01/04/09

2 - 1

£37

01/04/09

1 - 0

-£20

03/04/09

0 - 1

£34

04/04/09

1 - 0

£38

04/04/09

0 - 0

-£12

05/04/09

1 - 0

£21

05/04/09

4 - 0

£32

05/04/09

4 - 1

£39

06/04/09

0 - 1

£10

07/04/09

2 - 2

£11

08/04/09

1 - 3

£31

09/04/09

3 - 1

£N/A

11/04/09

4 - 2

£40

11/04/09

1 - 2

£33

12/04/09

2 - 3

£14

12/04/09

1 - 0

-£25

12/04/09

1 - 2

£19

14/04/09

4 - 4

£20

14/04/09

1 - 1

-£7

15/04/09

0 - 1

£16

16/04/09

2 - 1

£5

18/04/09

2 - 1

£27

18/04/09

1 - 0

-£30

18/04/09

1 - 2

£17

19/04/09

2 - 0

£19

19/04/09

4 - 2

£18

19/04/09

0 - 0 FT

£14

20/04/09

1 - 0

£21

21/04/09

4 - 4

£3

22/04/09

1 - 1

£14

23/04/09

0 - 3

£13

24/04/09

0 - 1

£3

25/04/09

2 - 0

£26

25/04/09

1 - 1

£22

25/04/09

1 - 2

£4

26/04/09

2 - 0

£31

26/04/09

3 - 3

£21

26/04/09

2 - 0

£20

27/04/09

0 - 2

£20

29/04/09

1 - 0

£19

Our Recommendation:
A win here for either side should see them top the table so expect both sides to be focused on playing for the win here especially with their history. The Czech's haven't lost at home to a side with a similar ranking to Slovakia in their last 10 meetings and Slovakia are yet to beat a side of the Czech's standard over the same period so on paper it looks good for a home win. The majority of these matches have finished over 2.5 goals but with the home side missing a few of their key scorers we expect a more conservative score line. We won't be surprised if they also keep a clean sheet as this is what they have built their home reputation on.

We will be backing under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so trading out ideally before a goal, backing again if a goal comes as usual. If it starts end to end don't hang around and get out. We will be backing the Czech Republic and trading out after they take the lead or draw level. Out of caution we will stagger out stake to see how they start. Some cover on the 0-0 and 0-1 makes sense, obviously trading out of the 0-1 if it happens and backing 0-0 if concerned. We will consider backing the Czech's further if the go behind early, ask if not sure.

Our Recommendation:
Austria need a win here to keep their hopes of qualification alive. Their home record against similar sides isn't to impressive only picking up 2 win's from the last 10 so will need to find the form they showed against France earlier in qualification. The Romanian's look the better bet coming into to this match as there away record has been very impressive winning 9 of the last 10 against similar sides and they need the win more importantly so should be motivated. We are fairly confident Romania will score here but they are also likely to concede so out of caution we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be backing over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following our usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further with a few quid for some safety after the break. We will also be grabbing £7 on the 0-0 backing further if concerned and getting out at 1.8 on the draw if it remains goalless as usual.

Our Recommendation:
Northern Ireland have pulled off some amazing performances at home so anything can happen here. Bizarrely they tend to do better against the big boys than against teams with a simualr ranking to Slovenia but they come into this match on the back of 3 consecutive wins so lets hope this will be their 4th. The reverse fixture saw the Irish out played and lose 2-0 but Windsor Park is tough place to take points away from so we are expecting a closer match this time out. Group 3 has everything to play for so both side should be focused on playing for the win. This game looks good for both sides scoring as Northern Ireland rarely keep a clean sheet against simular ranked sides and Slovenia have the same problem on their travels. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be backing over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following our usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further with a few quid for some safety after the break. We will also be grabbing £7 on the 0-0 backing further if concerned and getting out at 1.8 on the draw if it remains goalless as usual.

Our Recommendation:
Bielefeld are having a poor time of it this season and sit just a few points above the relegation zone. They have shown signs recently that they will avoid relegation and have only lost 1 of their last 6 at home, securing 3 decent results against teams with similar or better form to Schalke. Schalke are hard to predict and after a turbulent few weeks and losing their coach Rutten we aren't quite sure what we will see from them, but with a full fit squad they have the ability to turn Bielefeld over. Historically Schalke have taken 3 point in the most recent away meetings and haven't failed to score since 96 so we expect this scoring to continue but with their issues we expect Bielefeld to also score. The away win trend is likely to continue here but Bielefeld have raised their game against the better sides so we won't be shocked if it goes the other way. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will be backing over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing again if concerned after the break with a few quid as the odds drift. We will be grabbing some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned after the break out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless.

