Traders Advantage Results

December 2008 trading advice given

Profit for Month = £169

Trades Completed Summary
(For a detailed summary of each trade see the detailed results table below)

Date
Teams
Score
Profit
01/12/08
Triestina V Treviso
0 - 0
-£31
02/12/08
Burnley V Arsenal
2 - 0
£3
03/12/08
Standard Liege V Sampdoria
3 - 0
£30
04/12/08
Wolfsburg V Portsmouth
3 - 2
£19
06/12/08
Fulham V Man City
1 - 1
-£173
06/12/08
Frankfurt V Bochum
4 - 0
£42
06/12/08
Hull V Middlesbrough
2 - 1
-£15
06/12/08
QPR V Wolves
1 - 0
£17
07/12/08
West Brom V Portsmouth
1 - 1
£25
07/12/08
Everton V Aston Villa
2 - 3
£20
07/12/08
Sampdoria V Genoa
0 - 1
£2
08/12/08
West Ham V Tottenham
0 - 2
£30
09/12/08
Roma V Bordeaux
2 - 0
£35
10/12/08
Juventus V FC BATE
0 - 0
-£20
11/12/08
Lens V Montpellier
0 - 2
-£9
12/12/08
Dortmund V Mönchengladbach
2 - 1
£8
13/12/08
Hertha Berlin V Karlsrhe
4 - 0
£ N/A
13/12/08
Werder Bremen V Wolfsburg
2 - 1
£1
13/12/08
Stoke V Fulham
0 - 0
£1
13/12/08
Tottenham V Manchester Utd
0 - 0
-£23
13/12/08
Barcelona V Real Madrid
2 - 0
£10
14/12/08
Portsmouth V Newcastle
0 - 3
£15
14/12/08
Hoffenheim V Schalke 04
1 - 1
£12
14/12/08
Sevilla V Villarreal
1 - 0
£32
14/12/08
Juventus V AC Milan
4 - 2
£N/A
15/12/08
Charlton V Derby
2 - 2
£34
16/12/08
Shrewsbury V Brighton
4 - 5 AP
-£60
17/12/08
AC Milan V Wolfsburg
2 - 2
£32
18/12/08
Sampdoria V Sevilla
1 - 0
-£37
19/12/08
Naval V Vitoria Guimaraes
0 - 0
-£20
20/12/08
West Ham V Aston Villa
0 - 1
-£10
20/12/08
Real Madrid V Valencia
1 - 0
£51
20/12/08
Espanyol V Alt Madrid
2 - 3
£26
21/12/08
WBA V Man City
2 - 1
£17
21/12/08
Newcastle V Tottenham
2 - 1
£13
21/12/08
Villareal V Barcelona
1 - 2
£10
22/12/08
Everton V Chelsea
0 - 0
£29
26/12/08
Man City V Hull
5 - 1
£13
26/12/08
Aston Villa V Arsenal
2 - 2
£39
27/12/08
PSV Eindhoven V Twente
0 - 0
-£25
28/12/08
WBA V Tottenham
2 - 0
£5
29/12/08
Blackpool V Wolves
2 - 2
£9
30/12/08
Hull V Aston Villa
0 - 1
£12

 

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Trades Completed in Detail


Date: 01/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie B
Teams:Triestina V Treviso - SCORE: 0 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Triestiana are undefeated at home this season, scoring in all these games but defensively have looked a little suspect conceding in 9 of the last 10. Treviso are still chasing their 1st home win of the season but have improved over the last few weeks avoiding defeat in their last 4 matches. H2H Treviso have had the better of Triestina in their most recent meetings but when Treviso have met a team in the top half on the road over the last few seasons they have failed to take 3 points on the last 11 attempts. Basically we feel with both sides being on an uptrend its a tough call and will probably end in a draw but we should be able to profit here as a goal is very likely. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. Please feel free to chase shorter odds just incase Treviso score 1st. If you want some cover on the 0-0 please feel free, £5 makes sence initially, backing further if your concerned later in the match.

Usual plan if the match is goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 2.78 and backed the 0-0 initially at 9.4 with £5 and then inplay as the match continued goalless again at 4.0 with £5 and 2.76 with £10, despite it being fairly end to end neither keeper was really challenged here. The draw odds got to our usual trade out point so we traded out with £100 moving the loss on to the draw as usual. As the match finished goalless we had a loss of £31. Not the best start to the month but we will get it back over the next few trades.

David's members ended with a small profit here. That's the advantage of not sticking to a preview and receiving his live trading advice.



Profit made on this trade = -£31



Date: 02/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Carling Cup
Teams:Burnley V Arsenal - SCORE: 2 - 0
Our Recommendation:

Whilst we aren't particularly confident betting on Arsenal at the moment they have been pretty consistent when fielding their youngsters. We aren't expecting Burnley to make this easy for them and after knocking Chelsea out on penalties in the last round their confidence will be sky high. They also aren't likely to sit back as Coyle has gone on record they are going to commit players forward and make a real game of it. Ideally we would like to see the same Arsenal side that easily dispensed of Wigan in the last round as it will make for a highly entertaining match. The last time these two met at Burnley's home ground was back in January in the FA Cup where Arsenal walked away with a 2-0 win. We again give this to Arsenal but with Burnley on the scoresheet. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, staggering our stake for a shorter price just incase Burnley open the scoring (if Arsenal look like scoring early on it might be worth getting in sooner). We will also be laying over 2.5 for the 1st 10 min's or so, laying again if a goal comes before were out, if 2 come moving the loss onto under. We will also be grabbing £10 cover on the 0-0. With Arsenal's habit of scoring in the last 10 min's we won't grab anymore cover if its goalless in the later stages.


Our Trading Result:
We only had £35 on the lay the draw bet at 3.8 before the opener, £10 on the 0-0 at 14 and layed over 2.5 with £50 at 2.0. Both sides started well but it was Burnley who took the lead a short time in catching us out on the goals bet. We were able to get a small positive movement on the draw trade getting out at 3.9 with £97 for a £3 profit on the win. Because of the early goal we layed under 2.5 goals again as planned getting 1.4 matched for average odds of 1.7. Due to the £10 loss on the 0-0 we looked to recover this with the goals trade getting out at average odds of 1.94 with £89 which from feedback was what most of you did. Well done Kim who let both the draw trade and the goals trade run for a big profit, nerves of steal. So overall only £3 here.



Profit made on this trade = £3



Date: 03/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Uefa Cup
Teams: Standard Liege V Sampdoria- SCORE: 3 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Standard at home this season have been superb, scoring an average of 2 goals a game and winning 83% of these matches. They were unfortunate not to be playing Champions League football season, but have switched their focus to the Uefa Cup with great success so far. They haven't met Sampdoria as far as we can remember but against strong offensive teams on the road Sampdoria rarely keep a clean sheet (conceded in the last 10 consecutive games against similar opponents). A win here for either side will see them through to the knockout stages but with Standard only needing a point they might just play it safe and are likely to be happy with a draw. This could go either way so to keep it simple we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. Considering both sides style of play we aren't expecting it to be goalless but we will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially and backing further if were concerned inplay. Neither side has seen many goals inside the 1st 10 min's (less than 5%) so we should be safe to lay over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so and trade out ideally before a goal. Usually recovery if we get caught out.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3, layed over 2.5 goals at 2.44 and backed the 0-0 at 9.8 with £5. No goal before we traded out on the goals trade at average odds of 2.8 with £40, infact the odds had drifted quite a bit before kick off from when we got in, lots of members got out before the match kicked off. The opener came from Standard who were clearly the better team about 15 min's later for us to trade out at 4.6 with £68 for an overall proft of £30.


