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Results Traders Advantage

Feb 2010 Profit = £210

Trades Completed Summary
(For a detailed summary of each trade see the detailed results table below)

 

Date
Teams
Score
Profit
01/02/10
Sunderland V Stoke
0 - 0
-£35
02/02/10
Breda v AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
-£96
03/02/10
PSV V Utrecht
2 - 1
£25
03/02/10
Fulham V Portsmouth
1 - 0
-£25
04/02/10
Roma V Udinese
2 - 0
£36
05/02/10
Newcastle V Cardiff
5 - 1
£17
06/02/10
Frosinone v Lecce
0 - 4
£33
06/02/10
Sunderland V Wigan
1 - 1
£1
06/02/10
Palermo V Parma
2 - 1
£19
07/02/10
Mainz V M Gladbach
1 - 0
£27
07/02/10
Mallorca V Villareal
1 - 0
-£9
07/02/10
Fiorentina v Roma
0 - 1
-£36
08/02/10
Colchester V Southend
2 - 0
£19
10/02/10
Arsenal V Liverpool
1 - 0
-£10
10/02/10
Wolves V Spurs
1 - 0
£4
11/02/10
Santander v Atl Madrid
3 - 2
£25
12/02/10
Empoli v Ancona
3 - 0
£31
13/02/10
Southampton V Portsmouth
1 - 4
£2
13/02/10
Bochum V Hoffenheim
2 - 1
£16
13/02/10
Roma V Palermo
4 - 1
£45
13/02/10
Sampdoria v Fiorentina
2 - 0
£23
14/02/10
Bolton V Tottenham
1 - 1
£10
14/02/10
Cagliari v Bari
3 - 1
£32
15/02/10
Tenerife v Mallorca
1 - 0
£12
17/02/10
Wigan V Bolton
0 - 0
-£29
18/02/10
Ajax V Juventus
1 - 2
£25
19/02/10
Hoffenheim V M Gladbach
2 - 2
£1
20/02/10
FC Koln V Stuttgart
1 - 5
£22
20/02/10
Genoa v Udinese
3 - 0
£21
20/02/10
Mallorca v Sevilla
1 - 3
£14
21/02/10
Aston Villa V Burnley
5 - 2
£13
21/02/10
W Bremen V Leverkusen
2 - 2
£14
24/02/10
Stoke V Manchester City
1 - 1
-£50
24/02/10
Aston Villa V Crystal Palace
3 - 1
£25
25/02/10
Wolfsburg V Villarreal
4 - 1
£18
27/02/10
Bochum V Nurnberg
0 - 0
-£51
27/02/10
Burnley V Portsmouth
1 - 2
£6
27/02/10
Leverkusen V FC Koln
0 - 0
£0
28/02/10
Atl Madrid v Valencia
4 - 1
£15

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Trades Completed in Detail




Date: 01/02/10
Teams: Sunderland V Stoke - SCORE: 0 - 0

Preview:
A full strength Stoke side fresh for a 3-1 defeat of Arsenal in the FA Cup take on a Sunderland side still hampered with injuries and likely to field yet another makeshift backline so we are a little concerned for Sunderland. A ray of hope for the home side is that Stoke don't travel well with only 1 win this term and they are without a win at the Stadium of light in their last 7 visits. Its hard to see things improving for Sunderland with so many key players out and keeping a cleansheet looks practically impossible for the makeshift back 4 but they should score as they have done so in 9 of their last 10 and despite their poor form they are a difficult side to beat on home soil with only Villa and Chelsea taking 3 point from them this term, so a fair result would be a score draw here. The deadlock also looks good for being broken before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
A few good chances but both sides were lacking in the final 3rd so none of us were surprised by the final score. No goals in this one so we got the draw right but not the goals. We layed the draw at 3.4 backed overs at 3.32 and backed the 0-0 at 10.5, 3.75 and 2.36 with £35 overall. Goalless going into the break for us to trade out with £5 profit on under at average odds of 6.6. We backed overs again after the break at 13 for safety and traded out at our usual trade out point of 1.8 getting 1.82 matched with the loss on the draw.


Profit made on this trade = -£35



Date: 02/02/10
Teams: Breda v AZ Alkmaar - SCORE: 1 - 1

Preview:
Breda are one of the leagues best home sides with just one loss so far this season. They come into this match having won their last two and haven't failed to score at home in over 10 games. Their record against sides carrying similar form to AZ has seen them lose only one of their last 10 matches. AZ have been very inconsistent this season and have lost five of their last seven on the road and their last 5 matches against sides on a similar run of home form. The most recent meetings between these two have finished 1-0 but prior to this and with Breda at home 7 of the last 8 have seen 3 plus goals which is what we expect to see here. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.55 backed the 0-0 at 13.5 and 4.4 with £20 overall and backed overs at average odds of 3.22 before the break. Suprisingly we went into the break goalless but followed the plan of getting out at the break on the goals trade at av. odds of 5.4 with £5 profit on unders backing further after the break for safety at 11. No goal before our usual trade out point on the draw trade for us to get out at 1.79 with the loss on the draw. AZ took the lead about 10 min's later but as this was still anyone's game and Breda's strong home scoring record we layed AZ at 1.14 with £100 for safety. So because of the final score line we finished £96 down.

Poor start to the month but we are confident we will turn it round over the next week or so.


Profit made on this trade = -£96



Date: 03/02/10
Teams: PSV V Utrecht - SCORE: 2 - 1

Preview:
PSV remain unbeaten this season and considering they are on a 9 match winning run they will be a very tough challenge for the visitors who have failed to win on the road in their last 6. They also have lost 5 of their last 6 matches against the big 3 sides. We expect a cautious start from the visitors for obvious reasons but with PSV averaging 3 goals a game on home soil we should see Utrecht concede. We aren't writing off Utrecht as they have the firepower to score here but considering they haven't beaten PSV on home soil in over 15 year losing 15 of their last 16 meetings we should be pretty safe to lay them. For this match we will be laying Utrecht with £30 and trading out after PSV take the lead, draw level or pull one back. If they concede 1st we will look to lay Utrecht again once PSV give us confidence they can pull it back. If its goalless at 60 min's in we will trade out for a small profit. If Utrecht are all over them look to lay PSV in the next goal market for safety, you can always trade out for no loss later in the match once your more confident with PSV. We will also be having a side trade on under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so trading out ideally before a goal, if one comes and the game isn't too open we will look to back again for higher average odds trading out when the odds equalise.

