August 2009
trading advice given
Profit for Month = £613
Trades Completed Summary
(For a detailed summary of each trade see the detailed
results table below)
Date |
Teams |
Score |
Profit |
|
|
|
|
01/08/09 |
SonderjyskE V Esbjerg |
1 - 1 |
£2 |
02/08/09 |
|
3 - 0 |
£28 |
02/08/09 |
|
1 - 1 |
£6 |
02/08/09 |
|
0 - 0 |
-£34 |
03/08/09 |
AGF V OB Odense |
2 - 2 |
£18 |
04/08/09 |
Twente V SP Lisbon |
1 - 1 |
£19 |
05/08/09 |
Rangers V Manchester City |
3 - 2 |
£4 |
06/08/09 |
|
1 - 0 |
£39 |
07/08/09 |
Wolfsburg V Stuttgart |
2 - 0 |
£25 |
08/08/09 |
Mainz V Leverkusen |
2 - 2 |
-£1 |
08/08/09 |
Hoffenheim V B Munich |
1 - 1 |
£22 |
08/08/09 |
Santos V Avai |
2 - 2 |
£0 |
09/08/09 |
Bochum V Mgladbach |
3 - 3 |
£5 |
09/08/09 |
Manchester Utd V Chelsea |
2 - 2 |
£21 |
09/08/09 |
Molde V Rosenberg |
5 - 0 |
£19 |
10/08/09 |
Bielefeld V H Rostock |
3 - 1 |
£33 |
11/08/09 |
Brentford V Bristol City |
0 - 1 |
-£17 |
12/08/09 |
Netherlands V England |
2 - 2 |
£18 |
13/08/09 |
Laval V Strasbourg |
3 - 2 |
£26 |
14/08/09 |
Duisburg V Cottbus |
2 - 2 |
£4 |
15/08/09 |
Leverkusen V Hoffenheim |
1 - 0 |
£23 |
15/08/09 |
Blackburn V Man City |
0 - 2 |
£28 |
16/08/09 |
PSV V Ajax |
4 - 3 |
£6 |
16/08/09 |
MGladbach V Hertha Berlin |
2 - 1 |
£27 |
16/08/09 |
Start V Fredrikstad |
1 - 0 |
£17 |
17/08/09 |
Viking V Molde |
2 - 1 |
£21 |
18/08/09 |
Celtic V Arsenal |
0 - 2 |
£44 |
19/08/09 |
Hull V Tottenham |
1 - 5 |
£30 |
20/08/09 |
Genk V Lille |
1 - 2 |
£30 |
22/08/09 |
Freiburg V Leverkusen |
0 - 5 |
£20 |
22/08/09 |
Hull V Bolton |
1 - 0 |
£5 |
23/08/09 |
West Ham V Tottenham |
1 - 2 |
-£23 |
23/08/09 |
Wolfsburg V Hamburg |
2 - 4 |
£3 |
24/08/09 |
Belenenses V Naval |
2 - 0 |
£7 |
25/08/09 |
Anderlecht V Lyon |
1 - 3 |
£29 |
26/08/09 |
Arsenal V Celtic |
3 - 1 |
£30 |
28/08/09 |
MGladbach V Mainz |
2 - 0 |
£26 |
29/08/09 |
Manchester Utd V Arsenal |
2 - 1 |
£23 |
29/08/09 |
AC Milan V Inter Milan |
0 - 4 |
£22 |
30/08/09 |
Roma V Juventus |
1 - 3 |
£28 |
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Trades Completed in Detail
| Date: 01/08/09 |
| Time: 14.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Emirates Cup |
| Teams: Rangers V PSG - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Rangers have been enjoying a decent pre-season and come into this match on the back of two wins. Walter hasn't been able strengthen his side due to financial restraints this season but the return of Kevin Thomson and some excellent form of some of the youngsters they should put in a good showing here. PSG won't be a pushover for the Gers and convincingly disposed of Fiorentina in mid-week which is no easy task. They have also strengthened their side in the right places which was lacking last season. The outcome of this one will depend on which side Rangers fields personally we feel the most likely outcome is both sides scoring. PSG usually start strongly against similar ranked sides so them on the scoresheet before the break looks likely. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 10.5 and 4.2 with £20 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.64 before the break. Unfortunately no goals before HT so we traded out at av odds of 5.7 with the loss on over 2.5 as usual. No real need to back overs again here for safety. We got to our usual trade out point on the draw cutting our losses at 1.8 with the loss on the draw. So overall £20 loss from the 0-0 bet. Lots of us recouped this as the odds shortened on the draw after this point for no loss, but not in the preview so no profit.
PSG was also one of Terry's FREE lays today so there was also the profit from this.
|
Profit made on this trade = -£20
|
| Date: 01/08/09 |
| Time: 16.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: SAS Ligaen |
| Teams: SonderjyskE V Esbjerg - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Its always close when these two meet and with only a couple games under their belt at this early stage of the season its a little difficult to choose between them. SønderjyskE have a few obvious issues at the back which they need to work through but look the better of the two offensively. They have conceded and scored in 4 of their last 5 which looks again on the cards here. The last 3 H2H meetings have finished all square, we expect a winner this time out. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the
0-0 at 12 and 3.9 with £20 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.56. Similar match to the previous game with no goals before the break for us to trade out of the overs trade at average odds of 5.5. The opener came at the perfect time to turn this one around for us so we traded out at 4.5 splitting the loss evenly to cover the 0-0 bet. So overall £2 profit.
