happen again here. As the Copa Del Rey represents both sides only really chance of silverware we should see a hard fought match here. H2H nothing really stands out but Bilbao are a team they has trouble on the road and with Osasuna having most their key players back for this match we feel they will avoid defeat here. As were pretty confident a goal is coming here we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also be grabbing £10 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay later in the match. Usual trade out plan on the draw trade, out at 1.8 if its goalless at this point.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.25 and backed the 0-0 with £10 at 9.6. The 1st half was pretty uneventful but Osasuna looked the more likely to score at this point so we still felt they would score here. The draw odds got to our usual trade out point of 1.8 if its goalless so we traded getting 1.84 matched. Either team looked like scoring after this point but it was Osasuna who managed to net 1st with about 10 min's to go. Out of safety we did back the draw with £8 at this points as some of you know, a few others layed Osasuna to end in profit but we won't report this as some of the newish members wouldn't of considered this so we will report a loss due the last min equaliser from Bilbao. So overall a loss of £151.


Profit made on this trade = -£151



Date: 09/01/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Championship
Teams:Reading V Watford - SCORE: 4 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Reading are currently sitting in 2nd place with the best home form in the league. Watford are sitting just out side the relegation zone with one of the worst away records in the division. We expect Reading to bring back the big boys who missed the recent FA Cup match against Cardiff as this match has 3 points written all over it. Reading are practically a banker for scoring here when you consider they have scored in the last 10 consecutive matches and Watford can't keep a clean sheet when playing the top 6 on their travels. H2H Watford won their last meeting and 4 of the last 5 ended in a draw which is the best result we can expect from Watford here with Reading in such good form. We will be backing Reading here and trading out after they take the lead or equalise after going behind. If you want to put a little extra on if they go behind to get higher average odds please feel free. We will also be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as 85% of meetings for Watford against similar sides to Reading have finished over 2.5 goals and 8 of Readings last 12 have seen over 3 goals (a large number early on). Usual plan if we don't see a goal before HT. If might be worth £5 on the 0-0 initially to see how the match starts, you can always trade out if its open and end to end.

Our Trading Result:
We backed Reading at 1.56 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.66 and put £5 on the 0-0 at 15.5. Good start from Watford but it was Reading who took the lead as expected. We got out of the back bet at 1.2 with £105 and 2.04 with £60 for £47 overall as we didn't trade out of the correct score bet before the goal.


Profit made on this trade = £47



Date: 10/01/09
Time: 12.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams:Aston Villa V West Brom - SCORE: 2 - 1

Our Recommendation:
Villa are unbeaten in their last 8 league games, and have only they have only tasted defeat once at home in the last 10, so confidence should be high coming into this match. West Brom have improve a little in recent weeks picking up 2 consecutive home wins. But against the leagues better sides they have lost the last 8 games they have played. Villa tend to be pretty ruthless against bottom six sides when playing at home, rarely failing to score 2 or more goals. With this being a local derby match we do expect a better showing from West Brom but we can't see them beating Villa as they have failed to score in the 5 meeting they have had this season against top half sides and their scoring record on their travels is very poor (scored 3, conceded 19 in the last 10) and they will probably need at least 2 goals to win this match. We will be backing Villa here and trading out after they take the lead or equalise after going behind. A few quid on the 0-0 will give you some safety. If Villa go behind and look like equalising it might be worth backing with some more to get higher average odds.

Our Trading Result:
We backed Villa at average odds of 1.66 and put £5 on the 0-0 at 13.5. Good start from West Brom but Villa just soaked up the pressure. Villa took the lead as expected for us to trade out at 1.22 with £110 for £35 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £35



Date: 10/01/09
Time: 19.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams:Deportivo V Sevilla - SCORE: 1 - 3
Our Recommendation:
These two met a few days ago where Sevilla walked away as winners in the Copa Del Rey. We don't think you can read much into this as Sevilla fielded their strongest side against a Deportivo side who had all their best players sitting on the bench. Domestically both sides are having a good run this season and come into this match having only lost 1 of their last 6. On paper this is a very difficult match to call and will probably ending in a draw although historically Deportivo have the better H2H history. Against top 6 sides Deportivo tend to play it safe so we won't be surprised if this match is low scoring. They have a pretty good record of scoring 1st but Sevilla also have a decent record on their travels for keeping clean sheets (7 of the last 10 away matches) so all things considered we are concerned this will end in a stalemate so won't be laying the draw. We prefer to back the draw for the 1st half trading out ideally before a goal (trade out odds lower than 2.7 would be ideal). If one comes we will wait for an equaliser. We will also be backing under 2.5 goals as a side trade (if liquidity is low please use a smaller stake) and trade out ideally before a goal 10-15 min's in. Depending on how the game starts we might get out sooner, the safest way is to do this in stages. If a goal comes before were out we will back again following the usual plan.

Our Trading Result:
We backed the draw at 3.5 and backed under 2.5 goals at 1.82. No early goal so we were able to trade out of the goals trade for a profit at average odds of 1.55 with £55. Deportivo opened the scoring around the 35 min mark followed shortly by Maresca getting sent off reducing Sevilla to 10 men. Those who asked us should we change the trade out plan because of the sending off we advised that Sevilla have a good record of grabbing things back when put under pressure and to give it some time into the 2nd half to see how they started before trading out. Sevilla drew level to support this shortly into the 2nd half for us to trade out at 2.7 with £135 for an overall profit of £33.