Our Trading Result:
We layed Utrecht at 12 with £30 and backed unders at 2.2 with £50. We closed the goals trade at 1.99 with £55 as were concerned PSV were going to score. Those who didn't would have had plenty of time to back again and trade out when the odds equalised. The opener came a few min's later for us to trade out at 44 on the Utrecht trade with £8 for £25 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £25



Date: 03/02/10
Teams: Fulham V Portsmouth - SCORE: 1 - 0

Preview:
Fulham come into this match on the back of 5 consecutive league defeats so will be desperate to end this losing run. They have actually been in decent home form this season with only two losses in their last 10 and these came against Villa and the Gunners. They have actually only lost 1 of their last 10 against bottom 6 sides winning 80% of these matches. Portsmouth haven't won any of their last 4 meetings with Fulham or any of their last 10 against mid-table sides this season and concidering their current vein of form we don't feel they will win here, but they have played well in their last few visits to Craven Cottage so a draw isn't out of the question. This match doesn't have high goal trends but Fulham have managed to score in 8 of their last 10 matches against bottom half sides before the break so ideally we will see the deadlock broken before HT. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. It might be worth staggering your lay stake for shorter odds inplay just incase Pompey surprise us all. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.2 backed overs at average odds of 3.48 and backed the 0-0 at 10.0 and 3.8 with £17. Great start from Pompey who clearly looked the better side with lots of decent chances early on but just couldn't put it in the net. No goal before the break so we traded out of the goals trade at av odds of 6.4 with £5 profit on unders. After the break we backed overs again for safety at 10.5 with £5. Pompey had a few chances early after the break but that was about it and Fulham then took control. Regrettably no goal before our usual trade out point for us to get out at 1.81 with the loss on the draw. Fulham took the lead with about 15 min's to go which seemed to deflate Pompey. There was no real justification to lay Fulham after this point but for a little security we used the rest of the profit from the early match laying Fulham at 1.16 with £50 so finish £25 down.



Profit made on this trade = -£25



Date: 04/02/10
Teams: Roma V Udinese - SCORE: 2 - 0

Preview:
These two have had a reversal of fortunes. Roma had a terrible start to the season but after the arrival of Ranieri they have been on a storming run since November undefeated in 16 games winning the last 6. Udinese had a decent start to the season and at one point looked good for challenging for a European place but their season has been spiraling out of control and they now find themselves just above the drop zone. They have actually been very good in the Cup and it isn't likely to be all one sided but as Roma seem to be taking this very seriously (risking Totti and De Rossi, who both have niggling injuries) we can't see the visitors grabbing much from this match especially with their terrible away record. Surprisingly when these two have met the away side has scored in over 20 consecutive games so we should see Udinese score here but considering Roma's scoring form they should score and emerge winners. The last 6 H2H's have seen both sides scoring, we should see this trend continue here but we do expect it to be a little cagey at the start. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. It might be worth staggering your lay stake inplay just incase Udinese score 1st. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 with £70 backed overs with £7 at 2.3 and backed the 0-0 at 11.5 with £7. Roma were clearly taking this one serious as expected and take a precious 2-0 lead in to the 2nd leg. We traded out after Vucinic scored getting out at 6.8 with £34 on the draw and 1.52 on the goals with £9 for £36 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £36



Date: 05/02/10
Teams: Newcastle V Cardiff - SCORE: 5 - 1

Preview:
Newcastle are unbeaten at home this season winning 10 of their 14 matches. Lately they have been a little less convincing compared to their early season form but have maintained their superb defensive record (only conceded 6 goals in their 14 home games) even when they have had issues scoring. Their opponents here have already beaten two other top six sides on the road in the last month or so but neither side were carrying a similar defensive record to Newcastle. We think this will be the deciding factor here and should see Newcastle avoid defeat although the way Cardiff have been playing lately they look good for scoring. They met back in September where it was pretty even with Newcastle securing a 1-0 win. On home soil Newcastle they should improve on this. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. It might be worth staggering your lay stake a little inplay just incase Cardiff score 1st. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.6 with £75 of the £100 we were going to get on, backed the 0-0 at 11 and didn't manage to get anything on overs before the opener from Newcastle. No question that Newcastle turned up focused on the win here. After they took the lead we traded out at 5.3 with £49 for £17 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £17



Date: 06/02/10
Teams: Frosinone v Lecce - SCORE: 0 - 4

Preview:
Frosinone have had over 2.5 goals in the majority of their games this season with scoring and conceding looking the most likely thing we will see here. Against the leagues better sides they frequently concede before the break so we should see the deadlock broken fairly early. Defensively they are one of the weaker sides in the league and have struggled against strong offensive sides for obvious reasons. Lecce are a side they will have great difficulty against and whilst it won't be all one sided the visitors should have little issue scoring and avoiding defeat. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 2.98 backed overs at 2.46 with £7 and backed the 0-0 at 10.0 with £7. Lecce were clearly the better side and took the lead early on as expected for us to trade out at 4.0 on the draw with £70 and 1.59 on the goals with £9 for £33 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £33



Date: 06/02/10
Teams: Sunderland V Wigan - SCORE: 1 - 1

Preview:
We all know Sunderland have been having a terrible time with injuries and haven’t won for 10 matches but they still remain resilient at home, losing just once in their last 10. There form against sides sitting in the bottom half not on an up trend has seen them avoid defeat in over 10 games winning the majority. They have also scored before the break in 8 of the last 10 games against similar ranked sides. Their opponents here come into this match with an away record that doesn't inspire confidence losing 8 of their last 10 against sides with similar home form to Sunderland so we should see the home side avoid defeat and maybe grab their 1st win in 10 games with new signing Benjani likely to feature. Wigan won the reverse fixture 1-0, this time we feel it will be pretty heated with the added dimension of Steve Bruce facing his old club so will support a match where we see both sides on the scoresheet. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed overs with £10 at 2.4 before the opener and backed the 0-0 at 11 with £7. Wigan took the lead for us to trade out at 3.65 on the draw with £96 and 1.65 on the goals trade with £15 for £8 overall. Basically with Wigan scoring 1st and Sunderland likely to equalise it just made sense to close this one and protect the earlier profit.