Profit made on this trade = £30



Date: 04/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Uefa Cup
Teams: Wolfsburg V Portsmouth - SCORE: 3 - 2
Our Recommendation:

Wolfsburg let us down recently but this was the 1st time in about 12 months so we are hoping they will be more reliable this time out. At home they have won 9 of their last 10 and have remained undefeated. They are probably the most consistent scoring teams in the Bundesliga hitting the back of the net more than 30 times in their last 10 home matches. Against teams with Pompey's style of play we are likely to see them conceded but they have a strong record of overcome such opponents. They are without their Brazilian superstar Grafite so don't expected to see the usual 3 goals from Wolfsburg but also don't expect them to play for the draw as Magath isn't the type of manager who would be happy with this. Pompey have nothing to lose here and need 3 points from this match if they are to have any chance of qualification so hopefully they should come out of the starting blocks with some level of urgency. If we see them perform above their normal standard as they did against Milan recently we could be in for a surprise here. We would like to back Wolfsburg here but it makes sense to stick to laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also be laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so trading out ideally before a goal, following the usual plan if a goal comes before were out. Personally we don't feel you will need much cover here but £5 on the 0-0 makes sense initially backing further later in the match if your concerned its going to finish goalless.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.6 with only £68 of the £100 we were looking to get on as the odds drifted out not returning to this point before the opening goal. We also layed under 2.5 goals at 1.94 as a side trade and backed the 0-0 with £5 at 13. The opener came 3 min's in from Wolfsburg as expected just a little sooner than we hoped, but this enabled us to trade out of the draw trade at 5.5 with £42. We followed our usual plan on the goals market by laying over 2.5 again at 1.34. Pompey hit back just after 10 min's in so we moved the loss onto under as usual by backing over 2.5 at 1.15. Overall a £19 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £19



Date: 06/12/08
Time: 12.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Fulham V Man City - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Fulham have now won 6 of their last 8 at home coming into this match on the back of 3 consecutive wins. City have been diabolical on their travels this season, conceding 24 goals in their last 10 and 2 goals in each of their last 5. H2H the last 6 meetings have all see over 2.5 goals with no team standing out although the inform team has avoided defeat in these meetings. We are expecting this match to be free flowing but because of Fulham's tendency to keep it tights during the 1st half we are likely to see more action in the 2nd half. We feel Fulham to win here but are still waiting to see City perform as they should this season. Of the 40+ plus goals these two have seen this season only 2 have come in the 1st 10 min's so we should be able to lay over 2.5 goals as a side trade for the 1st 10 min's or so and trade out before a goal. Usual recovery if we see a goal or two. Our main trade here will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also grab £5 on the 0-0 for a little safety. If its goalless in the later stages please feel free to grab some more cover.

 

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4, backed the 0-0 with £5 at 11 and layed over 2.5 at 2.44. The opener came about 5 min's in for us to trade out of the draw trade at 4.0 with £84. We then layed the over again at 1.54. We had traded £66 out at 1.7 before the next goal which came before we had traded out completely so we moved the liability onto under as usual by backing over 2.5 at 1.24 with £225 for a potential loss of £179 on under. Coming into the last 10 min's it was pretty obvious both sides were happy with the draw so those who contacted us were advised to split the loss or move it back onto over which we did by laying over at 3.6. Whilst most members fed back to us they minimized the loss coming into the last 10 min's we didn't highlight it in the preview (its in the top tips though) but we feel we should report the loss here so -£173.


Profit made on this trade = -£173



Date: 06/12/08
Time: 14.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Frankfurt V Bochum - SCORE: 4 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Frankfurt have lots of key players out but have still managed to pull themselves away from the bottom 3 and currently sit in 12th. Against sides in the bottom half they have picked up most their points and have avoided defeat at home. Bochum are still winless on the road this season and have only picked up 3 points once in the last 15 games. H2H the home win has been the most dominant result which we feel is probably on the cards here. Bochum should continue their record of conceding here and as Frankfurt have improved recently offensively we should see them on the scoresheet, more than likely in the 1st half. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, inplay during the 1st half, staggering our stake as usual. If its goalless at HT we will trade out with the loss on over, back in if two goals come after the break and more than 15 min's are left. £5 of cover on the 0-0 makes sense, backing further if were concerned later in the match.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw here at 3.5 and backed the 0-0 at 15 with £5. Unfortunately we hadn't got in on the goals trade before the opener but Frankfurt were on a mission here. We traded out at 6.2 with £50 for an overall profit of £42


Profit made on this trade = £42




Date: 06/12/08
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Hull V Middlesbrough - SCORE: 2 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Hull have not won in their last 6 but have avoided defeat in their last 3. They have made things hard for themselves quite a few times this season conceding 1st in the majority of matches and when you consider Boro have a strong record of scoring 1st we are likely to see Hull fall behind. We should see Hull score though as Boro rarely keep a clean sheet on their travels conceding in 9 of the last 10. We are not quite sure who will win here but we should be able to profit whoever scores so will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. There are conflicting results with regards to the goals market here so we will just stick to laying the draw here. We will grab £5 of cover on the 0-0 and will back further later in the match if were concerned its going to finish goalless. Usual plan if things go wrong.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25 as we were a little late getting in here, sorry to those who were waiting for us. Put £5 on the 0-0 at 9.0 and £10 on at 3.6 in play. No early goals or before our usual trade out point of 1.8 with the loss on the draw. We managed to get 1.83 matched. 3 late goals exactly as we though the match would goal just coming at the wrong time. A few nervous moments when Hull equalised but as it finished 2-1 we ended with a £15 loss from the safety bets.


Profit made on this trade = -£15



Date: 06/12/08
Time: 17.20hrs GMT
Fixture: Championship
Teams: QPR V Wolves - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:
QPR have failed to defeat Wolves when playing at home on the last 8 occasions. The majority of these matches ended in a draw but with Wolves currently on a 7 game unbeaten run and sitting top we find it hard to see QPR grabbing 3 points here but we wouldn't write off the draw. We should see Wolves score and concede here as they have scored in the last 10 consecutive matches and conceded in 9 of the last 10. QPR won't be a pushover though as they have won the majority of their home games this season and look good on the counter. Both sides have strong over 2.5 goals trends so we expect a few here. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be grabbing a little cover, £5 on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, inplay during the 1st half trading out after a goal. If its goalless at HT we will trade out for no loss on under back in if we see two after the break and more than look likely.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3, backed over 2.5 goals as a side trade inplay at average odds of 3.05 and backed the 0-0 with £5 at 11. No early goal so we traded out at HT with the loss on under on the goals trade at 5.2. The opener came at the perfect time just the wrong team for a decent profit but we were able to trade out at 4.1 with £77 for £17 overall


Profit made on this trade = £17



Date: 07/12/08
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: West Brom V Portsmouth - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
West Brom are without a win in their last 8 matches but against teams sitting in the top half they have managed to grab a few points. Pompey's away form has slipped this season but against similar opponents they have maintained a decent record. We can't see West Brom keeping a clean sheet here as they have failed to do so since October and with Defoe looking very sharp at the moment, scoring in his last two outings we see West Brom conceding a few here. Expect West Brom to score though as sitting at the bottom is hell of a motivator and with Pompey conceding quite a few themselves this season we should see both sides on the score sheet.

We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. If its goalless at HT we will trade out with the loss on over, back in if more than 15 min's left a a goal looks likely.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.55 and backed over 2.5 goals at 2.96. West Brom opened the scoring for us to trade out at 4.5 with £78 on the draw trade and 2.18 with £34 on the goals trade for an overall profit of £25.