Our Recommendation:
Hamburg have been in great form at home this season winning 10 of their 12 home matches this season, hitting the back of the net in the last 10 consecutive games. Despite Hoffenheim's superb start to the season then have only won 1 of their last 10 and seem to be following a similar downtrend to our beloved Aston Villa. The reverse fixture saw Hoffenheim easily dispose of Hamburg but it won't be so easy for Hoffenheim this time out. Whilst a draw won't suit either side here as both sides still have a chance at the title we will probably see Hoffenheim draw their 6th consecutive game. It doesn't look like it will be a goalless draw as Hoffenheim have made some shocking defensive errors of late, conceding 17 goals in their last 10 on their travels and as we mentioned earlier Hamburg haven't failed to score in their last 10. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. It might be worth chasing the price down especially if Hoffenheim are dominate. We will be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, usual recovery if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift with a few quid for some protection again trading out after a goal. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned in play, out at 1.8 on the draw if concerned inplay.

Our Recommendation:
Pompey visit the KC stadium for the 1st time and will be looking to string together back to back wins for the 1st time in 22 league games. Hull will be looking for their 1st home win in 17 weeks so we expect some tension here as both sides fight for the win and look to stay out of the relegation zone. This is another match we expect to end in a draw and see both sides on the score sheet. 8 of Hull’s last 10 home games have seen both teams scoring with 100% of their matches against leaky bottom 6 sides seeing a goal at either end. Pompey have seen a similar trend with all of their trips to bottom half sides this season seeing both teams hitting the back of the net. The last time these two met was back in November where it finished 2-2, a similar result would be ideal for us but not them here. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, usual recovery if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift with a few quid for some protection again trading out after a goal. We will grab £8 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned in play, out at 1.8 on the draw if concerned inplay.

Our Recommendation:
Both sides need a win here for completely the opposite reasons. Palermo can still qualify for Europe and have confirmed they will continue to chase this goal until the end of the season. Torino are in 18th with only 5 wins all season and come into this match on the back of 3 consecutive losses. Torino's new coach will have them focused on a positive result but we expect Miccoli and Cavani to cause the Torino defense far too many issues and secure a home win. To support this Palermo have won their last 6 against the bottom 6 sides. Torino have lost 6 of the last 8 against teams in the top half of the table. We should see a few goals here as over 2.5 goals is pretty well supported so shouldn't need to worry about a goalless finish. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, trading out after a goal. Following our usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further if concerned after the break for some safety. We will also be grabbing £7 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay getting out at 1.8 if its goalless on the draw.

Our Recommendation:
Everton's loss to Portsmouth has probably ended their chances of finishing 4th but they have managed to still maintain a strong home record in recent months. This has mainly been due to their ability to keep a clean sheet having done so in 5 of their last 7 at Goodison. Scoring hasn't been a problem either scoring in 11 of the last 12 only failing to put one past Chelsea so Wigan will have what looks like an uphill struggle here despite only a few places separating them in the league. Wigan's ability to score on their travels against top 6 sides isn't to impressive so we expect a home win here or at worst case a score draw. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals during the 1st half, trading out after a goal. Following our usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further if concerned after the break for some safety. We will also be grabbing £10 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay getting out at 1.8 if its goalless on the draw.

Our Recommendation:
Both sides have been struggling of late but come into this match on the back of moral boosting wins so should come motivated. The one trend that stands out here is both sides scoring. All of Valencia's last 10 at home have had this result and 8 of Getafe's last 10 matches have seen the same. Valencia have their 1st choice front line available for this match and Villa was rested mid-week so we should so them score here. The good news for Getafe is they have issues at the back with key players out so they shouldn't have too many issues scoring themselves. An inform Valencia would win this match but they aren't at their best but considering their record of avoiding defeat by Getafe when playing at home they should at least grab a point from this encounter. We prefer to lay the draw here and trade out after a goal. The draw is a little high for most members so we will look to lay the draw under 3.5 just incase Getafe score 1st, obviously if Valencia are all over them it might be worth getting in a little sooner. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals during the 1st half, trading out after a goal. Following our usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further if concerned after the break for some safety. We will also be grabbing £7 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay getting out at 1.8 if its goalless on the draw.