Profit made on this trade = £33



Date: 10/01/09
Time: 21.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Valencia V Villarreal - SCORE: 3 - 3
Our Recommendation:
This is going to be an interesting match which will see both sides fight to continue their chase for a Champions League place. Valencia have been superb at home this season scoring an average of 2.7 goals a game over the last 10 matches winning 8 of these. Villa and Silva are back in the lineup for this match so Villarreal will need to find something in defense here or we could see this match finishing +3.5 goals. Villarreal showed promise at the start of the season but they have taken only 4 points from their last 6 matches, and that doesn't include their appalling Champions League display against Celtic. Considering what we have seen recently from both sides this looks like another home win for Valencia but as the draw odds aren't too high we prefer the safety of laying the draw and trading out after a goal. Please feel free to stagger your stake for a better price inplay. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. We are expecting a goal in the 1st half so will be having a side trade on the over 2.5 goals market, getting out at HT if no goals come, back in if 2 come in the 2nd half and a 3rd looks likely.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 with £58 of the £100 we were looking to get on. We also have £5 on the 0-0 at 14 and £5 on over 2.5 goals at 1.9. The opener came 3 min's in so we didn't manage to get our full stake on the lay bet or the goals bet but still a profit. We got out at 5.5 on the draw with £37 and left the goals bet to see what happened as it was on £5 and we would of ended green what ever happened. So over all we finished £11, just unfortuante the opener came so early. Great match.


Profit made on this trade = £11



Date: 11/01/09
Time: 13.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Wigan V Tottenham - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:

Wigan find themselves in 7th place, after a decent run of form winning 5 of their last 6 Premiership matches. Against bottom half sides the JJB has been a tough place to visit with Wigan avoiding defeat in 10 of the last 11 encounters against these sides. Spurs haven't traveled well for a few seasons now so its likely to be a tough encounter for them. Saying this these two have met a few times already this season and Wigan have failed to win. The last outing Wigan had Kirkland, Zaki and Heskey out if they return for this match we see Wigan winning here. The safest option looks to be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We should see a goal or two here, considering Spurs haven't kept a clean sheet on their travels in 10 games and all the previous H2H meetings at the JJB have seen both sides scoring. We will also be grabbing £10 of cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half staggering out stake as usual. Usual plan if we don't see a goal before the break.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.25, backed the 0-0 at 10.5 with £10 and £5 more at 4.2. We also traded the over 2.5 goals market getting in at average odds of 3.3. No goal before the break but from what we saw in the 1st half it looked good for one in the 2nd half. We traded out as usual on the goals trade for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 around HT at 5.6 as usual. Wigan were the much better side in the 2nd half but no goal before our usual trade out odds so we got out at 1.8 getting 1.82 matched leaving the loss on the draw as usual. Wigan opened the scoring late in the 2nd half for us to end with a 10 loss as we left £5 on the win.


Profit made on this trade = -£10



Date: 11/01/09
Time: 14.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Napoli V Catania - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Undefeated at home Napoli take on Catania who are still in search of their 1st away win this season. Catania haven't won on the road now in 27 matches losing 75% of their encounters against top half sides. Quite obviously this is a defensive issue which has seen them concede in the last 10 straight away games and whilst they previously put up a fight and scored quite often they have now not scored in the last 4 away games. Napoli won't sit back here and with Catania's away confidence having hit rock bottom we should see a home win for Napoli. We will be backing Napoli and trading out after they take the lead or equalise after going behind. Please feel free to back Napoli with some more if they go behind to get higher average odds. Obviously don't do this if Catania look like holding out. A 1st half goal looks on the cards so we will be having a small side trade on this during the 1st half. Usual plan if we don't see a goal before the break. If you want some cover on the 0-0 please feel free.

Our Trading Result:
We backed Napoli at average odds of 1.67 backed the 0-0 with £7 at 13 and actually forgot we mentioned the over 2.5 goals market as a small side trade and bizarrely nobody mentioned it to us during the 1st half. We would have still followed our usual plan and got out at HT on this trade so would have ended with no loss. As expected Napoli opened the scoring but were surprised when they failed to covert a penalty in the 2nd half. We had to wait to fairly late in the 2nd half for this. This did enable us to get decent trade out odds though. We got out at 1.13 with £110 for an overall profit of £43.


Profit made on this trade = £43



Date: 11/01/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Ligue 1
Teams: Bordeaux V PSG - SCORE: 4 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Bordeaux are on a great run of form at home, unbeaten in over 20 games winning over 70% of these matches. There opponents here PSG won't be a pushover though as they are hot on the heels of Bordeaux just two points behind and have only lost 1 of their last 7 winning the majority of these matches. We are expecting both sides to score here as Bordeaux haven't failed to score at home in the last 10 and PSG rarely keep a clean sheet on the road, conceding in 9 of the last 10. H2H Bordeaux have avoided defeat in 93% of matches when playing at home which we feel is likely to continue here but considering PSG's form we won't write off the draw. Under 2.5 goals looks pretty likely here but the price is a little short for us so we will leave it alone. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We will grab £10 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay. Usual trade out plan.

Our Trading Result:
Nice and easy trade this one. We layed the draw at 3.25 and backed the 0-0 at 8.8 with £10. Bordeaux opened the score pretty early on for us to trade out at 5 with £60 for an overall profit of £28.