Profit made on this trade = £25



Date: 07/12/08
Time: 16.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Everton V Aston Villa - SCORE: 2 - 3
Our Recommendation:
The main reason we like this match is the probability of Villa seeing a 3rd consecutive 0-0 result which is around 0.2%. Lets hope this match follows the stats. Everton haven't done too well against top 10 sides so far this season with no wins in the last 5 meetings and with serious issues up front ( Yakubu, Vaughan and Saha injured) they will likely play cautiously and focus on their strong defence. Villa seemed have had a dip in form which has been tied to John Carew being out, admittedly they don't have anyone to replace him but they can't really afford to drop anymore points so should be focused here. Villa rarely take the lead on their travels, but this time out we feel they will buck the trend as they look to take advantage of Everton's striker crisis. Both sides tend to have more action later in the match so this might not really kick off until after the 30 min mark.
We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. If you want some cover on the 0-0 please feel free. Backing both 0-2 and 2-0 should give us a profit here as a side trade, trading out of the market that's left after a goal.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35 and backed 2-0 at 15.5 and 0-2 at 16.5. The opener came early from Villa as expected for us to trade out on both trades. We got out at 4.1 with £80 on the draw trade and average odds of 8 on the 0-2 trade (the goal came a little too early to profit much from this) for an overall profit of £20


Profit made on this trade = £20



Date: 07/12/08
Time: 19.40hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Sampdoria V Genoa - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Sampdoria are down in 15th but are being kept afloat by their excellent home form. Unbeaten at home since May and currently on a 4 game winning run they will make a difficult opponent for Genoa in this Derby match. Genoa who are also on a strong home run but are yet to win away this season will be chasing their 1st win since the Millennium over Sampdoria at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. We expect this to be tight as most Derby matches are, but will support both sides on the scoresheet. Sampdoria have a habit of getting on the score sheet 1st which is supported by Genoa's record of going behind on the road (70% of games) so we should get decent movement on the odds. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £8 initially backing further if were concerned inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 2.94 and backed the 0-0 at 9.6 with £8. Not much action in the 1st half but these two usually see goals in the 2nd half so we weren't too concerned. We did grab another £7 of cover near the end of the 1st half at 3.6. The 2nd half started with more pace with Genoa scoring (regrettably so not the odds movement we were hoping for) from a decent free kick for us to trade out at 3.6 with £81.50 Overall a small profit of £2


Profit made on this trade = £2



Date: 08/12/08
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: West Ham V Tottenham - SCORE: 0 - 2
Our Recommendation:

Upton park has been pretty consistent for one thing over the last few season (both sides scoring) which we expect to see here. They saw their 1st 0-0 result in around 50 games last time out, to end one of our personal best betting runs, we don't expect to see another 0-0 here. Harry has had West Ham's number since leaving them in 2001, having left with points in all domestic matches. We don't feel Harry will be walking away with 3 points though as Spurs defence has failed to keep a clean sheet in all away matches this season compared to a Hammers side that has shown great resilience in their last 3 games and signs things are looking to improve for Zola's men. We expect to see a 1st half goal here so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, staggering out stake as usual. Out at HT with the loss on under as usual, back in if a 3rd looks likely. Our main trade will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal.

Quite a few of you have mentioned you feel this will end in a draw so if you fancy backing the draw instead please feel free. With a large majority of these two's matches going into the break level this might be a good decision.

We will grab £5 of cover here on the 0-0 but no more. Goals are coming ... fingers crossed!

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45, backed the 0-0 at 12.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.25. No goal before HT so we traded out with the loss on under as usual on the goals trade getting out at average odds of 5.3. West Ham regrettably couldn't find the goal with Spurs having the better of chances taking the lead at the perfect time for decent odds movement. We traded out at 5.2 with £63 for an overall profit of £30


Profit made on this trade = £30



Date: 09/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Champions League
Teams: Roma V Bordeaux - SCORE: 2 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Roma need a point and Bordeaux need a win here to qualify for the last 16 so don't expected either side to sit back. Both sides have improved in recent weeks with Roma the more prominent coming into this match on the back of 5 win's and 4 clean sheets. Its a big ask for Bordeaux to come to Rome and beat the in form Giallorossi and we find it hard to support this. We expect them to be on the scoresheet though as they have no choice but to come out guns blazing, but see Roma progressing to the knockout stages which is supported by the fact that 80% of home sides with a similar ranking difference have proceeded to the next stage over the last 5 years. We were initially concerned by Roma's injury list for this encounter but Bordeaux seem harder hit and will be missing their Captain and keeper Ulrich Rame so we will stick with our initial feelings about this match and support the home win. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal out of caution, the odds will shorten if Bordeaux score 1st so feel free to stagger your stake for a shorter price inplay. We see a 1st half goal here so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay getting out at HT if its goalless, back in if a 3rd looks likely and more than 15 min's are left. If you want some cover please feel free to grab some on the 0-0, you probably won't need it though so keep it small initially.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.35, backed the 0-0 at 12 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.4. Roma for the 1st half seem to be happy soaking up the pressure from Bordeaux so we went into the break goalless to trade out on the goals trade at 5.3 with the loss on under 2.5. Typically Roma tend to change up a few gears in the 2nd half so we weren't too concerned. We were rewarded by a goal at the perfect time for decent odds, enabling us to trade out at 5.5 with £58 for an overall profit of £35.


Profit made on this trade = £35



Date: 10/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Champions League
Teams: Juventus V FC BATE - SCORE: 0 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Juventus have already qualified but will want to secure top spot for the easier path in the last 16. FC Bate are bottom and practically out but statistically can still qualified if they manage to beat Juventus by 6 goals and Zenit lose to nil at Madrid. If this happens you can all have free membership! Juventus at home are a tough nut to crack especially in the Champions league where they carry one of the best home records across Europe. Going back to 2001 they have managed to win 91% of their matches only falling foul to a very inform Man Utd side. Defensively in these encounters they have managed to keep a clean sheet in over 65% of these games so FC Bate scoring 6 goals past them is very unlikely. Despite this we can remember a few nervous trades over the years as Juve have rarely destroyed a team with a large percentage being won by just a goal so don't expect a goal frenzy. The last time these two met is was pretty close with it ending in a 2-2 draw but Juve have dramatically improved since this meeting so we are pretty confident they will win here. We will be backing Juventus and trading out after a goal, knowing that most of you like chasing value please feel free to stagger your stake but be ready to get in if they look like scoring. If they go behind give it some time for a response before getting out as we will be very surprise if they don't win here. If you want to back again for higher average odds if they go behind please feel free which will enable you trade out after they equalise. We probably won't consider this if this happens in the later stages and until they look like pulling it back.

Those who are a little more experienced if Bate are looking dominant consider a little cover on the next goal market laying Juve to score next, trading out when their back into the game (check liquidity 1st).

Our Trading Result:
We backed Juventus at average odds of 1.61. They had the better chances in the 1st half but some poor finishing and good defending by Bate saw us go into the break level. Normally the tactical changed at HT for Juve would see them improve and go on to win in the 2nd half but after missing a penalty in the early part of the 2nd half we resigned to the fact this could be one of those games. Midway through the 2nd half we decided to minimise the potential loss so layed Juve at 2.34 with £55. Lots of member grabbed some cover here on the 0-0 to walk away with a small profit here. As we didn't mention this market in the preview we took some cover on the next goal market laying Juve at average odds of 1.74 with £35 after Blizniuk nearly scored for Bate so overall we ended with a £20 loss overall.




Profit made on this trade = -£20



Date: 11/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Ligue 2
Teams: Lens V Montpellier - SCORE: 0 - 2
Our Recommendation:
Lens are sitting top with a game in hand and a two point buffer over 2nd placed Boulogne. Montpellier aren't too far behind in sixth. H2H when Lens are at home they have a strong win record over Montpellier (78%) and have avoided defeat in 100% of these meetings. Its been quite a whilst since these two met but this record won't be forgotten by either side. Montpellier rarely keep a clean sheet against strong offensive sides so expect them to concede here and as Lens haven't failed to score in their last 10 matches we should see them score. Montpellier tend to start cautiously on their travels which explains why they haven't conceded in the 1st 10 min's this season so we should be safe to lay over 2.5 for the 1st 10 min's or so trading out ideally before a goal. Usual recovery plan here. The main trade will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, (currently at 3.45). We will grab £5 cover on the 0-0 backing further in the later stages if concerned.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4, backed the 0-0 with £5 at 11.5 initially and layed over 2.5 goals at 2.16 with £50. No early goal as expected so we were able to trade out at average odds of 2.42 with £43. The game was pretty end to end but we grabbed £10 more cover at 7.6 just incase after yesterday, whilst the odds were still of value. Everyone who asked we advised we felt we would still see a couple of goals later in the game unfortunately they didn't come before we traded out at 1.8 (getting 1.83 matched) our usual trade out point. Yangambiwa got sent off to send Montpellier down to ten men with about 15 min's left. Suprisingly this seemed to inspire them to victory scoring two in the last few mins of the match. Overall a £9 loss. Not the final result we were expecting.