If you had also taken Terry's FREE recommendation to lay Esbjerg you would have made a bigger profit here.
|
Profit made on this trade = £2
|
| Date: 03/08/09 |
| Time: 17.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Tippeligaen |
| Teams: - SCORE: 3 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Stromsgodset's issues are defensive, without a clean sheet in 10 games they have been a banker for conceding over the last few months. On a positive note they also have had little issue scoring against sides outside the top 4 teams so should score here. Valerenga have now lost 4 in a row which is surprising as we feel they are one of the strongest offensive sides in the league they too have been struggling defensively of late. H2H is pretty one sided when Stromsgodset are at home, they haven't beaten Valerenga since 1996 on home soil. It's definitely going to be an interesting match which should see both sides on the scoresheet. The odds support a home win we feel Valerenga will continue their unbeaten record in this one. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
|
Our Trading Result:
What has happened to Valerenga, 6 weeks ago they would have won this! Shocking performance. We layed the draw at 3.6 backed the 0-0 at 20 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.68. The opener came just before HT for us to trade out at 4.5 on the draw trade with £80 and 1.67 on the goals with £40 for an overall profit of £28.
|
Profit made on this trade = £28
|
| Date: 03/08/09 |
| Time: 19.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Tippeligaen |
| Teams: - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Rosenborg are clearly the best side in the Tippeligaen, undefeated this season with 18 games under their belt. The last time they lost on their travels was back in October. Their opponents here are 12 points behind sitting in 3rd and will be only one of a few sides that will challenge Rosenborg in their current form. H2H Rosenborg have only lost 1 of the last 10 away matches against Grenland but the home side have rarely been in decent form when they have met so this one could be a little closer than expected. Over 2.5 looks on the cards as 7 of the last 8 meetings have finished over 2.5 goals and both sides are averaging over 2 goals a game. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.75 backed the
0-0 with £5 at 18 and backed over 2.5 goals with just £5 before the opener. We were just discussing getting more of our stake on early on the goals trade here and a goal came for us to trade out at 4.2 on the draw with and 1.28 on the goals with £6 for £6 overall.
Rosenborg was one of Terry's FREE lays so an additional profit was secured here.
|
Profit made on this trade = £6
|
| Date: 03/08/09 |
| Time: 21.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Peace Cup Final |
| Teams: - SCORE: 0 - 0 AP 4 - 3 |
Our Recommendation:
As Villa supports we are very pleased to see our side here. No Petrov or Heskey for this match but a level of determination that was lacking in the last 10 games of the 08/09 season. Juventus are in amazing form at this early stage, unbeaten in this tournament and possessing the most well rounded side we have seen from them in the last 5 seasons. Whilst we want Villa to win here this Juve side really are something special and we can't see Villa holding them off for 90 min's. If they do expect to see Villa in the top 4 next season as this Juve side would give Man Utd a run for their money. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.55 backed the 0-0 at 13 and 4.3 with £25 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.35 before the break. No goals before HT so we traded out average odds of 5.9 with the loss on over as planned. Villa were holding their own and neither side could break each down so we weren't surprised to end up cutting our losses at our usual trade out point, getting 1.84 with the loss on the draw. So overall a loss of £34. We grabbed some of this back by trading the draw market again as the odds dropped like a stone in the last 20 min's. This isn't in the preview so no profit reportable. On a positive note a great result for Villa, looking forward to a the Premiership season kicking off.
|
Profit made on this trade = -£34
|
| Date: 03/08/09 |
| Time: 18.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: SAS Ligaen |
| Teams: - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
We are only a few games into the season so we will sit on the fence in regards to who is going to win this one. Both sides are unbeaten and early signs are they are both in decent shape. The main reason we like this match is historically someone always scores. In the last 30 H2H's we have always seen the deadlock broken. Odense also have a superb scoring record on their travels against AGF hitting the back of the net in 95% of these games. Both sides always play for the win in their meetings with only 13% of games finishing all square and the deadlock broken early is usually on the cards. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
|
Our Trading Result:
Fair result this one as both sides were evenly matched. We layed the draw at average odds of 3.7 backed the 0-0 at 17.5 with £6 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.35 with £25. The opener came just before the break for us to trade out at 3.9 on the draw with £95 and 2.06 on the goals with £37 for £18 overall.
|
Profit made on this trade = £18
|
| Date: 04/08/09 |
| Time: 19.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams: Twente V SP Lisbon - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
After the drama of the 1st leg (Twente keeper Sander Boschker was sent off then Joao Moutinho missed his chance from the penalty spot), this 2nd leg should be an entertain match. Twente won't spend the last 60 min's playing defensively like the last outing so we should see a completely different game plan from Steve McClaren's boys who are confident of winning here. SP Lisbon are a decent side and need to be treated with respect you only have to look at their record away to Dutch sides (undefeated in the last 6 scoring in all matches). This match could go either way but we do feel Twente's attacking force are a little sharper than Lisbon's at present and at home they are a superb 1st half side so should score before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break (the odds will be pretty high at HT so stagger your stake on slowly and most in the later stages of the half), following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.55 backed the 0-0 with £8 at 10.5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £5 before the opener at 2.64. As expected Twente started the better taking the lead for us to trade out at 5.2 on the draw with £67 and 1.6 on the goals with £7 for £19 overall.
|
Profit made on this trade = £19
|
| Date: 05/08/09 |
| Time: 19.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Friendly |
| Teams: Rangers V Manchester City - SCORE: 3 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Considering the money spent on City recently they are yet to impress. Losses to the very average Kaiser Chiefs, Orlando Pirates and a poor showing against Barnsley hardly inspires confidence. Perhaps they are preparing themselves in a similar way to Blackburn when they last won the Premiership, with a really poor pre-season. Rangers have no money or fresh talent but definitely look the better of the two at this early stage with some strong individual performances from Mendes, Davis and McGregor to name a few. City really need to change gears for this one or will be adding another loss to their pre-season. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.55 backed the 0-0 with £7 at 12.5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £10 before the opener at 2.48. Rangers took the lead for us to trade out at average odds of 3.85 on the draw with £92 and 1.83 on the goals trade with £14. As the market expected City to pull this back we didn't get the desired odds but ended with a small £4 profit.
|
Profit made on this trade = £4
|
| Date: 06/08/09 |
| Time: 18.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Allsvenskan |
| Teams: - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Usually when these two meet GAIS avoid defeat but Hacken are in very good form (undefeated in their last 7) so this one could go against the grain. GAIS are having a very poor season and haven't won in over 10 games, conceding in all of these matches so will be desperate to grab a few points here. Whilst we usually see a more eventful 2nd half from these two we do expect the deadlock broken before the break, ideally by the home side as GAIS defense has been shocking of late. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.6 backed the 0-0 with £7 at 14 and backed over 2.5 goals with £25 before the opener at average odds of 3.7. Hacken opened the scoring as expected prematch for us to trade out at 5.3 on the draw trade with £65 and 2.36 on the goals with £39 for £39 profit overall.