Profit made on this trade = £28



Date: 12/01/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: League One
Teams: MK Dons V Colchester - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Mk Dons will be only 2 points behind league leaders Leicester if they grab 3 points here. Back in October we felt they were on a slippery slope to the lower end of the table after seeing them lose 3 out of 4 home matches, but they have turned things around to win 9 of their last 10 games, making themselves one of the inform teams to beat. Colchester are also on a bit of a run themselves having won their last 3 away games so they will be confident coming into this match. Defensively on their travel they practically always concede having done so in the last 10 consecutive matches and with MK Dons performing their socks off at the moment (23 scored in the last 10) they should concede again here. H2H is in MK Dons favour and with them winning 100% of their matches against mid table teams this season we are likely to see them move that little bit closer to Leicester. We prefer to lay the draw here as the odds aren't too silly and trade out after a goal, ideally from the home side. Please feel free to stagger your stake for a better price inplay. Over 2.5 goals looks pretty likely as Colchester have seen 10 of their 11 away matches finish over 2.5 and the majority of MK Don's home matches have seen a similar result, so we will be having a side trade on this inplay during the 1st half, getting out at HT as usual if its goalless, back in if 3 look likely in the 2nd half. £5 on the 0-0 makes sense at the current odds of 15.5, backing further inplay if concerned.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.8 with £30 of the £100 we were looking to get on and backed the 0-0 with £5 at 16. Unfortunately we didn't get in on the goals trade before the opener from Colchester 12 min's in. Quite a few members managed to get out for a little profit or no loss but we didn't so decided to trade out at 3.6 with £60 which put the profit on the draw as we expected an equaliser. MK Don's pulled it back midway though the 2nd half for us to trade out again at 1.93 for average odds of 2.66 and an overall profit of £12


Profit made on this trade = £12



Date: 13/01/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: FA Cup
Teams:Birmingham V Wolves - SCORE: 0 - 2
Our Recommendation:
Its always a tough close fought match when these two meet especially in a Cup game. One thing that stands out in previous meetings is both sides scoring, which has happened in the last 7 with the draw being the most common result. Both sides have a strong record in this round against Championship opponents with Wolves only losing 1 of their previous matches (Cardiff last year) but remaining undefeated when away from home and Birmingham have yet to lose a home match to a Championship side in the 3rd round so all things considered a score draw looks on the cards. Considering both sides style of play we are likely to see a 1st half goal here. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. Usual recovery if we don't see a goal before the break. Whilst the 0-0 hasn't been a result we have seen between these two since before the Millennium we will still grab some cover on the 0-0 here £10 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4, put £10 on the 0-0 at 10.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.96. The opened came from Wolves 38 min's in for us to trade out on the draw at 3.65 with £93 and the goals trade at average odds of 2.22 with £33 for £2 overall. Basically the odds didn't move out as expected as we all felt Birmingham would equalise. Nice assist from the Ref for the 2nd!


Profit made on this trade = £2



Date: 14/01/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: FA Cup
Teams: Newcastle V Hull - SCORE: 0 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Last time out these two played out a 0-0 draw with half of Newcastle's 1st 11 out injured. Well its got worse for Kinnear now it looks like Andy Carroll and Shola Ameobi are also carrying knocks. So with 11 players out and 8 of them 1st team regulars can Hull win here? Well they did it back in September at St James' Park but their results have got progressively worse since then but this is almost a gift as they will be playing a severely weakened Newcastle side. Hull look good for scoring and conceding here as they have done in the majority of their away matches this season but we have no idea what we will see from this much changed Newcastle side so will stick to laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half and putting £5 on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay. Usual trade out plans here.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.35, backed the 0-0 at 12.5 with £5 and again with £10 at 5.9. We also had a side trade on over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.75. No goal before the break so we traded out at 4.3 for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 as usual. Regrettably no goal before our usual trade out point so we got out at 1.8 leaving the loss on the draw as usual. Hull took the lead inside the last 10 min's for us to end with a £15 loss overall.


Profit made on this trade = -£15



Date: 16/01/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Blue Square Premier
Teams: Torquay V Wrexham - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:

Both sides will fight hard here to maintain their chances of promotion so expect a cagey affair. The Gulls welcome back one of their key players Tim Sills which could be the tipping point in this match. H2H the away side has never taken 3 points from this encounter which again looks likely here with Torquay scoring in all these H2H matches. To support this Wrexham look good for conceding as their recent form has seen them concede in the last 10 consecutive away matches. We also feel they will score though as they have done so in 9 of their last 10 and have looked pretty sharp in the last 4 or 5 matches we have seen. This will probably end in a draw but it shouldn't be goalless so we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will also be having a side trade, laying over 2.5 goals and trading out 10-15mins in ideally before a goal (getting out soon if concerned). We will grab a little cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Usually recover plans here.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 backed 0-0 with £5 initially at 12 and again with another £5 at 9.2. We also had a side trade on the goals market, laying over 2.5 goals at 2.04 trading out at average odds of 2.38 with £42. The open came just after the 30 min mark from Wrexham for us to trade out of the draw trade, getting out at 3.85 with £89. Quite a few members reported they opted trade out with all the profit on the draw as Torquay defiantely looked like they would score, we split the profit fairly evenly across all options for an overall profit of £10


Profit made on this trade = £10



Date: 17/01/09
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Sunderland V Aston Villa - SCORE: 1 - 2
Our Recommendation:

Signs were initially good for Sunderland with the arrival of Sbragia who delivered 2 win in his 1st 3 games, but since then they are winless in 3. Villa shouldn't read to much into this though as Sunderland have looked very dangerous at times especially the partnership of Jones and Cisse which is likely to help them on the scoresheet today. There is still a lot of work needed and Sbragia still needs to find his 1st starting 11 so with this in mind we expect Villa to grind out another Win or worst avoid defeat here which is supported statistically by Villa's record against similar opponents and Sunderland's record against top 4 sides. With the draw odds being so reasonable it makes sense to take the safety of laying the draw just incase Cisse and Jones are on a mission so will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We are also expecting a 1st half goal here so will be backing over 2.5 goals inplay as a side trade staggering our stake as usual, trading out after a goal or at HT if its goalless, moving the loss onto over as usual. We will be grabbing £5 on the 0-0 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Usual recovery if things go wrong and out at 1.8 on the draw if it remains goalless.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 with £80 of the £100 we were looking to get on and backed over 2.5 goals with £10 of the £50 we were plannign to get on the goals trade at 2.28. We also backed the 0-0 with £5 at 12.0. Sunderland opened the scoring fairly early on so not much of an odds movement but we were able to trade out of the draw trade at 3.8 with £71 and the £10 we had on over 2.5 goals at 1.48 with £13. Feedback from quite a few members highlighted they layed Sunderland as they expected Villa to equalise and avoid defeat we also did this at 1.81 but its not in the preview so no reportable profit. So overall £10 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £10