Profit made on this trade = £9



Date: 12/12/08
Time: 19.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Borussia Dortmund V Mönchengladbach - SCORE: 2 - 1
Our Recommendation:

Dortmund come into this match after two consecutive 0-0 results which hopefully isn't the start of them slipping from a league position they have rarely occupied in recent years. Gladbach despite sitting bottom have been quite impressive of late since the arrival of new coach Meyer. All Meyer needs to fix is their defense as they have rarely failed to score, hitting the back of the net in 9 of the last 10. Admittedly their away form against top half sides is poor only 1 win in the last 10 but things are about to change for Gladbach but probably not until after the transfer window. At this stage we expect a hard fought match which its relatively low scoring rather than a shock away win. Dortmund are obvious favorites here but their record against bottom half sides isn't too impressive winning less than half of their encounters over the last 5 years. One thing that stands out is the under 2.5 goals market as 80% of these encounters over the last 5 years have finished under 2.5 goals. We will be backing under 2.5 goals but keep this to a fairly short period 10-15 min's, trading out sooner if a goal looks likely. So to confirm will be backing under 2.5 goals and trading out ideally before a goal, usual recovery plan if a goal comes.


Our Trading Result:
We backed under 2.5 goals at 2.32, no goal before we traded out at 2.1 with £108.5 for £8 overall. Rather disappointing defeat here as Gladbach deserved at least a point.


Profit made on this trade = £8



Date: 13/12/08
Time: 14.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Hertha Berlin V Karlsrhe- SCORE: 4 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Hertha come into this in search of their 6th consecutive home win, Karlsruhe have been leaky as an old bucket on their travels which has seen them lose 9 of their last 10. We expect Hertha to add a few point here to their already impressive tally and continue their 100% home record over Karlsruhe. The scoreline here looks to tip over 2.5 goals so this will be something we will look to trade inplay during the 1st half as a side trade. We also will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. The odds are a little high here to profit whoever scores 1st so ideally we would be looking for around 3.5 if possible. The 0 - 0 is for your consideration at 14 but we will be very surprised if you need any cover as Karlsruhe haven't kept a clean sheet in the last 10.

Our Trading Result:
This match went exactly as expected with a superb display from Hertha but we have to admit we didn't get in on time as the open came before the odds got to a desirable level.


Profit made on this trade = £ N/A



Date: 13/12/08
Time: 14.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams: Werder Bremen V Wolfsburg - SCORE: 2 - 1
Our Recommendation:
Werder have a strong home record with only 1 loss in their last 10 and a 70% win record over the last few seasons. Their most impressive figure is their scoring record having managed to score 33 times in their last 10. Against a Wolfsburg side that has a reputation for scoring two and conceding two goals a game on their their travels we should see Werder score a few and more thanb likey concede. Wolfsburg are still in search of their 1st away win so expected them to be motivated, but we feel we will probably see a score draw here or home win. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, the odds are a little high at the moment to profit from either side scoring
so we will stagger our stake for a better price inplay. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals staggering our stake as usual inplay. This is another match which shouldn't require any 0-0 cover but if you want some please feel free. Usual recovery if things go wrong.

Our Trading Result:
The opener came too early here for us to get a full stake on but we had put £25 on early today as we expected the odds to drift for this match. We unfortunately hadn't got in on the goals trade either so only a token £1 profit here after Wolfsburg opened the scoring of us to trade out at 3.95.


Profit made on this trade = £1



Date: 13/12/08
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Stoke V Fulham - SCORE: 0 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Stoke at home are no pushovers, winning 4 of their last 5. Fulham are still searching for their 1st away win but have remained a strong 1st half side which we have frequently profited from. H2H encounters between these two usually finish low scoring with the last few finishing with a 1-0 win to Fulham which is what we would like to see here as they deserve a decent result. Back to back 0-0 away results for Fulham against Villa and Liverpool shows Fulham's resilience so we see them avoiding defeat here but as they have only scored twice on their travels this season we are unlikely to see many goals. We will keep things simple here and will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will grab £5 of cover, backing further later in the match if we are getting that goalless feeling. Ideally we will be fine here as 3 consecutive 0-0's is very, very rare. Usual plan if things go wrong.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 2.9 and backed the 0-0 at 10.0 with £5 initially. Fulham had the better of play but both these side were pretty unimpressive. We grabbed another £15 of cover at 5.8 as it was quite a scrappy affair with minimal chances. We advising those who contacted us around HT that we felt we could be in for another 0-0 dispite our prematch feelings so to cover their liability. We got to our usual trade out point if its goalless so we traded out at 1.8 with the loss on the draw as usual. Overall we ended with another £1 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £1



Date: 13/12/08
Time: 17.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Tottenham V Manchester Utd - SCORE: 0 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Spurs have quite a poor record against big 4 sides at White Hart Lane, their main issue is stopping them scoring (failed to do so on the last 15 attempts). Utd had their 1st shut out in 2008 against Villa recently but its unlikely to happen again here. Utd are still undefeated against non-big 4 sides in 2008 and against a reinvigorated Spurs side it its likely to be tight but they should still win. Personally we feel a low score affair is on the cards here as despite Utd scoring prowess they have seen 10 of their last 13 on the road finishing under 2.5 goals. This is supported by a tighter Spurs defence under Harry which has seen 5 of the last 6 finish under 2.5 goals. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. We will also be laying over 2.5 goals as a side trade for the 1st 10-15min's or so, getting out sooner if a goal looks likely. You shouldn't need any cover here but the 0-0 is there for your consideration inplay.

Our Trading Result:
We played this one perticullarly cautiously after the previous 3 results. We layed the draw through the 1st half for average odds of 3.21 and layed over 2.5 goals at 2.04 getting out at 2.36 with £37. We didn't get in on the 0-0 until later in the 1st half but with the profit from the unders trade it made sence grabbing £20 of cover at 6.4. We went into the break still feeling Utd were likely to score. Unfortunately again we ended up trading out at 1.8 as it remained goaless getting 1.83 matched. We didn't grab anymore cover regrettably so ended with a loss here £23

David Inplay members finished this one £39 up!


Profit made on this trade = £23



Date: 13/12/08
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams: Barcelona V Real Madrid - SCORE: 2 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Barca have been in amazing form in recent weeks managing to win 9 of their last 10 domestic matches, scoring a whopping 34 goals and only conceding 4 in these games.
Last Tuesday they went down 3-2 to Shakhtar Donetsk which shows they can stumble, but what we like about this loss is how they respond to losing. They usually respond by battering their next opponents so with their bounce back record and the fact they will want revenge for the 4-1 whipping they received at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu back in May we give this to Barca. We all know anything can happen in the El Clásico but even with the arrive of Ramos at Madrid we still see a Barca win. We will be backing Barcelona and trading out after they take the lead. If Madrid become dominant inplay we will look at grabbing some cover by laying Barcelona in the next goal market. As this market rarely shortens due to time decay we should be able to trade out without a loss if Barca don't score. We will also consider backing them again if Madrid take the lead early on, inside 30 mins. No goal midway through the 2nd half we will consider trading out. Over 2.5 goals is strongly supported so if you fancy a side trade inplay please feel free.

Our Trading Result:
We were able to make £30 profit just 1 tick trading the Barca odds here as the odds fluctuated early on. We finally settled for £100 on at 1.62. Barca were obviously the dominate side here but a few times we found ourselves getting in and out of the next goal market. No real concern here apart from a goal not coming until late in the 2nd half. In typical fashion for today we minimised out potential loss by laying Barca at 2.04 with £50. The late 2 goals meant we actually finished this with a win of £10.