|
Profit made on this trade = £39
|
| Date: 07/08/09 |
| Time: 19.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: - SCORE: 2 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Last seasons Bundesliga champions take on 3rd place finishers Stuttgart in a match that kicks off the new season. Wolfsburg will be playing with a new coach this season who joins from Stuttgart of all teams, so expect them to have Stuttgart's number in this match. Both sides have had a decent pre-season with strong signs they will both be playing attacking football again this season under their new coaches. Wolfsburg's domestic home record has been very strong over the last few seasons and they remain unbeaten at home to top 6 sides. Stuttgart away to similar teams is completely the opposite losing their last 10. So on paper it looks good for a home win but being their 1st game of the season we don't fancy backing this. Goals also look very likely here with both sides on the scoresheet. Wolfsburg have started the better in their most recent H2H's. We have no reason to challenge this here so will support the deadlock being broken before the break, ideally by Wolfsburg. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, (it might be worth chasing a shorter price inplay if Stuttgart start well, just incase they take the lead and the draw odds don't move) and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.55 backed the 0-0 with £15 at 19 and 5.5 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.8. A pretty even 1st half with a couple of saves but this one didn't look like the deadlock would be broken until the 2nd half. We went into the break goalless so traded out for no loss on the goals trade at 4.2. After the break we backed overs again with £10 for safety at 11 which we closed again after the 2nd from Wolfsburg at 5.9 minimising our potential loss if 3 goals came. The 1st goal enabled us to also trade out for the draw trade at 5.9 with £57 for £25 overall.
Terry also had another 2 winners today on his Free lays putting us up about 13 points in 7 days! Hopefully its going to be one of his 30+ point months.
Another good reason to be a traders advantage member this season!
|
Profit made on this trade = £25
|
| Date: 08/08/09 |
| Time: 14.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: Mainz V Leverkusen - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Newly promoted Mainz must be mad. They kick off their Bundesliga season on the back of sacking their trainer a matter of days a go. Admittedly they were pretty poor in the DFB Pokal and last 4 games but unrest and instability for your 1st game of the season is madness. Leverkusen should take advantage of this and at least avoid defeat here but we still expect Leverkusen to continue their poor away record this season by conceding in practically all their games but from what we have seen of them in pre-season (looked very sharp in last 3 games) and considering Mainz's issues we should see both sides on the score sheet with a win for Leverkusen. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, (it might be worth chasing a shorter price inplay if Mainz start well, just incase they take the lead and the draw odds don't move) and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
|
Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.7 with £60 before the opener from Mainz, backed the 0-0 with £6 and didn't manage to get on overs. After the opener we traded out at 3.95 with £57 to end with a £1 loss.
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Profit made on this trade = -£1
|
| Date: 08/08/09 |
| Time: 17.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: Hoffenheim V B Munich - SCORE: 1 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Hoffenheim had a storming 1st half of the season last year but with the injury of Ibisevic they slipped down the table and seemed to run out of steam. Well he's back from injury and has a host of superb new signings to support him. Bayern had a poor start last year and against a reinvigorated Hoffenheim they should have a tough 1st outing. They failed to beat all the leagues better home sides on their travels last year with their last H2H with Hoffenheim back in May finishing all square 2-2. They aren't likely to start poorly this season as they have been superb in their last 5 warm up games, especially offensively so expect Hoffenheim to concede here but whether they can win against this strong Hoffenheim side we aren't sure. We want to back Bayern purely because of what we have seen of them lately but it makes sense to sit on the fence here at this early stage. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, (it might be worth chasing a shorter price inplay if Hoffenheim start well, just incase they take the lead and the draw odds don't move) and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35, backed the 0-0 at 17 with £6 and backed over 2.5 goals with £17 before the opener from Bayern. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.4 with £76 on the draw and 1.53 on the goals with £23 for £22 overall.
Bayern were also one of Terry's FREE lays so we had another £40 profit from this.
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Profit made on this trade = £22
|
| Date: 08/08/09 |
| Time: 22.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Campeonato |
| Teams: Santos V Avai - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Santos have been freely score of late, hitting the back of the net in all of the last 10, but against sides in the top half they are yet to hold their own or keep a clean sheet. Avai are one of 3 seriously inform sides in the Campeonato winning 6 of their last 7 and looked unstoppable in the 4-0 win over Vitoria a few weeks ago. These two haven't met in recent year so their isn't any history to consider but from both sides form and records against similar sides we should see both sides score and Avai avoid defeat.
Because of the draw odds being around 3.8 and Santos being so short we are concerned this one will go against us (Avai scoring 1st) so will only look to lay the draw under 3.5. We will look to have a small trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We didn't get in on the draw trade here as we were waiting for the odds to drop. We had £5 on the 0-0 at 16.5 and £5 on overs. After the goal we just left the overs trade to hopefully cover the 0-0 which paid off for a break even trade.
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Profit made on this trade = £0
|
| Date: 09/08/09 |
| Time: 14.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: Bochum V Mgladbach - SCORE: 3 - 3 |
Our Recommendation:
Neither of these two were very impressive last season or are likely to be again this year but one thing we could rely on was both sides scoring against similar ranked sides and Gladbach letting one in before the break. Both sides have a decent record at avoiding defeat against similar ranked sides with Bochum only losing 9% of these meetings and Gladbach only losing 25% of their away meetings so it looks like a score draw here on paper but personally we feel Bochum just have this one as they have looked the better of the two in pre-season. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.65 backed the 0-0 at 14 and backed over 2.5 goals at avergae odds of 2.22 with £15 before the opener. The goal enabled us to trade out of the draw trade at 3.85 with £95 and 1.54 on the goals trade with £20 for £5 overall. Amazing comeback from Bochum.