Our Recommendation:
Burton come into this on the back of an embarrassing 4-0 loss to 8th places Crawley so need to get back to winning ways with the chasing pack closing the gap every week. Burton look a different side since Clough left for Derby and have two major players out (Skipper Darren Stride and striker Shaun Harrad) which doesn't put them in a good position against an inform Gulls side. Goals look likely from both sides as both have scored in their last 10 respective home and away games. Personally we see an away win here but you can't write the league leaders off. We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals during the 1st half, trading out after a goal. Following our usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further if concerned after the break for some safety. We will also be grabbing £7 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay getting out at 1.8 if its goalless on the draw.

Our Recommendation:

Utd are unbeaten in over 20 games in this competition and haven't lost at home in 3 years, winning 87% of these encounters. They might have slipped up a little domestically in recent weeks but they are likely to be refocused for this encounter and out for revenge for 2004 last minute equaliser from Porto, which sent Utd out of the competition. Lets hope Ronaldo doesn't leave on a stretcher this time out! In the last 10 years Porto's record against sides ranked above them has seen them lose 100% of their away games so we do expect a home win here which is reassured by the return of Vidic. We aren't expecting a goal frenzy here as Utd need to keep a clean sheet but a narrow, 1-0 or 2-0 win looks on the cards in what is likely to be a cagey affair. We will be backing Man Utd and trading out after they take the lead or draw level, might be worth seeing how they start, staggering your stake. If they go behind we will look to back them further if they look like equalising, if not we will give it some time and look to Lay Porto if they get back into the game. We will also be grabbing some cover on the 0-0 and 0-1 for some safety, backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Recommendation:
These two must be sick of each other! Liverpool have already done the double over the Blues in the Premiership and remain unbeaten at home by Chelsea in the Champions league. Liverpool's recent form makes it hard to consider the Blues taking anything more than a draw from this, but considering Chelsea's away form against similar ranked sides and the fact they have only won 1 of their last 10 on their travels, it looks like Liverpool will take the glory here. Going back to 2005 all their H2H matches in the Champions League have finished under 2.5 goals. Whilst this trend might continue we feel a 1st half goal is likely. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will be grabbing £10 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay and having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, staggering our stake as usual. Out at HT if its goalless on the goals trade with the loss on over 2.5, backing further as the odds drift for some safety if concerned. We will get out at 1.8 as usual on the draw trade.

Our Recommendation:
Martin Jol has got Hamburg firing on all cylinders and they are definitely better than they were about 2 months ago and currently sit joint top of the Bundesliga with Wolfsburg. At home they have been superb, scoring in 100% of their games this season only losing to Wolfsburg, winning 84% of their matches. Alot to do with this is the amazing form of rookie Mladen Petric who will probably find himself at Barca, Utd or one of the other big boys in the next few seasons. City are highly likely to concede against Hamburg's strong attacking force and considering they have only kept a clean sheet on their travels in 6% of games it looks pretty likely that the deadlock will be broken. City have frequently under achieved this season but with the likes of Wright-Phillips they definitely have the ability to trouble Hamburg so we aren't writing them off but expect a Hamburg win here. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following our usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift with a small stake for some safety and grabbing some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay its going to finish goalless. Usual trade out point if its goalless on the draw, out at 1.8

Our Recommendation:
This should be entertaining! Its the 132nd Derby della Capitale, and 13 years since we saw a goalless one at Stadio Olimpico. Lazio are desperate for a win after 3 consecutive losses and are feeling the pressure from all angles. They have the pick of a practically full strength squad for this match so have no excuses. Roma can't afford to lose anymore games or their chances of qualifying for the Champions League is likely to slip from their grasp. This really could go either way but we should see goals from both sides. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half and backing the 0-0 for some cover, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Usual plan on the goals trade if its goalless at the break, backing further after the break with a few quid for safety and out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless.

Our Recommendation:
Wolfsburg will be eager to put some distance between them and Hamburg and continue their race for the title. They are in amazing form winning their last 8 and come in to this match after practically humiliating 4th place Bayern 5-1, so confidence will obviously be sky high. Much to do with Wolfsburg's success is their highly rated strike duo Edin Dzeko and Grafite who have managed to score 35 goals between them so far this season in the Bundesliga. Scoring past Gladbach should just be a formality as they haven't kept a clean sheet against any of the league strong offensive sides. We are a little concerned by their recent results which has seen them turn over 2nd place Hamburg a few weeks ago and grab a hard fought draw with Hoffenheim but they should find Wolfsburg's aggressive attacking style very difficult to overcome just like their last meeting in October were they were sent packing with a 3 - 0 defeat. Whilst we feel Wolfsburg will continue their winning ways we prefer to lay the draw here and trade out after a goal, If Gladbach score 1st and its before the break but Wolfsburg look like pulling it back we will back the draw with 1.5 times the lay stake so we can trade out again when they draw level. If the draw odds move into a profitable state if Gladbach score 1st we will simply close the trade as normal for a small profit. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half and backing the 0-0 for some cover, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Usual plan on the goals trade if its goalless at the break, backing further after the break with a few quid for safety and out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless. few quid for safety and out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless.