Profit made on this trade = £10



Date: 14/12/08
Time: 13.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: Portsmouth V Newcastle - SCORE: 0 - 3
Our Recommendation:
Under Adams Pompey are unbeaten in their last 5 and sitting in 7th place 5 points away from the European places. Newcastle have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks and are now unbeated in their last 4. H2H Pompey have walked away with 3 points in 3 of the last 4 but the draw is the most prominent result going back to the millennium. Pompey have seen both sides scoring in the last 5 which is what we expect to see here. It shouldn't matter who scores 1st as we should be able to profit from either side, but ideally Pompey. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will also be having a side trade laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so, getting out sooner if were concerned. The 0-0 is their for your consideration inplay if your concerned its going to finish goalless, a little bit of cover early on makes sense. Usual recovery here and out at 1.8 if its goalless as usual.

Our Trading Result:
We layed over 2.5 goals at 2.16, layed the draw at 3.4 and backed the 0-0 at 10.5 with £5. No goal before we traded out at 2.44 on the goals trade with £44. Plenty of activity in the 1st half so not too concerned it would finish goalless. We did put another £5 on 0-0 at 8 but it wasn't really warrented. Newcastle opened the scoring just after HT then rompt onto to the win. We got ot after the 1st goal as usual at average odds of 4.2 with £79 for an overall profit of £15


Profit made on this trade = £15



Date: 14/12/08
Time: 16.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Bundesliga
Teams:Hoffenheim V Schalke 04 - SCORE: 1 - 1
Our Recommendation:
With Bayern dropping points yesterday expect Hoffenheim to be extra motivated to put some distance between them and last seasons champions. Schalke are no pushovers especially defensively so this will be a challenge for Hoffenheim. Most people are expecting their superb unbeaten home record of 9 wins and a draw from the last 10 to end soon, we don't see it ending here. We expect a tight start and as neither side has conceded in the 1st 10 min's this season we should be safe to back under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so as a side trade. We do expect this to open up and 2+ goals scored later in the match so be cautious getting out sooner if needed. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side as our main trade . If you want some cover on the 0-0 please feel free, £5 initially makes sense.

 

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.35, backed under 2.5 goals at 2.2 and put £5 on the 0-0 at 16. No goal before we traded out of the goals trade at 1.94 with £55. The open came from Schalke for us to trade out at 3.7 with £91 for an overall profit of £12.



Profit made on this trade = £12



Date: 14/12/08
Time: 18.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams:Sevilla V Villarreal - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:
Both these two find themselves in the Champions League spots after making a decent start to the season. We have been more impressed by Sevilla who despite losing 3 of the best players have rebuilt a team that is in the title race. Surprisingly they have been playing a more defensive less visually exciting game but its working. Villarreal looked practically unbeatable until a few weeks ago where things started to slip losing 3 games they should have won. They still are undefeated in the last 10 domestic games on their travels but we might see this end today against an inform Sevilla side. Sevilla have a habit of opening the scoring in these type of encounters but we expect both sides to score here. Sevilla rarely have 3 consecutive high scoring matches with 85%
of their next matches finishing under 2.5. Personally we just can't agree on the goals market so will leave this alone and focus on laying the draw and trading out after a goal. If you want to chase a shorter price please feel free as usual. The 0-0 is there for your consideration inplay if your getting that goalless feeling.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw here at 3.5. Sevilla opened the scoring for us to trade out at 5 for £32 overall.



Profit made on this trade = £32



Date: 14/12/08
Time: 19.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Serie A
Teams:Juventus V AC Milan - SCORE: 4 - 2
Our Recommendation:
Whoever wins here is likely to be Inter's main challenge for the title. A draw won't suit either side as it will put more space between Inter and themselves. It shouldn't be a goalless meeting as Juventus rarely fail to score (hitting the back of the net in the last 10 consecutive matches) and Milan rarely keep a clean sheet against top 6 sides on their travels. Despite Milan's league position they have struggled on the road and have only won 3 of their last 10. They have also failed to win any of their away meetings against big 4 sides over the last 3 years compaired to Juventus record of avoiding defeat on 9 of the last 10 meetings.
We give this one to Juve but it might be level at the break. We will be backing Juventus and trading out after a goal. The over 2.5 goals market is of interest so we will look at a side trade inplay. Usual trade out plan.

Our Trading Result:
Quite a few basic members highlighted this disappeared from the members area before kick off. We might have removed it by accident when removing the Lyon game so won't put the profit on the figures but as we know quite a few did trade this match here is what we did. We backed Juventus at 2.3, but didn't get our goals trade match before the opener. After Juve took the lead we got out at 1.47 with £130 for £65 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £ N/A



Date: 15/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Championship
Teams: Charlton V Derby - SCORE: 2 - 2
Our Recommendation:

Charlton are so poor at the moment and haven't registered a win since the 4th October (12 matches). Derby have now lost 4 consecutive away matches without scoring so if Charlton are going to win a game there will be no better opportunity as Derby look beatable and can't keep a clean sheet on the road. If Charlton start as they have done in their last 10 games we will see Derby ahead at the break as we expect their 4 game goal drought to end here. Basically this game is very likely to be decided by the 1st half so we should see a goal early on. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal as we will be able to profit from either side scoring 1st, we will also have a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half if the game has enough action. Usual trade out plan here on both trades. Please consider the 0-0 if your getting that goalless feeling, £5 initially makes sense.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 and backed the 0-0 with £5 at 13. It took a while for us to get in on the goals market but after Bywaters save on the 1/2 hr mark we put £25 on at 3.55. This was a decent call at last as 5 min's later we were trading out after Chalton took the lead. We got out at 4.5 with £74 on the draw trade and 2.04 with £40 on the goals trade for an overall profit of £34


Profit made on this trade = £34



Date: 16/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Johnston Pain Trophy
Teams: Shrewsbury V Brighton - SCORE: 4 - 5 AP
Our Recommendation:
Shrewsbury are the inform sided between these two currently sitting in 3rd place in League 2 with a 80% win rate at home and 100% scoring record this season. Brighton might be a league above but they are languishing one place outside the drop zone without a win on their travels since August. Admittedly their is a clear difference in the standard of football between these two leagues but lower league teams frequently rise to the occasion which is what we expect to see from Shrewsbury here as they have won the last 2 H2H meetings and Brighton have one eye on their domestic issues. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, if you want to chase a shorter price please feel free as always. Shrewsbury on the scoresheet in the 1st half is pretty common so we will look to have a small side trade on this inplay. Usual plan if we don't see a goal before HT or when the draw odds reach 1.8. £5 on the 0-0 initially makes sense, backing further if your concerned later in the match.


Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 13 with £5 initially and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.19. A few decent shots in the 1st half but no goals before the break, pretty even match. We grabbed £10 more cover on the 0-0 at 5.3 a few minutes before this point. The odds got to our usual trade out point of 1.8 so we traded out at 1.8 as usual getting 1.82 matched. The last 25 min's had all the signs a goal was coming so we didn't grab anymore cover, regrettably it ended 0-0 for a loss of £60.