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Profit made on this trade = £5
|
| Date: 09/08/09 |
| Time: 15.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Community Shield |
| Teams: Manchester Utd V Chelsea - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
The Community Shield is usually a cagey affair, but we are hoping for an early power struggle this time out. Chelsea don't have a fully fit squad but Utd look to have quite a few problems in defense which does surprised us that under 2.5 goals is still trading at 1.6. With both sides having 6 subs it might be a little stop start but we expect this match to deliver goals for both sides. Chelsea are favorites here, mainly due to Utd's defensive issues but we will probably see this finish all square. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £10 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 9.6 with £10 and backed over 2.5 goals with £10 at 2.56. As expected a game which bucked the odds under 2.5 goals odds and finished in a draw. We got out of the draw trade at 3.85 with £88 and 1.61 on the goals with £12 for £21 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £21
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| Date: 09/08/09 |
| Time: 18.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Norweigian Cup |
| Teams: Molde V Rosenberg - SCORE: 5 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
1st placed play 2nd in Norwegian Cup. Both sides are in amazing form, Rosenberg are undefeated in 19 games and Molde come into this match unbeaten in over 10 games and after battering mid-tabled Start 8-1 in their last home game. Offensively both are superb so the deadlock should definitely get broken here and neither side plays defensively especially Molde who still haven't learn 't from previous lessons that top 6 sides frequently score past them in the 1st half on the counter attack. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.7 backed the 0-0 at 20 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £5 at 1.62. Molde were dominant especially in the 2nd half. We traded out after their opener at 4.7 on the draw with £76 and 1.27 on the goals trade with £5 for £19 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £19
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| Date: 10/08/09 |
| Time: 19.15 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga 2 |
| Teams: Bielefeld V H Rostock - SCORE: 3 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Both teams lost key players through the break. Bielefeld lost their best striker Artur Wichniarek, without him they look weak offensively. Rostock also lost 4 of their top players and didn't sign anyone of great ability to replace them, so we can't see them achieving much with this potentially weaker side this season. Bielefeld look to have the better squad on paper and we expect them to avoid defeat here with the draw looking the most likely result, as Rostock under Andreas Zachhuber haven't lost in 11 games. H2H the draw has also been the most likely result with 3 of the last 4 finishing 1-1, with the deadlock being broken before the break on most occasions. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.55 backed the 0-0 at 15 with £6 and backed over 2.5 goals with £19 at 2.68 before the opener. Bielefeld were clearly the better side here (one of those matches you don't really want to trade out of). After they took the lead we traded out at 4.9 on the draw with £70 and 1.82 on the goals with £26 for £33 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £33
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| Date: 11/08/09 |
| Time: 19.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Carling Cup |
| Teams: Brentford V Bristol City - SCORE: 0 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
The last time these two met was in the 1st round of this competition two seasons ago where Bristol City won convincingly. This seasons City side looks a much more attacking side (lacked this last season) with plenty of pace which should be a little to much for newly promoted Brentford who are without some of their stars tonight. Don't expect it to be a walk in the park for City as they were very impressive in their opener against Carlisle on Saturday and looked strong defensively. City haven't failed to score in the 1st round since 2003 and their team is set up to score so expect them on the scoresheet tonight. We also feel Brentford will break their poor scoring record in this competition and get on the scoresheet tonight. It shouldn't matter who scores 1st here as the win odds are very even as long as we get a goal before we cut our losses we should be able to profit. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 12 and 4.8 with £17. We didn't get involved in the goals market here as we got side tracked by members about the lay's on Holland and Gallaway (both winners). We would have followed the usual plan getting out for no loss should the match finish under. City lost Haynes about 10 min's into the 2nd half but then followed this up with a goal about another 5 min's later then shut up shop for Brentford. The draw odds took a while to drift out after the goal because of City losing a man but rather than wait too long we got to level odds and close the trade. Most reported waiting because 0-1 looked the most likely outcome and because of the additional cover on the 0-0 trade. So overall a £17 loss for us.
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Profit made on this trade = -£17
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| Date: 12/08/09 |
| Time: 19.45 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: International Friendly |
| Teams: Netherlands V England - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Both teams are sitting top of their respective World Cup qualifying groups with 21 points and immaculate records intact so neither will want to lose here. England were soundly beaten by Spain in another friendly back in February so this match will be a good gage to judge if they have improved against a strong opponent. Whilst this friendly match isn't ideally timed or important enough to worry about it will do wonders for Capello's side to get a good result against a team ranked 3rd in the world. H2H England don't have the best record against the Dutch with only one win in the last 10 (it was a great win though) but when they have been carrying decent form they have avoided defeat on 80% of occasions. Personally both side would probably be happy with a draw here which would be a fair result for England. The U21's finished goalless last night, we can't see this one finishing without the deadlock being broken as the Dutch haven't failed to score in the last 10 and they have brought a superb offensive side with them. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £10 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.15 backed the 0-0 at 9.6 with £10 and backed overs at average odds of 2.72 with £10. Holland took the lead nice and early for us to trade out at 4.0 on the draw with £79 and 1.65 on the goals with £15 for £18 overall. Great 2nd half performance to turn the game around.
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Profit made on this trade = £18
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| Date: 13/08/09 |
| Time: 19.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Ligue 2 |
| Teams: Laval V Strasbourg - SCORE: 3 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Strasbourg lost their opener 2-1 to Chateauroux which was a surprise as they probably have the best side on paper in Ligue 2. They are going through some management issues which might have had bearing on their performance, hopefully it won't effect them too much this time out. Their opponents here also lost 2-1 away to Brest which looked on the cards as they have just stepped up a level. These two haven't met much but H2H it has always finished over 2.5 goals, we expect another match here with a few goals as they both chase points after a disappointing result last week and Laval practically always concede and score (9 of the last 10). For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £10 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 9.8 with £10 and backed overs at 2.42 with just £5 before the opener. Laval's goal enabled us to trade out at 5.0 on the draw with £65 and 1.57 on the goals with £5 for £26 overall. Great match this one.