Date: 17/01/09
Time: 17.20hrs GMT
Fixture: Championship
Teams: Bristol City V Wolves - SCORE: 2 - 2
Our Recommendation:
Wolves should be on a high coming into this game after knocking out neighbors Birmingham from the FA Cup. They have gone a little flat in recent games but should pick up their 1st win in 4 against a side that has failed to beat them on the last 7 attempts. We are a little concern that Wolves will see another draw here though, as they just can't keep a clean sheet on their travels and Bristol come into this match having recorded back to back wins. We expect both sides to score here but Wolves should have enough in their tank to win as we have seen them win 3 of their last 4 against bottom half sides and City have a poor record against teams in the top 4. We also won't be surprised if this finishes over 2.5 goals. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half and backing the 0-0 with £5 initially grabbing more cover if concerned later on. Usual plan here for trading out and recovery.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.45, backed the 0-0 at £13 and 5.4 with £10 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.12 with £25. The opener came just before HT for us to trade out at 4.8 with £71 on the draw and 2.2 with £30 on the goals trade for an overall profit of £18.


Profit made on this trade = £18



Date: 17/01/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Ligue 1
Teams: Nantes V Bordeaux - SCORE: 1 - 2
Our Recommendation:
We expect Bordeaux to win here but newly promoted Nantes won't make it easy for them. They have shown their resilience in all their home matches this season especially against sides chasing for the title. We would compare them to Fulham, they cause the odd upset and you have to work very hard to take 3 points of them. H2H these two usually have a low scoring match with 13 of the last 14 meeting finishing under 2.5 goals. Having watched Bordeaux in their last few outings we are a little concerned that this trend won't continue here as they are very likely to score and concede. Saying this we are expecting more action in the 2nd half and won't be surprised if its goalless at the break. As we feel Bordeaux will avoid defeat here we will be laying Nantes and trading out after they go behind or 60 min's in if it remains goalless. Please feel free to keep this to a side trade to keep your liability low.

Our Trading Result:
We layed Nantes at 4.4 with £50 and traded out 11 mins later at 13.5 with £15 after Bordeaux opened the scoring for £33 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £33



Date: 18/01/09
Time: 13.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: West Ham V Fulham - SCORE: 3 - 1
Our Recommendation:
These two are level on points and two of the Premiership's inform sides. Picking a winner would be very difficult and ultimately it looks like we will see Fulham draw yet another away game, lets hope this won't be their 5th consecutive 0-0 away result! Personally we see both sides on the score sheet this time out which is supported in their H2H history at Upton Park. Usually West Ham get the better of Fulham and have a good record of avoiding defeat (no losses in the last 10 meetings) so we don't see Fulham picking up their 1st away win here but with all the January sales talk around the Iron's key players were not quite sure how West Ham will perform here, lets hope it doesn't effect them too much. We aren't expecting lots of early action here as Fulham have gone into the break goalless in 10 of their last 11 on the road but the deadlock should be broken this time out. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, we will also be having a side trade on under 2.5 goals, trading out 10-15 min's in, backing again if a goal comes and ideally trading out when the odds equalise, 2 come before were out follow the usual plan. We will grab £5 of cover on the 0-0 initially, backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35 backed the 0-0 with £5 at 9.6 and backed under 2.5 goals at 1.7. Hammers opened the scoring fairly early on which enabled us to trade out at 4.6 on the draw trade with £70. Because of the early goal we hadn't traded out of the goals trade so we backed again at 2.64. Another goal came before we had traded out completely of the goals trade so we layed under 2.5 at 5.6 to get us average odds of 3.9 on the lay bet moving the loss onto under as usual in this situation. So overall we ended £23 up.


Profit made on this trade = £23



Date: 18/01/09
Time: 14.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Atalanta V Inter Milan - SCORE: 3 - 1
Our Recommendation:
We are hoping to see a refocused Inter for this match as they were very poor last week and lucky to get a draw against Cagliari. Admittedly they were missing a few key players who are fit for this game but Atalanta are a decent home side so they will have to work for it or we might see them being held to a draw. Both sides have scored in the last 10 H2H meetings which is likely to happen again here, but the opener has come from Inter on the majority of occasions which fits nicely with the fact Atalanta have conceded 1st in their last 5 matches against big 4 sides when playing at home. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, ideally from Inter. If Atalanta score 1st but Inter look like equalising we will trade out by backing the draw but double up so we have a profit on the draw. If they are playing poorly we will stick to just basic trading out. We are expecting it to take a while for a goal to come so will be having a side trade, laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so, trading out earlier if concerned. If a goal comes before were out we will follow our usual plan. We will also grab £5 of cover on the 0-0 initially, backing further if concerned.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35, backed the 0-0 at 11.5 with £5 and layed over 2.5 goals at 2.12. No early goal so we were able to trade out at 2.52 on the goals trade with £43. Atalanta started strongly and took the lead 17 min's in. At this point Inter hadn't had a shot on goal so obviously we didn't consider doubling up, opting to give it a little time to make a decision and see how they responded to going behind, moments later Valdes unleashed a pile driver from 25 yards that went just wide of the post and that was our decision to trade out as normal. We got out at 3.3 with £100 which because of the final result left us £4 up overall. In hindsight we should have waited a little longer as Atalanta looked like extending their lead.