Profit made on this trade = £1



Date: 06/02/10
Teams: Palermo V Parma - SCORE: 2 - 1

Preview:
Palermo's league position continues to be supported by their home form which has now seen them go 17 games undefeated winning the last 4. Parma's home form has been better than expected so far this season and they had a superb 1st half to the season but since January they have been struggling and on the road this season they have only picked up two wins and have lost their last 3. Their main issues are defensive having conceded 20 goals in their last 10 and their last two outing saw them struggling in front of goal. We find it hard to see any other result than a home win here but as the draw odds are quite reasonable we will follow the standard trading plan. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed overs at average odds of 3.44 with £25 and backed the 0-0 at 11.5 and 3.95 with £20 overall. Palermo were clearly the better side before the break with Parma taking 40 min's to have a shot on goal. We went into the break goalless so traded out of the goals trade at av odds of 6.2 with £5 profit on under which we closed after the break at 11 as the game opened up. Palermo took the lead at the perfect time for us to trade out of the draw trade at 7.0 with £50 whilst we could have secured more profit by weighting it towards the win it made sense to split it evenly covering all options including the goals market as their was still 30 min's left. we had quite a bit of profit to play with so we backed overs again at 4.7 for safety with £10 for £19 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £19



Date: 07/02/10
Teams: Mainz V MGladbach - SCORE: 1 - 0

Preview:
Mainz have a fantastic home record since their promotion as they’ve won six of nine unbeaten games. They have had little issue scoring on home soil especially against poor away team similar to Gladbach who have won just 2 of their last 10 conceding an average of 2 goals a game. Defensively Mainz are looking solid at home having already held 3 of the leagues better sides to a draw including Leverkusen. Gladbach give us little confidence they can grab anything from this match and considering their poor defensive record on the road we should see then concede a few, with a 1st half goal looking likely. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 12 and backed overs at average odds of 3.48 with £25. Mainz opened the scoring as expected at the perfect time for us to trade out at 4.0 on the draw with £79 and 2.16 on the goals with £40 for £27 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £27



Date: 07/02/10
Teams: Mallorca V Villarreal - SCORE: 1 - 0

Preview:
Mallorca have won all nine of their home games this season scoring 24 goals conceding just 3. They did lose to bottom placed Xerex last week but as we are all aware they are like a different side on their travels. On a positive note they always bounce back well from a loss especially when their next game is at home. Their opponents here Villarreal have been very inconsistent so far this season and have lost 6 of their 9 away games this season and only picked up 3 wins in their last 20. When they have met a home side with similar form to Mallorca they have lost on 90% of occasions over the last few seasons. 6 of the last 7 times these two have met both sides have scored with Mallorca winning or avoiding defeat, we expect the trend to continue here although we feel it will take a whilst for the deadlock to be broken. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we will also be backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so trading out ideally before a goal, if we see one we will back again trading out after the odds are equalised, if two come before out we will move the loss onto under. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 13 and 4.5 with £20 and backed unders at 2.02 getting out just after 10 min's in at 1.72 with £55. A few good chances for both sides but no goal before our usual trade out point so we got out at 1.82 with the loss on the draw. Villreal didn't have a decent chance in the last 30 min's so we didn't lay Mallorca for safety. Overall we finished £9 down.



Profit made on this trade = -£9



Date: 07/02/10
Teams: Fiorentina V Roma - SCORE: 0 - 1

Preview:
Fiorentina seem to have been struggling since the new year winning just 1 of their last 5 having now slipped to 11th. They have quite a few players out including Mutu who was suspended for failing a drugs test. Roma are in amazing form but have Toni out injured for the trip to Florence while Mexes, Totti and De Rossi are all carrying knocks which is a little concerning for the visitors but makes the match look more balanced. The stand out trend here is over 2.5 goals with 17 of Roma's last 20 and 10 of their last 11 away games seeing 3 or more goals. With the highlighted injuries we might not see this happen but as Fiorentina have only seen 1 draw in their last 24 games we should see the deadlock broken and a winner here and considering Roma are the inform side in the Serie A and the have only lost 1 of the last 13 h2h's with Fiorentina we should see Roma win and hang onto that 3rd place in the table. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 12 and 4.1 with £20 and backed overs at average odds of 3.2 getting out at average odds of 5.7 with £5 profit on unders at the break backed further for safety at 11 with £5. Fiorentina were all over Roma and had them parked in their own half for practically the who match. They thoroughly deserved the win here but sometimes it just doesn't go your way which we have experienced quite a few times this month ourselves. None of us felt this would end goalless and expected Fiorentina to take the lead but they didn't and it was still goalless at our usual trade out point so we got out at 1.81 with the loss on the draw. With about 10 min's to go Roma grabbed the opener but it was too risky to not lay them as everything was coming from Fiorentina so we layed Roma at average odds of 1.16 with £100 for an overall loss of £36. Rather frustrating day as we selected all 3 sides to win and they did but the goals came at the wrong time for us to profit.