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Profit made on this trade = £26
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| Date: 14/08/09 |
| Time: 19.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga 2 |
| Teams: Duisburg V Cottbus - SCORE: 2 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Duisburg are now 7 games undefeated with their new coach and they started as they left off in their 1st game of the season against Frankfurt with an impressive 2-1 win (bit of a shock this one as we didn't expect much from them with Makiadi gone). Cottbus also won their opener against Augsburg but this can't be compared to playing Duisburg on the road which should be a much tougher match. Cottbus are still suffering the shock of losing their manager this week and few other key players saying they want out. With this going on behind the scenes and Cottbus's very poor away record over the last few seasons this should go to Duisburg. Both sides on the scoresheet looks pretty likely with Duisburg starting the more offensive. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.55 backed the 0-0 at 15.5 with £7 and backed overs at average odds of 3.16 with £25 before the opener. Duisburg started as expected but it was Cottbus who took the lead. Because everyone in the market expected Duisburg to pull it back (including us) we didn't have very good trade out odds available but as most people had their full goals stake on because HT was on its way the profit from the goals trade helped us out here. We got out at 3.45 on the draw trade with £103 for a small loss and 2.1 on the goals with £36 for £4 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £4
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| Date: 15/08/09 |
| Time: 14.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: Leverkusen V Hoffenheim - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Both sides opener finished all square and they come into this match with identical recent form 3-1-1. Of the two Hoffenheim had the tougher challenge in their opening game and looked the sharper side. Leverkusen looked a little sluggish in their match against newly promoted Mainz, something Jupp Heynckes won't be satisfied with this week. H2H Leverkusen have battered Hoffenheim in their most recent meetings but this seasons Hoffenheim side looks superb especially with Ibisevic back so we expect them to avoid defeat here. Both sides scoring looks very likely here with a 1st half goal on the cards, Hoffenheim usually start the better of these two but Heynckes will have his side refocused and ready for the challenge. Probably another score draw... For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, (if hoffenheim start strong look to stagger your stake on for a shorter price, just incase they score 1st and the odds don't move much) and also having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.55 backed the 0-0 at 18 and 5.3 with £20 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.84 before the break. This one was pretty tight so we weren't surprised to go into the break goalless. As planned we traded out of the goals trade with the loss on over's at average odds of 4.6. We were more concerned it was going to finish goalless than see 3 goals after the break so didn't back over's any further for safety. The opener came at the perfect time for us to trade out at 6.2 on the draw with £55 for £23 profit overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £23
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| Date: 15/08/09 |
| Time: 15.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Blackburn V Man City - SCORE: 0 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
This years Blackburn side looks a shadow of their former self and after a disappointing preseason (no wins) we aren't expecting much from them today. Allardyce has gone on record that he wants to continue their dominance over City (haven't lost to them in 7 years at Ewood Park) the only way we could see this happening is if they play a very physical game. City we all know were appalling on the road last season and probably will still be no better than average again even with Adebayor this year, but their side should be able to beat this Blackburn one even with 4 of their best players carrying knocks. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 12 with £7 and unfortunately didn't have anything on over 2.5 goals before City scored. The early goal enabled us to trade out at 5.3 on the draw with £63 for £28 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £28
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| Date: 16/08/09 |
| Time: 11.20 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Eredivisie |
| Teams: PSV V Ajax - SCORE: 4 - 3 |
Our Recommendation:
Both these two had disappointing seasons last year by their standards so have reinvigorated their sides in the off season, including new managers. Of the two Ajax have started their new campaign better, with two wins scoring 6 goals. PSV opened with two draws but had to fit a Europa League game in between these two which they won. H2H PSV have been dominant over Ajax for quite a few years only losing once in their last 15 meetings at their home ground, but from what we have seen of both at this early stage, Ajax look good for avoiding defeat here. Considering PSV rarely fail to score (only once in their last 25 games) and Ajax are scoring for fun at the moment we should see both sides on the score sheet here. These two are strong 1st half sides so expect an opener before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.6 backed the 0-0 at 17.5 with £6 and unfortunately didn't get anything match on over 2.5 goals before Ajax took the lead. The early goal enabled us to trade out at 4.1 with £87 for £6 profit.
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Profit made on this trade = £6
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| Date: 16/08/09 |
| Time: 14.30 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: MGladbach V Hertha Berlin - SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Gladbach will be kicking themselves that they let slip a 3-0 lead last Sunday at Bochum and will want to see a repeat of their first-half performance rather than their second when they face Hertha in this match. Hertha's side looks set up for failure this season but they were surprisingly sharp in their win over Hannover, mainly due to a superb performance from Gojko Kacar. Of the two Gladbach have the better record against similar opponents, so we should see them avoid defeat here. Both sides on the scoresheet looks the most likely outcome as Hertha never keep a clean sheet on the road and Gladbach rarely fail to score at home especially against similar ranked sides. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 14 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals with £18 before the opener from Gladbach at average odds of 2.48. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.4 on the draw with £76 and 1.6 on the goals trade with £25 for £27 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £27
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| Date: 16/08/09 |
| Time: 17.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Tippeligaen |
| Teams: Start V Fredrikstad - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Start come into this match on the back of an 8-1 battering by title chasers Molde so would have been going though some tough criticism this week. On a positive note they have been pretty solid at home only losing one of their last 10 and respond well to losing usually bouncing back with a win. Fredrikstad have been poor this season on the road only picking up 1 win in the last 10 conceding in all these games. They have fought hard in their last few matches picking up a draw and win against similar sides outside the top six. Its going to be an interesting match this one as Start look to bounce back to winning ways against a side that has improved in the last few weeks. We give it to Start and considering they are the one of the best 1st half side in the league and have been ahead at the break in their last 5 meetings against similar opponents we should be able to profit from the goals trade. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.75 backed the 0-0 at 20 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £15 before the opener at 1.82. Start took the lead as expected for us to trade out at 4.6 on the draw with £80 and 1.43 on the goals with £18 for £17 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £17
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| Date: 17/08/09 |
| Time: 18.00 hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Tippeligaen |
| Teams: Viking V Molde - SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Viking usually do well at home to top 6 sides but Molde are playing at a similar standard to league leaders Rosenborg so will make things very difficult for the home side. When these two meet its always an end to end game and both sides have scored in the last 11 H2H's. The last 7 also finished over 2.5 goals which again looks likely here, especially if you look at the amount of goals scored in their last 5 games (27 goals for Molde and 22 for Viking). Molde have scored in the 1st half in the majority of their games this season and against sides outside the top 6 80% have seen an early goal. For this match we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.7 backed the 0-0 at 21 with £5 and backed over 2.5 goals with £10 before the opener at 1.89. Molde took the lead as expected for us to trade out at 4.7 on the draw with £77 and 1.37 on the goals with £10 for £21 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £21
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| Date: 18/08/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams: Celtic V Arsenal - SCORE: 0 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
Celtic take on Arsenal in this Champions League play-off round, 1st leg. With all 60000 seats sold out its going to be a daunting venue for the Gunners. Saying this its also going to be a tough ask for Mowbray’s men to win here when you compare the two sides but they will surely make it a tough 1st leg for the Gunners with the 12th man of Celtic Park on their side. They also have a superb home record against English sides at home, not losing since the early 80's (ignoring friendlies). With the likes of Robin van Persie, Cesc Fabregas and Andrei Arshavin on the pitch we do expect them to concede here but we give them a good chance of avoiding defeat when you consider their strong record. For this match we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, (if Celtic are dominant early you might want to stagger your lay stake for a shorter price just incase the odds don't move much) and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half (staggering stake as usual) as we feel the deadlock will be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 11.5 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals with £25 before the opener at average odds of 3.28. Arsenal opened the scoring for us to trade out at 5.8 on the draw with £57 and 2.36 on the goals trade with £35 for £44 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £44
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| Date: 19/08/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Hull V Tottenham - SCORE: 1 - 5 |
Our Recommendation:
Spurs will be chasing back to back wins here from their opening 2 games something we haven't seen them achieve in 14 years. From what we saw of them in their season opener against Liverpool they have a good change of achieving this. Hull might not have won in 11 games but they fought hard in their recent loss to Chelsea and will do the same again here, personally we feel their injury list (including Captain Ashbee) will hamper their chances here unfortunately. Probably the most likely thing we will see here is both sides scoring which is supported statistically. The last H2H at the KC Stadium finished 1-2 to Spurs, we expect a similar result this time out. We are a little concerned Spurs will concede 1st before the break as they have done so in 80% of their H2H'S against similar opponents (under Harry, this is improved but still a concern). So we would want to stagger out lay stake here for lower draw odds just incase Hull do break the deadlock. So to confirm for this match we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, staggering our lay stake for a shorter price (around 3.5 or lower av. odds) also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half (staggering stake as usual), following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.5 with the odds shortening nicely before kick off so we were all able to get in earlier than expected. We backed the 0-0 at 12.5 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals with £5 before the opener at 2.1. Spurs took the lead early for us to trade out at 5.2 on the draw with £64 and 1.46 on the goals trade with £5 for £30 overall. Spurs were superb here lets hope they can continue this level of form for the rest of the season.