Profit made on this trade = £4



Date: 18/01/09
Time: 19.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Lazio V Juventus - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Lazio are no easy team to beat at home but Juventus are in superb form winning 9 of their last 10. With the news Inter have dropped 3 point at Atalanta (well deserved) they will be all out for the win here as they can close Inter's lead to 1 point. H2H is in Juventus' favour in recent years, they have also avoided defeat on the last 8 occasions. Both sides look like scoring here and considering Lazio have conceded 1st in 6 of their last 7 against big 4 sides this looks likely which is supported by the fact Juve have taken the lead in 70% of matches against top half sides over the last few seasons. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. The opener looks like it will come in the 1st half so we will be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, getting out at HT if its goalless as usual, back in if a 3rd looks likely. £5 on the 0-0 makes sense initially, backing further if concerned inplay. Usual recover plans.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.2 backed the 0-0 at 13 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.88. Lazio opened the scoring 24 min's in for us to trade out at 3.85 with £83 on the draw trade, we were pretty lucky here with the goals trade as the odds we asked for didn't get accepted initially then Juve equalised so were able to get out at 1.21 with £45. A bit of a wasted opportunity as we felt this would finish over 2.5 so weighted the profit in the wrong direction. Overall we ended with £30 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £30



Date: 19/01/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: League One
Teams: Yeovil V Leicester - SCORE: 0 - 2
Our Recommendation:
Yeovil are without their Captain for this match which isn't an ideal situation when your playing a side sitting top of the table. Leicester have been practically unstoppable in recent weeks having won 8 of their last 10, drawing the other two matches. One thing about Leicester that makes us a little nervous is they leave themselves open at the back quite a lot which has seen them concede in the last 8 away games and with Yeovil's new striker Luke Rodgers playing here we do expect them to let one in, but this shouldn't happen until after Leicester have scored as they have the best record in the league for opening goals. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. We will also be backing over 2.5 goals inplay as a small side trade and grabbing £5 of cover on the 0-0 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Their are a few trend that point to it being goalless at the break so we won't be too surprised if this happens but feel there is more of a chance we will see an opener inside the 1st 45mins. Usual plan at cutting losses, out at 1.8 on the draw, loss on the draw. Usual recovery on the over 2.5 side trade, out at HT for no loss on under, back in if a 3rd looks likely.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.55, backed the 0-0 at 14.5 and again at 6.0 with £10 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.0. There was no goal in the 1st half but it was pretty obvious from the shots on goal and the saves the Yeovil keeper had to make that the deadlock would be broken. We still traded out as usual on the goals trade at HT for no loss should the game finish under 2.5 as usual. The opener came at the perfect time for us to trade of the draw traded, getting out at 6.2 with £55. They followed this up with another a couple of min's before the final whistle to win 2-0. So overall we finished £32 up.


Profit made on this trade = £32



Date: 20/01/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Spanish Cup
Teams: Valencia V Sevilla - SCORE: 3 - 2
Our Recommendation:

This is going to be interested. The last two years winners meet H2H to fight for a place in the last 4. Valencia had a storming start to the season holding top spot for the 1st few months without a defeat until November. Since then they have been inconsistent and failed to secure back to back wins, and have slipped to 4th, 1 place below Sevilla. Sevilla on the other hand have improved as the season has gone on and are now undefeated in 8, winning 6 of these matches. Considering Valencia's record for scoring and conceding this season we should see the deadlock broken either way. If Valencia open the scoring 1st, Sevilla should equalise as Valencia have had great trouble holding a lead this season. H2H Sevilla have got the better of Valencia in the most recent meetings and considering the way they have been playing recently it looks like this trend will continue here. Whilst most people are expecting this to be high scoring we feel this will go the other way with both sides playing out this 1st leg fairly cautiously but we should see the deadlock broken. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal and as the odds aren't to dissimilar we will be able to profit whoever scores 1st. We can't agree on the goals market here but we do expect it to take a whilst to open up so will be laying over 2.5 goals as a side trade, getting out 10-15 min's in, sooner if the game is end to end. If a goal comes we will lay again, ideally trading out when the odds equalise. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned its going to finish goalless inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.7, with £50 of the £100 we were looking to get on, backed the 0-0 at 14.5 and layed over 2.5 goals at 1.86 with £50. Valencia took the lead pretty early on so we still had £25 of the £50 left on the goals trade despite the odds drifting quite a bit before kick off. We were able to trade out at 4.9 on the draw trade with £38. After this we layed over 2.5 goals again for lower average odds of 1.63 and traded out the rest at 1.7 for £11 overall. We were right about Sevilla equalising but the Valencia's shock two goals in 2 min's to come back from 2-1 down was hell of a surprise. Great match, we will return for the 2nd leg.


Profit made on this trade = £16



Date: 22/01/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Copa Del Rey
Teams: Mallorca V Betis - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Mallorca are struggling near the foot of the table and yet to show signs of improvement, only picking up 2 wins in the last 15 matches and winless in 11 league games. Betis, on the other hand, have managed to end their losing run after we felt they would be joining Mallorca near the foot of the table with a decent win over Valladolid in the league and 2 Cup wins from the last 4 games which will give them some confidence coming into this match. Neither side inspires confidence but with Mallorca having to focus on their domestic campaign we would expect a weakened side fielded against Betis here and considering they have conceded 2 goals this season in most their games we are likely to see Betis edge this or at least avoid defeat. H2H is split so we can't read to much into this but one thing that stands out is goals, one side always scores. You never know what your going to see in a Cup game but we have confidence the deadlock will be broken and with the draw odds fairly close we should be able to profit whoever scores. So to confirm we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will be grabbing some cover on the 0-0 £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay and considering these two have seen 1st half goals in most their Cup matches so far we will be having a small side trade on over 2.5, trading out after a goal or at HT for no loss on under. As usual back in if concerned a 3rd is coming in the 2nd half.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.25, backed the 0-0 with £8 at 11.5 and again at 6 with another £7. We also had a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, getting in at average odds of 2.82, and traded out at HT with loss on over 2.5 as we went into the break goalless. Mallorca opened the scoring at the perfect time in the 2nd half for us to trade out of the draw trade at 4.6 with £68 for an overall profit of £15.