Profit made on this trade = -£60



Date: 17/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Uefa Cup
Teams: AC Milan V Wolfsburg - SCORE: 2 - 2
Our Recommendation:

Neither side needs to win here as they have both qualified, but with the chance of avoiding a Champions League opponent it makes sense to play for the win here. We are unlikely to see a full strength Milan side as they are seriously hampered with injuries Gattuso, Nesta Flamini and now Kakà all out to name just a few. This is likely to make for a more evenly matched encounter than earlier expected. As most of you already know Wolfsburg are a team that we frequently trade on mainly because of their record of scoring and conceding on their travels. They are still looking for an away win in the Bundesliga but picked up one against Braga a few weeks ago in this competition so have it in them, but even against an under strength Milan team we find it hard to see them keeping a clean sheet. Milan's home record is superb with a 100% scoring record wining 9 of the last 10. We might not see a Milan win because of the side they are fielding but we should see both sides hitting the back of the net. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, usual plan if its goalless at the break and with be taking some cover on the 0-0 before kick off, backing further later in the match if were concerned.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.3 backed the 0-0 with £5 at 12 and backed over 2.5 goals at 2.42 with £15 of the £25 we were looking to get on. The opener came from Milan about 15 min's in for us to trade out at 4.6 on the draw trade with £72 and 1.54 with £20 on the goals trade for an overall profit of £32



Profit made on this trade = £32



Date: 18/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Uefa Cup
Teams: Sampdoria V Sevilla - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:

Its rare but despite Sevilla sitting on 6 points (the normal amount of points needed to go through) they are still not guaranteed passage into the knock out stages. This is because Standard face Stuttgart and with the Belgian side already through they are likely to field a weakened side, which should Stuttgart win, it will put them on 7 points ahead of Sevilla. So basically Sevilla need at least 1 point here. Coming into this match Sevilla have looked the better of the two with their more defensive set up and impressive wins over Real Madrid and Villarreal in their most recent games inspire confidence they will get what they need from this match. Sampdoria have only picked up 1 win in the last 5 and currently are sitting in an uncomfortable 14 place but we are expecting Sampdoria to through everything at Sevilla here and if Bonazzoli and Cassano actually play as they can, Sevilla will definitely concede here, but their more resilient set up should see them through to the next stage. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We should see a 1st half goal here as this should be played at a high tempo which negates goals, so we will be considering a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, staggering our stake as usual. Out at HT on the goals trade and 1.8 if its goalless when the draw odds reach this point. Some cover on the 0-0 makes sense before kick off backing further if its goalless later in the match.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.2 backed the 0-0 with £5 at 10.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.6. A couple of decent chances in the 1st half but we went into the break goalless. We did grab another £10 of cover at 4.8 but were pretty confident a goal or two would come in the 2nd half. We followed our usual trade out plan on the goals trade getting out at 6.0 for no loss on under. The match definitely hotted up in the 2nd half but regrettably no goal before our usual trade out point of 1.8 (got 1.83 matched). About 2 min's after trading out Sampdoria scored (lots of members reported that they didn't trade out as they saw a goal coming). As there was over 15 min's left and Sevilla had looked the more dangerous side it made sense to lay Sampdoria (1.22 with £100) just incase Sevilla equalised and the match ended in a draw for a big loss. We don't do this too often but as it wasn't in the preview we emailed all basic members. Sampdoria held out so overall we finished £37 down.



Profit made on this trade = -£37



Date: 19/12/08
Time: 20.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Liga
Teams: Naval V Vitoria Guimaraes - SCORE: 0 - 0
Our Recommendation:

Against the better away sides Naval tend to fall behind in the 1st half which is what we have seen in 6 of the last 8 matches. They have also failed to open the scoring in their last 7 at home against top half sides. Vitoria tend to go for it in the early stages of games which is why we have seen them ahead in around 70% of similar encounters over the last few seasons. They also have a similar record to Fulham for shutting teams out in the 1st half so we shouldn't see them concede early on. They also haven't lost to Naval at home as far as we can remember. This should also be a low scoring affair as both sides have strong under 2.5 goals patterns but the price is simply too short. We prefer to support a 1st half goal by laying the draw and trading out after a goal and laying under 2.5 goals as a side trade as there isn't much liability. The 0-0 is there for your consideration inplay but we don't feel your needed it so worth waiting to see how things develop. Usual trade out plans although it might not be worth trading out of the goals trade at HT especially if your chasing the price down.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 2.82 and layed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 1.4 with £25. All the signs of an early goal but we didn't see one in the 1st half. We grabbed £20 of cover at 4.8 before HT. Much of the same in the 2nd half but we left it as long as possible before grabing anymore cover. The draw odds reached our usual trade out point of 1.8 so we traded out as usual with £100. After Guimaraes hit the crossbar for the 2nd time we knew it was going to be one of those games so backed the 0-0 again with £30 at 1.7. So overall a loss of £20.



Profit made on this trade = -£20



Date: 20/12/08
Time: 17.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership
Teams: West Ham V Aston Villa- SCORE: 0 - 1
Our Recommendation:

We were short on time today so didn't do much of a preview for todays matches.

Basically we can't see West ham shutting out Villa here so will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. The draw is well supported in their H2H with 7 of their last 8 H2H's finishing in a score draw so despite Hammers recent form we won't be surprised if we see another draw. The early goal is well supported so we will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, getting out around HT if it remains goalless, back in if a 3rd looks likely in the 2nd half. Usual trade out point on the draw if it remains goalless. A little cover on the 0-0 makes sence before kick off £5 initially backing further if concerned later in the match.

Our Trading Result:
We might be Villa fans but the Hammers should have won this! We layed the draw at 3.3 and backed over 2.5 goals inplay as a side trade at average odds of 3.1. We also grabbed a little cover before kick off at £13 with £5. At HT we got asked by quite a few members about backing the 0-0 further which we advised to keep it under £10 as we were pretty confident a goal was on its way which is what we had done with another £5 at 5.5. We also traded out for with the loss on over 2.5 as normal with the goals trade. The draw odds got to our usual trade out point so regrettably we traded out at 1.8 with the loss on the draw as usual. Villa scored with about 15 min's left though a lucky deflection. So overall a £10 loss.



Profit made on this trade = -£10



Date: 20/12/08
Time: 19.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Real Madrid V Valencia - SCORE: 1 - 0
Our Recommendation:

We were short on time today so didn't do much of a preview for today's matches.

We will be backing Real and trading out after they take the lead. A small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half makes sense as their are very strong over 2.5 goal trend for this match. Usual recovery here. If Valencia take the lead inside the 1st 30 min's consider laying 0-1 or laying them if Real look like equalising. Obviously don't do this if Real don't look like pulling it back.

Our Trading Result:
We backed Real at 2.08, a short time in they took the lead for us to trade out at 1.45 with £120 for £51 profit. Nice and easy one for once.



Profit made on this trade = £51



Date: 20/12/08
Time: 21.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera
Teams: Espanyol V Alt Madrid - SCORE: 2 - 3
Our Recommendation:

We were short on time today so didn't do much of a preview for today's matches.

Espanyol have won only two of their last 12 at home and look terrible at the moment mainly because defensively they have been very poor. The are very likely to concede here even though Madrid's away record isn't that impressive as they rarely fair to score on their travels so we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will grab a little cover on the 0-0 £5 initially backing further if concerned later in the match.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 inplay and backed the 0-0 at 13 with £5. Atletico opened the scoring as expected for us to trade out at 5.0 . We also had a side trade on the goals trade as lots of you know but its not in the preview so no offical profit from this. So overall £26 profit overall.



Profit made on this trade = £26



Date: 21/12/08
Time: 13.30hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership

Teams: WBA V Manchester City - SCORE: 2 - 1

Our Recommendation:

West Brom are sitting bottom without a win in the last 10 having conceded 25 goals in these matches and only scored 5. They take on a City side that is also having a few issues and has a pretty poor record against bottom 6 sides so this is going to be interesting. Basically West Brom will concede here but we see them on the scoresheet too as they have only failed to score against top 6 sides at home this season. The spanner in the works for WBA is City have they majority of their best players back for this encounter (Robinho might still be out with his ankle injury) so we do see a City win here which will see them move out of the bottom 6 up to around mid-table. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We should also be able to lay over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so here as they have rarely seen a goal this early on. Usual recovery here if we see a goal before were out of the goals trade and if we don't see one before the draw odds reach 1.8. We can't see this finishing 0-0 but if you want to put the potential profit from the goals trade on the 0-0 please feel free.

Our Trading Result:
We layed over 2.5 goals at 2.04 , the odds drifted quite a bit before kick off so we only had to wait around 5 min's for decent trade out odds of 2.34. We also layed the draw at average odds of 3.4. We didn't feel this would end 0-0 as we mentioned in the preview but decided it made sense to put the profit on the 0-0. Lots of chances here with the opener coming seconds before we were going to trade out. The goal enabled us to get out at 4.1 with £82 so overall £17 profit.