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Profit made on this trade = £30
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| Date: 20/08/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Europa League |
| Teams: Genk V Lille - SCORE: 1 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
A strong performance in the Belgium Cup saw Gent grab a place in this competition despite a very average domestic camaign last year. So far this season under their new manager they haven't registered a win and have looked very poor, this is mainly due to a host of key player unavailable for various reasons. Their opponents here have hardly been firing on all cylinders, losing their opening two games but their performance against Marseille at the weekend gives us confidence things are about to improve. Genk's style of play negates goals so expect them to score and concede here but we feel Lille will walk away winners from this one. For this match we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half (because the odds will be steep at HT put most of your stake on later in the half for higher average odds) as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 12.5 with £8 and over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.82 with £22 before the opener from Lille. Lots of us traded the draw market twice here as the odds drifted out quite a bit in the 1st 20 min's of the game for additional profit, whilst we also did this we will ignore the additional profit as it wasn't in the preview. We got back in at 3.45 to keep things simple and as expected were rewarded by a late goal from Lille before the break getting out at average odds of 5.1 with £65 and 2.2 on the goals trade with £25 for £30 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £30
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| Date: 22/08/09 |
| Time: 14.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: Freiburg V Leverkusen - SCORE: 0 - 5 |
Our Recommendation:
Freiburg put up a good fight last week on the road against Stuttgart in their 4-2 defeat. The scoreline doesn't really do their performance justice as they fought hard for this result. Their home form was very strong last season in the 2nd tier and they held Hamburg to a 1-1 draw in their 1st top tier game of the season. We expect them to play less defensively this time out as they chase their 1st win of the season which will suit Leverkusen. Leverkusen come into this game on the back of beating Hoffenheim in a close fought 1-0 at the newly refurbished Bay-Arena. This is a superb result against a full strength Hoffenheim as sets them up well for another good result here. Heynckes side does have a bad habit of losing after winning so hopefully we won't see this annoying cycle happen this time out. The most likely thing we feel you will see here are both sides scoring and ideally Leverkusen 1st. They have scored before the break in 9 of the last 10 games against similar opponents so fingers crossed they will do it again in this match on the counter when Freiburg press for the lead.
For this game we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, (if your worried about Freiburg scoring 1st, stagger your lay stake for a shorter lay price inplay) and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.5 backed the 0-0 at 17 with £7 and over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.36 with £20 before Leverkusen took the lead. A bit one sided this one. The opener from Leverkusen enabled us to trade out at 4.4 on the draw with £77 and 1.79 on the goals with £25 for £20 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £20
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| Date: 22/08/09 |
| Time: 15.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Hull V Bolton - SCORE: 1 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Both these two are pointless this season so will be looking to grab some here. Hull have continued their terrible run of form from last season and are now 12 games without a win and yet to win at home in 2009. Defensively they were shocking against Spurs and seriously need to change something at the back, maybe an 8-1-1 formation might help. On a positive note Steve Hunt is playing his socks off so expect him to score again today. If Hull are to have any chance of staying up they have to be able to beat other struggling sides so we expect them to be all fired up against a Bolton side who are winless in 8. Of the two we do feel Hull have the better chance as Bolton have only scored once in their last 5 games and Hull have looked much better offensively. For this game we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the HT (trading out with the same stake by laying over 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
Betfair removed the inplay market as this match turned inplay so we were lumbered with £8 on the 0-0 at 11 and £25 on the lay bet. It suddenly appeared inplay again about 20 min's later but most reported leaving it and focusing on Terry's Lays and David's trade on Liverpool (all winners) we also advised those who asked to just leave it now or just focus on the lay bet. We did get back in ourselves so we could stick to the preview getting average odds of 3.15 on the lay bet and average odds of 3.72 on over 2.5 goals with £18 overall going into the break. No goal unfortunately so we traded out at average odds of 6 on the goals trade moving the loss onto over 2.5 goals as usual. No real reason to back overs after the break as 3 didn't look likely. We opted to grab another £17 of cover on the 0-0 for safety. As hoped Hull managed to grab the winner at the perfect time for us to trade out at 4.6 with £68 for £5 overall.
A perfect day for all of us with 3 winning lays for Terry, David winning his trade on Arsenal and two winners here.