Profit made on this trade = £15



Date: 24/01/09
Time: 12.40hrs GMT
Fixture: FA Cup
Teams: Hartlepool V West Ham- SCORE: 0 - 2
Our Recommendation:
Hartlepool performed their socks off in their 3rd round defeat of Stoke and are likely to cause the Hammers a few issues here. West Ham come into this match on the back of a decent run of form undefeated in their last 5, winning 4 of these games so despite all the activities behind the scenes at Upton Park we should see a decent performance from Zola's men. Defensively the Hammers aren't perfect so we expect them to concede here which is supported by the fact they have rarely kept a clean sheet on the road but up front even without Belamy they should be able to break down this league one side especially with Cole finding his scoring boots in the last 5 games. West Ham have no real injury worries here so have the option of fielding a strong side which from Zola's comments looks likely, whilst Hartlepool have 3 key players carrying knocks so all things considered we see West Ham avoiding defeat here. Their are pretty strong trends supporting a draw at the break here which does look likely again here, but it shouldn't be a goalless match so will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, supported by a side trade laying over 2.5 goals and trading out around 10 min's in, ideally before a goal. Please feel free to get out sooner if concerned a goal is coming. Usual recovery if a goal comes before were out. We will also grab £7 of cover on the 0-0 initially, backing further if concerned. Out at 1.8 on the draw if it remains goalless as usual.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.7 backed the 0-0 at 14 with £7 and layed over 2.5 at 2.0. No early goal so we were able to trade out at average odds of 2.16 with £46 on the goals trade. West Ham opened the scoring 44 mins in for us to trade out of the draw trade at 6.2 with £54, if we had waited another 30 seconds we could have got odds over 20 when they converted the penalty. So overall £40 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £40



Date: 24/01/09
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: FA Cup
Teams: Sunderland V Blackburn - SCORE: 0 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Historically these FA Cup Premiership clashes see the home side come out on top with the away win only featuring in around 11% of games. This match looks to buck the trend as Sunderland have a league game on Tuesday and Sbragia has gone on record he will be giving his fringe player a run out so they can focus on their Premiership survival. Blackburn have turned the corner in recent weeks and are now undefeated since Big Sam took over. We expect them to avoid defeat again here. The last time these two met it finished goalless but Blackburn we definitely the better side on the day and with a few more weeks under Big Sam's belt this match is likely to tip in their favour. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. The 1st half draw looks likely but we see a 1st half goal here so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, staggering our stake as usual. If its goalless at the break we will trade out moving the loss onto over 2.5 goal, back in if a 3rd looks likely in the 2nd half. Usual recover plans here and out at 1.8 if it remains goalless as usual. We will also grab £5 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.15 backed the 0-0 at 10.5, 5 and 3.0 with £25 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.15 getting out just before HT for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 goals as usual. The match got to our usual trade out point of 1.8 on the draw so we traded out as usual with the loss on the draw getting 1.83 as both sides upped the tempo in the later stages and looked like they might grab the win. So overall a £33 loss.


Profit made on this trade = -£33



Date: 25/01/09
Time: 16.00hrs GMT
Fixture: FA Cup
Teams: Liverpool V Everton - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Derby day and Cup match, it should be a fierce contest. They only met a matter of days ago where it ended 1-1. Its a bit of a tough ask for Everton to win here with Rafa taking this competition very seriously and they haven't beaten the Reds at Anfield since 99 but with Liverpool resting some of their key players and Everton in great form we might see another draw. The 0-0 doesn't look likely and both sides look good for scoring but we won't be surprised if it takes until the 2nd half for the deadlock to be broken. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. We will be also backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10-15mins or so getting out earlier if concerned. We will also grab £5 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay. Usual recovery here if a goal comes before were out of the goals trade and if its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8 we will trade out with the loss on the draw as usual.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.55, backed the 0-0 with £5 at 9.8 and backed under 2.5 goals at 1.7. No early goal so we were able to trade out of the goals trade at 1.56 with £52. Everton took the lead after 27 min's then defended deep for the rest of the half. Because the odds shortened a little with everyone expecting Liverpool to equalise which is what we also expected to see we traded out with £125 weighting the profit towards the draw. Advising everyone who contacted us to do the same. Everton never really threatened for the rest of the match but defended superbly. A little magic from Torres and Gerrard saw Liverpool pull level 10 mins after the break for us to trade out at 2.48 to end with a £5 loss overall. In hindsight we should have traded out with more when Everton took the lead and waited a little longer for shorter draw odds but felt the small loss was acceptable.


Profit made on this trade = -£5



Date: 25/01/09
Time: 16.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Mallorca V Valencia - SCORE: 3 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Mallorca are sitting bottom with no signs of improvement having not won since October and failing to beat any top half side this season. Strangely they have been superb in the Copa Del Rey but have been unable to transfer this form into their league performances. Their main issues are defensive as on the attack they aren't half bad but when you have conceded 25 goals in the last 10 you make things very difficult for yourself. Valencia are hard to make out this season and against Sevilla recently they were very impressive but they keep throwing away the lead, but their record against simular opponantes has seen them win 6 of the last 7 and score on average 2 goals against these sides so we expect them to win here. We also expect both sides to score here as Valencia's consistantly changing back 4 is yet to look solid but ultimately an away win as the final result. We will be laying the draw just incase Valencia are suffering from tired legs from their tough midweek match and trading out after a goal. We will be having a side trade on the goals market laying over 2.5 goals for the the 1st 10 mins or so getting out ideally before a goal. Usual recovery if one comes before were out. We will grab £5 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay.



Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.3 backed the 0-0 with £5 at 12.5 and layed over 2.5 goals at 1.83. We saw an early opener from Mallorca against a sluggish Valencia side. After the goal we traded out of the draw at 4.0 with £82 and layed under 2.5 goals again at 1.33. We had plenty of time before the next goal to wait for the odds to drift, getting out at average odds of 1.6 with £99 for an overall profit of £13.



Profit made on this trade = £13



Date: 26/01/09
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie B
Teams: Ancona V Treviso - SCORE: 2 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Ancona have won six of their last nine home games while Treviso have failed to win away this season. Over the last few season Treviso's away record against similar teams has seen them lose over 70% of these meeting. H2H we can't remember Ancona ever being beaten by Treviso but one thing we can remember is they have had some big score lines, with 4 of the last 5 seeing 4 or more goals. If you look at their current form you might feel that this will finish under 2.5 goals, but we do expect Ancona to score here and more than likely early as they tend to have a strong 1st half at home but with Treviso looking a little sharper up front in their most recent games we see them on the score sheet so we might see this finish over 2.5. As we feel a 1st half goal is on the cards we will be having a small side trade laying under 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half and trading out after a goal and as a main trade laying the draw and trading out after a goal. The 0-0 is at 7.8 so a little short but we will be putting £5 on backing further if concerned inplay. Usual plan here if its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8. We will probably wait for a goal or two on the goals trade as their isn't likely to be much liability rather than trading out at HT as usual.

Our Trading Result:
The match went exactly as expected. We layed the draw at average odds of 2.96, backed the 0-0 at 7.8 with £5 and layed under 2.5 at average odds of 1.58. Ancona opened the scoring 19 mins in for us to trade out of both trades, we goal out at 4.6 on the draw trade with £58 and 2.26 with £32 on the goals trade for an overall profit of £52


Profit made on this trade = £52



Date: 27/01/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Portsmouth V Aston Villa - SCORE: 0 - 1
Our Recommendation:

Pompey are now winless in 6, losing 4 of these matches, having now lost two vital player Jermain Defoe to Tottenham and Lassana Diarra to Real Madrid things look very difficult for Adams despite their new signings. Villa in comparison haven't lose in over 10 matches and have won 5 of their last 6. H2H Villa haven't beaten Pompey at Fratton park for quite a few years but they also haven't been in this kind of form in over 10 years. These two met earlier in the season at Villa Park and it finished 0-0, we don't expect to see this again here as Pompey seem to be letting in more and more goals every week and Villa are scoring for fun at the moment. Both sides have some key players out here and will be fielding their new signings so its going to be an interesting match. Villa should avoid defeat, but with Pompey likely to drop into the relegation zone if they lose they should have that extra bit of motivation to make this a tough away fixture for Villa. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we also feel a 1st half goal is on the cards so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. Usual plan if its goalless at the break, back in if a 3rd looks likely in the 2nd half. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Usual exit at 1.8 on the draw.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.2 and backed the 0-0 at 10.5 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £17 at average odds of 2.58. Heskey opened the scoring for Villa after 20 min's for us to trade out at 4.4 with £68 on the draw and 1.69 with £25 on the goals trade for an overall profit of £32. We did say before kick off £7 on the 0-0 so will take an extra £2 off the profit.


Profit made on this trade = £30



Date: 28/01/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: West Ham V Hull - SCORE: 2 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Well it looks like Hull's misery will continue again here against a much improved West Ham side who have won 3 of their last 4 and scored 11 times in these games. Hull might only be 2 points behind the Hammers but their recent form couldn't be more different, losing their last 5 league matches and conceding 15 goals along the way. We personally feel with Hull winning in the FA Cup recently and the fact they have already beaten West Ham this season they should put up a bit of a fight, but we do expect the Hammers to start strongly and take the lead early on which is what we have seen happen when Hull have played away from home in 5 of their last 6. Basically we feel West Ham will win or worst case walk away with a point, but we do expect both sides to score as Hull's issues are mainly defensive and won't be surprised if it finishes over 2.5 goals. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, ideally from the Hammers. We will also be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as we expect an early goal. We will grab a little cover on the 0-0 £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Usual trade out plan on both trades if things don't go our way.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.8, backed the 0-0 at 13.5 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £40 of the £50 we were looking to get on here at average odds of 2.56. As expected the Hammers opened the scoring in the 1st half for us to trade out at 6.4 with £56 on the draw trade and 1.72 with £59 on the goals trade for an overall profit of £54.


Profit made on this trade = £54


 

Date: 29/01/09
Time: 19.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Copa Del Rey
Teams: Sevilla V Valencia - SCORE: 2 - 1
Our Recommendation:

The reverse fixture saw Valencia come from behind in an end to end game and win 3-2 so they carry an advantage coming into this match. Both sides come into this Cup match after terrible weekend performances which might be linked to their tough midweek reverse fixture, but they will definitely have been refocused for this match as this is either sides only chance of Silverware. We don't expect a 5 goal extravaganza this time out as the majority of Sevilla's home games have finished under 2.5 this season, but we can't see Sevilla keeping a clean sheet as Valencia have no issues scoring but continue to perform poorly at the back. We expect to see the deadlock broken here and more than likely by Sevilla as they press to over turn the deficit, but we should just about be able to profit whoever scores 1st if we lay the draw and trade out after a goal. We will be backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so as Sevilla rarely score or concede in the 1st 10 min's. We will also grab £5 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay. Usual recovery if a goal comes early and were still in on the goals trade and if its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8 we will trade out of the draw trade as usual.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.7, backed the 0-0 at 14.5 with £5 and backed backed under 2.5 goals at 2.22 with £50. The opener came 10 mins in so we were able to trade out at 3.95 with £90 on the draw trade but as we got caught out on the goals we backed again at 4.1 for average odds of 3.16 and trade out at average odds of 2.94 with £108 for £9 overall. Just a shame Sevilla didn't open the scoring as we would have had a much bigger profit.