Our Recommendation:

We don't know how they have managed it but Gijon still haven't drawn a match in 29 games! Anyone following the well known 'back the draw' system would have had to remortgaged their house by now. Basically they are very poor defensively this season, in fact they have conceded 61 goals, the worst record in the Primera. When these two met earlier in the season Sporting surprising turned Valencia over 3-2. We don't expect it to happen again as Valencia seem to be having a mini revival of late and with their off pitch problems turning a corner key player will be more at ease and motivated to chase the 4th place Champions League spot. We are not sure how Villa will react to returning to his old Club but Valencia should walk away winners here. Over 2.5 goals is pretty well supported with both sides on the score sheet. Same plan as the Hamburg game. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal as a main trade and having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift after the break for some safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless as usual.

Our Recommendation:

Something special has been going on at Stuttgart since Babel was put in charge late last year. They have climbed from a mid-table position up into the European places and are clearly one of the top 3 inform sides in the Bundesliga, avoiding defeat at home in all their matches against top 6 sides. Hamburg will be no pushovers though as they to are in great form, on their way to the semi-finals of the UEFA Cup and are also fighting for the Bundesliga title. Surprisingly their record on their travels against top 6 sides has seen them not win any of the last 10 and with tired legs from the midweek encounter with Man City we are likely to see this continue. With Hamburg conceding 20 goals in the last 10 and Stuttgart scoring for fun, 20 in their last 10 we should see a few goals and more than likely both sides on the score sheet. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal as a main trade and having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift after the break for some safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 as usual on the draw if its goalless.

Our Recommendation:

Both sides have been lacking in form of late but with the Champions League still in their reach both Managers should have them motivated. We are more confident that Deportivo can grab something from this game as their home form has been solid, only losing 1 of the last 10 and only failing to score in 1 of these games. Atletico have been very poor of late and their record on the travels against top half sides has seen them not win any of their last 10, only keeping 1 clean sheet. H2H supports a home win with Deportivo winning 6 of the last 7 at the Riazor, A Coruna. With the win odds being so even on each side we will profit as long a side scores before our usual trade out point so we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal as a main trade and having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift after the break for some safety if concerned. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless as usual.

Our Recommendation:
Liverpool have an up hill battle here needing at least 3 goals without reply to avoid elimination. We aren't writing them off though as they have been in great scoring from of late, hitting the back of the net 14 times in their last 4 Premiership encounters (with 4 past Utd at Old Trafford and 5 past Villa). With Chelsea conceding 3 goals at Stamford Bridge after being 4 up against Bolton and with no John Terry this task looks achievable. Personally we do expect Chelsea to progress but if Liverpool can get on the scoresheet early anything could happen. Statistically this should be low scoring with Chelsea avoiding defeat but we have a feeling stats will be out of the window with this match. We are going to support a 1st half goal so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further with a few quid for safety as the odds drift, ideally trading out again after a goal to minimise the liability. The main trade will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal as we should be able to profit whoever scores 1st. We will grab £7 of cover, backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Recommendation:
We have all seen Bayern score 4 goals at home in the Bundesliga, but against Barcelona its not going to happen. Saying this Deportivo lost 4-1 to Milan in Italy 5 years ago before winning the reverse fixture 4-0 to progress, but we really can't see Bayern achieving this. What we do expect is Klinsman to have them all fired up for this encounter to secure a win on home ground and feel they have a good chance of achieving this. Statistically this is well supported as 80% of sides that come into 2nd leg with such a deficit have won the fixture. Goals are likely hence the 0-0 being at 20 so it looks pretty safe to lay the draw here trade out after either side taking the lead. We are also going to have a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further with a few quid for safety as the odds drift, ideally trading out again after a goal to minimise the liability. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay, those who want to completely cover the liability £15 will do this and you won't need to worry about trading out at 1.8 as usual.