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Profit made on this trade = £5
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| Date: 23/08/09 |
| Time: 13.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: West Ham V Tottenham - SCORE: 1 - 2 |
Our Recommendation:
We are rubbing our hands together in anticipation of this London Derby. Rarely do their H2H's fail to entertain and with both sides in scoring form we should see a great match. Last season Spurs did the double over the Hammers, will they do it again this season.. Well their squads are sporting practically the same players as last year and the Hammers have only won 13% of H2H's since the Millennium but I wouldn't put money on it with Spurs missing Woodgate, Dawson and Bale from defense and Gomes in goal. Zola has no injury concerns and despite lacking a little firepower his side is likely to be the same as their win over Wolves. They will need to be on their toes in defense though as Defoe is in the form of his life! This match looks good for both sides scoring and because these Derby games are pretty tense we will support the deadlock broken before the break which has happened in the majority of them. So for this game we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the HT (trading out with the same stake by laying over 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.45 backed the 0-0 at 14.5 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.26 before the break. Not much question that the deadlock would be broken eventually here with lots of defensive errors and over 40 shots on goal (not all on target). We still followed the preview getting out at 5.2 on the goals trade with the loss on over 2.5 goals as usual but after the 1st opener a couple min's into the 2nd half from the Hammers we backed overs again for safety with £10 at 2.8. This goal did enable to us trade out at 3.85 on the draw with £90 which gave us £10 profit whatever the scoreline but this was cancelled out by the 0-0 bet and further goals bets. We say further because after the equaliser we backed over 2.5 again with another £15 at 1.69 as there was about 35 min's left and no way were either of them would be happy with a draw. This put us £23 down overall. If the opener had come about 2 min's later we would have had another £20 on the 0-0 for safety so we were pretty happy with this loss overall.
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Profit made on this trade = -£23
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| Date: 23/08/09 |
| Time: 16.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: Wolfsburg V Hamburg - SCORE: 2 - 4 |
Our Recommendation:
Wolfsburg have started as they finished last season with two wins. Hamburg after a couple of disappointing games in the German Cup and their 1-1 opener against Freiburg have found their scoring boots beating Dortmund 4-1 and Guingamp 5-1 in the Europa League on Thursday. Last season Wolfsburg did the double over Hamburg and they have won 94% of their home games since the start of last season, so they look likely to continue this here. This is supported by the fact Hamburg haven't picked up an away win against a top 6 side in over a year. Because of Hamburg's scoring form it does look like it could be a little closer than the last few meetings. Probably the most likely thing that will happen here is Wolfsburg scoring as they practically always score at home and Hamburg haven't kept a clean sheet in over 10 games. For this game we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal (you will probably need average odds of under 3.5 just incase Hamburg open the scoring so feel free to stagger your stake if Hamburg start strong), and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the HT (trading out with the same stake by laying over 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
Obviously one of those days, with only Terry's Lay's coming off in profit. We layed the draw at 3.55 with £50 and were looking to see how Hamburg started before laying further at slightly shorter odds. We also had £5 on the 0-0, which wasn't really needed as this game had over 2.5 goals written all over it. We didn't have any chance to get more of our stake on as Hamburg took the lead 3 min's in through a Benaglio own goal. They were then two up within 7 min's leaving Wolfsburg shell shocked. The only positive here was we got £24 matched at 3.75 after the 1st and £17 matched after the 2nd which covered our 0-0 bet with £3 spare. So overall only £3 profit as we also didn't manage to get in on the goals trade.
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Profit made on this trade = £3
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| Date: 24/08/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Superliga |
| Teams: Belenenses V Naval - SCORE: 2 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Both these two opened the season with goalless draws. We aren't expecting to see this happen in this game as 7 of their last 8 H2H's have seen both sides scoring and Naval very rarely keep a clean sheet on the road (conceding in 70% of games in the 1st half against similar sides over the last 2 seasons). Belenenses also have a strong scoring record on home ground against similar ranked sides so we should see the deadlock broken, ideally before the break. Of the two Naval do look the more likely to get the win here now (ammended) but both sides on the scoresheet looks the most likely outcome. For this game we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal (please feel free to stagger your stake as Naval scoring 1st could be on the cards here), and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break (the odds will be around 7 at the break so stagger your stake on with most of it going on later in the half for high average odds) following the usual plan if its goalless at the HT (trading out with the same stake by laying over 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £10 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at average odds of 3.3 backed the 0-0 at 9.0 and again at 3.4 with £25 overall and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 4.86 before HT. We originally felt this would go to Naval due to the side Belenenses were fielding but they were the ones who wanted it the most. No goal before the break so we traded out of the goals trade at HT with the loss on over 2.5 as planned at average odds of 7.2. We were a little concerned 0-0 was on it way so also backed the 0-0 with another 15 for safety. Belenenses did manage to open the deadlock when the draw odds were reaching 2.0 which was the perfect time for a goal. This enabled us to traded out at 5 with £66. This left us with £7 profit overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £7
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| Date: 25/08/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams: Anderlecht V Lyon - SCORE: 1 - 3 |
Our Recommendation:
The reverse fixture saw Lyon dominate and secure a 5-1 lead on home soil going into this 2nd leg. This was a bit of a surprise as most of us had this down as a narrow victory for the French side or maybe a draw. Anderlecht certainly aren't as bad as this scoreline so expect them to throw everything and the kitchen sink at Lyon this time out. They have a strong record over French sides on home soil remaining undefeated, winning the majority so we won't be surprised if they grab this one, but don't expect a big scoreline as Lyon simply need to shut up shop and defend their comprehensive lead. For this match we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal as the main trade. If Anderlecht are looking dominant it might be worth staggering your lay stake for safety but the odds should move in a positive direction whoever scores 1st. As a side trade we will be backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so getting out sooner if concerned, backing again if we get caught out for higher average odds so we can trade out sooner. This profit will be then placed on the 0-0 for safety. We will back further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We backed under 2.5 goals with £50 at 2.28 trading out at 1.95 with £58 which enabled us to put £7 on the 0-0 at 13.5. We also layed the draw at 3.4 as the main trade. Lyon didn't really play the defensive card as expected prematch and took the lead inside the 1/2hr mark for us to trade out at 4.7 with £70 for £29 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £29
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| Date: 26/08/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Champions League |
| Teams: Arsenal V Celtic - SCORE: 3 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Arsenal hold a 2 goal lead from the 1st leg coming into this match, so Celtic have little choice but to come out guns blazing. The opening leg wasn't all one sided and despite a good performance from the Gunners, both their goals came from rather lucking situations so Celtic don't look completely out of it yet. Just look what they did last time out against Dinamo Moscow! Were not saying Dinamo are comparable to Arsenal but an early goal from Mowbray's side could mean 'game on' for the Hoops, but considering their very poor record on their travels (1 win in their last 20) and Arsenal's superb home record (only 2 losses in their last 30 against Chelsea and Man Utd) Arsenal should emerge winners, but Celtic could make it difficult for them. No Fabregas for this one plus a few other big names are out but expect Wenger to field a strong side as this one isn't in the bag yet. The most likely outcome looks like both sides scoring with Arsenal moving into the next round. For this match we will be backing Arsenal and trading out after the take the lead or draw level. Initially we will use 1/2 a stake to see how they start (just want to see how Celtic start mainly). If concerned Celtic are going to take the lead we will keep the other £50 just incase or until Arsenal give us confidence, so we can back Arsenal again for higher average odds if they go behind so we can trade out once they equalise (ideally). If this happens with less than 30 min's left we will use this to lay Celtic at short odds. We will also be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan of its goalless at the break. If your worried about if finishing 0-0 you can cover you liability with just a few quid as the odds are at 23. Hopefully you shouldn't need to worry and just give it 20 min's and put all your stake on Arsenal, it just makes sense to see a little of this game 1st.