Profit made on this trade = £17



Date: 21/12/08
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership

Teams: Newcastle V Tottenham - SCORE: 2 - 1

Our Recommendation:

Newcastle have a strong home scoring record having hit the back of the net in 9 of their last 10 at home and have started a new trend of scoring 2 goals in each of their last 5 home games. Unlucky for Spurs is Newcastle strong record of avoiding defeat after an away win which has seen them avoid defeat on 100% of occasions over the past 3 seasons. Spurs are more than likely going to score here as they usually grab one on their travels but their win rate on the road against non big 4 sides is only around 25%, so all things considered we are likely to see a home win or draw here. Its worth noting that Newcastle have score at least 3 past Spurs on the last 5 occasions so we could be in for a goal frenzy. We will be laying the draw as we should see both sides scoring and will be trading out after a goal from either side. The goals market does support over 2.5 goals so we will be having a small trade on this inplay during the 1st half, usual recovery plan if its goalless at the break. The 0-0 is there for your consideration inplay, £5 initially makes sense backing further if concerned later in the match, although we are hoping to have got rid of Decembers bad luck with a charity donation yesterday.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.3 and put £5 on the 0-0 at 12.5. Unfortuantely we hadn't got in on the goals market before the 1st goal. The opener came from Newcastle as expected for us to trade out at average odds of 4.0 with £81 for £13 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £13



Date: 21/12/08
Time: 18.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Primera

Teams: Villarreal V Barcelona - SCORE: 1 - 2

Our Recommendation:

Villarreal are one of the teams we could see Barca slip up at as they have a decent record of beating Barca having won 5 of the last 6 H2H meeting when playing at El Madrigal. Their recent form puts some doubt on this but they aren't likely to play a 10 man defence either so we should see the usual end to end meeting between these two. Barca are simply in amazing form with 9 wins and a draw from the last 10 and after having a week off should be well rested for this encounter. We will be very surprised if Barca don't defeat yet another team chasing a Champions League spot here but because of their H2H record we prefer to lay the draw here and trade out after a goal but at a better price than the current 4.2, preferring to chase around 3.5. We will be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half and might find we are on this before the lay the draw trade. Usual recovery here.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.4. No goal in the 1sdt half but very obvious the deadlock would be broken in the 2nd half. We did trade out of the goals trade at HT at 4.5 for no loss should the match finish under as usual. Shortly into the 2nd half Villarreal scored for us to trade out at 3.6 with £94 on the draw. Barca hit back a few min's later to make it 1-1. Quite a few members didn't get out after the 1st goal and got caught out here so we advised them that a 3rd was on the way so don't trade out until another goal comes. Those who did this would have got trade out odds of over 6. Because of the two early 2nd half goals we also moved our potential goals loss back onto under by backing over at 1.48 for an overall profit of £10.


Profit made on this trade = £10



Date: 22/12/08
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership

Teams: Everton V Chelsea - SCORE: 0 - 0

Our Recommendation:

Its 8 years and 15 H2H meetings since Everton took 3 points of Chelsea. It doesn't look good for Everton here as Chelsea have won 15 of their last 18 games (2 losses were matches they didn't need to win at the end of the season) against non big-four sides and last 10 on the road, In fact they have only conceded once in these 10 away games, scoring 24 in return. A large majority of these wins finished under 2.5 goals ( 89%) which is what we are likely to see here but we aren't writing off the draw even with Everton's injury crisis as 1-1 has been the result in 3 of the last 6. If Everton are ahead at the break don't worry too much as they have trouble holding the lead against the leagues better sides and Chelsea tend to play better with some pressure. We will be laying Everton here and trading out after Chelsea have taken the lead or the 60 min mark if its still goalless (£25 stake advised if your worried about the liability). If they go behind we will give it some time to see how Chelsea respond. If at any point your concerned Everton are going to score consider laying Chelsea in the next goal market as this won't move against you and you can always trade out once things have settled. If you fancy a side trade on the under 2.5 goals market please feel free, but be ready to get out if its end to end early on.

Our Trading Result:
We layed Everton at 6.2 and backed under 2.5 goals at 1.74. We gave it some time in play and traded out of the goals trade at 1.45 with £58. We got in and out a couple of times on the next goal market in the 1st half and after Terry was sent off layed Chelsea to score next at 2.76 with £15 getting in and out a few more times through the 2nd half. Overall this enabled us to pick up £18 of profit as they failed to score. We advised members and sent out an email around HT to advise we felt it would end 0-0 and we were still going to trade out after 60 min's but would be minimising the loss on Everton but leaving both the draw and Chelsea win green so we traded out by backing Everton at 4.3 with £24 so overall £29. Lots of brave members out there who used a full stake and didn't trade out for £100 profit, we didn't have the nerve for this!


Profit made on this trade = £29



Date: 26/12/08
Time: 15.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership

Teams: Man City V Hull - SCORE: 5 - 1

Our Recommendation:
Man City welcome back Robinho when they need him most as they languish down in the relegation zone. Hull were convincingly beaten by Sunderland last time out which highlights their defensive issues currently, but are still sitting in a very respectable 6th place. The main reason we like this match is because Hull are the Wolfsburg of the Premiership, practically a banker for scoring and conceding. City aren't too dissimilar as both sides have strong over 2.5 goals trends. Basically we expect both sides to score here and more than likely a City win due to Hull's injury concerns in defence. We will be laying the draw just incase Hull score 1st and trading out after a goal. The odds have drifted out a bit since we 1st looked so we will be chasing a shorter price inplay by staggering our stake. Its worth putting £5 on the 0-0 initially backing further if concerned inplay although this match is very unlikely to finish goalless so make this decision on what you see inplay. The deadlock is likely to be broken in the 1st half so a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay makes sense. Usual trade out plan if things go wrong here.

Our Trading Result:
Wow what a display from City. They won't be at the bottom for long if they can play like that in the future. We had £36 on the lay bet before the opener at 4, £15 on over 2.5 goals at 1.93 and £5 on the 0-0 at 15. We had just told our inplay members to get their whole lay stake on when the goal came with about 50% getting it on we unfortuntely didn't but a profit anyway. We got out at 6.2 with £23 on the draw bet and 1.4 with £18 on the goals. So overall £13, obviously would have been a lot more if we had got our full stake on.



Profit made on this trade = £13



Date: 26/12/08
Time: 17.10hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership

Teams: Aston Villa V Arsenal- SCORE: 2 - 2

Our Recommendation:
Since the last meeting between theses two they have swoped places in the league. We were as surprised as most when Villa walked away with 3 points from the Emirates back in November but it seems to have given Villa the the self belief they need to push on for a top 4 finish and go 6 league matches without defeat, winning the last 3. Whilst Villa look in better shape for this encounter with the Gunners having quite a few players out including Fabregas and Adebayor, they still haven't managed to beat Arsenal at Villa Park since 89. O'Neil tends to play a containment strategy against big 4 sides which has worked well this season so we can see Villa avoiding defeat but it could end in yet another 0-0 if the Gunners can't find away through without their big guns. This match is likely to end in a draw but we prefer to lay Villa here and trade out after they go behind or if they are ahead and Arsenal equalise, or if its still goalless at the 60 min mark. Arsenal's habit of scoring in the last 10 min's will likely ensure we see this one out if Villa are ahead going into the last 15 min's but if Villa are dominant it makes sense to minimise your loss. Backing Villa to score in the next goal market can be used as a support if Villa look like opening the scoring.

Our Trading Result:
We layed Villa at 2.62 about 30 min's before kick off. They drifted out quite a bit so were around 2.8 before kick off. About 5 min's in we were having trouble with out internet connection so got one of our members to log in to our server and email members to tell them we were trading out because of this problem so we got out at 2.82 with £93. After doing this Colin one of our experienced members volunteered his services to trade the match for us so got us back in at 2.74. He answered a few of our emails from members who were concerned Villa were going to score so advised to back them in the next goal market with £25 for some safety. The opener from Arsenal came about 10 min's later by this time we had got betfair mobile working so traded out at 6.8 with £40. So overall we ended £39 up. Those without IT issues would have found this pretty simply and traded out for a decent profit.