Our Recommendation:
The 1st leg at Old Trafford finished 2-2 but this score line does Porto no justice. They simply were a better team who dominated precedings and deserved the win. With Porto playing this leg at home we don't fancy Utd's chances. No English side has ever beaten Porto at Estádio do Dragão and in recent weeks Utd have been unsteady on their feet and looked beatable in defence. After yesterday's amazing 8 goal extravagansa it would be great to see more of the same here but it doesn't look likely. What we do expect is both sides scoring, and Porto to qualify but we all know Utd at their best could win this fixture and upset the trends that support a Porto win. The only real choice here is to lay the draw and trade out after a goal, ideally Utd. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (loss onto over 2.5 goals), backing further as the odds drift after the break for some safety if concerned. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless as usual.

Our Recommendation:

A loss here is likely to see City boss Mark Hughes lose his job. There is only so much the Abu Dhabi Group will put up with before he is shown the exit. One thing Hughes has managed to do at City is keep a strong home record. Excusing their recent loss to Fulham they managed to win their previous 6 and haven't failed to score at home this year. They have also had a do or die attitude which has seen them not draw at home this season, which is great if you are laying the draw. We all know what Hamburg can do from the reverse fixture but they have a terrible away record against English sides, and with City never losing to a German side on home turf this is going to be interesting for those who like stats. They are likely to take faith in Jol's record against City which has seen him win the last 7 times he has met them, 6 whilst in charge of Spurs and last weeks meeting in charge of Hamburg. This is a match both sides should definitely get on the score sheet, City are terrible defending against set pieces (one of Hamburg's strengths) and Hamburg haven't kept a clean sheet on their travels this season. For this match we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, which is likely to come from City 1st as they chase their 2 goal deficit. We expect the deadlock to be broken before the break so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, inplay during the 1st half. We will get out at HT for no loss on over by laying with the same stake as usual, backing further with a few quid as the odds drift for some safety, ideally trading out again. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 despite it not looking too likely, backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless.

Our Recommendation:
Wolfsburg continue to show no signs of let up and come into this match still unbeaten at home, winning 12 of their 13 games. Their main ability at home is scoring, which has seen them hit the back of the net at least twice in all but one of their games (bottom placed Karlsruher who put up a 11 man defense). Were pretty confident Wolfsburg will continue their scoring form here as Leverkusen haven't been able to keep a cleansheet against the leagues better at home sides this season but they are one of the better away sides in the Bundesliga. Wolfsburg have had their own issues defending against mid-table sides so we won't be surprised if both sides score here. Considering this, over 2.5 goals looks pretty likely but we expected Wolfsburg to be more motivated as they chase the Bundesliga title and secure another home win. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, ideally from Wolfsburg. It makes sense to stagger your stake for a better price inplay as its a little high currently. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, following our usual plan if its goalless at the break. We will also grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless as usual.

Our Recommendation:
Pompey might not be play exciting football at the moment under Hart, but at least they have grabbed some points, only losing 1 of their last 7. They have a decent record at home to poor defensive away sides such as Bolton this season and have managed to win 83% of these encounters. Their opponents here played their socks off in their recent Chelsea away game but they continue to let them in especially on the road, having only kept a clean sheet once on their travels this season. Its going to be an interesting match which will probably end all square but we should see both sides on the score sheet. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. Whilst both these two tend to see more action after the break we have taken various other influencing factors into consideration and feel a 1st half goal is more likely for this match so will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, following our usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further if concerned after the break with a few quid for safety. We will also grab some cover on the 0-0, £8 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless as usual.

Our Recommendation:
This is the 5th time these two have met since the Millennium in the FA Cup. All the previous encounters have been won by Arsenal. Personally this is what we expect to see again here with Arsenal returning to form, scoring well and looking strong defensively. Chelsea despite being superb up front have looked suspect defensively and this is likely to be the deciding factor. An Arsenal win is also supported by their record on neutral turf which has seen them avoid defeat in 88% of games winning the majority. H2H both sides have scored in 5 of their last 6 meeting which is what we expect to see here. A low scoring game is strongly support in the stats but with these 1st leg semi's usually seeing a winner inside 90 min's and both sides likely to score we are a little concerned about backing under 2.5 goals here. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, following our usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further if concerned after the break with a few quid for safety. We will also grab some cover on the 0-0, £10 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless as usual.