Profit made on this trade = £9



Date: 30/01/09
Time: 19.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Hamburger SV V Bayern München - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:

Hamburg, are currently 4th in the league, and have been in great form lately with 5 wins in 5 games. Bayern are 2nd and haven't lost a single match since September so this should be an interesting match. Hamburg usually keep it tight against the big 3 for obvious reasons so we won't be surprised if this isn't high scoring, but they rarely keep a clean sheet against these sides having concede in the last 6 H2H meetings with Bayern, but when in this vain of form they have also managed to scoring in their last 6 H2H's. This really could go either way but it shouldn't be goalless. An early goal looks on the cards so we should see the deadlock broken in the 1st half so a small side trade on over 2.5 goals makes sense. The main trade will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. Usual trade out on the goals trade at HT if its goalless back in if a 3rd looks likely in the 2nd half. If its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8 trade out as usual. We will also grab £5 of cover on the 0-0 backign further if concened inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.45, backed the 0-0 at 15.0 with £5 and backed backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.76 with £25. The opener came just before the break for us to trade out 3.7 on the draw trade with £83 and 2.1 with £34 on the goals trade for an overall profit of £9. Similar situation as yesterday with the non favorite scoring for a smaller profit, but still a profit.


Profit made on this trade = £9



Date: 31/01/09
Time: 14.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: FC Koln V Wolfsburg - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
KC Koln have seen their last 7 games finish over 2.5 goals with both sides scoring. Wolfsburg have a terrible defensive record on the road which has seen them concede at least 2 goals in 9 of their last 10. We see no reason not to expect more of the same here. Wolfsburg usually start strongly against sides in the bottom half scoring 1st on the majority of occasions but FC Koln tend to take a little while to break down so we shouldn't see a goal in the 1st 10 min's but we still expect a score line which sees both sides scoring. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. We will be having a side trade backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so, getting out sooner if concerned. If a goal comes usual recovery. We will then look at backing over 2.5 goals as a side trade inplay staggering out stake if the game is open and end to end as expected. We will put £5 on the 0-0 currently available at 16, backing further if concerned inplay. If its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8 we will trade out as usual.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5, backed the 0-0 at £16 with £5 and backed under 2.5 goals at 2.32 with £50. No early goal so we were able to trade out of the goals trade at 2.06 with £58. We then moved onto the over 2.5 goals market as planned getting in at average odds of 2.4 with £25. The game was a little more even than expected but we were able to trade out of the over 2.5 goals market at 1.68 with £37 after the opening goal. Yet again the wrong side scored for our profit to be minimise but we walked away with £15 after trading out of the draw trade at 3.65.


Profit made on this trade = £15



Date: 31/01/09
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Middlesbrough V Blackburn - SCORE: 0 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Middlesbrough are having a tough time of it, without a win in 11 games, losing 5 of their last 6 and only scoring once in these games. Blackburn seem to be undergoing a mini revival under big Sam and are now undefeated in 5, the most impressive part of this was their ability and motivation to come from behind which was missing in the earlier part of the season. It looks like Blackburn will avoid defeat here and they might just make it 4 consecutive away wins over Middlesbrough. We see a 1st half goal here ideally from Blackburn so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half but the main trade will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also grab a little cover on the 0-0 £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Usual trade out plans here if its goalless at the break and the draw odds reach 1.8.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35 backed the 0-0 at 11 with £7 and again at 3.9 with £13 and 2.4 with £10 we also backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.2. No goal in the 1st half so we got out of the goals trade around HT at average odds of 6.0 for no loss should the match finish under 2.5 as usual. Boro's keeper was having a storming game and after his 5th or 6th save we saw no way past him. In all fairness Boro should have lost this 3-0 but great goal keeping saw them walk away with a point. The draw odds got to our usual trade out point of 1.8 so we got out for average odds of 1.81 with the loss on the draw as usual. So overall we ended with a loss of £39.


Profit made on this trade = -£39



Date: 31/01/09
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Ligue 1
Teams: Rennes V Toulouse - SCORE: 0 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Rennes are the inform home side in the Ligue with a record of (W7-D3-L0) this season and are unbeaten at home in 14 matches. Their record against strong defensive away sides similar to Toulouse has seen them raise their game and win 4 of the last 5. Toulouse's record against similar home sides has seen them only pick up 1 win in the last 5 H2H's but they tend to be resilient in the 1st half having gone into the break level on 70% of occasions this season. When these two have met previously at Rennes home ground Toulouse haven't taken 3 points since the 1990's with 6 of the last 8 ending with Rennes taking 3 points. We feel Rennes will avoid defeat again here but it should be a tough match. Whilst most people are expecting this to finish under 2.5 goals we prefer to support over 2.5 which has been the result in the last 3 H2H's so will be laying under 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as a side trade and laying the draw, trading out after a goal. Usual recover here if its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8. Because of the low liability on the goals trade we will wait for a goal or two rather than trading out at HT.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.15 and layed under 2.5 goals at average odds of 1.35 with £50. Pagis should have sent Rennes up in the early part of the 1st half but miss hit a volley, only to do it again just before the break. Lots of wasted chances which on another day would have seen a big score line but unfortunately we got to our usual trade out odds of 1.8 so traded out getting 1.87 matched. As we completely forgot to mention the 0-0 market in the preview we couldn't grab any cover so traded out splitting the loss across all options with £168 so overall a mistake in the preview cost us £85, Although lots of members reported laying Rennes in the 2nd half after Toulouse started the better or grabbing cover on the 0-0.


Profit made on this trade = -£85


 

 

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