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Our Trading Result:
We backed Arsenal at average odds of 1.41, backed the 0-0 at 22 with £4 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 1.94 with £35 before the opener from the Gunners. As expected by practically everyone but Celtic supports Arsenal took the lead (another lucky one as that wasn't really a penalty) for us to trade out at 1.13 on the back bet with £110 and 1.46 with £47 on the goals trade which put us £31 up.
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Profit made on this trade = £31
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| Date: 28/08/09 |
| Time: 19.30hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Bundesliga |
| Teams: MGladbach V Mainz - SCORE: 2 - 0 |
Our Recommendation:
Promoted side Mainz are unbeaten so far this season. Despite changing their trainer just before the season kicked off, they have remained undefeated with two draw's from their opening 2 games followed up with a very surprising win over Bayern Munich in their last outing. One think that has been very noticeable is their chase of an early lead which has happened in all their last 3. Gladbach don't deal too well with early pressure so expect them to concede early if Mainz continue this style of play. Mainz will very likely concede themselves in this match as defensively they aren't playing like a top tier side and if it wasn't for the man between the posts who has been playing out of his skin they wouldn't be sitting in 5th place. To support this they have also scored and conceded in their last 7. Gladbach also have a tendency to score early which adds more weight to the likelyhood of the deadlock will be broken before the break.
For this match we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, (you will probably want average odds under 3.5 just incase Mainz open the scoring) and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the HT (trading out with the same stake by laying over 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.4 backed the 0-0 at 14.5 with £6 and over 2.5 goals at average odds of 2.38 with £18 before the opener from Gladbach. The goal enabled us to trade out at 4.6 on the draw trade with £72 and 1.67 with £25 for £26 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £26
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| Date: 29/08/09 |
| Time: 17.15hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Premiership |
| Teams: Man Utd V Arsenal - SCORE: 2 - 1 |
Our Recommendation:
Utd have had the better of Arsenal on most of the recent visits and Ferguson will demand that his players maintain this trend. Arsenal have had a superb start to the season, but haven't really been tested by their opponantes so far. This is a match that could go either way but surely will see both sides on the scoresheet. In recent years it has taken until the 2nd half for the deadlock to be broken between these two at Old Trafford (last 5) but with a few issues in defence for Utd we feel Arsenal will get on the scoresheet before the break. For this match we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the HT (trading out with the same stake by laying over 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.25 backed the 0-0 at 11 with £7 and backed over 2.5 goals at average odds of 3.42 before the opener from Arsenal. The goal enabled us to trade out at 3.75 on the draw trade with £85 and 2.08 on the goals with £40 for £23 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £23
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| Date: 29/08/09 |
| Time: 19.45hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: AC Milan V Inter Milan - SCORE: 0 - 4 |
Our Recommendation:
Its come around very early this season and almost caught us by surprise. As most of you will already be aware Milan had a poor pre-season but have started this year off with 2 consecutive wins including an away win over Siena which is no easy achievement. Inter had an impressive pre-season but have looked really poor in their opening games losing to Lazio in the SuperCup and drawing with newly promoted Bari. Defensively they had loads of issues with Bari and were lucky to grab a point so expect Milan on the score sheet in this one as they are unlikely to have improved enough in a week to shut out Milan. One of the main reasons us traders likely this fixture is because it very rarely ends in a draw (less than 10% of games) with the last one coming back in 94 and with Milan scoring in their last 20 consecutive games and conceding in most of their recent games we should be able to profit here. For this match we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the HT (trading out with the same stake by laying over 2.5), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.2 backed the 0-0 at 13 and backed over 2.5 goals with £18 at average odds of 2.78 before the opener from Inter. Milan piled on the pressure early and looked good for the win in the 1st 25 min's then went into freefall after conceding just before the 1/2 hr mark. We were able to trade out after the 1st at 3.95 on the draw with £80 and 1.8 on the goals with £26 for £22 overall.
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Profit made on this trade = £22
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| Date: 30/08/09 |
| Time: 17.00hrs GMT |
| Fixture: Serie A |
| Teams: Roma V Juventus - SCORE: 1 - 3 |
Our Recommendation:
Roma had a stuttering start against Genoa in their season opener despite leading 2-1 at one point they eventually lost 3-2. Then they bounced back with a magical 7-1 win in the Europa League against Kosice and looked like a completely different side. Last season Juventus did the double over Roma, if they play like they did against Kosice it won't happen again this season. Juve opened their new campaign with a 1-0 win over Chievo so will want to continue their good start with another win and maintain their position at the top of the table. This match is very likely to be end to end with plenty of goal mouth action, don't be surprised if we see 3+ goals as the last 6 games matches against big 4 sides played at Stadio Olimpico have seen this scoreline. Personally we feel they will end up sharing the points with a score draw. For this match we will be laying the draw trading out after a goal, and also having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half as the deadlock should be broken before the break, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (trading out with the same stake by laying over), backing further as the odds drift with a few quid after the break if concerned 3 look likely for safety. Out at 1.8 on the draw as usual if its goalless loss on the draw. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £6 initially backing further if concerned inplay.
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Our Trading Result:
We layed the draw at 3.35 backed the 0-0 at 17 with £6 and backed over 2.5 goals with £20 at average odds of 2.36 before the opener from Diego. Juve's opener enabled us to trade out at 4.2 on the draw with £79 and 1.58 on the goals with £20 for £28 overall.
Unfortunately the Malaga game we were going to trade was removed from the inplay coupon or we would had another winner today.
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Profit made on this trade = £28
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