Our Recommendation:
Cagliari at home are a tough side to beat. Defensively they have been superb of late only conceding 3 goals in their last 10 home games. Scoring has been their main problem hence why their last 10 have finished under 2.5 goal but against a Napoli side that is in freefall conceding in all of their last 10 on their travels they should be able to score. Despite there similar league positions Cagliari should win here as their record against bottom half sides has seen them win 75% of these games and Napoli have lost 80% of their matches against similar opponents on their travels. Both sides have scored in the last 5 H2H's when Cagliari are at home and Cagliari have hit the net 1st in 93% of their home games against bottom half sides this season. Were not sure if Napoli can score against this strong defensive side but this should be a match where Cagliari have few issues getting on the score sheet.

We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift if concerned 3 are on their way in the 2nd half (not much liquidity so small stake only) and backing the 0-0 with £10, backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 as usual on the draw if it s goalless.

Our Recommendation:
West Brom are in desperate need of a win to help them off the bottom of the table. Their record against City is good having avoided defeat on the last 6 occasions and they have already beaten City this season, so they should feel confident coming into this match. Beating them at Eastlands' will be hell of an achievement as they have only picked up 1 win this season on their travels and haven't beaten City's at their home ground in 8 years. City's home form of late has been pretty strong and has seen them win 7 of their last 8 and if Hughes can get them firing on all cylinders as they did mid-week against Hamburg it will be a walk in the park. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, you might want to chase the price down a little just incase West Brom score 1st. We will also be having a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break and grabbing £7 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay its going to finish goalless. Out at 1.8 as usual.

Our Recommendation:
A few weeks ago we felt Everton had a decent chance here as Utd were frankly poor by their usual standards, conceding 10 goals in 4 games. But their systematic defeat of Porto recently showed they have potentially shaken off that poor form and returned to the Manchester Utd that we had seen earlier in the season. Everton have provided a tough opponent for Utd this season. A hard fought draw at Goodison Park and a narrow defeat at Old Trafford have shown the Toffee's are no easy opponent, so this isn't likely to be a walk over for Utd but with Everton missing Mikel Arteta we feel they aren't likely to breach Utd's defense. Utd have a decent record when playing at a neutral ground in the FA Cup. They haven't lost in 14 years and have won over 70% of these games. Everton's record on neutral ground isn't too inspiring, certainly nothing like Utd's record. Its going to be a tough game and both sides want to win this but we feel Utd will be progressing to the final. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal. We will be having a side trade on under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so getting out sooner if concerned, backing further if a goal comes as usual. We will also be grabbing £10 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Recommendation:
Only 3 points separate these two as they chase promotion. So far this season when these two have met top 6 sides it has been pretty tight early on. When these two have gone H2H in recent years its contradicted this and has been an open end to end game with the last 4 matches seeing both sides scoring, which is what we expect to see here. The last meeting saw Burnley steal the win 3-2 back in December, but Utd look the sharper side coming into this game and are undefeated in their last 10 on the road. This could obviously go either way and shouldn't be a goalless game so it looks ideal for laying the draw. So we will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We are also expecting the deadlock to be opened before the break so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, inplay during the 1st half, staggering our stake as usual. Following our usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay, out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless.

Our Recommendation:
Liverpool are just 1 point behind Man Utd (plus a game in hand) and for the 1st time in 19 years they have a good chance of securing the Premiership Crown, so with no other distractions we expect a highly focused Reds side for this encounter. Their domestic form coming into this match couldn't be any better, 5 wins on the bounce, scoring a whopping 16 goals. Against a Arsenal side that has only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 10 away games they should definitely score. In general when the big 4 meet we usually see both sides scoring which is what we have seen in 13 of the last 15 H2H meetings between these two at Anfield so don't be surprised if Arsenal get on the score sheet too. Liverpool come into this match well rested after 6 day's off, Arsenal have had just a couple days so with Liverpool's desire for the Premiership title and fresh legs we expect them to edge the win here. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal, if you want to chase a shorter price please feel free. We are expecting the deadlock to be broken before the break so will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals, inplay during the 1st half, staggering our stake as usual. Following our usual plan if its goalless at the break, backing further as the odds drift for safety. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay, out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless.