Profit made on this trade = -£36



Date: 08/02/10
Teams: Colchester V Southend - SCORE: 2 - 0

Preview:
Colchester have won 100% of their games against similar ranked sides this season and Southend have lost all but 1 of theirs. Colchester look to be able to field a practically full strength side with the return of 3 key players which is also helped by the fact Southend can't field the on-load due of Baldwin and Vernon as they can't play against their parent club. Southend will be fielding on loan Arsenal winger Sanchez Watt which will cause Colchester lots of issues but we can't see Southend grabbing the win here. When they met back in December Colchester secured a 2-1, with Southend on a down trend we should see a bigger gap in the scoreline this time out with Colchester securing another 3 points. For this match we will be laying Southend with £25 and trading out after Colchester take the lead, draw level or pull on back. If Colchester go behind we will look to lay Southend again but won't do this unless the home side give us confidence they can pull it back. If its goalless 60 min's in we will look to close the trade for a small profit. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break. If at any point your concerned Southend are going to score consider laying Colchester in the next goal market for safety, you can always close this later in the match once you have more confidence Colchester look the more likely to score.

Our Trading Result:
We layed Southend at 6.2 didn't managed to get anything on the other markets with the early goal. After Colchester took the lead we traded out at 28 on the Southend trade with £5 for £19 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £19



Date: 10/02/10
Teams: Arsenal V Liverpool - SCORE: 1 - 0

Preview:
Back-to-back defeats against Chelsea and Utd have left Arsenal 9 points behind Chelsea with 13 games left. They aren't giving up yet but their defense isn't up to the job. Liverpool are slowly pulling things together and now find themselves only 5 points behind the Gunners. When these two meet we usually see both sides scoring with all of the last 10 and 18 of the last 20 seeing both sides on the scoresheet. Liverpool come into this match with better form winning 5 of their last 6 scoring in all these games compared to Arsenal who are winless in their last 4 but we can't write Arsenal off on home soil especially when you consider they have hit the back of the net 27 times in their last 10 at home. Its also a decade since Liverpool last beat Arsenal on home turf. They have yet to win at the Emirates and have already lost twice to the Gunners this season. Whilst an early goal might not be on the cards here all of the last 10 H2H's between these two have see the deadlock broken before the break so we should see a 1st half goal. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.55 backed the 0-0 at 11.5 and 4.3 with £20 and backed overs at average odds of 3.55 before the break getting out at average odds of 6.4 with £30 backing further after the break for safety at 10.5 with £5. The draw odds got to our usual trade out point for the match to go suspended practically exactly at the same time we submitted out trade out bet with £49 being matched at 1.8 before the game went suspended. After Arsenals goal we backed the draw further at 6.6 with £41 this left us £10 down overall.



Profit made on this trade = -£10



Date: 10/02/10
Teams: Wolves V Spurs - SCORE: 1 - 0

Preview:
Spurs will be out for revenge for the shock 1-0 loss in the reverse fixture where they dominated. Both sides will have a similar level of motivation so it should be a decent game. Wolves have lost 80% of their matches against similar ranked sides to Spurs and have found themselves down at the break in the majority. Spurs have been a little goal shy lately but won't waste their chances this time out and considering Wolves defense they should score at least once. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 backed overs at average odds of 2.74 with £18 and backed the 0-0 at 11.5 with £7. Wolves took the lead but as they weren't expected to win the draw odds shortened slightly so we closed this trade at 3.5 with £105 and 1.77 on the goals with £28 for £4 overall. Great result for Wolves securing the double over Spurs this season.



Profit made on this trade = £4



Date: 11/02/10
Teams: Santander v Atl Madrid - SCORE: 3 - 2

Preview:
With a 4 goal buffer from the 1st leg Atletico should see themselves secure a place in the final by simply setting themselves up defensively and protecting their position. They also met at the weekend but rather than an open match that we witness in the cup game we saw a rather depressing affair with more fouls than action which finished all square. We aren't sure whether Racing will simply go through the motions here as recovering from a 4-0 deficit is very unlikely but when they have found themselves in this situation before they have come out of the starting blocked on a mission to score having done so in 5 of their last 6 inside 30 min's. An early goal is also supported by Atletico especially if they play like they did in the 1st leg but picking a winner looks a little difficult so for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 backed overs at average odds of 2.06 with £5 and backed the 0-0 at 13.5 with £7. Racing took the lead nice and early as expected, a little annoyed we didn't have more on the goals market but we had already got in early than normal taking more of a risk than usual. After the goal we traded out at 5.1 on the draw with £69 and 1.48 on the goals with £5 for £25 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £25



Date: 12/02/10
Teams: Empoli v Ancona - SCORE: 3 - 0

Preview:
Empoli are winless in 6 but at home are unbeaten in 16 home games winning the majority. They have also been very impressive against top half sides avoiding defeat in all their home meetings against these teams, beating Cesena who are sitting 3rd and holding league leaders Sassuolo to a 1-1 draw recently. They also have a very strong 1st half scoring record against top half sides hitting the back of the net in 85% of games this season before HT. Whilst Empoli have been stuttering of late they take on a Ancona side who are also on a down trend having lost their last 4 on the road without scoring. Historically they also struggle against strong home sides picking up just 1 win their last 10 against these teams, conceding in all of these matches. Considering the 0-0 odds and the odds on overs punter obviously feel this will be low scoring but we feel it will go the other way. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.15 backed the 0-0 at 9.2 with £8 and didn't have anything on overs before the opener. Empoli's goal enabled us to trade out at 5 on the draw with £59 for £31 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £31



Date: 13/02/10
Teams: Southampton V Portsmouth - SCORE: 1 - 4

Preview:
Despite the 36 places separating the two sides, Southampton will fancy their chances to progress thanks to a decent run of form that has seen them unbeaten in 9 matches winning the last 8, they have also not failed to score at home in over 15 games and have won their last 4 FA Cup matches against Portsmouth. Pompey, by contrast, are struggling on and off the pitch, with a winding-up order days away. Added to that Southampton haven't lost at home to Pompey since 1988 with Pompey only scoring twice at St Mary's since then but they did manage to win their last meeting 4-1 which will add to Southampton's motivation. We are expecting this South Coast Derby to be heated so we won't be surprised if we see a sending off or two. Both sides scoring also looks very likely which has also happened in the last 3 meetings and all things considered Southampton avoiding defeat although it is a Cup game so anything could happen. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25 backed overs at average odds of 3.44 before the break getting out at average odds of 6.5 with £5 profit on unders at HT. We also grabed £18 of cover on the 0-0 at 10 and 4.0. With the exception of no goals before HT the match went as expected and look a banker for some after the break. After the break we backed overs again for safety at 11.5 as the odds drifted with £5. The opener can from Pompey at the perfect with most of us hovering over the mouse butting to cut our losses. After the goal we got out at 5.0 on the draw with £65 and covered overs again at 3.8 with £15 so we could secure a small profit and hopefully get a few decent winners in the matches that followed.