Profit made on this trade = £39



Date: 27/12/08
Time: 17.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Eredivisie

Teams: PSV Eindhoven V Twente - SCORE: 0 - 0

Our Recommendation:

PSV seem to have shaken off their poor early season form to win their last 4 at home convincingly. Steve McClarens Twente are on a similar run, unbeaten in 5. Historically Twente have a poor record against PSV, without a win in the last 15 meetings at PSV's home ground, losing 12 of these. Twente's recent form makes us a little nervous when considering laying them but this may be unfounded as they have already been beaten this season by Ajax and Alkmaar which are teams we would consider similar to PSV in ability. One of the stand out trends here is PSV's ability to score at home having done so in all of the last 10 home matches and also all of the last 15 H2H meetings so we should see PSV scoring here, but whether they will win we just can't agree. In general they have a pretty strong trend for winning without conceding but we feel Twente's recent form will see them on the scoresheet and more than likely a scoredraw as a final result. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, please feel free to stagger your stake for a shorter overall price inplay, just incase Twente score 1st. £5 on the 0-0 makes sense initially backing further inplay if concerned. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as these two have a history of scoring early. Usual plan here if things go wrong on both trades.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.4, backed the 0-0 at 15.5 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals inplay at average odds of 2.84 getting in initially when Twente nearly scored hitting the post around the 25 min mark. We went into the break goalless so traded out at 4.2 with the loss on over 2.5 as usual. Around the 30 min mark we grabbed a little more cover on the 0-0 at 7.6 with £5. 5 min's later Dzsudzak hit the crossbar which was the only other chance in the 1st half. Not much happened in the 2nd half where we grabbed £15 more cover at 3.45. Just before the odds reached 1.8 Twente could have scored but failed to connect so we traded out at 1.8 as usual. In the last 20 min's both sides were obviously happy with the draw as the match completely fizzled out. We should have grabbed some more cover during this time but as we were in a position of around a £25 loss on both options we felt this was an acceptable loss. Yes we should have layed Twente as originally planned!


Profit made on this trade = -£25



Date: 28/12/08
Time: 14.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership

Teams: WBA V Tottenham - SCORE: 2 - 0

Our Recommendation:

Last time out Spurs finished goalless against a strong defensive Fulham side, this time out they are against West Brom who have great difficulty defending against a team that will attack them especially without one of their key defenders Abdoulaye Meite. They have also conceded 21 goals without a clean sheet in the last 10 so obviously have a few issues in defence which Spurs should exploit. They can't just sit back here as Spurs will be chasing 3 points so we should be in for a pretty entertaining match as we see Spurs also conceding here as they have only kept one clean sheet on their travels this season and are far from perfect in defence. We might be in for a surprise home win, in fact the last time these two met at the Baggies home ground it finished 2-0, but we are more certain of the deadlock being broken here so will stick to laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. The early goal isn't likely so we will be having a side trade, laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so. Should you be concerned a goal is coming please get out sooner. If a goal comes and were not out we will lay again ideally trading out when the odds equalise, 2 come we will move the potential loss onto under. The 0-0 is available at 12 so £5 on this makes sense initially and backing further later in the match if concerned. Personally we are expecting more action in the 2nd half so take this into consideration so rather than backing the 0-0 with lots early see how things develop.

Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.15, backed the 0-0 with £5 at 12 and layed over 2.5 goals at 2.04. No early goal as expected so we traded out of the goals trade at 2.4 with £39. The early possession came from Spurs but when they went down to 10 men with Assou-Ekotto's sending off it inspired West Brom to go for it. Because of the sending off their was a blip in the correct score and draw odds so it made sense to grab another £5 at 7.0 just incase Spurs shut up shop. A large number of members layed Spurs which was a great call, so well done to you. Compaired to yesterday there was no question WBA would be happy with the draw and fight until the end but regrettably the draw odds got to our usual trade out point so we got out at 1.8. Rather than getting out with a full stake we got out with £95 leaving £5 of profit on the win as we have done many times before should we strongly feel a goal is coming. It might have taken 20 shots from West Brom to get past Gomes but they did it, scoring twice in the last 10 mins. Great result for WBA and a small £5 profit for us.


Profit made on this trade = £5



Date: 29/12/08
Time: 19.45hrs GMT
Fixture: Championship

Teams: Blackpool V Wolves - SCORE: 2 - 2

Our Recommendation:

Wolves are 6 points clear at the top of the Championship with the opportunity of starting 2009 with a 9 point lead if they win here. They looked rather sluggish in their 1-1 draw with Sheffield on Boxing Day so lets hope they have got over their Christmas Day hangover. They are missing some key players which will have an impact on their performance here, but they should still avoid defeat. Manager less Blackpool will have a tough match on their hands but should make a game of it with a full strength squad available for this encounter. Historically Blackpool haven't beaten Wolves home or a way since 1964 so we will be surprised if they win especially considering Wolves recent form. We expect Wolves to start aggressively as they have a habit of scoring in the 1st 20 min's on their travels but feel Blackpool will also score here as Wolves rarely keep a clean sheet on the road, with 8 of the last 10 away games seeing both sides scoring and finishing over 2.5 goals. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, staggering our stake for a shorter price inplay. We will also have £5 on the 0-0 initially backing further if concerned later in the match. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. Usual plan if it is goalless at the break and the draw odds reach 1.8 without a goal.

Our Trading Result:
The draw odds shortened nicely before kick off mainly due to the team Wolves sent out but regrettably we didn't have our full stake on like most of you only having £55 on at 3.6. We also had £5 on the 0-0 at 11 and because of the strong early goal trend and the fact the odds had drifted out on overs before kick off we had £5 on over 2.5 goals at 2.22. 4 min's in Wolves scored as expected inside 20 min's, admittedly through a penalty but this enabled us to trade out at 5.1 with just over £37 on the draw trade and 1.48 with £7 on the goals for £9 overall.


Profit made on this trade = £9



Date: 30/12/08
Time: 20.00hrs GMT
Fixture: Premiership

Teams: Hull V Aston Villa - SCORE: 0 - 1

Our Recommendation:

O'Neil will only be satisfied with 3 points and that is exactly what we expect to see here as Hull continue to slip down the table, managing only 1 win in their last 10. We should see a similar start to yesterdays match as Villa attack from the outset as they have done so against all sides outside the top 6 on their travels, winning the majority of these encounters. Villa should score twice here as they have done so in 75% of meetings against similar teams which is supported by Hull's record of keeping a clean sheet, conceding 25 goals in the last 10. We might see Hull on the score sheet through as they have managed to score in the last 7 and will be fighting for points here. H2H they don't have much history but the last match finished in a 1 - 0 win to Villa in the 3rd round of the FA Cup back in 2006. So basically we expect this match to finish over 2.5 goals with both sides scoring and a Villa win. We will be laying Hull with around £40 and trading out after Villa take the lead or equalise if they have fallen behind or if its goalless after 60 min's. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, out at HT as usual if its goalless, back in if 2 come and a 3rd looks likely in the 2nd half. If Hull look like scoring and your concerned consider laying Villa in the next goal market. You can always trade out once your less concerned with no loss.

Our Trading Result:
We layed Hull at 4.1, not a shot on goal in the 1st half so we couldn't really bring ourselves to get involved in the goals market but as we mentioned it in the preview put £10 on at 2.9, getting out at 5.1 at HT leaving the loss on over 2.5 as usual. The 2nd half wasn't much better with one 1 shot on goal. As it was goalless after 60 min's we got out at 5.7 with £27 for £12 profit overall. This match should have finished goalless but Hull were unfortunate to concede through an own goal a few min's from the end.


Profit made on this trade = £12


 

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