Our Recommendation:
These two are soon to be sick of each other as they meet for the 1st of 4 H2H meetings in 19 days with 3 potential pieces of silverware on the table. Both sides have a practically full strength squad to choose from and neither will want to lose the opening game of the quartet as this will give a mental advantage. With these Derby matches always being tense affairs we are likely to see a few cards. We also expect both sides on the score sheet as 85% of their H2H have seen this happen. To support this Hamburg at home have been superb this season and have scored in 100% of their matches and Bremen have been very poor defensively this season especially on their travels. This match could go either way but with Hamburg's home record this season we expect them to progress to the final. We will be laying the draw and trading out after either side scores. We will be having a small side trade inplay during the 1st half, following our usual plan if its goalless, backing further after the break for a safety with a few quid. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Recommendation:
Will it be 32 games without a draw for Gijon ? Well we put a bet on 6 weeks ago that this would be the game that ended their 'draw drought', so fingers crossed for us. With the end of the season fast approaching and neither of these two sides safe from relegation a win here is vital. What we expect to see is both sides on the score sheet. Gijon look the more likely to score but their defensive record is shocking, conceding 22 goals in the last 10 games so even the goal shy Espanyol should register here. Gijon's record so far this season against the bottom 6 has been pretty good, winning 3 of the last 4 but there has been a few signs lately that Espanyol are turning the corner, picking up 7 points from their last 3 matches. This could go either way but a score draw would be ideal for us. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half staggering our stake as usual and will be grabbing £7 of cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay. Usual recovery plans here is its goalless at the break, backing further if concerned 3 are coming after the break and trading out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless.

Our Recommendation:
Both these two earlier in the season looked good for the Bundesliga title by performing beyond everyone's expectations but they have slipped to a more suitable league position for their ability. Hoffenheim have been following in Hull's footsteps over the last few months and have now gone 10 games without a win. Hertha still have a chance of qualifying for the Champions League so we expect them to be more motivated here as Hoffenheim have already gone on record that they are not to bothered about this season now and want to focus on next season. We are a little concerned that Hertha have lost their last 6 matches against the leagues decent sides but with Hoffenheim on a very obvious down trend we feel they will at least avoid defeat here. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (laying with the same stake, to move the loss onto over 2.5) We will then look to back further as the odds drift if concerned the game looks good for 3 goals after the break. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 if goalless on the draw as usual.

Our Recommendation:
Dortmund still haven't lost at home but this should be one of those games that put this to the test. Juergen Klopp’s side have won their last 4 games and haven't lost in over 10 games at home. They have moved to within touching distance of the UEFA Cup places so expect a decent showing from them. Hamburg were knocked out of the German Cup in their last outing so will be looking to get back to chasing the Bundesliga title and secure a win. This is all set up for both sides scoring and we should be able to profit whoever scores 1st. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (laying with the same stake, to move the loss onto over 2.5) We will then look to back further as the odds drift if concerned the game looks good for 3 goals after the break. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 if goalless on the draw as usual.

Our Recommendation:
Neither of these two are full of confidence but both could do with 3 points. Bolton need to get to 40 points to be completely safe from relegation and are 3 points shy and Villa need to keep a buffer between them and Everton to secure a Uefa Cup place next season. Bolton have lost their last 5 matches against top 6 sides. Whilst Villa aren't at their best losing their last 3 away matches these games were against sides ranked in the top 5 at home. Against sides outside the top 5 they have decent record winning their last 7. H2H 4 of the last 5 with Bolton at home have finished in a draw with both sides scoring in all these games. A draw would be a fair result for both sides but we expect a winner for this encounter with both sides scoring. If Villa score 1st they have a very strong win record against similar opponents so we have our fingers crossed for Villa taking the lead early on. We will be following the same trading plan as above for this match. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half following the usual plan if its goalless at the break (laying with the same stake, to move the loss onto over 2.5) We will then look to back further as the odds drift if concerned the game looks good for 3 goals after the break. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 if goalless on the draw as usual.

Our Recommendation:
Both these two are pretty safe but Chievo could do with a few more points to make sure. Domenico Di Carlo took the helm at Chievo after Iachini was sacked and has turned them into one of the Serie A's in form sides. The ex-Parma tactician has nearly achieved the results necessary to securing Serie A football next season after most of us were discussing their potential relegation a few months ago. We expect this match to take a whilst to get going and won't be surprised if its low scoring as 9 of Chievo's last 10 finished with less than 3 goals and 9 of Udinese's last 10 games have also seen this result. We will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will be having a side trade on under 2.5 goals for the 1st 10 min's or so, getting out sooner if concerned. We will then look to back further if a goal comes, ideally trading out when the odds equalise. We will grab some cover on the 0-0, £7 initially backing further if concerned inplay. Out at 1.8 if goalless on the draw as usual.