Profit made on this trade = £2



Date: 13/02/10
Teams: Bochum V Hoffenheim - SCORE: 2 - 1

Preview:
Bochum have lost just 1 of their last 9 games and that was against the mighty Bayern Munich. They have slowly moved up the table out of the relegation places and look good for avoiding the drop zone this season if this form continues. They have started well after the winter break and surprised us all by securing a point against both Schalke and Leverkusen who are both superb away sides. They have still only won one of their home matches this season so we don't feel they will win but avoiding defeat looks a clear possiblity. Hoffenheim have been stuttering of late losing their last 3 on the road but their side was hampered by the African Cup of Nations. They have a excellent record over bottom half sides winning their last 7 matches but are missing 6 key players so scrappy Bochum who are at full strength should secure another point against a top half side. A 1st half goal looks on the cards here as well as the match finishing over 2.5 goals. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed overs at av. odds of 2.66 with £16 before the opener and had £7 on the 0-0 when Bochum took the lead. The goal enabled us to trade out at 3.75 on the draw with £90 and 1.72 on the goals with £16 for £16 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £16



Date: 13/02/10
Teams: Roma V Palermo - SCORE: 4 - 1

Preview:
Roma are now unbeaten since October winning their last 7. They have a habit of taking a while to take the lead going in the break all square on quite a few occasions but their opponents here have quite a few selection issues, look weak at the back for this match and have conceded in the 1st half in 8 of their last 10 against similar form sides. Despite sitting in 5th Palermo don't travel well picking up just 2 wins in their last 15 games and rarely keep a clean sheet, so we expect Roma to win and score before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. (please feel free to chase a shorter price inplay, if your concerned Palermo might score 1st) We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at av odds of 3.58 backed the 0-0 with £7 at 14 and backed overs at 2.76 with £19 before Roma took the lead. Brighi's goal enabled us to trade out at 6.0 on the draw with £55 and 1.85 on the goals with £28 for £45 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £45



Date: 13/02/10
Teams: Sampdoria v Fiorentina - SCORE: 2 - 0

Preview:
Sampdoria haven't now lost on home soil in 20 matches so will be a tough opponent for the visitors who have only picked up 1 win in their last 15 on the road to top half sides, losing 8 of their last 10, conceding before the break in the majority. With Fiorentina likely to rest key players in anticipation of their Champions League clash with Bayern on Wednesday we can only see one result here and that's a home win. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.2 backed overs at av. odds of 2.5 with £12 and backed the 0-0 at 10.5 with £7. Sampdoria took the lead as expected for us to trade out at 4.1 on the draw with £75 and 1.6 on the goals with £19 for £23 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £23



Date: 14/02/10
Teams: Bolton V Spurs - SCORE: 1 - 1

Preview:
Bolton haven't managed to score in 3 games and will be fielding a side missing 6 players through injury plus Jack Wilshire and Vladamir Weiss will miss out as they are Cup tied. So the side Coyle will be fielding doesn't look up to the job here. Spurs will also be missing a few key players but will be able to field a much strong side than Bolton. They too have been a little goal shy themselves since the new year but being a Cup match at this stage of the competition anything could happen. We personally feel we will see both sides score with Spurs securing the win. We are only really getting into this because of team motivation and Spurs power rating against a depleted Bolton side not because their are any strong trends. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at av. odds of 3.62 backed the 0-0 at 13 with £7 and backed overs at av. odds of 2.88 with £21 before Bolton took the lead which was much deserved. The goal enabled us to trade out at 3.9 on the draw with £93 and 1.86 on the goals with £32 for £10 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £10



Date: 14/02/10
Teams: Cagliari v Bari - SCORE: 3 - 1

Preview:
Theses two sit in 8th and 9th in the table with Cagliari having a game in hand. Cagliari's league position would have been in the top 4 if they didn't have such a bad start to the season but since October they have been impressive and are now are unbeaten in 8 home games. Since starting this uptrend they have also scored at least 2 goals in all these home games. Bari have only picked up one win this season on the road and will be missing their top scorer Vitor Barreto for this match so this looks very one sided. To win here they will have to out score Cagliari which isn't likely with Vitor on suspension. Cagliari have broken the deadlock inside 45 min's in 8 of their last 10 games against similar opponents so we should see Cagliari take an early lead or at least score before the break.
For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3 backed overs at average odds of 2.38 with £7 and backed the 0-0 at 11 with £7. Cagliari were clearly the better side as expected. We traded out after they took the lead at 5.0 on the draw with £62 and 1.65 on the goals with £10 for £32 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £32



Date: 15/02/10
Teams: Tenerife V Mallorca - SCORE: 1 - 0

Preview:
After a bright start to the season Tenerife have lost momentum and now find themselves just off the foot of the table picking up just 1 win in their last 13 games. They have been playing entertaining football but a lack of finishing and host of defensive errors have taken the shine off their performances. Their opponents here have been performing their socks of on home soil and remain unbeaten domestically but on the road have been playing like a side sitting in the relegation zone with just 1 one from their 11 games played. Both sides have a similar level of motivation here with Mallorca chasing their place in Europe and Tenerife fighting for survival, so it could go either way. Tenerife have a completely fit squad with all their 1st choice players available for this encounter compared to Mallorca who have 5 key players out so we might just see Tenerife grab 3 points and beat a trend which has seen them fail to beat Mallorca in the last 7 meetings. Digging a little deeper Tenerife have actually won 12 of their last 13 meetings against away sides with similar form to Mallorca so this also supports Tenerife beating Mallorca this time out although Mallorca's scoring record conflicts with this. Considering the other variables both sides scoring and a match that finishes over 2.5 goals looks on the cards but we might have to wait a whilst for the deadlock to be broken, but ideally before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.55 backed overs at average odds of 2.3 with £7 and backed the 0-0 at 11.5 with £7. Tenerife took the lead 14 min's in for us to trade out at 4.3 on the draw with £81 and 1.54 with £9 for £12 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £12



Date: 17/02/10
Teams: Wigan V Bolton - SCORE: 0 - 0

Preview:
Its a Lancashire Derby game with Bolton taking the short trip across to the DW Stadium. Neither side can afford to sit back as they are both focused on avoiding relegation so rather than this match following the well supported low scoring trends we feel it will go the other way. Whilst both sides will likely keep things tight early on we expected both sides to score. Bolton have been a banker for conceding this season with 22 goals conceded in their last 10 on their travels and Wigan haven't failed to score at home against a similar form side this term. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.2 backed the 0-0 at 10.5 and 3.7 with £25 and backed overs at av. odds of 3.4 although their was little reason to do so other than to follow the preview. Only 1 decent shot on goal in this match with both sides maintaining a solid defence which was obviously going to be low scoring. At HT we closed the goals trade with £5 profit on unders as planned at av. odds of 6.3, backing overs again at 13 to minimise the liability on overs although it wasn't really needed. The draw odds got to our usual trade out point so we closed the trade at 1.81 with the loss on the draw as planned. We did trade the draw market again after trading out but its not in the preview so no reportable profit.


Profit made on this trade = -£29



Date: 18/02/10
Teams: Ajax V Juventus - SCORE: 1 - 2

Preview:
Ajax are still in with a chance of winning the treble, the Europa League, Eredivisie and KNVB Beker. They weren't that impressive in the group stages of this competition but have looked much improved recently and come into this match after convincingly beating 2nd placed Twente 3-0 last week. Scoring at home is something they have been a banker for, especially recently and against a fragile Juventus defense which is very leaky at the moment, this looks a formality. Juve will probably be happy with a draw here but as they are all but out for the race for the Scudetto title and out of the Coppa Italia, this just leaves the Europa League as the only competition that they can realistically win this season, so expect them to be focus and playing for the win. So all things considered both sides scoring (happened in Juve's last 5) and Ajax just edging the win. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3 backed the 0-0 at 11.5 with £7 and backed overs with £7 at 2.46 before the opener from Ajax. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.5 on the draw with £70 and 1.65 on the goals with £10 for £25 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £25



Date: 19/02/10
Teams: Hoffenheim V M Gladbach - SCORE: 2 - 2

Preview:
Hoffenheim have a decent record over Gladbach having not recorded a loss as far as we can recall. They are level on points with the visitors at the moment so it should be competitive, but they have managed to win 8 of their last 10 meetings against similar ranked sides on home soil. We are a little concerned how well they will hold up against the visitors with 9 1st team players out injured or suspended but their record is solid and Gladbach have conceded before the break in all of their last 10 meetings against top half sides at home so ideally we should see Hoffenheim break the deadlock before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal (definitely worth seeing how things start and chasing a shorter price inplay just incase Gladbach open the scoring 1st). We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at av odds of 3.47 backed the 0-0 at 10.5 with £7 and backed overs with £18 at av odds of 2.62 before the opener from Gladbach. The goal enabled us to trade out at 3.45 on the draw with £101 and 1.77 on the goals with £26 for just over a £1 profit. Lots of members waited for the odds to drift and would have been rewarded by another goal and trade out odds around 8 but we felt Hoffenheim would pull it back so didn't want to risk it.


Profit made on this trade = £1



Date: 20/02/10
Teams: FC Koln V Stuttgart - SCORE: 1 - 5

Preview:
Koln have a top 6 defensive record this season but have failed to capitalize on this at home only picking up 2 wins from their 11 games played. Against sides on a similar run of form to Stuttgart (5 wins from their last 6) they have failed to win any of their last 15 conceding before the break in 7 of their last 10 against these sides. Stuttgart did lose the reverse fixture earlier in the season but have been much improved since December and have managed to score in all of their last 10 against bottom 6 sides, mostly before the break so for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
Wow Stuttgart will give Barca a run for their money if they play like this when they meet in a few days. We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 12.5 with £7 and backed overs at average odds of 2.42 with £7 before the opener. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.4 on the draw with £74 and 1.56 on overs with £10 for £22 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £22



Date: 20/02/10
Teams: Genoa v Udinese - SCORE: 3 - 0

Preview:
We all know how strong Genoa are at home and against bottom half sides they have remained undefeated in over 30 games. They have a superb scoring record on home soil which should see them put at least two past a Udinese side that has the worst away record in the league this season. To support this they have also won all their H2H's at home going back to the early 90's. For this match we will be laying Udinese with £30 and trading out after Genoa take the lead, draw level or pull one back. If they go behind we will look to lay Udinese again but won't do this unless Genoa look good for pulling it back. If its goalless 60 min's we will close the trade for a small profit.

Our Trading Result:
Excellent result, shame we only layed with £30. We layed Udinese with £30 at 4.2 and traded out after Genoa took the lead at 13.5 with £8. We also had a side trade on overs as usual but completely forgot to mention it in the preview so won't report the profit from this. So overall £21 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £21



Date: 20/02/10
Teams: Mallorca v Sevilla - SCORE: 1 - 3

Preview:
Mallorca have won all 10 of their league home matches this season, conceding just 3 times and scoring an average over 2 goals a game. They have also been pretty resilient against top 6 sides winning 4 of their last 6 so Sevilla have a tough challenge on their hands. They will be missing both Josemi and Ruben which isn't ideal against Sevilla so we could see their amazing home record end here but with Aduriz scoring for fun we expect him to score. Sevilla are a little hard to make out on their travels and come into this match having lost their last 3 but they have a decent recent record over the hosts winning 3 of their last 4 so its going to be an interesting match up. We expect both sides on the scoresheet and a winner. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 12.5 with £7 and regrettably didn't have anything on overs when Mallorca took the lead. After the goal we traded out at 4.3 on the draw with £78 for £14 overall. We did feel Mallorca would get turned over prior to kick off shame we didn't have a side bet on it.