Our Recommendation:
This shouldn't need much explaining. Arsenal at home in recent months have kept a clean sheet in the last 7 consecutive games and haven't had any issues scoring of late, hitting the back of the net 3 or more times in 5 of the last 6. They also haven't lost to a bottom 6 side at home in over 2 seasons and are unbeaten in 19 games this season. Whilst they might not put their best side out due to their Champion's League commitments, even Arsenal's youngsters should be able to defeat a Boro side that has been firing blanks of later. We will be backing Arsenal, and trading out after they take the lead or draw level. We will get half our stake on before kick off and look to get the rest on inplay (just want to see their level off commitment as they don't need to win this game). If they go behind early we will look to back them further to get higher average odds so we can ideally trade out after they equalise (don't do this until you have confidence they can pull it back). If they go behind later in the game laying Boro at short odds would be a better option. Hopefully we won't need to consider any of this and Arsenal will take the lead early on. The only other consideration is it finishing goalless so we will look to grab some cover on the 0-0, £5 initially backing further if concerned inplay. We will also have a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. Usual recovery if its goalless at the break.

Our Recommendation:
Sampdoria have been much improved in recent months after their appalling start to the season which saw them looking good for relegation. They have now only lost 2 of their last 12 and come into this match after knocking Inter out of the Coppa Italia. So moral will be high in the Sampdoria camp but after fielding a 1st choice side for their midweek Cup match there will be some tired legs out there for this match. Cagliari's record against similar ranked sides isn't to great but they also have been much improved in recent months and still have a chance of qualifying for Europe. H2H both sides have scored in 6 of the last 7 meetings at Comunale Luigi Ferraris which is what we expect to see here. Fresher legs and coming into this after an impressive 2-0 win over Napoli we feel Cagliari just have this one. A 1st half goal looks likely so we will be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals following the usual plan if its goalless at the break but the main trade will be laying the draw and trading out after a goal from either side. We will grab some cover on the 0 -0 £7 initially, backing further if concerned inplay and will get out if its goalless at 1.8 on the draw as usual.

Our Recommendation:
Blackburn have more to play for here as they chase 6 more points to secure Premiership survival. Out of their remaining fixtures this looks one of the most winnable so we expect Big Sam to have them fired up for this encounter. On paper they look good for it and have remained undefeated at home to bottom half sides under Big Sam. To support this Wigan have won just 1 of their last 7 away matches and have been shipping goals in recent games. Whether Blackburn can take advantage of Wigan's defensive issues were not 100% convinced but they should at least secure a draw against this stumbling Wigan side. Both sides have scored in the H2H meetings at Ewood Park since 2006 which is what we expect to see again here, so rather than put our faith in Blackburn winning we prefer to lay the draw and trade out after a goal. We will also be having a small side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half, following the usual plan if its goalless at the break. We will grab some cover on the 0-0 £7 initially, backing further if concerned and will get out at 1.8 on the draw if its goalless as usual.

Our Recommendation:
Reading's are still in with a chance of automatic promotion after Birmingham slipped up at home in their last outing. This is a must win game for them so we expect a strong performance from The Royals. Norwich are in a similar situation but their concern is relegation and desperately need 3 points. Reading are obviously the better side and have won the last 3 H2H meetings but relegation is hell of a motivator at this stage of the season. The only strong trend here is under 2.5 goals but looking back over our records over the last 5 years matches with teams in this situation there is a 77% bias towards a 1st half goal. This match looks ideal for laying the draw and trading out after a goal, with a side trade on over 2.5 goals inplay during the 1st half. We will use the usual plan if its goalless at the break and if its goalless when the draw odds reach 1.8. We will grab £7 of cover on the 0-0 backing further if concerned inplay.

Our Recommendation:
These two rivals meet for the 1st time in the Champions League with a place in the final up for grabs. Ferguson is determined to secure a hat-trick of titles and with it the chance to become the first side to retain the Champions League, since the early nineties. He should have his fully fit squad all fired up for the challenge. After a some what disappointing season so far plagued with injuries Wenger's side has finally hit form at the perfect time so certainly won't make it easy for them. Both sides will certainly score here and if you look at the stats this is well support with just under 90% of big 4 clashes seeing this result, picking a winner you will have to flip a coin as it could go either way but be sure Ferguson will want to take a lead to the Emirates . We will be laying the draw here and trading out after a goal, we will stagger our stake early on just incase Arsenal score 1st for safety. We will also be having a small side trade inplay on over 2.5 goals during the 1st half, getting out at the break if its goalless by laying over 2.5 with the same stake, backing further as the odds drift with a few quid for safety. We will also grab £10 of cover on the 0-0, backing further if concerned inplay.