The most impressive result today was David turning a profit in the Inter Milan V Sampdoria match with so many variables influencing the result. Very few inplay football traders would have been able to turn that around. Well done David !


Profit made on this trade = £14



Date: 22/02/10
Teams: Aston Villa V Burnley - SCORE: 5 - 2

Preview:
Aston Villa are unbeaten in 11 games and have won 9 of their last 11 home games against bottom 6 teams, with all 9 seeing them take the lead before the break. Burnley have lost 12 of their 13 away matches this season and winless on the road, conceding before HT in the majority. With Villa having an eye on their Carling Cup final hopefully they won't be lacking here as Burnley will be playing with the added motivation of avoiding relegation. Whilst we should see Villa convincingly win here we are a little concerned it will finish all square but as mentioned above we expect a 1st half goal more than likely from Villa. For this match we will be laying Burnley with £20 and trading out after Villa take the lead, draw level or pull one back. If they go behind we will look to lay Burnley again but won't do this unless Villa look good for pulling it back. If its goalless 60 min's we will close the trade for a small profit. We will also be having our usual side trade on overs, following the usual plan if its goalless a the break.

Our Trading Result:
We layed Burnley at 10.5 and didn't have anything on the goals market before Burnley's early goal. After Burnley took the lead we gave it a whilst to see how Villa would responded and felt they would pull it back so Layed Burnley again with £20 at 3.4 closing the trade after they pulled it back by backing Burnley at 10.5 with £26 for £13 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £13



Date: 22/02/10
Teams: W Bremen V Leverkusen - SCORE: 2 - 2

Preview:
We have no idea which Bremen side will turn up here as they can be simply world class or can look like a side destine for relegation. They will need their (A) game here if they are going to beat a undefeated Leverkusen side. When these two have met before with Bremen on home soil the stand out trend is both sides scoring which has happened in 16 of their last 17. Bremen also have had the better of Leverkusen in the majority of H2H matches and with Sami Hyypia missing from the visitors defense we could see them lose their 1st match of the season but we are expecting plenty of action with both sides scoring and a match that finishes all square. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 17.5 with £7 and backed overs at average odds of 2.48 with £17 before Leverkusen scored. The goal enabled us to trade out at 3.85 on the draw with £92 and 1.66 on the goals trade with £22 for £14 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £14



Date: 24/02/10
Teams: Stoke V Manchester City - SCORE: 1 - 1

Preview:
Its the 3rd meeting between these two in 12 days with the last two finishing all square. Will we see a winner this time out? Well Stoke have been much improved since January and currently are undefeated in 10 games with 3 of these against the big boys so City will definitely have to be on top of their game if they are going to progress, we might even see them adopt a different style of play to get the upper hand. Stoke have a few players out for this one and they are players they wouldn't want missing against City which we feel will more than likely see city move into the quarter finals but the spirit of Pulis's men on home soil is hard to match so it should be a highly entertaining game with more than likely both sides scoring. Both sides have early goals trend for this competition so we should be able to follow our standard trading plan for this match. So for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at at 3.35 backed the 0-0 at 10 and 3.65 with £20 and backed overs at av. odds of 3.74 before the break. Regrettably no goal before the break but not too concerned it would finish goalless at this point, still following the plan of trading out at the break getting out at Av odds odds of 6.6 with £5 profit on unders backing further at 11.5 for safety with £5. No goal before our usual trade out point so we got out at 1.8 with the loss on the draw. Stoke were lucky to still be in the game during the 1st half with Sorensen playing his game of the season but they were a little more competitive after the break and took the lead. None of us felt they would be able to hold this lead so followed the preview and layed Stoke at 1.24 (with the mininimal profit this month we also didn't want to risk it) with £125 to minimise the potential loss on the draw. So overall a £50 loss.


Profit made on this trade = -£50



Date: 24/02/10
Teams: Aston Villa V Crystal Palace - SCORE: 3 - 1

Preview:
Palace did well to secure a replay and the much needed TV cash to pay off some of the 30 Million owed to creditors. But with Warnock potentially on his way to QPR and lacking a host of key players we don't fancy their chances of overturning their winless record at Villa Park. Villa regrettably might be missing Agbonlahor and Petrov due to injury/illness and will likely rest a few others with the Carling Cup Final around the corner but they will be taking this seriously, so should field a strong enough side to win here. Villa have a bad habit of going behind against Palace early on so you might want to see how they both start or stagger your stake on during the 1st 15 min's but what we do expect here is a 1st half goal potentially from both sides so will be having our usual side trade on over 2.5 goals. So to confirm we will be laying Palace with £20 and trading out after Villa take the lead, draw level or pull one back. If Palace take the lead we will look to lay them again, but only if Villa look good for pulling it back. If Palace go 2 up we will definitely lay them again, trading out ideally when Villa pull one back. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break.

Our Trading Result:
We layed Palace at 11.0 and backed over 2.5 goals at av. odds of 3.05 with £24 before Villa took the lead. The goal enabled us to trade out at 50.0 on the Palace trade with £4 and 2.06 on the goals with £35 for £25 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £25



Date: 25/02/10
Teams: Wolfsburg V Villarreal - SCORE: 4 - 1

Preview:
Wolfsburg are sitting in 12th domestically so don't have much left to play for in the Bundesliga with Europe out of reach, but considering last weeks performance they have turned their complete focus on the Europa league and against Schalke at the weekend they were showing signs of starting an up trend. Whilst Wolfsburg record at home this season in Europe hasn't been too impressive the form of Villarreal has been much worst with inconsistency being the key word which has now seen them slip to 10th in the La Liga. Considering all the variables the key thing we expect to see here is both sides scoring. Wolfsburg have scored and conceded in their last 15 consecutive games and considering the form of Graifte they will have little issue registering in this game, but as mentioned before they are still very weak defensively so the Yellow Submarine should be able to convert at least one of their chances here. So for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.7 backed the 0-0 at 16.5 with £7 and backed overs at 1.82 with £5 before the opener from Wolfsburg. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.8 with £75 and 1.32 on the goals with £6 for £18 overall. Great result for Wolfsburg, we will be keeping a close eye on them for the next few weeks as this is 3 decent performances in a row.


Profit made on this trade = £18



Date: 27/02/10
Teams: Bochum V Nurnberg - SCORE: - 0 - 0

Preview:
Bochum have been in excellent form of late, and are undefeated in 6 matches. Their unbeaten run includes draws against Leverkusen and Schalke. They actually have only lost once in their last 11 and this came against Bayern, definitely not what you expect from a side sitting in the wrong end of the table. Nurnberg surprised us all with a draw against Bayern in their last outing but against the much more physical Bochum we feel they will have a tougher challenge on their hands. Nurnberg have lost 8 of their last 10 away games and 7 of their last 10 overall they also have been hemorrhaging goals on their travels this season so this looks good for a home win. We are expecting Bochum on the scoresheet before the break here so will be following our standard trading plan. So for this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
With the market staying suspended for the 1st 15-20 min's we left this one alone but as we know a few members did get in before kick off we asked Colin Wilson one of our long standing members for his results so we could report this as a losing trade as our result would have been pretty similar if we had got in on this match. He got in at 3.4 on the lay bet, and 11 and 3.95 on the 0-0 bet with £22 he also had £15 on the overs trade at average odds of 3.67 getting out just before HT at average odds of 6.05 with £20. He backed overs again at 11 for safety with £5 which minimised the loss should the game see 3 goals as per the preview. There was no goal before our usual trade out point (Colin got out at 1.92, but we will adjust this as we would have got out later than him around 1.8 with the loss on the draw with £100).
So we would have had a loss slightly higher than Colin of £51.


Profit made on this trade = -£51



Date: 27/02/10
Teams: Burnley V Portsmouth - SCORE: - 1 - 2

Preview:
We have no idea what we will see from Pompey here but we should be able to rely on Burnley continuing a home scoring record this season which has seen them score in all of their games this season. Pompey's record against Burnley has actually seen them avoid defeat in their last 11 meetings but considering their situation and the fact they have a host of injuries we feel Burnley will buck this trend and grab 3 much needed points. A 1st half goal from the home side is also well supported. Saying this we also expect them to concede so the opener might not come from Burnley as they have the weakest defense in the Premiership. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed overs at average odds of 2.82 with £15 before the opener and had £7 on the 0-0 at 11.5. We were a little concerned that Pompey would open the scoring as we mentioned it in the preview and they did. This didnt cause much of an odds movement on the draw trade but enough not to make a loss getting out at 3.65 with just under £96 and 1.69 on the goals with £25 for £6 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £6



Date: 27/02/10
Teams: Leverkusen V FC Koln - SCORE: - 0 - 0

Preview:
League leaders Leverkusen only have to avoid defeat against local rivals FC Köln in this match to go into the Bundesliga record books on two counts: for the longest unbeaten run since the start of the season and overall, within a single campaign. They look good for it as they have won 8 of their last 9 against bottom half sides and welcome back Sami Hyppiä for this encounter which gives more confidence they can avoid defeat here than in their last outing. Koln are no pushovers and are better on the road than at home but Leverkusen have won the last 6 meetings between these two and Koln will be lacking confidence after their 5-1 battering in their last outing. For this match we will be laying Koln with £20 and trading out after Leverkusen take the lead, draw level or pull one back. If Koln take the lead we will look to lay them again, but only if Leverkusen look good for pulling it back. If Koln go 2 up we will definitely lay them again, trading out ideally when Leverkusen pull one back. If its goalless at 60 mins in we will close the trade as usual. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break.

Our Trading Result:
We layed FC Koln at 10.5 and backed overs at average odds of 2.85 before the break. Leverkusen should have gone ahead in the 1st 45 and were clearly the better side going into half time but Schaefer was on top form. Koln improved after HT and defensively both side looked destine for a stalemate. We didn't see the whole game out as we got out at HT on the goals trade at av. odds of 4.2 with £5 profit on under 2.5 as planned, backing further after HT at 11 for safety £5. We got to 60 min's so closed out trade in stages getting av odds of 10.75 for just over a break even trade.


Profit made on this trade = £0



Date: 28/02/10
Teams: Atl Madrid v Valencia - SCORE: - 4 - 1

Preview:
Your could write a book about the ups and downs of Atletico's season. Beating the mighty Barcelona two weeks ago then losing to Almeria last weekend and then coming from behind to beat Galatasaray, could they get anymore unpredictable? Basically if Atletico play like they did midweek they will win here but we won't know what side has turned up until the match is underway so will stick to laying the draw here. Valencia are sitting in 3rd but have been wasting lots of chances of late and just lacking that killer instinct which makes us feel Atletico might grab this. H2H in recent years its usually a quite boring affair which has seen only 1 side score and 6 of the last 7 finish under 2.5 goal when Atletico are on home soil but considering all the dynamics this match looks set up for both sides scoring and bucking the low scoring trend to finish over 2.5 goals. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals in play during the 1st half staggering the stake as usual, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with a £5 profit on under 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless with loss on the draw, if a goal comes after this point and your concerned its going to finish in a draw, look to lay the leading team for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned in play around HT, or just after.

Our Trading Result:
Well Atletico did it again, coming from behind to batter Valencia, superb performance! We layed the draw at 3.6 backed the 0-0 at 16.5 with £7 and backed overs at av. odds of 2.12 with £12 when Silva put Valencia ahead. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.4 on the draw with £81 and 1.58 on the goals with £15 for £15 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £15


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